sample_experiments_01
Laura Menicacci
2024-01-02
Experiments with country samples
SUMMARY:
Initial preliminary experiment with a sample of 21 countries, chosen using a bit of a cumbersome criteria: for each distribution of the combination country and technology, if its 25th quantile falls below the 30th quantile of the overall distribution of patent counts, then that country is excluded from the analysis.
In the meantime, we understood many things:
- We don’t want to differentiate sample by technology
- If our sample is small, but it covers the majority (at least 90%) of our whole sample, then we’re good
Here I present 3 much simpler alternatives:
Top 25 patenting countries by mean: aggregate all technologies, take mean of patents for each country, sort in descending order and select only the top 25. These 25 countries already cover roughly 97% of total patenting. It is a similar sample than the old one, meaning it leads to similar fit. It includes most European countries, US, Japan, China & Taiwan, + a couple of BRICS countries: Brasil, Russia, Singapore, India.
Top 50 patenting countries by mean: aggregate all technologies, take mean patent count for each country, sort in descending order and select the top 50. These 50 countries cover basically the whole dataset: more than 99% of total patents. This is a larger and more generous choice, which includes also the least patenting countries (e.g. 50th country has a mean patent count of 2.0032846).
OECD countries + China & Taiwan: 38 + 2 = 40 countries. Different aggregation, plus China and Taiwan which still are top patenting countries and should be included in my opinion. This sample choice covers 94% of total patents, which is less than any of the other options. This represents a ‘middle’ way to go between a strict and large sample choice in terms of geographical coverage. List of countries included in this sample: AUSTRALIA, AUSTRIA, BELGIUM, CANADA, CHILE, COLOMBIA, COSTA RICA, CZECH REPUBLIC, DENMARK, ESTONIA, FINLAND, FRANCE, GERMANY, GREECE, HUNGARY, ICELAND, IRELAND, ISRAEL, ITALY, JAPAN, KOREA, LATVIA, LITHUANIA, LUXEMBOURG, MEXICO, NETHERLANDS, NEW ZEALAND, NORWAY, POLAND, PORTUGAL, SLOVAK REPUBLIC, SLOVENIA, SPAIN, SWEDEN, SWITZERLAND, TÜRKIYE, UNITED KINGDOM, UNITED STATES
Here you have a decreasing list of mean patent counts for each country of the dataset, you can use it to have a look at which countries are included in the top 25 and top 50 samples:
## New names:
## • `` -> `...1`| ISO | mean | rank |
|---|---|---|
| JPN | 2260.2577308 | 1 |
| USA | 1716.1202923 | 2 |
| KOR | 956.7378538 | 3 |
| DEU | 914.2598846 | 4 |
| CHN | 585.7238385 | 5 |
| FRA | 292.5298231 | 6 |
| GBR | 216.2609846 | 7 |
| TWN | 171.0323308 | 8 |
| CAN | 140.7239462 | 9 |
| ITA | 109.3296923 | 10 |
| DNK | 108.2652462 | 11 |
| NLD | 90.8579692 | 12 |
| IND | 71.4810000 | 13 |
| AUT | 69.1459692 | 14 |
| CHE | 67.4734692 | 15 |
| SWE | 66.7875231 | 16 |
| ESP | 66.3707769 | 17 |
| AUS | 62.8277846 | 18 |
| ISR | 49.5584385 | 19 |
| BEL | 38.6013846 | 20 |
| FIN | 37.8312154 | 21 |
| RUS | 29.9267692 | 22 |
| NOR | 24.7340615 | 23 |
| SGP | 20.6760538 | 24 |
| BRA | 14.0478462 | 25 |
| POL | 12.7987000 | 26 |
| TUR | 12.6686769 | 27 |
| ZAF | 11.2392923 | 28 |
| SAU | 11.1242077 | 29 |
| IRL | 10.2894692 | 30 |
| NZL | 10.2097308 | 31 |
| HKG | 8.5648846 | 32 |
| CZE | 8.2975000 | 33 |
| UKR | 7.1692846 | 34 |
| MEX | 6.4387462 | 35 |
| MYS | 6.4137538 | 36 |
| HUN | 6.2770231 | 37 |
| PRT | 6.2678538 | 38 |
| GRC | 5.8170000 | 39 |
| ROU | 3.7016462 | 40 |
| CHL | 3.5083385 | 41 |
| SVK | 3.0182231 | 42 |
| THA | 2.9941462 | 43 |
| LUX | 2.9333154 | 44 |
| SVN | 2.5338308 | 45 |
| IRN | 2.4668769 | 46 |
| BGR | 2.4627385 | 47 |
| PHL | 2.1595462 | 48 |
| ARG | 2.1546462 | 49 |
| VNM | 2.0032846 | 50 |
| KAZ | 1.7340462 | 51 |
| MAR | 1.7325846 | 52 |
| EGY | 1.7116846 | 53 |
| ARE | 1.7113385 | 54 |
| HRV | 1.6315000 | 55 |
| BLR | 1.5991000 | 56 |
| COL | 1.4917769 | 57 |
| IDN | 1.3327923 | 58 |
| SRB | 1.3215462 | 59 |
| EST | 1.1984769 | 60 |
| LTU | 1.0052154 | 61 |
| VEN | 0.8717769 | 62 |
| PAK | 0.8269385 | 63 |
| CYP | 0.7575462 | 64 |
| ISL | 0.7398077 | 65 |
| LVA | 0.7313846 | 66 |
| MLT | 0.6788385 | 67 |
| JOR | 0.6728769 | 68 |
| LIE | 0.6569846 | 69 |
| QAT | 0.6410154 | 70 |
| ARM | 0.6310231 | 71 |
| PER | 0.6031846 | 72 |
| PRK | 0.5841538 | 73 |
| LKA | 0.5486462 | 74 |
| DZA | 0.5481846 | 75 |
| TUN | 0.5235692 | 76 |
| KEN | 0.5182154 | 77 |
| BIH | 0.5108923 | 78 |
| GEO | 0.4989462 | 79 |
| BHS | 0.4551308 | 80 |
| PAN | 0.4288385 | 81 |
| MCO | 0.4000000 | 82 |
| BGD | 0.3864385 | 83 |
| LBN | 0.3772923 | 84 |
| KWT | 0.3153846 | 85 |
| ECU | 0.3083000 | 86 |
| NPL | 0.2876692 | 87 |
| MDA | 0.2840385 | 88 |
| CRI | 0.2721692 | 89 |
| ETH | 0.2435692 | 90 |
| NGA | 0.2328231 | 91 |
| VGB | 0.2275000 | 92 |
| AZE | 0.2188385 | 93 |
| ANT | 0.2181846 | 94 |
| URY | 0.2025462 | 95 |
| MUS | 0.2019154 | 96 |
| UZB | 0.2012462 | 97 |
| ALB | 0.1783308 | 98 |
| JAM | 0.1641000 | 99 |
| OMN | 0.1564077 | 100 |
| BRB | 0.1502538 | 101 |
| DOM | 0.1384615 | 102 |
| CMR | 0.1346154 | 103 |
| MKD | 0.1342231 | 104 |
| CUB | 0.1337462 | 105 |
| GHA | 0.1306385 | 106 |
| PRY | 0.1269231 | 107 |
| TTO | 0.1253692 | 108 |
| BRN | 0.1173077 | 109 |
| LAO | 0.1141000 | 110 |
| IRQ | 0.1128077 | 111 |
| SEN | 0.1046077 | 112 |
| SDN | 0.1012846 | 113 |
| FRO | 0.0993615 | 114 |
| PRI | 0.0973077 | 115 |
| MNE | 0.0964000 | 116 |
| YEM | 0.0961462 | 117 |
| BHR | 0.0938462 | 118 |
| AND | 0.0925462 | 119 |
| MAC | 0.0846077 | 120 |
| NAM | 0.0814000 | 121 |
| ZWE | 0.0801154 | 122 |
| GTM | 0.0794769 | 123 |
| KGZ | 0.0769308 | 124 |
| SLE | 0.0717846 | 125 |
| MMR | 0.0630769 | 126 |
| NER | 0.0624231 | 127 |
| SLV | 0.0596154 | 128 |
| SMR | 0.0596154 | 129 |
| GUY | 0.0580769 | 130 |
| SYR | 0.0564077 | 131 |
| BDI | 0.0538462 | 132 |
| NCL | 0.0531923 | 133 |
| ZMB | 0.0525615 | 134 |
| GIB | 0.0519231 | 135 |
| BLZ | 0.0442231 | 136 |
| KHM | 0.0423077 | 137 |
| MDG | 0.0389154 | 138 |
| FJI | 0.0384615 | 139 |
| DMA | 0.0346154 | 140 |
| REU | 0.0346154 | 141 |
| CAF | 0.0333308 | 142 |
| LBR | 0.0320538 | 143 |
| KNA | 0.0320385 | 144 |
| MNG | 0.0316923 | 145 |
| DJI | 0.0307692 | 146 |
| PSE | 0.0307692 | 147 |
| TKM | 0.0307692 | 148 |
| TGO | 0.0282000 | 149 |
| GAB | 0.0274308 | 150 |
| BFA | 0.0269231 | 151 |
| ERI | 0.0269231 | 152 |
| SWZ | 0.0256308 | 153 |
| SYC | 0.0256308 | 154 |
| ATG | 0.0243538 | 155 |
| LBY | 0.0230769 | 156 |
| UGA | 0.0211538 | 157 |
| MRT | 0.0198692 | 158 |
| AFG | 0.0192385 | 159 |
| GRD | 0.0192308 | 160 |
| VAT | 0.0192308 | 161 |
| TJK | 0.0185846 | 162 |
| CIV | 0.0174308 | 163 |
| MLI | 0.0159308 | 164 |
| AGO | 0.0153846 | 165 |
| GLP | 0.0153846 | 166 |
| TZA | 0.0153769 | 167 |
| RWA | 0.0153692 | 168 |
| GUF | 0.0142308 | 169 |
| BWA | 0.0128154 | 170 |
| SUR | 0.0115385 | 171 |
| VCT | 0.0115385 | 172 |
| WSM | 0.0115385 | 173 |
| BOL | 0.0115308 | 174 |
| HND | 0.0096154 | 175 |
| TUV | 0.0096154 | 176 |
| COG | 0.0089692 | 177 |
| BEN | 0.0076923 | 178 |
| CPV | 0.0076923 | 179 |
| GMB | 0.0076923 | 180 |
| KIR | 0.0076923 | 181 |
| LCA | 0.0076923 | 182 |
| NIC | 0.0076923 | 183 |
| TCD | 0.0076923 | 184 |
| GRL | 0.0076846 | 185 |
| GIN | 0.0051308 | 186 |
| GNQ | 0.0038462 | 187 |
| MHL | 0.0038462 | 188 |
| PNG | 0.0038462 | 189 |
| SLB | 0.0038462 | 190 |
| SOM | 0.0038462 | 191 |
| STP | 0.0038462 | 192 |
| VIR | 0.0038462 | 193 |
| VUT | 0.0038462 | 194 |
| HTI | 0.0025615 | 195 |
| MDV | 0.0012846 | 196 |
Difference in coverage of total patents
Percentage in coverage
| tot_count | count_oecd | count_top25 | count_top50 | perc_coverage_oecd | perc_coverage_top25 | perc_coverage_top50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1088512 | 1030337 | 1063603 | 1083560 | 94.65548 | 97.71162 | 99.54501 |
Sample experiments with preferred model specification
- Y: Levels, Logs+1
- Controls: gdp, pop
- AR 1
- IIS=ON
- p-val = 0.01, 0.05
- 3 samples: top_25, top_50, oecd
CCMT
oecd
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:43:10 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2802e-01 7.5260e-03 123.3076 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -7.8207e-14 4.5102e-14 -1.7340 0.0832950 .
pop 2.7368e-06 2.0330e-07 13.4619 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 4.3041e+01 1.0896e+01 3.9504 8.473e-05 ***
idBEL 2.4596e+01 1.0721e+01 2.2941 0.0220336 *
idCAN -2.0950e+00 1.0760e+01 -0.1947 0.8456719
idCHE 3.9014e+01 1.0912e+01 3.5754 0.0003701 ***
idCHL 7.2428e+00 1.2248e+01 0.5913 0.5544568
idCHN -3.3465e+03 2.5874e+02 -12.9338 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCOL -2.9877e+01 2.9318e+01 -1.0191 0.3084712
idCRI 3.0412e+01 1.1036e+01 2.7556 0.0059886 **
idCZE 1.5642e+01 1.0717e+01 1.4595 0.1448181
idDEU 7.6374e+01 1.7929e+01 4.2598 2.283e-05 ***
idDNK 5.5188e+01 1.1074e+01 4.9837 7.611e-07 ***
idESP -6.2485e+01 1.1555e+01 -5.4075 8.384e-08 ***
idEST 3.7210e+01 1.1126e+01 3.3443 0.0008623 ***
idFIN 3.9899e+01 1.0981e+01 3.6336 0.0002969 ***
idFRA -2.5955e+01 1.2906e+01 -2.0110 0.0446475 *
idGRC 1.1969e+01 1.0699e+01 1.1187 0.2636015
idHUN 1.7366e+01 1.0838e+01 1.6024 0.1094503
idIRL 3.3115e+01 1.0969e+01 3.0191 0.0026140 **
idISL 4.0137e+01 1.1195e+01 3.5853 0.0003566 ***
idISR 3.4799e+01 1.0878e+01 3.1991 0.0014317 **
idITA -8.0901e+01 1.2687e+01 -6.3766 3.018e-10 ***
idJPN 1.8040e+02 3.6213e+01 4.9816 7.690e-07 ***
idKOR 3.2269e+02 5.6354e+01 5.7261 1.441e-08 ***
idLTU 3.1993e+01 1.1018e+01 2.9037 0.0037872 **
idLUX 4.0299e+01 1.1183e+01 3.6036 0.0003328 ***
idLVA 3.4847e+01 1.1076e+01 3.1461 0.0017142 **
idMEX -2.5397e+02 2.1204e+01 -11.9774 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.7446e+01 1.0653e+01 2.5763 0.0101594 *
idNOR 3.5636e+01 1.0965e+01 3.2499 0.0012015 **
idNZL 3.1598e+01 1.0973e+01 2.8796 0.0040856 **
idPOL -5.8872e+01 1.1310e+01 -5.2052 2.450e-07 ***
idPRT 1.4116e+01 1.0714e+01 1.3176 0.1880166
idSVK 2.6796e+01 1.0907e+01 2.4567 0.0142265 *
idSVN 3.6008e+01 1.1088e+01 3.2476 0.0012109 **
idSWE 4.0521e+01 1.0866e+01 3.7291 0.0002054 ***
idTUR -1.4942e+02 1.5099e+01 -9.8962 < 2.2e-16 ***
idTWN 3.9291e+01 1.0739e+01 3.6589 0.0002695 ***
idUSA -3.7625e+02 5.0828e+01 -7.4025 3.312e-13 ***
time1996 -4.5037e+01 1.0049e+01 -4.4818 8.454e-06 ***
time1997 -4.5114e+01 1.0065e+01 -4.4825 8.427e-06 ***
time1998 -4.2880e+01 1.0082e+01 -4.2530 2.351e-05 ***
time1999 -4.1266e+01 1.0129e+01 -4.0741 5.068e-05 ***
time2000 -3.8573e+01 1.0133e+01 -3.8069 0.0001512 ***
time2001 -4.2363e+01 1.0154e+01 -4.1723 3.337e-05 ***
time2002 -5.2839e+01 1.0165e+01 -5.1981 2.543e-07 ***
time2003 -4.4852e+01 1.0225e+01 -4.3867 1.301e-05 ***
time2004 -3.7002e+01 1.0180e+01 -3.6348 0.0002955 ***
time2005 -3.9870e+01 1.0195e+01 -3.9105 9.971e-05 ***
time2006 -3.2126e+01 1.0179e+01 -3.1560 0.0016577 **
time2007 -2.4838e+01 1.0237e+01 -2.4263 0.0154674 *
time2008 -2.5269e+01 1.0239e+01 -2.4679 0.0137951 *
time2009 -2.1087e+01 1.0296e+01 -2.0481 0.0408683 *
time2010 -1.7919e+01 1.0344e+01 -1.7322 0.0836062 .
time2011 -3.4520e+01 1.0297e+01 -3.3523 0.0008380 ***
time2012 -3.8570e+01 1.0359e+01 -3.7233 0.0002101 ***
time2013 -6.5268e+01 1.0453e+01 -6.2439 6.838e-10 ***
time2014 -5.0273e+01 1.0416e+01 -4.8265 1.657e-06 ***
time2015 -4.7170e+01 1.0454e+01 -4.5121 7.355e-06 ***
time2016 -4.8840e+01 1.0361e+01 -4.7137 2.857e-06 ***
time2017 -3.7321e+01 1.0415e+01 -3.5833 0.0003593 ***
time2018 -4.2928e+01 1.0367e+01 -4.1409 3.818e-05 ***
time2019 -5.5717e+01 1.0440e+01 -5.3367 1.225e-07 ***
iis165 8.4590e+02 4.0794e+01 20.7362 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 6.4664e+02 4.2733e+01 15.1322 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.7346e+02 4.4898e+01 10.5452 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 3.2630e+02 4.6919e+01 6.9546 7.220e-12 ***
iis258 -3.0164e+02 4.2806e+01 -7.0466 3.886e-12 ***
iis264 -6.6567e+02 4.2926e+01 -15.5074 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis541 -3.8619e+02 5.4683e+01 -7.0624 3.490e-12 ***
iis542 6.2263e+02 5.5627e+01 11.1929 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 1.8855e+03 5.4123e+01 34.8365 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 1.0018e+03 5.2345e+01 19.1385 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -1.3829e+02 5.2793e+01 -2.6194 0.0089705 **
iis546 -3.8009e+02 5.2548e+01 -7.2332 1.083e-12 ***
iis548 -1.8964e+02 5.2362e+01 -3.6217 0.0003107 ***
iis550 2.1819e+02 4.5367e+01 4.8096 1.799e-06 ***
iis552 -1.4991e+03 4.5408e+01 -33.0135 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis553 -2.2707e+02 4.5551e+01 -4.9849 7.565e-07 ***
iis554 -3.0575e+02 4.4562e+01 -6.8611 1.346e-11 ***
iis555 -2.8313e+02 4.5334e+01 -6.2454 6.778e-10 ***
iis556 -2.7277e+02 4.3690e+01 -6.2433 6.864e-10 ***
iis557 -2.9474e+02 4.2511e+01 -6.9332 8.333e-12 ***
iis558 -2.0177e+02 4.1943e+01 -4.8106 1.790e-06 ***
iis559 -2.0342e+02 4.1108e+01 -4.9484 9.079e-07 ***
iis566 5.2806e+02 4.5925e+01 11.4982 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis567 3.8074e+02 4.3676e+01 8.7174 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis570 2.2779e+02 4.2796e+01 5.3227 1.320e-07 ***
iis572 -4.1795e+02 4.6023e+01 -9.0813 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis573 4.2539e+02 4.5713e+01 9.3057 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis574 -3.4947e+02 4.5529e+01 -7.6758 4.667e-14 ***
iis920 -3.7095e+02 4.1554e+01 -8.9270 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis924 3.5821e+02 4.0733e+01 8.7940 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis927 1.6703e+02 4.1493e+01 4.0254 6.214e-05 ***
iis929 8.6743e+02 4.5459e+01 19.0818 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis930 5.9923e+02 4.5509e+01 13.1674 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis931 -8.2532e+02 4.5934e+01 -17.9676 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis934 -4.2290e+02 4.5368e+01 -9.3217 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis935 -4.1670e+02 4.5495e+01 -9.1591 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis936 -7.5570e+02 4.5848e+01 -16.4827 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.9780e+02 2.3273e+01 12.7961 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -4.1601e+02 2.7216e+01 -15.2853 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2016 3.3658e+02 3.0285e+01 11.1136 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 5.1006e+02 3.4424e+01 14.8168 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -5.7823e+02 3.7974e+01 -15.2269 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 3.0640e+02 3.1442e+01 9.7449 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -2.2762e+02 4.5867e+01 -4.9626 8.456e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2016 2.1403e+02 4.5391e+01 4.7153 2.835e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.8490e+02 3.5865e+01 5.1555 3.171e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -1.0120e+02 3.6496e+01 -2.7729 0.0056813 **
fesisUSA.2000 1.9336e+02 2.7192e+01 7.1110 2.508e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2005 2.6772e+02 3.0030e+01 8.9152 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.4467e+02 3.5963e+01 -9.5841 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 9.4476 1 0.002114 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 18.3854 1 1.804e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 36.52185
R-squared 0.99949
Log-lik.(n=936) -4638.27098 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:48:04 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.1697e-01 5.0194e-03 182.6846 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -4.9311e-14 4.2040e-14 -1.1729 0.2411600
pop 2.8549e-06 1.8183e-07 15.7010 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 4.4903e+01 1.0065e+01 4.4613 9.295e-06 ***
idBEL 2.5173e+01 9.9304e+00 2.5349 0.0114341 *
idCAN -8.2246e-01 9.9509e+00 -0.0827 0.9341485
idCHE 4.0769e+01 1.0083e+01 4.0432 5.774e-05 ***
idCHL 2.0416e+00 1.1346e+01 0.1799 0.8572427
idCHN -3.4929e+03 2.3199e+02 -15.0559 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCOL -5.1986e+01 2.7204e+01 -1.9110 0.0563548 .
idCRI 2.9748e+01 1.0226e+01 2.9091 0.0037231 **
idCZE 1.5144e+01 9.9269e+00 1.5255 0.1275224
idDEU 4.8572e+01 1.6779e+01 2.8949 0.0038949 **
idDNK 5.7486e+01 1.0214e+01 5.6283 2.505e-08 ***
idESP -6.5399e+01 1.0635e+01 -6.1492 1.220e-09 ***
idEST 3.7643e+01 1.0308e+01 3.6520 0.0002769 ***
idFIN 4.1255e+01 1.0159e+01 4.0609 5.361e-05 ***
idFRA -2.3191e+01 1.1883e+01 -1.9516 0.0513316 .
idGRC 1.1402e+01 9.9082e+00 1.1508 0.2501570
idHUN 1.6058e+01 1.0039e+01 1.5995 0.1100961
idIRL 3.3462e+01 1.0162e+01 3.2929 0.0010343 **
idISL 4.0622e+01 1.0371e+01 3.9170 9.719e-05 ***
idISR 3.5929e+01 1.0068e+01 3.5686 0.0003799 ***
idITA -8.3637e+01 1.1703e+01 -7.1468 1.977e-12 ***
idJPN 1.9623e+02 3.1834e+01 6.1640 1.116e-09 ***
idKOR 2.6091e+02 5.3443e+01 4.8820 1.264e-06 ***
idLTU 3.2195e+01 1.0208e+01 3.1540 0.0016699 **
idLUX 4.0888e+01 1.0359e+01 3.9471 8.595e-05 ***
idLVA 3.5165e+01 1.0262e+01 3.4269 0.0006413 ***
idMEX -2.6647e+02 1.8974e+01 -14.0445 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 2.9157e+01 9.8429e+00 2.9623 0.0031428 **
idNOR 3.6265e+01 1.0156e+01 3.5708 0.0003768 ***
idNZL 3.1993e+01 1.0166e+01 3.1472 0.0017086 **
idPOL -6.2460e+01 1.0366e+01 -6.0253 2.557e-09 ***
idPRT 1.3616e+01 9.9224e+00 1.3722 0.1703692
idSVK 2.6804e+01 1.0105e+01 2.6525 0.0081448 **
idSVN 3.6406e+01 1.0272e+01 3.5443 0.0004162 ***
idSWE 4.2332e+01 1.0036e+01 4.2178 2.744e-05 ***
idTUR -1.5696e+02 1.3623e+01 -11.5217 < 2.2e-16 ***
idTWN 4.2332e+01 9.8597e+00 4.2934 1.972e-05 ***
idUSA -3.8969e+02 4.6870e+01 -8.3143 3.863e-16 ***
time1996 -4.5698e+01 9.2951e+00 -4.9164 1.067e-06 ***
time1997 -4.5658e+01 9.3132e+00 -4.9025 1.143e-06 ***
time1998 -4.3284e+01 9.3327e+00 -4.6379 4.101e-06 ***
time1999 -3.9674e+01 9.3851e+00 -4.2274 2.632e-05 ***
time2000 -4.0108e+01 9.4128e+00 -4.2610 2.274e-05 ***
time2001 -4.3761e+01 9.3640e+00 -4.6733 3.468e-06 ***
time2002 -4.9665e+01 9.4397e+00 -5.2613 1.831e-07 ***
time2003 -4.4164e+01 9.4589e+00 -4.6690 3.540e-06 ***
time2004 -4.1614e+01 9.4496e+00 -4.4037 1.206e-05 ***
time2005 -4.1816e+01 9.4798e+00 -4.4110 1.167e-05 ***
time2006 -3.8061e+01 9.4779e+00 -4.0158 6.474e-05 ***
time2007 -2.4254e+01 9.4863e+00 -2.5568 0.0107452 *
time2008 -2.4641e+01 9.5289e+00 -2.5859 0.0098845 **
time2009 -2.4252e+01 9.6162e+00 -2.5220 0.0118593 *
time2010 -1.7381e+01 9.5852e+00 -1.8133 0.0701575 .
time2011 -3.2910e+01 9.5653e+00 -3.4406 0.0006100 ***
time2012 -3.8171e+01 9.5925e+00 -3.9792 7.531e-05 ***
time2013 -6.4978e+01 9.6802e+00 -6.7125 3.589e-11 ***
time2014 -5.0219e+01 9.6475e+00 -5.2054 2.454e-07 ***
time2015 -4.7767e+01 9.6819e+00 -4.9336 9.792e-07 ***
time2016 -4.8541e+01 9.5983e+00 -5.0573 5.259e-07 ***
time2017 -4.0274e+01 9.6816e+00 -4.1599 3.523e-05 ***
time2018 -4.1935e+01 9.6126e+00 -4.3625 1.451e-05 ***
time2019 -5.6101e+01 9.6722e+00 -5.8002 9.484e-09 ***
iis165 8.5436e+02 3.7457e+01 22.8090 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 6.6889e+02 3.8489e+01 17.3787 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.9985e+02 3.9565e+01 12.6335 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 3.5992e+02 4.0603e+01 8.8643 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis254 8.8038e+01 3.8365e+01 2.2948 0.0220006 *
iis258 -2.9918e+02 3.9646e+01 -7.5463 1.201e-13 ***
iis262 1.3238e+02 4.2043e+01 3.1488 0.0016995 **
iis264 -6.1638e+02 4.2102e+01 -14.6403 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis532 4.4125e+02 3.8340e+01 11.5088 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis533 5.6820e+02 3.8533e+01 14.7459 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis535 -1.6724e+02 3.9194e+01 -4.2671 2.214e-05 ***
iis541 -4.1027e+02 4.9640e+01 -8.2649 5.664e-16 ***
iis542 5.9924e+02 5.0117e+01 11.9570 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 1.8653e+03 4.9376e+01 37.7783 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 1.0016e+03 4.8504e+01 20.6497 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -1.2797e+02 4.8708e+01 -2.6272 0.0087715 **
iis546 -3.7377e+02 4.8604e+01 -7.6900 4.249e-14 ***
iis548 -1.9092e+02 4.8512e+01 -3.9354 9.014e-05 ***
iis550 2.2066e+02 4.2043e+01 5.2486 1.958e-07 ***
iis552 -1.4953e+03 4.2058e+01 -35.5528 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis553 -1.8987e+02 4.2805e+01 -4.4357 1.044e-05 ***
iis554 -2.6884e+02 4.1902e+01 -6.4160 2.374e-10 ***
iis555 -2.4503e+02 4.2646e+01 -5.7456 1.294e-08 ***
iis556 -2.3866e+02 4.1111e+01 -5.8052 9.213e-09 ***
iis557 -2.5917e+02 3.9942e+01 -6.4886 1.504e-10 ***
iis558 -1.6740e+02 3.9414e+01 -4.2473 2.414e-05 ***
iis559 -1.7459e+02 3.8601e+01 -4.5230 7.004e-06 ***
iis561 2.2412e+02 3.7874e+01 5.9176 4.813e-09 ***
iis566 5.1636e+02 4.1619e+01 12.4069 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis567 3.7265e+02 4.0202e+01 9.2695 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis570 2.2876e+02 3.9644e+01 5.7704 1.124e-08 ***
iis572 -4.1004e+02 4.2627e+01 -9.6191 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis573 4.2680e+02 4.2356e+01 10.0765 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis574 -3.4100e+02 4.2168e+01 -8.0868 2.218e-15 ***
iis920 -3.5905e+02 3.7386e+01 -9.6040 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis922 1.9793e+02 3.7298e+01 5.3067 1.441e-07 ***
iis923 3.6662e+02 3.7105e+01 9.8806 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis924 6.5197e+02 3.7046e+01 17.5990 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis925 3.1264e+02 3.7376e+01 8.3647 2.609e-16 ***
iis926 3.4546e+02 3.7743e+01 9.1531 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis927 4.8058e+02 3.8187e+01 12.5849 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis928 2.8948e+02 3.8921e+01 7.4377 2.604e-13 ***
iis929 8.4636e+02 3.9415e+01 21.4731 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis930 5.8770e+02 4.1076e+01 14.3076 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis931 -8.3110e+02 4.2212e+01 -19.6889 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis934 -4.3683e+02 4.0172e+01 -10.8740 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis935 -4.3936e+02 3.9373e+01 -11.1590 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis936 -7.8136e+02 3.8825e+01 -20.1251 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2005 2.0292e+02 2.6924e+01 7.5366 1.287e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.3168e+02 3.0318e+01 4.3434 1.581e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.9359e+02 2.6271e+01 -14.9821 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2016 2.9042e+02 3.1344e+01 9.2653 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2003 2.5451e+02 2.5611e+01 9.9377 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.9776e+02 4.0235e+01 -4.9150 1.074e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2016 2.1000e+02 4.2046e+01 4.9946 7.218e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.3910e+02 3.1227e+01 7.6567 5.413e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -1.0434e+02 3.3756e+01 -3.0909 0.0020634 **
fesisUSA.2000 1.9718e+02 2.5415e+01 7.7581 2.582e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 10.123 1 0.001464 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 28.497 1 9.383e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 33.83628
R-squared 0.99957
Log-lik.(n=936) -4562.78203 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:54:28 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.361690 0.023890 15.1398 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.987192 0.090976 10.8512 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.295233 0.186558 -1.5825 0.1139094
idAUT 1.346119 0.214334 6.2805 5.437e-10 ***
idBEL 0.875239 0.172690 5.0683 4.950e-07 ***
idCAN 0.515053 0.107349 4.7979 1.900e-06 ***
idCHE 0.654477 0.204098 3.2067 0.0013941 **
idCHL -6.272501 0.453869 -13.8201 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN -1.410265 0.768377 -1.8354 0.0668062 .
idCOL -8.444856 0.587611 -14.3715 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCRI -5.966098 0.464104 -12.8551 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCZE -2.435070 0.202044 -12.0522 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 1.487256 0.263708 5.6398 2.334e-08 ***
idDNK -0.877041 0.271900 -3.2256 0.0013062 **
idESP 0.424668 0.160808 2.6408 0.0084253 **
idEST 1.193160 0.587715 2.0302 0.0426575 *
idFIN 1.348278 0.293837 4.5885 5.153e-06 ***
idFRA 1.004302 0.216354 4.6419 4.010e-06 ***
idGRC 0.809711 0.301646 2.6843 0.0074127 **
idHUN -4.658645 0.360521 -12.9220 < 2.2e-16 ***
idIRL 0.380720 0.325472 1.1697 0.2424383
idISL -4.051084 0.812661 -4.9850 7.544e-07 ***
idISR -0.095239 0.208434 -0.4569 0.6478442
idITA 0.540199 0.200096 2.6997 0.0070813 **
idJPN -3.005776 0.557764 -5.3890 9.235e-08 ***
idKOR -4.981305 0.591139 -8.4266 < 2.2e-16 ***
idLTU 0.672504 0.447621 1.5024 0.1333746
idLUX 0.628541 0.729793 0.8613 0.3893440
idLVA 1.549157 0.510898 3.0322 0.0025030 **
idMEX -3.149459 0.354322 -8.8887 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.026853 0.108816 9.4366 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR -1.714963 0.305715 -5.6097 2.761e-08 ***
idNZL 0.403658 0.327196 1.2337 0.2176675
idPOL -0.839632 0.133876 -6.2717 5.737e-10 ***
idPRT 0.328230 0.215601 1.5224 0.1282902
idSVK 0.783358 0.345209 2.2692 0.0235101 *
idSVN 1.084151 0.499551 2.1703 0.0302703 *
idSWE -0.997007 0.197461 -5.0491 5.456e-07 ***
idTUR -1.068428 0.266092 -4.0153 6.475e-05 ***
idTWN 0.209245 0.116163 1.8013 0.0720174 .
idUSA 0.552649 0.505028 1.0943 0.2741431
time1996 -19.658036 3.618945 -5.4320 7.323e-08 ***
time1997 -19.686877 3.621337 -5.4364 7.152e-08 ***
time1998 -19.558805 3.623699 -5.3975 8.823e-08 ***
time1999 -19.646224 3.625332 -5.4192 7.849e-08 ***
time2000 -19.556241 3.628211 -5.3901 9.182e-08 ***
time2001 -19.519145 3.629436 -5.3780 9.796e-08 ***
time2002 -19.586811 3.631231 -5.3940 8.990e-08 ***
time2003 -19.528400 3.633266 -5.3749 9.961e-08 ***
time2004 -19.448005 3.635104 -5.3501 1.138e-07 ***
time2005 -19.391613 3.636978 -5.3318 1.254e-07 ***
time2006 -19.327951 3.639973 -5.3099 1.409e-07 ***
time2007 -19.237223 3.642972 -5.2806 1.645e-07 ***
time2008 -19.231890 3.642705 -5.2796 1.654e-07 ***
time2009 -19.141857 3.641851 -5.2561 1.872e-07 ***
time2010 -19.062363 3.643337 -5.2321 2.123e-07 ***
time2011 -19.094018 3.644792 -5.2387 2.051e-07 ***
time2012 -19.158873 3.646354 -5.2543 1.890e-07 ***
time2013 -19.221100 3.647824 -5.2692 1.747e-07 ***
time2014 -19.162727 3.650402 -5.2495 1.938e-07 ***
time2015 -19.211352 3.652123 -5.2603 1.831e-07 ***
time2016 -19.233328 3.654049 -5.2636 1.800e-07 ***
time2017 -19.241222 3.656567 -5.2621 1.814e-07 ***
time2018 -19.317388 3.658677 -5.2799 1.651e-07 ***
time2019 -19.314162 3.660761 -5.2760 1.686e-07 ***
iis122 -0.783888 0.240162 -3.2640 0.0011434 **
iis174 -1.095987 0.241820 -4.5322 6.692e-06 ***
iis194 1.106552 0.247562 4.4698 8.915e-06 ***
iis196 0.746297 0.247180 3.0193 0.0026115 **
iis202 0.959602 0.247057 3.8841 0.0001109 ***
iis322 -0.825887 0.240076 -3.4401 0.0006105 ***
iis323 -1.345008 0.240269 -5.5979 2.947e-08 ***
iis385 -1.473087 0.333068 -4.4228 1.104e-05 ***
iis394 0.777821 0.244647 3.1794 0.0015307 **
iis410 0.845650 0.240590 3.5149 0.0004637 ***
iis412 -0.943759 0.240100 -3.9307 9.175e-05 ***
iis469 -0.968595 0.239726 -4.0404 5.830e-05 ***
iis474 -1.228359 0.239541 -5.1280 3.646e-07 ***
iis587 -0.990933 0.239740 -4.1334 3.938e-05 ***
iis589 0.935867 0.240327 3.8941 0.0001065 ***
iis603 1.138477 0.245968 4.6286 4.271e-06 ***
iis632 1.351832 0.249052 5.4279 7.486e-08 ***
iis638 1.325841 0.248463 5.3362 1.225e-07 ***
iis653 -1.002750 0.239747 -4.1825 3.189e-05 ***
iis747 -1.176495 0.239948 -4.9031 1.134e-06 ***
iis770 -1.161843 0.240212 -4.8367 1.573e-06 ***
iis818 -0.830682 0.240180 -3.4586 0.0005706 ***
iis828 -0.867924 0.239434 -3.6249 0.0003067 ***
iis868 -0.778791 0.271020 -2.8736 0.0041622 **
fesisCHN.2004 0.485915 0.123959 3.9200 9.585e-05 ***
fesisCOL.1999 1.048511 0.214238 4.8941 1.186e-06 ***
fesisCOL.2001 -0.604096 0.175663 -3.4389 0.0006130 ***
fesisCRI.2008 -0.816024 0.120369 -6.7794 2.288e-11 ***
fesisCRI.2016 0.660311 0.143695 4.5952 4.994e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.478557 0.098359 4.8654 1.366e-06 ***
fesisGRC.1998 -0.889297 0.250955 -3.5436 0.0004166 ***
fesisGRC.2005 0.343561 0.111217 3.0891 0.0020745 **
fesisLUX.2007 -0.362159 0.103156 -3.5108 0.0004708 ***
fesisLVA.2002 -1.092194 0.132501 -8.2429 6.527e-16 ***
fesisLVA.2012 0.760796 0.186660 4.0758 5.025e-05 ***
fesisLVA.2014 -1.244898 0.213860 -5.8211 8.348e-09 ***
fesisLVA.2017 0.900111 0.191619 4.6974 3.082e-06 ***
fesisNZL.2015 -0.528101 0.119764 -4.4095 1.172e-05 ***
fesisTUR.2000 0.625343 0.149373 4.1865 3.136e-05 ***
fesisTWN.2002 0.934932 0.119041 7.8539 1.244e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.6182 1 0.2033
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 62.1679 1 3.109e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.23107
R-squared 0.99061
Log-lik.(n=936) 95.66173 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:59:17 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.318058 0.021410 14.8556 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.004098 0.081998 12.2454 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.473458 0.170912 -2.7702 0.0057341 **
idAUT 0.975893 0.190653 5.1187 3.867e-07 ***
idBEL 0.520660 0.154781 3.3639 0.0008057 ***
idCAN 0.392317 0.113555 3.4549 0.0005799 ***
idCHE 0.257307 0.181487 1.4178 0.1566514
idCHL -6.714731 0.411622 -16.3128 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN -1.092853 0.719261 -1.5194 0.1290590
idCOL -8.844266 0.532432 -16.6111 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCRI -6.522857 0.454958 -14.3373 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCZE -2.901985 0.182674 -15.8861 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 1.598268 0.254148 6.2887 5.294e-10 ***
idDNK -1.384723 0.241687 -5.7294 1.433e-08 ***
idESP 0.019741 0.163523 0.1207 0.9039417
idEST 0.579737 0.537885 1.0778 0.2814479
idFIN 0.884716 0.262758 3.3670 0.0007965 ***
idFRA 1.026152 0.211405 4.8540 1.459e-06 ***
idGRC -0.448039 0.189714 -2.3617 0.0184351 *
idHUN -5.312562 0.334872 -15.8645 < 2.2e-16 ***
idIRL -0.188559 0.292711 -0.6442 0.5196448
idISL -5.150069 0.748616 -6.8795 1.223e-11 ***
idISR -0.532945 0.185816 -2.8681 0.0042391 **
idITA 0.508060 0.197262 2.5756 0.0101883 *
idJPN -2.867661 0.522904 -5.4841 5.596e-08 ***
idKOR -5.459067 0.540046 -10.1085 < 2.2e-16 ***
idLTU -0.042644 0.406601 -0.1049 0.9164976
idLUX -0.358222 0.662511 -0.5407 0.5888637
idLVA 0.622155 0.466027 1.3350 0.1822551
idMEX -3.848361 0.354651 -10.8511 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.777760 0.100593 7.7317 3.229e-14 ***
idNOR -2.272182 0.273213 -8.3165 3.950e-16 ***
idNZL -0.165163 0.294002 -0.5618 0.5744293
idPOL -1.053203 0.139864 -7.5302 1.385e-13 ***
idPRT -0.351897 0.193840 -1.8154 0.0698422 .
idSVK 0.676300 0.338074 2.0005 0.0457935 *
idSVN 0.353659 0.452521 0.7815 0.4347244
idSWE -1.385643 0.177663 -7.7993 1.968e-14 ***
idTUR -1.254862 0.251315 -4.9932 7.312e-07 ***
idTWN -0.072671 0.109818 -0.6617 0.5083315
idUSA 0.892778 0.477664 1.8690 0.0619858 .
time1996 -16.712203 3.321158 -5.0320 6.012e-07 ***
time1997 -16.718113 3.323842 -5.0298 6.082e-07 ***
time1998 -16.592274 3.325179 -4.9899 7.434e-07 ***
time1999 -16.599941 3.327323 -4.9890 7.468e-07 ***
time2000 -16.605472 3.329296 -4.9877 7.517e-07 ***
time2001 -16.509916 3.330736 -4.9568 8.771e-07 ***
time2002 -16.629352 3.331668 -4.9913 7.382e-07 ***
time2003 -16.537725 3.333716 -4.9607 8.602e-07 ***
time2004 -16.489536 3.336007 -4.9429 9.402e-07 ***
time2005 -16.405421 3.337931 -4.9148 1.081e-06 ***
time2006 -16.340801 3.340801 -4.8913 1.214e-06 ***
time2007 -16.275389 3.343415 -4.8679 1.362e-06 ***
time2008 -16.225634 3.343123 -4.8534 1.462e-06 ***
time2009 -16.145101 3.342615 -4.8301 1.639e-06 ***
time2010 -16.052994 3.343822 -4.8008 1.890e-06 ***
time2011 -16.067868 3.345420 -4.8029 1.871e-06 ***
time2012 -16.126578 3.346941 -4.8183 1.736e-06 ***
time2013 -16.203247 3.347542 -4.8403 1.559e-06 ***
time2014 -16.182900 3.349485 -4.8315 1.628e-06 ***
time2015 -16.202271 3.351272 -4.8347 1.603e-06 ***
time2016 -16.230038 3.352424 -4.8413 1.552e-06 ***
time2017 -16.251721 3.354640 -4.8445 1.527e-06 ***
time2018 -16.289345 3.356675 -4.8528 1.467e-06 ***
time2019 -16.322451 3.358490 -4.8601 1.416e-06 ***
iis122 -0.846561 0.193687 -4.3708 1.404e-05 ***
iis124 -0.878887 0.193385 -4.5447 6.361e-06 ***
iis174 -1.141842 0.200844 -5.6852 1.839e-08 ***
iis194 1.332810 0.211258 6.3089 4.677e-10 ***
iis196 0.900729 0.211070 4.2674 2.217e-05 ***
iis199 0.778972 0.210819 3.6950 0.0002351 ***
iis202 0.601541 0.230884 2.6054 0.0093498 **
iis203 -0.735015 0.232008 -3.1681 0.0015936 **
iis210 -0.957618 0.206278 -4.6424 4.032e-06 ***
iis212 -1.120097 0.206348 -5.4282 7.579e-08 ***
iis317 1.088500 0.210839 5.1627 3.083e-07 ***
iis322 -1.151826 0.207137 -5.5607 3.678e-08 ***
iis323 -1.714509 0.206516 -8.3021 4.418e-16 ***
iis385 -0.604394 0.204851 -2.9504 0.0032674 **
iis386 0.791238 0.204018 3.8783 0.0001140 ***
iis393 -0.893426 0.197068 -4.5336 6.697e-06 ***
iis394 0.686052 0.197688 3.4704 0.0005479 ***
iis397 -0.743283 0.196629 -3.7801 0.0001686 ***
iis410 0.973435 0.231451 4.2058 2.900e-05 ***
iis412 -0.880007 0.231349 -3.8038 0.0001535 ***
iis416 -0.626524 0.195052 -3.2121 0.0013711 **
iis459 0.535092 0.217603 2.4590 0.0141445 *
iis460 -0.810307 0.218247 -3.7128 0.0002194 ***
iis469 -0.902875 0.197978 -4.5605 5.914e-06 ***
iis474 -1.184138 0.197471 -5.9965 3.066e-09 ***
iis581 0.646220 0.195533 3.3049 0.0009929 ***
iis587 -0.937641 0.193080 -4.8562 1.442e-06 ***
iis589 0.940362 0.193585 4.8576 1.433e-06 ***
iis603 1.112243 0.197933 5.6193 2.658e-08 ***
iis625 0.650446 0.210911 3.0840 0.0021136 **
iis630 0.520910 0.210845 2.4706 0.0136994 *
iis632 1.240347 0.202222 6.1336 1.357e-09 ***
iis634 -0.557634 0.201521 -2.7671 0.0057876 **
iis638 1.247739 0.201340 6.1972 9.250e-10 ***
iis643 -0.800435 0.211641 -3.7820 0.0001673 ***
iis644 -1.295899 0.210597 -6.1534 1.204e-09 ***
iis645 -1.480970 0.210593 -7.0324 4.399e-12 ***
iis647 -0.883677 0.210804 -4.1919 3.078e-05 ***
iis653 -1.046890 0.193475 -5.4110 8.316e-08 ***
iis743 -0.508959 0.210473 -2.4182 0.0158242 *
iis747 -1.193014 0.193317 -6.1713 1.082e-09 ***
iis770 -0.945786 0.200160 -4.7252 2.721e-06 ***
iis788 0.465631 0.195299 2.3842 0.0173516 *
iis800 0.729229 0.193499 3.7686 0.0001763 ***
iis818 -0.835041 0.193321 -4.3195 1.763e-05 ***
iis828 -0.830856 0.192531 -4.3154 1.795e-05 ***
iis868 -1.482795 0.196952 -7.5287 1.400e-13 ***
iis872 -0.581213 0.196353 -2.9600 0.0031679 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.374459 0.082648 -4.5308 6.784e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.570781 0.108309 5.2699 1.762e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.417652 0.115956 3.6018 0.0003358 ***
fesisCOL.1999 1.022063 0.172519 5.9243 4.678e-09 ***
fesisCOL.2001 -0.532060 0.149529 -3.5583 0.0003956 ***
fesisCOL.2010 -0.358522 0.128164 -2.7974 0.0052773 **
fesisCOL.2013 0.498356 0.130199 3.8276 0.0001396 ***
fesisCRI.1997 -0.453491 0.211082 -2.1484 0.0319841 *
fesisCRI.2004 0.616925 0.164300 3.7549 0.0001862 ***
fesisCRI.2008 -1.203290 0.158729 -7.5808 9.640e-14 ***
fesisCRI.2013 0.695775 0.119633 5.8159 8.755e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.527159 0.079628 6.6202 6.620e-11 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.439336 0.083523 5.2601 1.856e-07 ***
fesisEST.1999 -0.729998 0.144632 -5.0473 5.566e-07 ***
fesisEST.2004 0.870699 0.127667 6.8201 1.809e-11 ***
fesisEST.2011 -0.446272 0.105908 -4.2138 2.801e-05 ***
fesisGRC.2004 0.346630 0.096037 3.6093 0.0003263 ***
fesisHUN.2000 0.518990 0.173375 2.9935 0.0028444 **
fesisHUN.2003 -0.392688 0.119698 -3.2807 0.0010810 **
fesisISL.2001 -0.846954 0.217690 -3.8906 0.0001084 ***
fesisISL.2002 0.960394 0.203563 4.7179 2.817e-06 ***
fesisISL.2008 -0.236502 0.098393 -2.4036 0.0164618 *
fesisKOR.2003 0.518520 0.088910 5.8320 7.984e-09 ***
fesisLUX.2007 -0.338875 0.084211 -4.0241 6.269e-05 ***
fesisLVA.2002 -0.833538 0.123825 -6.7316 3.226e-11 ***
fesisLVA.2012 0.606567 0.122188 4.9642 8.454e-07 ***
fesisMEX.1998 0.675172 0.141948 4.7565 2.342e-06 ***
fesisNZL.2015 -0.412432 0.105532 -3.9081 0.0001010 ***
fesisPRT.2005 0.340724 0.086506 3.9387 8.915e-05 ***
fesisSVK.1998 -0.529066 0.140903 -3.7548 0.0001862 ***
fesisTUR.1999 0.654795 0.124461 5.2611 1.846e-07 ***
fesisTUR.2013 0.271306 0.094631 2.8670 0.0042542 **
fesisTWN.2002 1.049830 0.097816 10.7328 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.090765 1 0.7632
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 20.733860 1 5.277e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.18573
R-squared 0.99423
Log-lik.(n=936) 320.57315 top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:38:09 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4402e-01 9.0526e-03 104.2807 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.0045e-13 1.3446e-13 -2.2345 0.0258757 *
pop 1.9659e-07 1.1923e-07 1.6489 0.0997818 .
idAUT 9.2670e+00 1.9399e+01 0.4777 0.6330589
idBEL -1.5811e+00 1.9387e+01 -0.0816 0.9350344
idBRA -4.2170e+01 2.7903e+01 -1.5113 0.1313144
idCAN 2.4270e+01 1.9520e+01 1.2434 0.2142924
idCHE 3.9639e+00 1.9404e+01 0.2043 0.8382173
idCHN -1.9121e+02 1.5112e+02 -1.2653 0.2063260
idDEU 2.5009e+02 3.0483e+01 8.2042 1.842e-15 ***
idDNK 1.4380e+01 1.9434e+01 0.7400 0.4596529
idESP -4.2392e+00 1.9532e+01 -0.2170 0.8282637
idFIN -2.9649e-01 1.9436e+01 -0.0153 0.9878344
idFRA 7.0817e+01 2.1039e+01 3.3659 0.0008193 ***
idGBR 4.1807e+01 2.0429e+01 2.0464 0.0412163 *
idIND -1.9312e+02 1.3856e+02 -1.3938 0.1639824
idISR -2.0905e-01 1.9415e+01 -0.0108 0.9914131
idITA 1.1416e+01 1.9900e+01 0.5737 0.5664519
idJPN 5.1849e+02 7.4534e+01 6.9564 1.055e-11 ***
idKOR 3.2796e+02 1.1693e+02 2.8047 0.0052255 **
idNLD 1.3179e+01 1.9368e+01 0.6804 0.4965321
idNOR -4.2452e+00 1.9479e+01 -0.2179 0.8275607
idRUS -1.1121e+01 2.4549e+01 -0.4530 0.6507194
idSGP -6.4416e+00 1.9475e+01 -0.3308 0.7409518
idSWE 9.7711e+00 1.9401e+01 0.5036 0.6147317
idTWN 3.8355e+01 1.9520e+01 1.9649 0.0499588 *
idUSA 3.2532e+02 4.7210e+01 6.8909 1.612e-11 ***
time1996 -1.0506e+01 1.9127e+01 -0.5493 0.5830693
time1997 -1.3473e+01 1.9102e+01 -0.7053 0.4809261
time1998 -4.9759e+00 1.9112e+01 -0.2604 0.7946902
time1999 3.8197e+00 1.9246e+01 0.1985 0.8427585
time2000 1.3300e+01 1.9245e+01 0.6911 0.4898242
time2001 6.2724e+00 1.9082e+01 0.3287 0.7425127
time2002 -7.7140e+00 1.9103e+01 -0.4038 0.6865179
time2003 -1.0733e+01 1.9357e+01 -0.5545 0.5795093
time2004 2.9823e+01 1.9189e+01 1.5541 0.1207596
time2005 2.1698e+01 1.9173e+01 1.1317 0.2582865
time2006 3.9547e+01 1.9204e+01 2.0593 0.0399672 *
time2007 5.8635e+01 1.9464e+01 3.0125 0.0027178 **
time2008 3.0360e+01 1.9319e+01 1.5715 0.1166771
time2009 5.7072e+01 1.9620e+01 2.9088 0.0037834 **
time2010 6.3151e+01 1.9770e+01 3.1943 0.0014867 **
time2011 2.9744e+01 1.9891e+01 1.4954 0.1354151
time2012 -5.5563e+00 1.9957e+01 -0.2784 0.7808060
time2013 -2.2741e+01 2.0194e+01 -1.1261 0.2606332
time2014 -1.3325e+01 1.9850e+01 -0.6713 0.5023334
time2015 -1.0729e+01 1.9889e+01 -0.5394 0.5898175
time2016 1.4199e+01 1.9840e+01 0.7157 0.4745066
time2017 2.7943e+01 2.0167e+01 1.3856 0.1664773
time2018 1.5163e+01 2.0033e+01 0.7569 0.4494649
time2019 -4.2608e+01 2.0224e+01 -2.1068 0.0356184 *
iis165 8.7494e+02 7.3253e+01 11.9441 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 6.7907e+02 7.5175e+01 9.0333 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 5.1781e+02 7.7200e+01 6.7073 5.193e-11 ***
iis168 4.1987e+02 7.9158e+01 5.3042 1.678e-07 ***
iis186 -4.9400e+02 7.0766e+01 -6.9808 9.009e-12 ***
iis388 4.4298e+02 7.2652e+01 6.0973 2.107e-09 ***
iis389 5.4576e+02 7.1965e+01 7.5836 1.562e-13 ***
iis392 3.4877e+02 7.1720e+01 4.8629 1.535e-06 ***
iis398 7.2681e+02 8.2408e+01 8.8197 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 1.9803e+03 8.1123e+01 24.4116 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 1.0825e+03 7.9015e+01 13.7004 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -2.8295e+02 7.9143e+01 -3.5752 0.0003826 ***
iis408 -1.5275e+03 7.9131e+01 -19.3033 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -5.6584e+02 7.3268e+01 -7.7229 5.900e-14 ***
iis430 -5.0421e+02 7.4768e+01 -6.7437 4.127e-11 ***
iis588 3.2084e+02 7.4206e+01 4.3236 1.841e-05 ***
iis593 8.7062e+02 8.3942e+01 10.3717 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 5.8448e+02 8.3955e+01 6.9618 1.019e-11 ***
iis595 -8.3691e+02 8.4174e+01 -9.9426 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 -4.3048e+02 8.3878e+01 -5.1322 4.055e-07 ***
iis599 -4.0598e+02 8.3909e+01 -4.8384 1.729e-06 ***
iis600 -6.9004e+02 8.4194e+01 -8.1959 1.958e-15 ***
fesisCHN.2008 2.5303e+02 3.3536e+01 7.5448 2.044e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -1.6932e+02 5.5763e+01 -3.0363 0.0025152 **
fesisJPN.2016 3.8196e+02 5.6161e+01 6.8011 2.866e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.9984e+02 5.8570e+01 5.1193 4.327e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2009 6.4805e+02 6.1497e+01 10.5380 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -3.3314e+02 6.5705e+01 -5.0702 5.538e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2005 4.0535e+02 4.4682e+01 9.0720 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.4765e+02 5.9921e+01 -5.8018 1.142e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.6435 1 0.104
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 31.4276 1 2.07e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 66.9905
R-squared 0.9988
Log-lik.(n=600) -3333.5934 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:38:10 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2256e-01 8.6311e-03 106.8880 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.6035e-13 1.3633e-13 -1.1762 0.2400737
pop 1.6959e-07 9.2716e-08 1.8291 0.0679768 .
idAUT 9.6429e+00 1.4584e+01 0.6612 0.5087921
idBEL -3.0856e+00 1.4577e+01 -0.2117 0.8324395
idBRA -4.0826e+01 2.1351e+01 -1.9121 0.0564307 .
idCAN 2.9774e+01 1.4729e+01 2.0215 0.0437598 *
idCHE 3.9505e+00 1.4588e+01 0.2708 0.7866547
idCHN -1.5790e+02 1.1698e+02 -1.3498 0.1776805
idDEU 2.2039e+02 2.4100e+01 9.1447 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.4745e+01 1.4615e+01 1.0089 0.3135167
idESP -3.9985e+00 1.4694e+01 -0.2721 0.7856418
idFIN -1.6658e+00 1.4613e+01 -0.1140 0.9092887
idFRA 8.7044e+01 1.6260e+01 5.3532 1.314e-07 ***
idGBR 5.3076e+01 1.5577e+01 3.4072 0.0007086 ***
idIND -1.7149e+02 1.0634e+02 -1.6127 0.1074397
idISR -1.5669e+00 1.4598e+01 -0.1073 0.9145664
idITA 1.5648e+01 1.5001e+01 1.0431 0.2973868
idJPN 4.2034e+02 7.1913e+01 5.8451 9.089e-09 ***
idKOR 2.1077e+02 1.1694e+02 1.8023 0.0720895 .
idNLD 1.5318e+01 1.4569e+01 1.0514 0.2935651
idNOR -7.3750e+00 1.4663e+01 -0.5030 0.6152062
idRUS -1.9469e+01 1.8854e+01 -1.0326 0.3022892
idSGP -9.5205e+00 1.4655e+01 -0.6496 0.5162274
idSWE 1.0023e+01 1.4592e+01 0.6868 0.4925037
idTWN 4.4700e+01 1.4754e+01 3.0297 0.0025734 **
idUSA 3.7863e+02 3.7673e+01 10.0504 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -4.3646e+00 1.4414e+01 -0.3028 0.7621705
time1997 -6.8752e+00 1.4386e+01 -0.4779 0.6329138
time1998 -5.8236e+00 1.4510e+01 -0.4014 0.6883212
time1999 7.5704e+00 1.4485e+01 0.5226 0.6014559
time2000 1.7340e+01 1.4480e+01 1.1975 0.2316919
time2001 1.6076e+01 1.4376e+01 1.1183 0.2639915
time2002 2.4549e+00 1.4400e+01 0.1705 0.8647042
time2003 -4.7497e+00 1.4615e+01 -0.3250 0.7453304
time2004 2.6894e+01 1.4610e+01 1.8408 0.0662360 .
time2005 1.8973e+01 1.4568e+01 1.3024 0.1933794
time2006 3.8021e+01 1.4471e+01 2.6275 0.0088640 **
time2007 4.1802e+01 1.4779e+01 2.8284 0.0048637 **
time2008 3.2323e+01 1.4602e+01 2.2136 0.0273047 *
time2009 5.1300e+01 1.4905e+01 3.4418 0.0006259 ***
time2010 6.5413e+01 1.5043e+01 4.3484 1.660e-05 ***
time2011 3.1848e+01 1.5108e+01 2.1080 0.0355243 *
time2012 1.7423e+01 1.5271e+01 1.1410 0.2544247
time2013 -1.2657e+01 1.5306e+01 -0.8269 0.4086717
time2014 -1.0025e+01 1.5151e+01 -0.6617 0.5084754
time2015 -1.0436e+01 1.5261e+01 -0.6838 0.4943971
time2016 6.9198e+00 1.5126e+01 0.4575 0.6475317
time2017 3.2743e+01 1.5228e+01 2.1502 0.0320167 *
time2018 2.5990e+01 1.5204e+01 1.7094 0.0879835 .
time2019 -7.1808e+00 1.5459e+01 -0.4645 0.6424830
iis164 2.2146e+02 5.5513e+01 3.9894 7.604e-05 ***
iis165 9.3417e+02 5.5970e+01 16.6906 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 7.4842e+02 5.8235e+01 12.8519 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 5.9808e+02 6.0697e+01 9.8535 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 4.8776e+02 6.3099e+01 7.7301 5.853e-14 ***
iis186 -2.3819e+02 7.2843e+01 -3.2699 0.0011491 **
iis192 -5.3214e+02 5.6648e+01 -9.3938 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis387 2.0859e+02 5.6913e+01 3.6650 0.0002735 ***
iis388 5.4409e+02 5.6379e+01 9.6505 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis389 6.5911e+02 5.5692e+01 11.8349 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis392 4.7631e+02 5.5559e+01 8.5732 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis393 3.6236e+02 5.5832e+01 6.4901 2.052e-10 ***
iis394 3.0944e+02 5.6326e+01 5.4938 6.246e-08 ***
iis396 4.1533e+02 5.6733e+01 7.3208 9.787e-13 ***
iis398 3.1434e+02 6.2412e+01 5.0365 6.609e-07 ***
iis399 1.5717e+03 6.1000e+01 25.7649 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 7.1472e+02 5.9691e+01 11.9738 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -4.1024e+02 6.0599e+01 -6.7697 3.592e-11 ***
iis402 -6.5017e+02 6.0026e+01 -10.8316 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis403 -2.6125e+02 5.9566e+01 -4.3859 1.406e-05 ***
iis404 -4.4789e+02 5.9505e+01 -7.5268 2.405e-13 ***
iis408 -1.5544e+03 5.9572e+01 -26.0929 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 4.2218e+02 6.4709e+01 6.5242 1.664e-10 ***
iis423 2.7694e+02 5.9869e+01 4.6257 4.749e-06 ***
iis428 -8.2679e+02 7.3208e+01 -11.2936 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis430 -3.6595e+02 6.3952e+01 -5.7223 1.803e-08 ***
iis588 3.1963e+02 5.5922e+01 5.7156 1.871e-08 ***
iis593 8.3452e+02 6.3260e+01 13.1920 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 5.8012e+02 6.3170e+01 9.1836 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis595 -8.2319e+02 6.3515e+01 -12.9605 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 -4.3830e+02 6.3073e+01 -6.9491 1.139e-11 ***
iis599 -4.2875e+02 6.3156e+01 -6.7888 3.183e-11 ***
iis600 -7.4558e+02 6.3513e+01 -11.7389 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 2.5023e+02 2.6457e+01 9.4578 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.0548e+02 2.8935e+01 10.5572 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -4.5487e+02 5.6265e+01 -8.0844 4.657e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2014 2.7703e+02 5.6696e+01 4.8861 1.383e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2009 4.0755e+02 4.6626e+01 8.7408 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.8128e+02 5.3489e+01 5.2586 2.147e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.9620e+02 5.8943e+01 5.0251 6.994e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2015 2.8237e+02 6.1657e+01 4.5797 5.872e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -4.1575e+02 6.5246e+01 -6.3721 4.206e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2005 4.7901e+02 3.7315e+01 12.8369 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -2.9178e+02 4.6945e+01 -6.2154 1.073e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.1023 1 0.2937692
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.8402 1 0.0003393 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 50.35477
R-squared 0.99934
Log-lik.(n=600) -3155.31910 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:48:08 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.769612 0.018196 42.2968 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.390235 0.056716 6.8805 1.682e-11 ***
lpop -0.215523 0.168253 -1.2809 0.2007726
idAUT 0.341424 0.152789 2.2346 0.0258579 *
idBEL 0.201930 0.114969 1.7564 0.0795960 .
idBRA -0.296756 0.371767 -0.7982 0.4250928
idCAN 0.135743 0.095699 1.4184 0.1566513
idCHE 0.046312 0.160119 0.2892 0.7725145
idCHN -0.015644 0.672934 -0.0232 0.9814619
idDEU 0.567928 0.236731 2.3990 0.0167812 *
idDNK -0.573704 0.230906 -2.4846 0.0132769 *
idESP 0.160826 0.146727 1.0961 0.2735341
idFIN 0.302528 0.219440 1.3786 0.1685852
idFRA 0.383372 0.197469 1.9414 0.0527336 .
idGBR 0.367163 0.194436 1.8883 0.0595235 .
idIND -0.547010 0.648826 -0.8431 0.3995650
idISR -0.226267 0.172370 -1.3127 0.1898566
idITA 0.209131 0.184676 1.1324 0.2579663
idJPN -1.190650 0.360164 -3.3059 0.0010107 **
idKOR -1.971885 0.352445 -5.5949 3.537e-08 ***
idNLD 0.278759 0.067521 4.1285 4.239e-05 ***
idNOR -0.887766 0.265049 -3.3494 0.0008672 ***
idRUS -1.422813 0.348695 -4.0804 5.186e-05 ***
idSGP -0.330478 0.257418 -1.2838 0.1997645
idSWE -0.580115 0.161840 -3.5845 0.0003688 ***
idTWN 0.339015 0.061943 5.4730 6.826e-08 ***
idUSA 0.317565 0.434712 0.7305 0.4653946
time1996 -6.056385 2.756590 -2.1971 0.0284468 *
time1997 -6.114230 2.757661 -2.2172 0.0270327 *
time1998 -5.996418 2.758066 -2.1741 0.0301348 *
time1999 -6.049879 2.759053 -2.1927 0.0287586 *
time2000 -6.038324 2.759123 -2.1885 0.0290677 *
time2001 -6.025058 2.760218 -2.1828 0.0294856 *
time2002 -6.064921 2.761112 -2.1965 0.0284833 *
time2003 -5.988356 2.762096 -2.1680 0.0305977 *
time2004 -5.967581 2.763035 -2.1598 0.0312348 *
time2005 -5.927692 2.762579 -2.1457 0.0323480 *
time2006 -5.921121 2.763580 -2.1426 0.0326020 *
time2007 -5.884267 2.764544 -2.1285 0.0337565 *
time2008 -5.891605 2.765862 -2.1301 0.0336203 *
time2009 -5.846359 2.765983 -2.1137 0.0350088 *
time2010 -5.832698 2.767127 -2.1079 0.0355108 *
time2011 -5.856135 2.767987 -2.1157 0.0348373 *
time2012 -5.921320 2.768945 -2.1385 0.0329330 *
time2013 -6.006299 2.770248 -2.1681 0.0305903 *
time2014 -5.968390 2.771966 -2.1531 0.0317577 *
time2015 -5.996979 2.773335 -2.1624 0.0310346 *
time2016 -5.931644 2.774834 -2.1377 0.0329997 *
time2017 -5.951830 2.775936 -2.1441 0.0324790 *
time2018 -5.949825 2.777021 -2.1425 0.0326048 *
time2019 -6.050352 2.777975 -2.1780 0.0298466 *
iis83 0.751448 0.126966 5.9185 5.826e-09 ***
iis147 -0.528853 0.130606 -4.0492 5.903e-05 ***
iis204 0.402986 0.128997 3.1240 0.0018813 **
iis481 0.501227 0.129661 3.8657 0.0001245 ***
iis483 0.532419 0.130070 4.0933 4.913e-05 ***
iis485 0.632699 0.128980 4.9054 1.241e-06 ***
iis505 -0.384872 0.144550 -2.6626 0.0079896 **
iis506 -1.114263 0.145445 -7.6611 8.782e-14 ***
iis507 1.734835 0.149032 11.6407 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 0.784720 0.143640 5.4631 7.196e-08 ***
iis517 0.501190 0.128819 3.8906 0.0001127 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.174592 0.056137 -3.1101 0.0019706 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.172107 0.054791 3.1412 0.0017763 **
fesisIND.1998 -0.546548 0.124545 -4.3884 1.378e-05 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.413270 0.094738 4.3623 1.546e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.565600 0.113639 4.9772 8.728e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.365040 0.097649 -3.7383 0.0002053 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.596 1 0.0003866 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 41.246 1 1.342e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12171
R-squared 0.99425
Log-lik.(n=600) 446.29353 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:49:33 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.734401 0.020263 36.2429 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.311427 0.063784 4.8825 1.400e-06 ***
lpop 0.376702 0.183450 2.0534 0.0405350 *
idAUT 0.735229 0.161748 4.5455 6.837e-06 ***
idBEL 0.436595 0.119677 3.6481 0.0002911 ***
idBRA -1.632466 0.406869 -4.0123 6.906e-05 ***
idCAN -0.388175 0.143535 -2.7044 0.0070695 **
idCHE 0.533700 0.169807 3.1430 0.0017687 **
idCHN -2.433095 0.737097 -3.3009 0.0010305 **
idDEU -0.132521 0.251540 -0.5268 0.5985322
idDNK 0.251309 0.249824 1.0059 0.3149145
idESP -0.357298 0.159569 -2.2391 0.0255728 *
idFIN 0.908422 0.233716 3.8869 0.0001148 ***
idFRA -0.233257 0.210773 -1.1067 0.2689513
idGBR -0.254361 0.208184 -1.2218 0.2223388
idIND -2.712545 0.702989 -3.8586 0.0001285 ***
idISR 0.408093 0.196668 2.0750 0.0384793 *
idITA -0.405580 0.198719 -2.0410 0.0417628 *
idJPN -1.710272 0.391510 -4.3684 1.514e-05 ***
idKOR -1.905898 0.393565 -4.8426 1.697e-06 ***
idNLD 0.334587 0.067245 4.9756 8.880e-07 ***
idNOR -0.056683 0.285545 -0.1985 0.8427254
idRUS -2.582851 0.398928 -6.4745 2.222e-10 ***
idSGP 0.373011 0.270888 1.3770 0.1691132
idSWE -0.057786 0.175647 -0.3290 0.7422982
idTWN 0.011430 0.076766 0.1489 0.8816996
idUSA -0.993925 0.464856 -2.1381 0.0329757 *
time1996 -13.601210 2.971473 -4.5773 5.912e-06 ***
time1997 -13.683267 2.971917 -4.6042 5.223e-06 ***
time1998 -13.584581 2.972433 -4.5702 6.107e-06 ***
time1999 -13.600340 2.973331 -4.5741 5.998e-06 ***
time2000 -13.607423 2.973771 -4.5758 5.951e-06 ***
time2001 -13.599818 2.974812 -4.5717 6.066e-06 ***
time2002 -13.638626 2.975661 -4.5834 5.748e-06 ***
time2003 -13.544814 2.976538 -4.5505 6.682e-06 ***
time2004 -13.549867 2.977211 -4.5512 6.662e-06 ***
time2005 -13.510073 2.976201 -4.5394 7.031e-06 ***
time2006 -13.465065 2.977507 -4.5223 7.600e-06 ***
time2007 -13.435558 2.978535 -4.5108 8.007e-06 ***
time2008 -13.442490 2.979798 -4.5112 7.992e-06 ***
time2009 -13.392850 2.978618 -4.4963 8.549e-06 ***
time2010 -13.376183 2.979729 -4.4891 8.834e-06 ***
time2011 -13.397316 2.980521 -4.4950 8.602e-06 ***
time2012 -13.463162 2.981462 -4.5156 7.833e-06 ***
time2013 -13.539470 2.983027 -4.5388 7.048e-06 ***
time2014 -13.518845 2.984845 -4.5292 7.366e-06 ***
time2015 -13.559281 2.986381 -4.5404 6.999e-06 ***
time2016 -13.497861 2.988053 -4.5173 7.775e-06 ***
time2017 -13.517963 2.989199 -4.5223 7.600e-06 ***
time2018 -13.516773 2.990348 -4.5201 7.674e-06 ***
time2019 -13.618130 2.991349 -4.5525 6.622e-06 ***
iis83 0.737677 0.114040 6.4686 2.304e-10 ***
iis98 0.302275 0.114582 2.6381 0.0085903 **
iis147 -0.398100 0.125074 -3.1829 0.0015460 **
iis193 -0.327964 0.119588 -2.7424 0.0063109 **
iis196 -0.246404 0.119409 -2.0635 0.0395634 *
iis204 0.382657 0.116764 3.2772 0.0011192 **
iis317 0.342899 0.117951 2.9071 0.0038049 **
iis344 -0.436742 0.116616 -3.7451 0.0002006 ***
iis345 0.311159 0.116885 2.6621 0.0080085 **
iis354 -0.295719 0.117002 -2.5275 0.0117867 *
iis459 0.455437 0.114430 3.9800 7.880e-05 ***
iis481 0.653684 0.158133 4.1338 4.166e-05 ***
iis483 0.470513 0.118691 3.9642 8.406e-05 ***
iis485 0.586335 0.117257 5.0004 7.857e-07 ***
iis490 0.356391 0.114696 3.1073 0.0019924 **
iis505 -0.404391 0.130312 -3.1033 0.0020192 **
iis506 -1.135558 0.131463 -8.6379 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 1.674381 0.136666 12.2517 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 0.762091 0.129087 5.9037 6.455e-09 ***
iis517 0.501435 0.115789 4.3306 1.788e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.241990 0.052206 -4.6352 4.524e-06 ***
fesisCAN.1997 0.255212 0.114823 2.2226 0.0266729 *
fesisCHN.2001 0.207825 0.073840 2.8145 0.0050721 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.212240 0.067586 3.1403 0.0017848 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.341926 0.119352 2.8649 0.0043424 **
fesisDNK.2006 -0.493956 0.158005 -3.1262 0.0018708 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.289969 0.116627 2.4863 0.0132242 *
fesisIND.1998 -0.526889 0.111981 -4.7052 3.264e-06 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.412191 0.087488 4.7114 3.170e-06 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.170195 0.056328 -3.0215 0.0026404 **
fesisRUS.1998 0.259490 0.118659 2.1869 0.0292025 *
fesisSGP.2003 0.567390 0.102107 5.5568 4.412e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.420868 0.089249 -4.7156 3.107e-06 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.272802 0.067631 4.0337 6.323e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.5945 1 0.1072322
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.8047 1 0.0002028 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.10920
R-squared 0.99552
Log-lik.(n=600) 519.85787 top_50
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:46:28 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4397e-01 5.8312e-03 161.8843 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.6303e-15 2.6199e-15 -0.6223 0.5338832
pop 3.9755e-07 8.8221e-08 4.5063 7.317e-06 ***
idAUS 2.1905e+01 9.8033e+00 2.2344 0.0256597 *
idAUT 3.4149e+01 1.0092e+01 3.3837 0.0007410 ***
idBEL 2.2794e+01 9.9720e+00 2.2858 0.0224594 *
idBGR 1.3027e+01 1.0011e+01 1.3013 0.1934455
idBRA -5.4877e+01 1.6373e+01 -3.3517 0.0008312 ***
idCAN 4.3731e+01 9.9306e+00 4.4036 1.171e-05 ***
idCHE 2.8890e+01 1.0096e+01 2.8616 0.0042965 **
idCHL 1.0569e+01 9.8249e+00 1.0758 0.2822655
idCHN -4.1306e+02 1.0976e+02 -3.7632 0.0001768 ***
idCZE 1.4197e+01 9.9468e+00 1.4273 0.1537880
idDEU 1.9259e+02 1.6040e+01 12.0073 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 3.9356e+01 1.0179e+01 3.8665 0.0001170 ***
idESP 1.3226e+01 9.6384e+00 1.3722 0.1702859
idFIN 2.5222e+01 1.0116e+01 2.4932 0.0128102 *
idFRA 8.4058e+01 1.0994e+01 7.6459 4.586e-14 ***
idGBR 5.5523e+01 1.0430e+01 5.3233 1.240e-07 ***
idGRC 1.2156e+01 9.9330e+00 1.2238 0.2212931
idHKG 1.5166e+01 1.0030e+01 1.5120 0.1308172
idHUN 1.3114e+01 9.9556e+00 1.3173 0.1880293
idIND -4.0077e+02 9.6246e+01 -4.1640 3.377e-05 ***
idIRL 1.7707e+01 1.0102e+01 1.7528 0.0799160 .
idIRN 5.8170e+00 3.1277e+01 0.1860 0.8524949
idISR 2.4690e+01 1.0065e+01 2.4531 0.0143201 *
idITA 2.5785e+01 9.8871e+00 2.6079 0.0092354 **
idJPN 3.4019e+02 2.8999e+01 11.7312 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 8.1312e+01 1.4777e+01 5.5027 4.675e-08 ***
idLUX 1.6296e+01 1.0208e+01 1.5964 0.1106918
idMEX -2.5695e+01 1.1348e+01 -2.2644 0.0237504 *
idMYS 7.0276e+00 9.6613e+00 0.7274 0.4671413
idNLD 3.6336e+01 9.9786e+00 3.6414 0.0002840 ***
idNOR 2.0598e+01 1.0100e+01 2.0394 0.0416566 *
idNZL 1.6009e+01 1.0104e+01 1.5843 0.1134127
idPHL -1.9848e+01 1.0573e+01 -1.8772 0.0607609 .
idPOL 4.7301e+00 9.5955e+00 0.4930 0.6221480
idPRT 1.3118e+01 9.9447e+00 1.3191 0.1874003
idROU 7.9407e+00 9.7401e+00 0.8153 0.4151021
idRUS -3.4416e+01 1.3277e+01 -2.5922 0.0096664 **
idSAU 1.0373e+01 9.6622e+00 1.0736 0.2832635
idSGP 1.9160e+01 1.0097e+01 1.8976 0.0580193 .
idSVK 1.4256e+01 1.0068e+01 1.4159 0.1570954
idSVN 1.5598e+01 1.0163e+01 1.5349 0.1251143
idSWE 3.3459e+01 1.0080e+01 3.3193 0.0009326 ***
idTHA -1.0137e+01 9.8746e+00 -1.0266 0.3048599
idTUR -7.8743e+00 9.9813e+00 -0.7889 0.4303454
idTWN 6.0150e+01 1.0122e+01 5.9422 3.793e-09 ***
idUKR -1.1851e+00 9.6112e+00 -0.1233 0.9018931
idUSA 2.8421e+02 2.8169e+01 10.0892 < 2.2e-16 ***
idVNM -1.3764e+01 1.2206e+01 -1.1277 0.2597170
idZAF -2.4023e+00 9.6392e+00 -0.2492 0.8032330
time1996 -2.2369e+01 8.7675e+00 -2.5514 0.0108669 *
time1997 -2.4000e+01 8.7846e+00 -2.7321 0.0063967 **
time1998 -2.2776e+01 8.8171e+00 -2.5831 0.0099220 **
time1999 -1.6628e+01 8.8393e+00 -1.8812 0.0602138 .
time2000 -1.3083e+01 8.8578e+00 -1.4769 0.1399831
time2001 -1.5587e+01 8.8506e+00 -1.7611 0.0785114 .
time2002 -2.0153e+01 8.8983e+00 -2.2648 0.0237245 *
time2003 -2.4490e+01 8.9306e+00 -2.7423 0.0062023 **
time2004 -9.5825e+00 8.9551e+00 -1.0701 0.2848302
time2005 -1.2129e+01 8.9868e+00 -1.3497 0.1774035
time2006 -6.6081e+00 9.0209e+00 -0.7325 0.4640008
time2007 -3.1290e+00 9.0543e+00 -0.3456 0.7297200
time2008 6.8589e-01 9.0552e+00 0.0757 0.9396357
time2009 4.5212e-01 9.0564e+00 0.0499 0.9601933
time2010 1.9350e+00 9.1203e+00 0.2122 0.8320218
time2011 -9.3875e+00 9.0975e+00 -1.0319 0.3023620
time2012 -1.7302e+01 8.9833e+00 -1.9260 0.0543705 .
time2013 -2.9971e+01 9.0449e+00 -3.3136 0.0009517 ***
time2014 -2.1383e+01 9.0359e+00 -2.3664 0.0181370 *
time2015 -2.3322e+01 9.0861e+00 -2.5668 0.0103980 *
time2016 -2.6550e+01 9.1109e+00 -2.9141 0.0036412 **
time2017 -9.6370e+00 9.1331e+00 -1.0552 0.2915831
time2018 -1.7537e+01 9.1412e+00 -1.9184 0.0553220 .
time2019 -2.8466e+01 9.1999e+00 -3.0942 0.0020244 **
iis231 2.5757e+02 3.6945e+01 6.9718 5.450e-12 ***
iis236 2.1090e+02 3.6979e+01 5.7032 1.518e-08 ***
iis237 9.3405e+02 3.7239e+01 25.0824 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 7.3184e+02 3.8583e+01 18.9678 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 5.6283e+02 4.0194e+01 14.0030 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 4.1558e+02 4.1718e+01 9.9618 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis282 -3.1713e+02 3.8800e+01 -8.1735 8.354e-16 ***
iis288 -6.7451e+02 3.8888e+01 -17.3450 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis603 1.4058e+02 3.8819e+01 3.6214 0.0003067 ***
iis604 4.7610e+02 3.8759e+01 12.2838 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis605 5.8092e+02 3.8923e+01 14.9246 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis608 3.5267e+02 4.7909e+01 7.3612 3.614e-13 ***
iis609 2.4365e+02 4.7621e+01 5.1165 3.685e-07 ***
iis610 1.7642e+02 4.7494e+01 3.7147 0.0002139 ***
iis612 2.8656e+02 4.7474e+01 6.0360 2.171e-09 ***
iis613 -2.3746e+02 4.1139e+01 -5.7723 1.022e-08 ***
iis614 7.8372e+02 4.1897e+01 18.7058 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 2.0359e+03 4.0652e+01 50.0802 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 1.1161e+03 3.8788e+01 28.7733 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis618 -2.8643e+02 3.8820e+01 -7.3784 3.196e-13 ***
iis624 -1.5795e+03 3.8822e+01 -40.6862 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis638 5.2212e+02 3.9164e+01 13.3316 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis639 3.5572e+02 3.8054e+01 9.3477 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis644 -4.0641e+02 4.1150e+01 -9.8762 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis645 4.4125e+02 4.1148e+01 10.7237 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis646 -3.5057e+02 4.1166e+01 -8.5160 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1140 3.3869e+02 3.6546e+01 9.2674 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1145 2.9115e+02 4.7764e+01 6.0957 1.517e-09 ***
iis1147 -9.2519e+02 4.7830e+01 -19.3431 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1148 -1.4121e+02 4.7499e+01 -2.9729 0.0030161 **
iis1150 -4.9099e+02 4.7490e+01 -10.3388 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1151 -4.7190e+02 4.7537e+01 -9.9271 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1152 -8.0325e+02 4.7702e+01 -16.8390 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2009 1.5573e+02 2.0174e+01 7.7192 2.664e-14 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.9395e+02 1.9282e+01 15.2450 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -4.2300e+02 2.3984e+01 -17.6367 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2016 3.4325e+02 2.7451e+01 12.5041 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2012 -8.5280e+01 2.2982e+01 -3.7107 0.0002172 ***
fesisJPN.2002 -1.7968e+02 3.9694e+01 -4.5265 6.666e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2003 1.9533e+02 4.7857e+01 4.0816 4.803e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.7903e+02 4.1858e+01 -4.2771 2.062e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2016 4.0201e+02 2.7607e+01 14.5621 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.1851e+02 1.9441e+01 11.2395 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.7348e+02 2.6420e+01 6.5662 8.018e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -1.8293e+02 2.9230e+01 -6.2582 5.614e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2005 4.2517e+02 2.5154e+01 16.9024 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 1.9703e+02 3.9810e+01 4.9493 8.639e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -4.9593e+02 4.7567e+01 -10.4261 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.3473 1 0.06732 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 75.5639 1 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 33.22791
R-squared 0.99946
Log-lik.(n=1200) -5844.79458 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:47:56 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2076e-01 6.6969e-03 137.4898 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.3835e-15 2.3599e-15 -1.4338 0.1519401
pop 8.7407e-07 1.5983e-07 5.4686 5.671e-08 ***
idAUS 3.4912e+01 9.1665e+00 3.8087 0.0001478 ***
idAUT 5.3968e+01 1.0106e+01 5.3400 1.140e-07 ***
idBEL 3.9364e+01 9.8086e+00 4.0132 6.415e-05 ***
idBGR 2.8513e+01 9.9848e+00 2.8557 0.0043793 **
idBRA -1.2576e+02 2.5510e+01 -4.9299 9.558e-07 ***
idCAN 5.6714e+01 9.0900e+00 6.2391 6.375e-10 ***
idCHE 4.8644e+01 1.0138e+01 4.7981 1.834e-06 ***
idCHL 2.2099e+01 9.3449e+00 2.3648 0.0182225 *
idCHN -9.9711e+02 1.9796e+02 -5.0370 5.566e-07 ***
idCZE 2.8813e+01 9.7702e+00 2.9490 0.0032583 **
idDEU 2.0913e+02 1.6527e+01 12.6536 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 6.0834e+01 1.0367e+01 5.8681 5.909e-09 ***
idESP 1.4864e+01 8.6073e+00 1.7269 0.0844867 .
idFIN 4.4657e+01 1.0272e+01 4.3475 1.511e-05 ***
idFRA 9.3211e+01 1.0778e+01 8.6479 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 6.0244e+01 9.9974e+00 6.0260 2.324e-09 ***
idGRC 2.6277e+01 9.7254e+00 2.7019 0.0070054 **
idHKG 3.1313e+01 1.0047e+01 3.1167 0.0018786 **
idHUN 2.7801e+01 9.8005e+00 2.8367 0.0046462 **
idIND -1.0915e+03 2.0584e+02 -5.3025 1.393e-07 ***
idIRL 3.5251e+01 1.0279e+01 3.4293 0.0006287 ***
idIRN 9.9787e+00 2.7838e+01 0.3585 0.7200702
idISR 4.3240e+01 1.0102e+01 4.2802 2.038e-05 ***
idITA 2.4543e+01 9.2003e+00 2.6677 0.0077555 **
idJPN 2.3380e+02 4.5281e+01 5.1634 2.901e-07 ***
idKOR 8.7820e+01 1.3257e+01 6.6246 5.558e-11 ***
idLUX 3.5210e+01 1.0620e+01 3.3154 0.0009464 ***
idMEX -5.8123e+01 1.3907e+01 -4.1793 3.168e-05 ***
idMYS 1.3525e+01 8.7813e+00 1.5403 0.1238006
idNLD 5.4007e+01 9.6062e+00 5.6222 2.418e-08 ***
idNOR 3.8783e+01 1.0261e+01 3.7798 0.0001658 ***
idNZL 3.3667e+01 1.0286e+01 3.2730 0.0010988 **
idPHL -4.3869e+01 1.1734e+01 -3.7385 0.0001951 ***
idPOL 6.3487e+00 8.5383e+00 0.7436 0.4573080
idPRT 2.7494e+01 9.7646e+00 2.8157 0.0049591 **
idROU 1.7151e+01 9.0632e+00 1.8924 0.0587147 .
idRUS -8.2293e+01 1.8682e+01 -4.4050 1.166e-05 ***
idSAU 1.7073e+01 8.7828e+00 1.9440 0.0521674 .
idSGP 3.7057e+01 1.0257e+01 3.6129 0.0003171 ***
idSVK 3.0830e+01 1.0173e+01 3.0306 0.0025002 **
idSVN 3.3759e+01 1.0476e+01 3.2226 0.0013097 **
idSWE 5.3153e+01 1.0046e+01 5.2910 1.481e-07 ***
idTHA -2.2747e+01 9.5291e+00 -2.3871 0.0171581 *
idTUR -2.2179e+01 9.8861e+00 -2.2435 0.0250734 *
idTWN 7.9167e+01 9.6083e+00 8.2394 5.122e-16 ***
idUKR -4.1779e+00 8.5994e+00 -0.4858 0.6271823
idUSA 1.4249e+02 4.1586e+01 3.4265 0.0006351 ***
idVNM -3.0921e+01 1.2118e+01 -2.5517 0.0108609 *
idZAF -6.8815e+00 8.6995e+00 -0.7910 0.4291096
time1996 -4.0586e+01 9.3874e+00 -4.3235 1.682e-05 ***
time1997 -4.2541e+01 9.4330e+00 -4.5098 7.220e-06 ***
time1998 -4.1058e+01 9.4805e+00 -4.3308 1.628e-05 ***
time1999 -3.4715e+01 9.5241e+00 -3.6449 0.0002806 ***
time2000 -3.5821e+01 9.5554e+00 -3.7488 0.0001874 ***
time2001 -3.8231e+01 9.5879e+00 -3.9874 7.144e-05 ***
time2002 -4.2378e+01 9.6191e+00 -4.4056 1.163e-05 ***
time2003 -3.9286e+01 9.6902e+00 -4.0542 5.403e-05 ***
time2004 -3.1466e+01 9.7104e+00 -3.2404 0.0012311 **
time2005 -2.9131e+01 9.7501e+00 -2.9878 0.0028755 **
time2006 -2.6366e+01 9.8033e+00 -2.6895 0.0072692 **
time2007 -2.1531e+01 9.8381e+00 -2.1885 0.0288528 *
time2008 -1.9576e+01 9.8548e+00 -1.9865 0.0472434 *
time2009 -2.0206e+01 9.7629e+00 -2.0697 0.0387223 *
time2010 -1.6604e+01 9.8442e+00 -1.6867 0.0919597 .
time2011 -2.3192e+01 9.8227e+00 -2.3611 0.0184050 *
time2012 -3.1630e+01 9.7301e+00 -3.2507 0.0011877 **
time2013 -5.0845e+01 9.8437e+00 -5.1653 2.872e-07 ***
time2014 -4.1577e+01 9.8913e+00 -4.2034 2.854e-05 ***
time2015 -4.1300e+01 9.9688e+00 -4.1430 3.704e-05 ***
time2016 -4.1782e+01 1.0026e+01 -4.1672 3.338e-05 ***
time2017 -3.0083e+01 1.0091e+01 -2.9813 0.0029370 **
time2018 -3.7851e+01 1.0139e+01 -3.7331 0.0001993 ***
time2019 -4.8041e+01 1.0228e+01 -4.6972 2.988e-06 ***
iis231 2.5278e+02 3.2978e+01 7.6651 4.060e-14 ***
iis236 2.1000e+02 3.3103e+01 6.3440 3.325e-10 ***
iis237 9.3486e+02 3.3533e+01 27.8788 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 7.5841e+02 3.5490e+01 21.3698 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 6.0511e+02 3.7772e+01 16.0201 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 4.6859e+02 3.9873e+01 11.7522 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis275 8.9798e+01 4.3906e+01 2.0452 0.0410806 *
iis276 1.3141e+02 4.3374e+01 3.0298 0.0025072 **
iis277 1.6519e+02 4.2863e+01 3.8539 0.0001233 ***
iis278 2.0542e+02 4.2488e+01 4.8348 1.532e-06 ***
iis279 1.6861e+02 4.2297e+01 3.9862 7.178e-05 ***
iis281 -2.1961e+02 3.6916e+01 -5.9488 3.677e-09 ***
iis282 -4.6922e+02 3.6757e+01 -12.7655 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis284 -2.0015e+02 3.6582e+01 -5.4714 5.585e-08 ***
iis288 -7.1891e+02 3.6673e+01 -19.6031 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis481 2.8161e+02 6.2729e+01 4.4894 7.934e-06 ***
iis482 2.6593e+02 6.0200e+01 4.4174 1.103e-05 ***
iis483 2.3732e+02 5.7704e+01 4.1127 4.217e-05 ***
iis484 2.1949e+02 5.5247e+01 3.9729 7.585e-05 ***
iis485 2.2402e+02 5.2810e+01 4.2420 2.411e-05 ***
iis486 1.8669e+02 5.0435e+01 3.7015 0.0002255 ***
iis487 2.0149e+02 4.8115e+01 4.1876 3.056e-05 ***
iis488 1.7326e+02 4.5932e+01 3.7720 0.0001710 ***
iis489 1.5377e+02 4.3853e+01 3.5064 0.0004734 ***
iis490 1.5269e+02 4.1917e+01 3.6426 0.0002831 ***
iis491 1.2736e+02 4.0172e+01 3.1705 0.0015660 **
iis492 9.5917e+01 3.8578e+01 2.4863 0.0130614 *
iis493 1.4349e+02 3.7121e+01 3.8656 0.0001177 ***
iis494 1.3830e+02 3.5731e+01 3.8705 0.0001153 ***
iis495 1.0745e+02 3.4625e+01 3.1033 0.0019653 **
iis496 1.2129e+02 3.3627e+01 3.6068 0.0003246 ***
iis601 9.2979e+01 4.4832e+01 2.0740 0.0383266 *
iis602 1.2167e+02 4.4426e+01 2.7387 0.0062724 **
iis603 2.7254e+02 4.4027e+01 6.1902 8.610e-10 ***
iis604 6.1579e+02 4.3444e+01 14.1746 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis605 7.4072e+02 4.2604e+01 17.3860 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis606 2.1228e+02 4.2228e+01 5.0269 5.860e-07 ***
iis608 7.2857e+02 4.3316e+01 16.8196 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis609 6.3757e+02 4.2744e+01 14.9161 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis610 5.7360e+02 4.2453e+01 13.5113 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis611 4.0595e+02 4.2297e+01 9.5978 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis612 6.9285e+02 4.2296e+01 16.3808 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 7.2230e+02 3.8986e+01 18.5271 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 1.9882e+03 3.7185e+01 53.4679 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 1.1078e+03 3.4507e+01 32.1049 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis618 -2.7543e+02 3.4552e+01 -7.9715 4.076e-15 ***
iis624 -1.5718e+03 3.4543e+01 -45.5017 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis638 5.3519e+02 3.6713e+01 14.5776 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis639 3.8764e+02 3.5161e+01 11.0247 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis642 2.2148e+02 3.4496e+01 6.4204 2.057e-10 ***
iis644 -4.0438e+02 3.6603e+01 -11.0478 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis645 4.3175e+02 3.6603e+01 11.7952 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis646 -3.4352e+02 3.6627e+01 -9.3789 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1136 -3.6103e+02 3.3569e+01 -10.7546 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1138 1.9787e+02 3.3754e+01 5.8621 6.117e-09 ***
iis1140 2.9156e+02 3.3640e+01 8.6671 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1145 4.9648e+02 3.4307e+01 14.4719 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1146 2.3121e+02 3.6520e+01 6.3312 3.602e-10 ***
iis1147 -1.1795e+03 3.8210e+01 -30.8687 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1148 -4.2011e+02 3.5535e+01 -11.8222 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1149 -2.8464e+02 3.5327e+01 -8.0573 2.111e-15 ***
iis1150 -7.6994e+02 3.5496e+01 -21.6908 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1151 -7.6143e+02 3.4503e+01 -22.0686 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1152 -1.1030e+03 3.3829e+01 -32.6058 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2009 1.5287e+02 2.1057e+01 7.2598 7.543e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.0223e+02 3.5068e+01 5.7670 1.061e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.2127e+02 3.6818e+01 -3.2937 0.0010218 **
fesisDEU.2017 2.3371e+02 2.9896e+01 7.8174 1.308e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2003 -1.8991e+02 4.3229e+01 -4.3932 1.230e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2009 2.9092e+02 3.7932e+01 7.6695 3.930e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2016 3.9043e+02 2.4649e+01 15.8397 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.3898e+02 1.7718e+01 13.4878 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.7913e+02 2.7247e+01 6.5743 7.695e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -1.1479e+02 2.7487e+01 -4.1763 3.210e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2000 2.2318e+02 2.2351e+01 9.9852 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 3.7725e+02 2.8413e+01 13.2775 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 11.311 1 0.0007705 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 71.836 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 29.54684
R-squared 0.99958
Log-lik.(n=1200) -5689.89835 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:58:18 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.4837803 0.0214681 22.5348 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.6200835 0.0764330 8.1128 1.345e-15 ***
lpop 0.3496475 0.1709246 2.0456 0.0410371 *
idAUS 1.6895260 0.1890411 8.9373 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 2.8137743 0.2795343 10.0659 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 2.3157452 0.2374411 9.7529 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBGR 2.3480450 0.2987623 7.8592 9.362e-15 ***
idBRA -0.6304314 0.2534234 -2.4877 0.0130097 *
idCAN 1.6317990 0.1292661 12.6236 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE 2.4061624 0.2999649 8.0215 2.722e-15 ***
idCHL -2.6970212 0.4934119 -5.4661 5.722e-08 ***
idCHN -1.6127948 0.5549919 -2.9060 0.0037363 **
idCZE 0.0774893 0.3198421 0.2423 0.8086145
idDEU 1.9698843 0.1630533 12.0812 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.5908359 0.3931033 4.0469 5.564e-05 ***
idESP 1.2969002 0.0915134 14.1717 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 2.9952349 0.3430927 8.7301 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFRA 1.6731591 0.1306246 12.8089 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 1.6334319 0.1240124 13.1715 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGRC 1.5793497 0.2226382 7.0938 2.367e-12 ***
idHKG 0.5336733 0.3530991 1.5114 0.1309818
idHUN -1.2998703 0.4512910 -2.8803 0.0040516 **
idIND -2.4157323 0.5457416 -4.4265 1.056e-05 ***
idIRL 2.6979273 0.3954081 6.8231 1.487e-11 ***
idIRN -6.0929176 0.7253093 -8.4004 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 1.9185968 0.3179881 6.0335 2.206e-09 ***
idITA 1.3139698 0.1142022 11.5056 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -0.9942722 0.4396576 -2.2615 0.0239299 *
idKOR -1.8512491 0.5403000 -3.4263 0.0006350 ***
idLUX 3.3673297 0.7038310 4.7843 1.956e-06 ***
idMEX -1.6353712 0.2427588 -6.7366 2.640e-11 ***
idMYS 0.4569053 0.1087812 4.2002 2.888e-05 ***
idNLD 2.2815263 0.1869708 12.2026 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR 1.0541999 0.4259444 2.4750 0.0134785 *
idNZL 2.3836594 0.3762635 6.3351 3.485e-10 ***
idPHL -2.0775818 0.2239104 -9.2786 < 2.2e-16 ***
idPOL 0.4421959 0.0965034 4.5822 5.142e-06 ***
idPRT 1.7694723 0.2283461 7.7491 2.139e-14 ***
idROU 0.0031253 0.1664395 0.0188 0.9850222
idRUS -1.9911284 0.3336817 -5.9671 3.277e-09 ***
idSAU -0.2860595 0.1637050 -1.7474 0.0808528 .
idSGP 1.1223843 0.4109544 2.7312 0.0064147 **
idSVK 2.3259421 0.3278741 7.0940 2.363e-12 ***
idSVN 3.0247083 0.4776176 6.3329 3.533e-10 ***
idSWE 1.2868070 0.3321417 3.8743 0.0001134 ***
idTHA -2.0714599 0.2220645 -9.3282 < 2.2e-16 ***
idTUR -0.0580957 0.1661777 -0.3496 0.7267076
idTWN 1.5719585 0.1593875 9.8625 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUKR -0.2721575 0.1166476 -2.3332 0.0198240 *
idUSA 0.7607243 0.3332088 2.2830 0.0226239 *
idVNM -5.4477688 0.6078856 -8.9618 < 2.2e-16 ***
idZAF 0.1639751 0.1552493 1.0562 0.2911127
time1996 -22.2789822 2.8972613 -7.6897 3.327e-14 ***
time1997 -22.4179829 2.8969396 -7.7385 2.315e-14 ***
time1998 -22.2434018 2.8993135 -7.6720 3.793e-14 ***
time1999 -22.2653038 2.8992518 -7.6797 3.582e-14 ***
time2000 -22.1649147 2.9005078 -7.6417 4.740e-14 ***
time2001 -22.1784418 2.9009559 -7.6452 4.620e-14 ***
time2002 -22.1840390 2.9020648 -7.6442 4.654e-14 ***
time2003 -22.0586236 2.9031730 -7.5981 6.532e-14 ***
time2004 -22.1017976 2.9050211 -7.6081 6.069e-14 ***
time2005 -21.9910633 2.9057948 -7.5680 8.142e-14 ***
time2006 -21.9554453 2.9069569 -7.5527 9.102e-14 ***
time2007 -21.8865895 2.9086340 -7.5247 1.116e-13 ***
time2008 -21.9110855 2.9093294 -7.5313 1.064e-13 ***
time2009 -21.8331246 2.9091294 -7.5050 1.288e-13 ***
time2010 -21.7875502 2.9105311 -7.4858 1.480e-13 ***
time2011 -21.7957783 2.9108289 -7.4878 1.459e-13 ***
time2012 -21.8615100 2.9115269 -7.5086 1.255e-13 ***
time2013 -21.9466000 2.9129098 -7.5343 1.041e-13 ***
time2014 -21.9160501 2.9149135 -7.5186 1.167e-13 ***
time2015 -21.9101449 2.9162138 -7.5132 1.213e-13 ***
time2016 -21.9427521 2.9175602 -7.5209 1.147e-13 ***
time2017 -21.9331702 2.9197061 -7.5121 1.223e-13 ***
time2018 -21.9812591 2.9208074 -7.5257 1.108e-13 ***
time2019 -22.0564107 2.9222245 -7.5478 9.434e-14 ***
iis1 1.0050064 0.2418969 4.1547 3.517e-05 ***
iis4 1.3002262 0.2414541 5.3850 8.901e-08 ***
iis10 0.8865858 0.2413205 3.6739 0.0002507 ***
iis101 -1.3160300 0.2723842 -4.8315 1.552e-06 ***
iis104 -1.0832265 0.2447299 -4.4262 1.057e-05 ***
iis118 -0.7978907 0.2431333 -3.2817 0.0010651 **
iis409 -0.8981389 0.2418371 -3.7138 0.0002147 ***
iis410 0.8509799 0.2415517 3.5230 0.0004447 ***
iis418 0.9672095 0.2417865 4.0003 6.762e-05 ***
iis458 0.8601183 0.2416531 3.5593 0.0003881 ***
iis460 -1.0563865 0.2412965 -4.3780 1.315e-05 ***
iis464 -0.8504914 0.2410429 -3.5284 0.0004358 ***
iis529 -1.0070721 0.2421820 -4.1583 3.462e-05 ***
iis530 1.2042149 0.2422840 4.9703 7.779e-07 ***
iis531 -0.8194251 0.2427787 -3.3752 0.0007641 ***
iis534 -0.9013052 0.2413822 -3.7339 0.0001984 ***
iis539 -1.0093305 0.2413559 -4.1819 3.127e-05 ***
iis651 1.4538753 0.2408022 6.0376 2.153e-09 ***
iis677 -1.0093984 0.2406381 -4.1947 2.958e-05 ***
iis707 0.8807438 0.2406666 3.6596 0.0002649 ***
iis800 1.0997160 0.2408301 4.5664 5.537e-06 ***
iis819 -1.1584478 0.2410234 -4.8064 1.756e-06 ***
iis842 -0.9996252 0.2407632 -4.1519 3.559e-05 ***
iis870 -1.5785523 0.2632989 -5.9953 2.772e-09 ***
iis913 -0.9550772 0.2458801 -3.8843 0.0001089 ***
iis920 -0.9538020 0.2444548 -3.9018 0.0001014 ***
iis939 0.9286384 0.2456947 3.7796 0.0001657 ***
iis996 -0.8276669 0.2401537 -3.4464 0.0005901 ***
iis1060 -1.3329027 0.2415428 -5.5183 4.292e-08 ***
iis1161 -0.8069684 0.2414896 -3.3416 0.0008616 ***
iis1162 0.8602311 0.2416384 3.5600 0.0003871 ***
iis1163 -0.9747117 0.2417223 -4.0324 5.913e-05 ***
iis1165 -0.9104185 0.2412897 -3.7731 0.0001700 ***
iis1166 -0.9156498 0.2416815 -3.7887 0.0001599 ***
iis1197 -0.7992804 0.2423488 -3.2981 0.0010055 **
fesisARG.2018 -0.4678305 0.1752821 -2.6690 0.0077223 **
fesisAUS.2005 -0.3882212 0.1012565 -3.8340 0.0001334 ***
fesisBGR.1998 -1.1043102 0.2885773 -3.8267 0.0001374 ***
fesisBGR.1999 1.3269554 0.2724353 4.8707 1.279e-06 ***
fesisBGR.2003 -0.5446065 0.1523599 -3.5745 0.0003666 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.5278955 0.1168753 4.5167 6.976e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.3814900 0.0983633 3.8784 0.0001116 ***
fesisIRL.2000 -0.4330036 0.1308699 -3.3087 0.0009686 ***
fesisNZL.2015 -0.4873809 0.1196278 -4.0741 4.959e-05 ***
fesisROU.1999 1.2975990 0.1800040 7.2087 1.064e-12 ***
fesisROU.2004 -0.3833420 0.1365867 -2.8066 0.0050977 **
fesisSAU.2011 0.7770731 0.1134454 6.8498 1.244e-11 ***
fesisSGP.1998 1.1608247 0.1769416 6.5605 8.329e-11 ***
fesisTHA.2000 0.5861103 0.1297899 4.5158 7.005e-06 ***
fesisTUR.1999 0.3893542 0.1479770 2.6312 0.0086310 **
fesisTWN.2002 0.6757352 0.1175053 5.7507 1.158e-08 ***
fesisZAF.2003 -0.5582393 0.1080616 -5.1659 2.851e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 11.384 1 0.0007408 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 32.121 1 1.449e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.23265
R-squared 0.98799
Log-lik.(n=1200) 111.11616 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:58:05 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.499269 0.020611 24.2236 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.653205 0.076605 8.5269 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop 0.205247 0.170069 1.2068 0.2277691
idAUS 1.637860 0.190516 8.5970 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 2.696373 0.279125 9.6601 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBEL 2.239056 0.239467 9.3502 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBGR 2.456443 0.277964 8.8373 < 2.2e-16 ***
idBRA -0.346428 0.270324 -1.2815 0.2002975
idCAN 1.647091 0.140064 11.7595 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE 2.257754 0.298794 7.5562 9.149e-14 ***
idCHL -2.800799 0.499317 -5.6093 2.611e-08 ***
idCHN -1.083660 0.568538 -1.9060 0.0569224 .
idCZE -0.058260 0.322748 -0.1805 0.8567872
idDEU 2.071577 0.176694 11.7241 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.355010 0.389288 3.4807 0.0005210 ***
idESP 1.388801 0.112178 12.3803 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 2.835887 0.342287 8.2851 3.647e-16 ***
idFRA 1.766627 0.146540 12.0556 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 1.732410 0.140608 12.3209 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGRC 1.438271 0.232049 6.1981 8.256e-10 ***
idHKG 0.391676 0.354325 1.1054 0.2692388
idHUN -1.819734 0.456639 -3.9851 7.222e-05 ***
idIND -1.988638 0.563125 -3.5314 0.0004316 ***
idIRL 2.510177 0.393154 6.3847 2.594e-10 ***
idIRN -6.186339 0.738018 -8.3824 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 1.755132 0.317166 5.5338 3.975e-08 ***
idITA 1.416156 0.133115 10.6386 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -1.015096 0.452559 -2.2430 0.0251080 *
idKOR -2.017192 0.547312 -3.6856 0.0002400 ***
idLUX 2.988120 0.704049 4.2442 2.392e-05 ***
idMEX -1.856894 0.297114 -6.2498 6.011e-10 ***
idMYS 0.579691 0.146593 3.9544 8.197e-05 ***
idNLD 2.234869 0.189942 11.7660 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR 0.803427 0.423747 1.8960 0.0582393 .
idNZL 2.207037 0.376465 5.8625 6.135e-09 ***
idPHL -1.979928 0.244481 -8.0985 1.564e-15 ***
idPOL 0.501840 0.120416 4.1676 3.337e-05 ***
idPRT 1.746107 0.234536 7.4449 2.046e-13 ***
idROU 0.084934 0.168400 0.5044 0.6141191
idRUS -1.699857 0.350974 -4.8433 1.473e-06 ***
idSAU -0.150184 0.178061 -0.8434 0.3991758
idSGP 2.113606 0.359234 5.8836 5.423e-09 ***
idSVK 2.253047 0.333208 6.7617 2.282e-11 ***
idSVN 2.861441 0.480676 5.9530 3.608e-09 ***
idSWE 1.103644 0.330767 3.3366 0.0008784 ***
idTHA -1.945857 0.233062 -8.3491 < 2.2e-16 ***
idTUR 0.127252 0.171984 0.7399 0.4595271
idTWN 1.573199 0.163281 9.6349 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUKR -0.169533 0.140042 -1.2106 0.2263328
idUSA 0.982954 0.349232 2.8146 0.0049766 **
idVNM -5.526441 0.604853 -9.1368 < 2.2e-16 ***
idZAF 0.321702 0.210009 1.5318 0.1258673
time1996 -20.828142 2.928317 -7.1127 2.128e-12 ***
time1997 -20.898698 2.928355 -7.1367 1.803e-12 ***
time1998 -20.751007 2.930192 -7.0818 2.633e-12 ***
time1999 -20.766212 2.930526 -7.0862 2.555e-12 ***
time2000 -20.718544 2.931296 -7.0680 2.894e-12 ***
time2001 -20.688859 2.932085 -7.0560 3.144e-12 ***
time2002 -20.699176 2.932909 -7.0576 3.111e-12 ***
time2003 -20.602861 2.934183 -7.0217 3.977e-12 ***
time2004 -20.645358 2.935929 -7.0320 3.707e-12 ***
time2005 -20.529454 2.936691 -6.9907 4.913e-12 ***
time2006 -20.509010 2.938036 -6.9805 5.264e-12 ***
time2007 -20.463004 2.939891 -6.9605 6.032e-12 ***
time2008 -20.475285 2.940748 -6.9626 5.945e-12 ***
time2009 -20.389169 2.940421 -6.9341 7.210e-12 ***
time2010 -20.346370 2.941795 -6.9163 8.130e-12 ***
time2011 -20.323846 2.942068 -6.9080 8.597e-12 ***
time2012 -20.413275 2.942583 -6.9372 7.061e-12 ***
time2013 -20.469854 2.943848 -6.9534 6.326e-12 ***
time2014 -20.478295 2.945925 -6.9514 6.414e-12 ***
time2015 -20.475718 2.947270 -6.9473 6.592e-12 ***
time2016 -20.482227 2.948371 -6.9470 6.609e-12 ***
time2017 -20.495680 2.950844 -6.9457 6.666e-12 ***
time2018 -20.524870 2.952078 -6.9527 6.358e-12 ***
time2019 -20.584579 2.953351 -6.9699 5.658e-12 ***
iis1 1.171235 0.227131 5.1566 3.014e-07 ***
iis4 1.410836 0.226379 6.2322 6.699e-10 ***
iis10 0.608690 0.225887 2.6947 0.0071605 **
iis99 -1.249904 0.226743 -5.5124 4.474e-08 ***
iis101 -1.196095 0.226686 -5.2764 1.606e-07 ***
iis104 -1.107263 0.215780 -5.1314 3.436e-07 ***
iis107 -0.576420 0.213860 -2.6953 0.0071468 **
iis118 -0.838271 0.213642 -3.9237 9.298e-05 ***
iis194 -0.786279 0.211483 -3.7179 0.0002117 ***
iis196 -0.821637 0.211143 -3.8914 0.0001061 ***
iis219 -0.442728 0.220729 -2.0058 0.0451437 *
iis409 -0.764390 0.224118 -3.4107 0.0006732 ***
iis410 0.934947 0.223026 4.1921 3.001e-05 ***
iis417 -0.573458 0.222735 -2.5746 0.0101739 *
iis418 0.872927 0.215222 4.0559 5.370e-05 ***
iis448 -0.665879 0.210556 -3.1625 0.0016101 **
iis458 1.143319 0.253198 4.5155 7.046e-06 ***
iis460 -0.761530 0.252975 -3.0103 0.0026736 **
iis464 -0.821917 0.213265 -3.8540 0.0001234 ***
iis529 -0.999306 0.212761 -4.6968 3.000e-06 ***
iis530 1.159337 0.212891 5.4457 6.455e-08 ***
iis531 -0.861281 0.213412 -4.0358 5.846e-05 ***
iis534 -0.928117 0.211816 -4.3817 1.298e-05 ***
iis539 -1.008251 0.211615 -4.7646 2.164e-06 ***
iis649 0.552167 0.212449 2.5991 0.0094817 **
iis651 1.392743 0.212081 6.5670 8.130e-11 ***
iis666 -0.685777 0.211387 -3.2442 0.0012158 **
iis669 -0.603974 0.211925 -2.8499 0.0044600 **
iis675 0.607686 0.212715 2.8568 0.0043654 **
iis677 -1.009770 0.211796 -4.7677 2.132e-06 ***
iis702 -0.799612 0.218723 -3.6558 0.0002693 ***
iis707 0.844042 0.214845 3.9286 9.114e-05 ***
iis791 -0.531615 0.230323 -2.3081 0.0211893 *
iis799 -0.954344 0.220624 -4.3257 1.669e-05 ***
iis800 0.831523 0.221834 3.7484 0.0001879 ***
iis808 -0.472662 0.219422 -2.1541 0.0314623 *
iis817 0.598005 0.214769 2.7844 0.0054609 **
iis819 -1.133567 0.211928 -5.3488 1.091e-07 ***
iis842 -1.043070 0.211245 -4.9377 9.217e-07 ***
iis870 -1.608035 0.230957 -6.9625 5.950e-12 ***
iis913 -1.054294 0.217813 -4.8404 1.494e-06 ***
iis916 -0.662546 0.216426 -3.0613 0.0022609 **
iis918 -0.634998 0.215742 -2.9433 0.0033200 **
iis920 -1.054373 0.215925 -4.8831 1.210e-06 ***
iis934 0.553302 0.218714 2.5298 0.0115611 *
iis937 -0.746241 0.213838 -3.4898 0.0005040 ***
iis938 -1.593260 0.214008 -7.4449 2.047e-13 ***
iis939 0.937869 0.216536 4.3312 1.628e-05 ***
iis967 -0.701750 0.211334 -3.3206 0.0009299 ***
iis968 0.643973 0.211489 3.0449 0.0023864 **
iis986 -0.819205 0.211418 -3.8748 0.0001135 ***
iis996 -0.832706 0.210717 -3.9518 8.287e-05 ***
iis1037 0.663486 0.213354 3.1098 0.0019237 **
iis1052 0.663280 0.211753 3.1323 0.0017833 **
iis1060 -1.370602 0.238165 -5.7548 1.144e-08 ***
iis1161 -1.529985 0.253185 -6.0429 2.113e-09 ***
iis1163 -1.699459 0.253659 -6.6998 3.431e-11 ***
iis1165 -0.964296 0.221197 -4.3594 1.435e-05 ***
iis1166 -0.964029 0.220851 -4.3651 1.399e-05 ***
iis1170 -0.712588 0.220283 -3.2349 0.0012557 **
iis1171 0.622240 0.220391 2.8233 0.0048442 **
iis1176 -0.724147 0.220859 -3.2788 0.0010775 **
iis1197 -0.842637 0.212919 -3.9576 8.092e-05 ***
iis1200 -0.560855 0.213259 -2.6299 0.0086677 **
fesisARG.2003 0.425030 0.130796 3.2496 0.0011932 **
fesisARG.2009 -0.361714 0.115620 -3.1285 0.0018066 **
fesisARG.2018 -0.386615 0.161475 -2.3943 0.0168313 *
fesisAUS.2005 -0.356790 0.089420 -3.9900 7.075e-05 ***
fesisBGR.2003 -0.426246 0.113307 -3.7619 0.0001782 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.428113 0.109265 3.9181 9.513e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.384157 0.086586 4.4367 1.012e-05 ***
fesisGRC.2005 0.221031 0.102784 2.1504 0.0317522 *
fesisHUN.2000 0.652447 0.189733 3.4388 0.0006078 ***
fesisHUN.2003 -0.359665 0.130957 -2.7464 0.0061299 **
fesisIRL.2000 -0.404850 0.115704 -3.4990 0.0004870 ***
fesisMEX.1998 0.391908 0.154875 2.5305 0.0115390 *
fesisMYS.2005 -0.655103 0.219192 -2.9887 0.0028681 **
fesisMYS.2006 0.653946 0.214435 3.0496 0.0023499 **
fesisNZL.2015 -0.361512 0.114823 -3.1484 0.0016888 **
fesisPHL.2002 0.358036 0.117422 3.0491 0.0023536 **
fesisPHL.2011 -0.343435 0.109979 -3.1227 0.0018419 **
fesisROU.1999 1.308152 0.157953 8.2819 3.739e-16 ***
fesisROU.2004 -0.418802 0.120896 -3.4641 0.0005538 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.295957 0.088904 -3.3290 0.0009026 ***
fesisSAU.2011 0.614155 0.107201 5.7290 1.326e-08 ***
fesisTHA.2000 0.525958 0.115350 4.5597 5.739e-06 ***
fesisTUR.1999 0.408575 0.168972 2.4180 0.0157786 *
fesisTUR.2003 -0.711213 0.238491 -2.9821 0.0029298 **
fesisTUR.2004 0.737491 0.213305 3.4575 0.0005676 ***
fesisTWN.2002 0.659766 0.104208 6.3312 3.627e-10 ***
fesisVNM.2004 0.793639 0.164435 4.8265 1.600e-06 ***
fesisVNM.2008 -0.662526 0.166722 -3.9738 7.565e-05 ***
fesisZAF.1998 -0.758638 0.253206 -2.9961 0.0027998 **
fesisZAF.1999 0.790940 0.230818 3.4267 0.0006352 ***
fesisZAF.2003 -0.613601 0.117552 -5.2198 2.166e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.8266 1 0.02802 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 51.4614 1 7.302e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.20389
R-squared 0.99115
Log-lik.(n=1200) 290.96506 ENERGY
oecd
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:29:28 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4762e-01 5.3755e-03 176.2865 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.2596e-14 3.4488e-14 -0.3652 0.7150277
pop 1.1525e-06 1.3253e-07 8.6967 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 1.7399e+01 8.2362e+00 2.1126 0.0349373 *
idBEL 8.6300e+00 8.1641e+00 1.0571 0.2907903
idCAN -5.6092e+00 8.1774e+00 -0.6859 0.4929436
idCHE 1.5681e+01 8.2606e+00 1.8983 0.0580095 .
idCHL 5.4562e-01 9.3387e+00 0.0584 0.9534235
idCHN -1.4137e+03 1.6991e+02 -8.3203 3.598e-16 ***
idCOL -2.4448e+01 2.2339e+01 -1.0944 0.2740917
idCRI 1.2793e+01 8.3833e+00 1.5260 0.1273911
idCZE 6.5559e+00 8.1662e+00 0.8028 0.4223211
idDEU 7.7789e+00 1.2683e+01 0.6134 0.5398109
idDNK 2.9791e+01 8.3904e+00 3.5506 0.0004060 ***
idESP -2.5768e+01 8.5909e+00 -2.9995 0.0027856 **
idEST 1.6146e+01 8.4323e+00 1.9148 0.0558607 .
idFIN 1.4808e+01 8.3111e+00 1.7817 0.0751711 .
idFRA -2.3122e+01 9.5678e+00 -2.4166 0.0158807 *
idGRC 5.5157e+00 8.1529e+00 0.6765 0.4988867
idHUN 7.0291e+00 8.2556e+00 0.8514 0.3947792
idIRL 1.4488e+01 8.3307e+00 1.7391 0.0823954 .
idISL 1.7492e+01 8.4759e+00 2.0638 0.0393499 *
idISR 1.4139e+01 8.2603e+00 1.7117 0.0873256 .
idITA -3.9213e+01 9.3934e+00 -4.1745 3.303e-05 ***
idJPN 1.0687e+02 3.4862e+01 3.0655 0.0022435 **
idKOR 1.5149e+02 4.2829e+01 3.5372 0.0004269 ***
idLTU 1.3977e+01 8.3637e+00 1.6712 0.0950594 .
idLUX 1.7272e+01 8.4670e+00 2.0399 0.0416764 *
idLVA 1.5177e+01 8.4007e+00 1.8066 0.0711903 .
idMEX -1.0703e+02 1.4224e+01 -7.5246 1.380e-13 ***
idNLD 7.6591e+00 8.0867e+00 0.9471 0.3438517
idNOR 1.5926e+01 8.3267e+00 1.9126 0.0561432 .
idNZL 1.3648e+01 8.3324e+00 1.6379 0.1018129
idPOL -2.4709e+01 8.4010e+00 -2.9412 0.0033601 **
idPRT 6.3377e+00 8.1632e+00 0.7764 0.4377522
idSVK 1.1707e+01 8.2917e+00 1.4118 0.1583740
idSVN 1.5572e+01 8.4072e+00 1.8522 0.0643529 .
idSWE 1.2225e+01 8.2109e+00 1.4889 0.1368895
idTUR -6.2760e+01 1.0539e+01 -5.9550 3.840e-09 ***
idTWN 1.2216e+01 8.0782e+00 1.5122 0.1308606
idUSA -1.5131e+02 3.4275e+01 -4.4144 1.147e-05 ***
time1996 -2.2581e+01 7.6011e+00 -2.9707 0.0030567 **
time1997 -1.9555e+01 7.6210e+00 -2.5659 0.0104662 *
time1998 -1.8387e+01 7.6385e+00 -2.4071 0.0162971 *
time1999 -1.7742e+01 7.6423e+00 -2.3216 0.0204969 *
time2000 -1.6000e+01 7.6469e+00 -2.0923 0.0367119 *
time2001 -1.6908e+01 7.6706e+00 -2.2042 0.0277842 *
time2002 -2.1528e+01 7.6800e+00 -2.8031 0.0051796 **
time2003 -2.3427e+01 7.6798e+00 -3.0505 0.0023574 **
time2004 -1.2136e+01 7.6851e+00 -1.5791 0.1146967
time2005 -9.5048e+00 7.6833e+00 -1.2371 0.2164147
time2006 -1.6901e+01 7.7054e+00 -2.1934 0.0285574 *
time2007 -2.1758e+00 7.7502e+00 -0.2807 0.7789768
time2008 -4.6634e+00 7.7610e+00 -0.6009 0.5480913
time2009 -1.5700e+00 7.8031e+00 -0.2012 0.8405955
time2010 -3.3896e+00 7.7682e+00 -0.4363 0.6627026
time2011 -1.5948e+01 7.7590e+00 -2.0554 0.0401543 *
time2012 -3.0396e+01 7.8078e+00 -3.8930 0.0001070 ***
time2013 -3.2991e+01 7.8517e+00 -4.2018 2.936e-05 ***
time2014 -2.8498e+01 7.8148e+00 -3.6467 0.0002823 ***
time2015 -2.7797e+01 7.8548e+00 -3.5388 0.0004243 ***
time2016 -1.8829e+01 7.7737e+00 -2.4222 0.0156419 *
time2017 -1.2372e+01 7.8401e+00 -1.5781 0.1149292
time2018 -1.6891e+01 7.7654e+00 -2.1752 0.0298989 *
time2019 -3.1856e+01 7.8906e+00 -4.0373 5.909e-05 ***
iis165 3.6858e+02 3.0368e+01 12.1370 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 3.6123e+02 3.0655e+01 11.7836 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 3.5763e+02 3.1000e+01 11.5363 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis252 9.7221e+01 3.1815e+01 3.0558 0.0023167 **
iis258 -2.9507e+02 4.0007e+01 -7.3755 3.978e-13 ***
iis529 -1.0473e+02 3.9995e+01 -2.6185 0.0089940 **
iis530 -1.0449e+02 3.9990e+01 -2.6128 0.0091429 **
iis541 -2.0215e+02 2.9659e+01 -6.8158 1.805e-11 ***
iis542 5.3460e+02 2.9688e+01 18.0074 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 1.2479e+03 2.9776e+01 41.9086 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 4.3670e+02 3.1203e+01 13.9955 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -4.3713e+02 3.2036e+01 -13.6452 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis546 -5.0231e+02 3.1203e+01 -16.0980 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis548 -2.5626e+02 3.0545e+01 -8.3896 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis550 1.5840e+02 3.0390e+01 5.2122 2.358e-07 ***
iis552 -8.0614e+02 3.0570e+01 -26.3703 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis553 -1.3796e+02 3.4352e+01 -4.0161 6.454e-05 ***
iis554 -1.5039e+02 3.3668e+01 -4.4669 9.036e-06 ***
iis555 -1.6724e+02 3.4259e+01 -4.8816 1.263e-06 ***
iis556 -1.3799e+02 3.3036e+01 -4.1770 3.267e-05 ***
iis557 -1.4510e+02 3.2161e+01 -4.5116 7.365e-06 ***
iis558 -1.0767e+02 3.1705e+01 -3.3961 0.0007162 ***
iis559 -1.7907e+02 3.1128e+01 -5.7527 1.236e-08 ***
iis566 3.4373e+02 3.5535e+01 9.6732 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis567 2.9922e+02 3.4842e+01 8.5879 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis570 1.8236e+02 3.4732e+01 5.2503 1.932e-07 ***
iis571 -2.4210e+02 3.3333e+01 -7.2633 8.723e-13 ***
iis572 -2.1433e+02 3.3053e+01 -6.4843 1.531e-10 ***
iis573 4.1257e+02 3.2897e+01 12.5414 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis923 3.1278e+02 2.9275e+01 10.6843 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis924 4.1333e+02 2.9322e+01 14.0960 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis925 4.2444e+02 2.9556e+01 14.3606 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis926 3.4039e+02 2.9986e+01 11.3516 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis931 -4.4159e+02 3.1930e+01 -13.8298 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis934 -1.0701e+02 3.1626e+01 -3.3836 0.0007489 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.0825e+02 1.7375e+01 11.9856 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.3340e+02 3.1733e+01 -10.5062 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2014 9.6078e+01 3.0763e+01 3.1232 0.0018513 **
fesisJPN.1999 2.3596e+02 3.4690e+01 6.8021 1.976e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -2.1296e+02 2.3295e+01 -9.1420 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 9.3109e+01 2.6576e+01 3.5035 0.0004838 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -1.6238e+02 2.7954e+01 -5.8087 8.972e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.4234e+02 1.6735e+01 -8.5053 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.023363 1 0.8785
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 40.025621 1 2.507e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 27.90114
R-squared 0.99864
Log-lik.(n=936) -4389.75943 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:29:24 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.1705e-01 4.6400e-03 197.6386 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.6382e-16 2.6153e-14 0.0063 0.9950036
pop 1.1631e-06 1.0580e-07 10.9937 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 1.7541e+01 6.2172e+00 2.8214 0.0048982 **
idBEL 7.7897e+00 6.1578e+00 1.2650 0.2062221
idCAN -2.4428e+00 6.1751e+00 -0.3956 0.6925129
idCHE 1.6188e+01 6.2372e+00 2.5955 0.0096166 **
idCHL -3.2535e+00 7.0465e+00 -0.4617 0.6444083
idCHN -1.4233e+03 1.3537e+02 -10.5144 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCOL -3.4623e+01 1.6914e+01 -2.0470 0.0409792 *
idCRI 1.0450e+01 6.3429e+00 1.6475 0.0998426 .
idCZE 4.6705e+00 6.1616e+00 0.7580 0.4486711
idDEU 6.9740e+00 1.0347e+01 0.6740 0.5004764
idDNK 3.2626e+01 6.3441e+00 5.1427 3.395e-07 ***
idESP -2.5469e+01 6.5173e+00 -3.9079 0.0001008 ***
idEST 1.4187e+01 6.3889e+00 2.2206 0.0266541 *
idFIN 1.4029e+01 6.2825e+00 2.2331 0.0258140 *
idFRA -1.5837e+01 7.3791e+00 -2.1463 0.0321471 *
idGRC 3.6384e+00 6.1504e+00 0.5916 0.5543005
idHUN 4.7436e+00 6.2312e+00 0.7613 0.4467196
idIRL 1.2834e+01 6.3016e+00 2.0366 0.0420115 *
idISL 1.5496e+01 6.4258e+00 2.4115 0.0161064 *
idISR 1.3961e+01 6.2381e+00 2.2381 0.0254845 *
idITA -3.8197e+01 7.1931e+00 -5.3103 1.413e-07 ***
idJPN 3.7857e+02 2.2190e+01 17.0604 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 1.2853e+02 3.3168e+01 3.8751 0.0001151 ***
idLTU 1.1994e+01 6.3306e+00 1.8945 0.0585068 .
idLUX 1.5368e+01 6.4181e+00 2.3945 0.0168678 *
idLVA 1.3188e+01 6.3622e+00 2.0728 0.0385035 *
idMEX -1.1015e+02 1.1141e+01 -9.8871 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 8.5243e+00 6.0904e+00 1.3996 0.1620102
idNOR 1.4879e+01 6.2961e+00 2.3631 0.0183545 *
idNZL 1.1993e+01 6.3030e+00 1.9027 0.0574353 .
idPOL -2.6668e+01 6.3534e+00 -4.1974 2.998e-05 ***
idPRT 4.4799e+00 6.1592e+00 0.7274 0.4672201
idSVK 9.7657e+00 6.2693e+00 1.5577 0.1196932
idSVN 1.3645e+01 6.3674e+00 2.1430 0.0324125 *
idSWE 1.2207e+01 6.1959e+00 1.9702 0.0491523 *
idTUR -6.5137e+01 8.1291e+00 -8.0129 3.869e-15 ***
idTWN 1.6088e+01 6.0884e+00 2.6424 0.0083906 **
idUSA -1.0964e+02 2.7890e+01 -3.9312 9.171e-05 ***
time1996 -1.7393e+01 5.7831e+00 -3.0076 0.0027142 **
time1997 -1.9382e+01 5.7711e+00 -3.3584 0.0008203 ***
time1998 -1.8068e+01 5.7862e+00 -3.1226 0.0018561 **
time1999 -1.7385e+01 5.7912e+00 -3.0020 0.0027637 **
time2000 -1.5114e+01 5.7967e+00 -2.6073 0.0092917 **
time2001 -1.3882e+01 5.8248e+00 -2.3833 0.0173844 *
time2002 -1.7662e+01 5.8354e+00 -3.0266 0.0025507 **
time2003 -2.3493e+01 5.8364e+00 -4.0252 6.223e-05 ***
time2004 -1.5852e+01 5.8530e+00 -2.7083 0.0069037 **
time2005 -1.0834e+01 5.8570e+00 -1.8498 0.0647028 .
time2006 -1.3143e+01 5.8926e+00 -2.2304 0.0259899 *
time2007 -1.1415e+00 5.8962e+00 -0.1936 0.8465320
time2008 -1.2448e+00 5.9049e+00 -0.2108 0.8330866
time2009 -3.7002e-01 5.9549e+00 -0.0621 0.9504699
time2010 -4.1817e+00 5.9414e+00 -0.7038 0.4817448
time2011 -1.0027e+01 5.9342e+00 -1.6897 0.0914714 .
time2012 -2.4609e+01 5.9720e+00 -4.1207 4.163e-05 ***
time2013 -2.7749e+01 5.9906e+00 -4.6320 4.213e-06 ***
time2014 -2.6245e+01 5.9569e+00 -4.4059 1.194e-05 ***
time2015 -1.8682e+01 5.9971e+00 -3.1152 0.0019028 **
time2016 -1.7561e+01 5.9250e+00 -2.9639 0.0031258 **
time2017 -1.2562e+01 5.9726e+00 -2.1032 0.0357502 *
time2018 -2.1884e+01 5.9361e+00 -3.6866 0.0002423 ***
time2019 -2.5648e+01 5.9816e+00 -4.2879 2.020e-05 ***
iis165 2.7518e+02 3.0723e+01 8.9568 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 2.8379e+02 3.0371e+01 9.3441 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 2.9900e+02 3.0186e+01 9.9052 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis252 9.5500e+01 2.4794e+01 3.8517 0.0001265 ***
iis254 7.3951e+01 2.4608e+01 3.0052 0.0027355 **
iis258 -4.0210e+02 2.6206e+01 -15.3442 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis260 -2.3363e+02 2.6083e+01 -8.9569 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis529 -3.6122e+02 2.6197e+01 -13.7887 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis530 -3.5386e+02 2.6151e+01 -13.5313 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis531 -2.4728e+02 2.6129e+01 -9.4637 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis534 -1.5449e+02 2.3415e+01 -6.5980 7.495e-11 ***
iis535 -1.7267e+02 2.3347e+01 -7.3958 3.495e-13 ***
iis539 -1.7278e+02 2.2878e+01 -7.5522 1.148e-13 ***
iis541 -2.5461e+02 2.2797e+01 -11.1685 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis542 4.8200e+02 2.2859e+01 21.0856 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 1.2170e+03 2.2799e+01 53.3808 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 4.3988e+02 2.3831e+01 18.4583 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -4.2052e+02 2.4529e+01 -17.1438 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis546 -4.9975e+02 2.3821e+01 -20.9795 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis548 -2.7314e+02 2.3303e+01 -11.7212 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis550 1.4581e+02 2.3184e+01 6.2893 5.198e-10 ***
iis552 -8.1961e+02 2.3358e+01 -35.0888 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis553 -1.2889e+02 2.6477e+01 -4.8681 1.353e-06 ***
iis554 -1.3592e+02 2.5924e+01 -5.2429 2.016e-07 ***
iis555 -1.5176e+02 2.6381e+01 -5.7525 1.244e-08 ***
iis556 -1.2349e+02 2.5426e+01 -4.8568 1.431e-06 ***
iis557 -1.3104e+02 2.4732e+01 -5.2985 1.504e-07 ***
iis558 -9.5518e+01 2.4384e+01 -3.9172 9.708e-05 ***
iis559 -1.6682e+02 2.3904e+01 -6.9785 6.182e-12 ***
iis561 1.5235e+02 2.3502e+01 6.4824 1.562e-10 ***
iis566 6.9662e+02 2.8081e+01 24.8077 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis567 6.7034e+02 2.6982e+01 24.8442 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis568 3.8712e+02 2.6486e+01 14.6160 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis569 3.7512e+02 2.6309e+01 14.2583 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis570 5.6951e+02 2.6163e+01 21.7677 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis573 4.6234e+02 2.6285e+01 17.5894 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis575 1.8080e+02 2.6086e+01 6.9309 8.500e-12 ***
iis913 -1.8669e+02 2.2618e+01 -8.2539 6.150e-16 ***
iis923 3.1271e+02 2.2168e+01 14.1063 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis924 4.2832e+02 2.2231e+01 19.2668 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis925 4.5237e+02 2.2496e+01 20.1089 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis926 3.8543e+02 2.2955e+01 16.7908 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis927 2.3185e+02 2.3417e+01 9.9007 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis931 -4.1723e+02 2.4091e+01 -17.3191 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis934 -1.0308e+02 2.3814e+01 -4.3285 1.688e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2016 1.1844e+02 2.4659e+01 4.8029 1.861e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2005 8.2774e+01 1.6673e+01 4.9645 8.389e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.5361e+02 1.9855e+01 7.7366 3.015e-14 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.0207e+02 2.4676e+01 -12.2412 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 1.0246e+02 2.6285e+01 3.8982 0.0001049 ***
fesisDEU.2017 1.2474e+02 2.1297e+01 5.8573 6.822e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2019 -2.8777e+02 2.6100e+01 -11.0257 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -1.1785e+02 1.8904e+01 -6.2342 7.280e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2009 -2.2216e+02 2.2702e+01 -9.7860 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 1.6980e+02 2.1752e+01 7.8062 1.808e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.1008e+02 1.3112e+01 -8.3957 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.8526 1 0.04967 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 48.5383 1 3.239e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 21.00424
R-squared 0.99924
Log-lik.(n=936) -4117.48828 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:52:58 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.446194 0.026332 16.9451 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.810247 0.110834 7.3104 6.177e-13 ***
lpop -0.892853 0.261100 -3.4196 0.0006572 ***
idAUT 0.401602 0.268382 1.4964 0.1349272
idBEL 0.136604 0.215364 0.6343 0.5260618
idCAN 0.763342 0.145699 5.2392 2.038e-07 ***
idCHE -0.080394 0.268959 -0.2989 0.7650845
idCHL -5.479937 0.551326 -9.9396 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN 1.494867 1.039701 1.4378 0.1508649
idCOL -6.074082 0.665419 -9.1282 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCRI -5.476076 0.614956 -8.9048 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCZE -2.613459 0.273180 -9.5668 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 2.169014 0.361632 5.9979 2.962e-09 ***
idDNK -1.970117 0.424379 -4.6424 3.992e-06 ***
idESP 0.930235 0.224933 4.1356 3.894e-05 ***
idEST -0.769820 0.749284 -1.0274 0.3045228
idFIN 0.019661 0.374530 0.0525 0.9581457
idFRA 1.517067 0.297792 5.0944 4.317e-07 ***
idGRC -0.239448 0.257246 -0.9308 0.3522148
idHUN -4.099677 0.470470 -8.7140 < 2.2e-16 ***
idIRL -0.673171 0.423234 -1.5905 0.1120875
idISL -5.988121 1.134424 -5.2786 1.657e-07 ***
idISR -0.726015 0.283812 -2.5581 0.0106986 *
idITA 1.023521 0.276529 3.7013 0.0002284 ***
idJPN -1.086297 0.674454 -1.6106 0.1076334
idKOR -3.338238 0.706250 -4.7267 2.672e-06 ***
idLTU -0.133574 0.548777 -0.2434 0.8077520
idLUX -2.143844 0.952198 -2.2515 0.0246121 *
idLVA 0.255386 0.637626 0.4005 0.6888703
idMEX -1.649786 0.441336 -3.7382 0.0001979 ***
idNLD 0.607838 0.131922 4.6076 4.702e-06 ***
idNOR -2.255734 0.427132 -5.2811 1.634e-07 ***
idNZL -0.832108 0.423040 -1.9670 0.0495132 *
idPOL -0.403461 0.179248 -2.2508 0.0246515 *
idPRT -0.167302 0.265822 -0.6294 0.5292737
idSVK -0.261116 0.429834 -0.6075 0.5436942
idSVN -0.603440 0.638636 -0.9449 0.3449862
idSWE -1.474832 0.275732 -5.3488 1.141e-07 ***
idTUR -0.247736 0.346070 -0.7159 0.4742782
idTWN 0.039877 0.162240 0.2458 0.8059034
idUSA 2.253612 0.677100 3.3283 0.0009115 ***
time1996 -5.688337 4.544258 -1.2518 0.2110023
time1997 -5.649764 4.547439 -1.2424 0.2144317
time1998 -5.596535 4.551001 -1.2297 0.2191378
time1999 -5.581374 4.552992 -1.2259 0.2205893
time2000 -5.551751 4.556397 -1.2185 0.2233923
time2001 -5.464100 4.559043 -1.1985 0.2310510
time2002 -5.585179 4.560928 -1.2246 0.2210782
time2003 -5.477085 4.562486 -1.2005 0.2302969
time2004 -5.425843 4.565411 -1.1885 0.2349831
time2005 -5.376904 4.568713 -1.1769 0.2395681
time2006 -5.218383 4.572960 -1.1411 0.2541354
time2007 -5.023069 4.576277 -1.0976 0.2726778
time2008 -5.087029 4.576609 -1.1115 0.2666573
time2009 -4.864783 4.576644 -1.0630 0.2881044
time2010 -4.883530 4.579136 -1.0665 0.2865139
time2011 -4.927283 4.580759 -1.0756 0.2823919
time2012 -4.984894 4.581966 -1.0879 0.2769327
time2013 -5.126196 4.584013 -1.1183 0.2637665
time2014 -5.079751 4.587248 -1.1074 0.2684519
time2015 -5.206427 4.589902 -1.1343 0.2569811
time2016 -5.110135 4.591528 -1.1129 0.2660470
time2017 -5.087866 4.594832 -1.1073 0.2684786
time2018 -5.157889 4.597332 -1.1219 0.2622105
time2019 -5.246771 4.599594 -1.1407 0.2543168
iis185 -0.994420 0.311002 -3.1975 0.0014380 **
iis391 -0.989820 0.311880 -3.1737 0.0015595 **
iis392 0.927677 0.313269 2.9613 0.0031494 **
iis414 1.177345 0.315320 3.7338 0.0002012 ***
iis417 0.922633 0.313703 2.9411 0.0033597 **
iis438 -0.956944 0.311854 -3.0686 0.0022196 **
iis439 -1.606577 0.312157 -5.1467 3.299e-07 ***
iis589 1.312132 0.317281 4.1356 3.895e-05 ***
iis603 1.049035 0.311934 3.3630 0.0008057 ***
iis621 -1.000437 0.312360 -3.2028 0.0014118 **
iis639 -1.572605 0.318599 -4.9360 9.607e-07 ***
iis653 -1.141989 0.311545 -3.6656 0.0002622 ***
iis812 0.959872 0.311976 3.0768 0.0021602 **
iis825 -1.412853 0.312270 -4.5245 6.921e-06 ***
iis832 -1.067635 0.311062 -3.4322 0.0006277 ***
iis871 1.028861 0.316918 3.2465 0.0012145 **
fesisCHN.2002 0.528820 0.170314 3.1050 0.0019665 **
fesisCRI.2008 -0.807142 0.131653 -6.1308 1.341e-09 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.942545 0.226880 4.1544 3.593e-05 ***
fesisHUN.1999 -1.086907 0.278913 -3.8969 0.0001051 ***
fesisHUN.2001 0.679865 0.229279 2.9652 0.0031096 **
fesisLTU.2006 -0.665106 0.147006 -4.5243 6.925e-06 ***
fesisLVA.2002 -0.836590 0.168076 -4.9774 7.810e-07 ***
fesisLVA.2014 -0.576133 0.160775 -3.5835 0.0003585 ***
fesisTUR.2002 0.619898 0.149664 4.1419 3.790e-05 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.968542 0.161456 5.9988 2.946e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.526 1 0.0004012 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 36.008 1 1.965e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.30023
R-squared 0.98277
Log-lik.(n=936) -156.44017 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:53:02 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.316203 0.023916 13.2216 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.880463 0.109073 8.0723 2.542e-15 ***
lpop -1.311213 0.244043 -5.3729 1.018e-07 ***
idAUT 0.109184 0.246294 0.4433 0.6576627
idBEL -0.140931 0.197645 -0.7131 0.4760217
idCAN 1.055783 0.128679 8.2048 9.257e-16 ***
idCHE -0.416947 0.245440 -1.6988 0.0897531 .
idCHL -6.369563 0.534625 -11.9141 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHN 3.072200 0.961904 3.1939 0.0014590 **
idCOL -6.687124 0.633690 -10.5527 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCRI -6.748671 0.583774 -11.5604 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCZE -3.226013 0.254875 -12.6572 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDEU 3.035006 0.332379 9.1312 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -2.590852 0.383066 -6.7635 2.609e-11 ***
idESP 0.749221 0.213608 3.5075 0.0004778 ***
idEST -1.969297 0.696433 -2.8277 0.0048062 **
idFIN -0.499288 0.345524 -1.4450 0.1488466
idFRA 2.138105 0.273352 7.8218 1.653e-14 ***
idGRC -0.652271 0.243571 -2.6779 0.0075603 **
idHUN -4.804597 0.444399 -10.8115 < 2.2e-16 ***
idIRL -1.434454 0.390772 -3.6708 0.0002579 ***
idISL -7.985394 1.064596 -7.5009 1.695e-13 ***
idISR -1.175590 0.260045 -4.5207 7.099e-06 ***
idITA 1.490241 0.254276 5.8607 6.746e-09 ***
idJPN -0.264108 0.646597 -0.4085 0.6830471
idKOR -3.652848 0.681008 -5.3639 1.068e-07 ***
idLTU -1.004915 0.516734 -1.9447 0.0521575 .
idLUX -3.710266 0.886322 -4.1861 3.154e-05 ***
idLVA -0.788374 0.599405 -1.3153 0.1888008
idMEX -2.055190 0.414338 -4.9602 8.613e-07 ***
idNLD 0.595854 0.116988 5.0933 4.397e-07 ***
idNOR -3.027151 0.399547 -7.5765 9.870e-14 ***
idNZL -1.550542 0.391178 -3.9638 8.041e-05 ***
idPOL -0.369101 0.163025 -2.2641 0.0238375 *
idPRT -0.606698 0.251054 -2.4166 0.0158902 *
idSVK -0.770512 0.409853 -1.8800 0.0604768 .
idSVN -1.762704 0.594350 -2.9658 0.0031095 **
idSWE -1.407516 0.272642 -5.1625 3.081e-07 ***
idTUR 0.126772 0.326164 0.3887 0.6976209
idTWN 0.117861 0.145805 0.8083 0.4191317
idUSA 3.620394 0.625628 5.7868 1.031e-08 ***
time1996 -0.190007 4.230672 -0.0449 0.9641889
time1997 -0.188957 4.233900 -0.0446 0.9644139
time1998 -0.086069 4.237024 -0.0203 0.9837983
time1999 -0.029457 4.239228 -0.0069 0.9944575
time2000 -0.043408 4.242162 -0.0102 0.9918383
time2001 0.108079 4.244920 0.0255 0.9796938
time2002 0.014472 4.246913 0.0034 0.9972819
time2003 0.024947 4.247944 0.0059 0.9953158
time2004 0.111340 4.250297 0.0262 0.9791078
time2005 0.190911 4.254154 0.0449 0.9642171
time2006 0.351527 4.258263 0.0826 0.9342287
time2007 0.629725 4.261561 0.1478 0.8825629
time2008 0.661428 4.262075 0.1552 0.8767115
time2009 0.827609 4.263024 0.1941 0.8461185
time2010 0.852830 4.265231 0.1999 0.8415714
time2011 0.817491 4.266796 0.1916 0.8481094
time2012 0.763018 4.267832 0.1788 0.8581531
time2013 0.636000 4.268834 0.1490 0.8816018
time2014 0.608885 4.271252 0.1426 0.8866783
time2015 0.504636 4.273305 0.1181 0.9060259
time2016 0.536403 4.274818 0.1255 0.9001754
time2017 0.641181 4.277772 0.1499 0.8808919
time2018 0.563169 4.279285 0.1316 0.8953311
time2019 0.469217 4.282336 0.1096 0.9127777
iis145 -0.600357 0.266702 -2.2510 0.0246552 *
iis185 -1.184456 0.262361 -4.5146 7.302e-06 ***
iis188 -0.868795 0.262682 -3.3074 0.0009839 ***
iis199 0.514378 0.255178 2.0158 0.0441607 *
iis203 -0.828064 0.254966 -3.2477 0.0012120 **
iis223 -0.830833 0.248650 -3.3414 0.0008725 ***
iis322 -0.711921 0.249330 -2.8553 0.0044110 **
iis385 -0.672000 0.262818 -2.5569 0.0107453 *
iis391 -1.043018 0.262713 -3.9702 7.832e-05 ***
iis392 0.841642 0.263791 3.1906 0.0014756 **
iis397 -0.657402 0.254838 -2.5797 0.0100674 *
iis414 1.019476 0.252556 4.0366 5.946e-05 ***
iis417 0.918459 0.250556 3.6657 0.0002630 ***
iis438 -0.959799 0.249265 -3.8505 0.0001273 ***
iis439 -1.754337 0.249665 -7.0268 4.544e-12 ***
iis468 -0.896300 0.253110 -3.5411 0.0004216 ***
iis469 -1.237362 0.254427 -4.8633 1.391e-06 ***
iis588 -0.553171 0.257098 -2.1516 0.0317291 *
iis589 0.963287 0.257454 3.7416 0.0001960 ***
iis596 -0.628791 0.256498 -2.4514 0.0144421 *
iis598 -0.828852 0.257073 -3.2242 0.0013148 **
iis600 -0.754886 0.257931 -2.9267 0.0035233 **
iis603 0.882050 0.250434 3.5221 0.0004525 ***
iis606 -0.942853 0.250798 -3.7594 0.0001828 ***
iis618 -0.940745 0.250600 -3.7540 0.0001867 ***
iis625 0.575161 0.266791 2.1558 0.0313945 *
iis633 0.784234 0.256732 3.0547 0.0023281 **
iis638 0.668156 0.255896 2.6111 0.0091963 **
iis639 -1.375656 0.256715 -5.3587 1.099e-07 ***
iis650 1.086614 0.280564 3.8730 0.0001163 ***
iis653 -0.577203 0.280383 -2.0586 0.0398551 *
iis659 0.665319 0.249684 2.6646 0.0078631 **
iis743 -0.905899 0.249076 -3.6370 0.0002936 ***
iis751 -0.653410 0.249079 -2.6233 0.0088746 **
iis800 0.672412 0.253761 2.6498 0.0082141 **
iis812 1.035130 0.256201 4.0403 5.856e-05 ***
iis817 0.820473 0.262738 3.1228 0.0018564 **
iis825 -1.147855 0.253045 -4.5362 6.611e-06 ***
iis832 -0.959714 0.251267 -3.8195 0.0001441 ***
iis868 -0.763291 0.271502 -2.8114 0.0050544 **
iis870 -0.645991 0.272227 -2.3730 0.0178815 *
iis871 0.926921 0.257015 3.6065 0.0003297 ***
iis889 -0.765573 0.272333 -2.8112 0.0050575 **
fesisCHL.2000 0.637416 0.185715 3.4322 0.0006295 ***
fesisCHL.2003 -0.628131 0.153983 -4.0792 4.974e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2002 0.512781 0.147855 3.4681 0.0005522 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.510922 0.143722 3.5549 0.0004004 ***
fesisCOL.2012 0.262783 0.119380 2.2012 0.0280058 *
fesisCRI.2008 -0.958635 0.112248 -8.5403 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.749927 0.195309 3.8397 0.0001330 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.438515 0.113556 3.8616 0.0001218 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.705293 0.112426 6.2734 5.794e-10 ***
fesisEST.2016 0.632510 0.250775 2.5222 0.0118555 *
fesisEST.2017 -1.264165 0.280338 -4.5094 7.478e-06 ***
fesisGRC.2005 0.723662 0.198695 3.6421 0.0002880 ***
fesisGRC.2007 -0.751430 0.188203 -3.9927 7.138e-05 ***
fesisHUN.1999 -1.218103 0.222841 -5.4662 6.154e-08 ***
fesisHUN.2001 0.682062 0.183821 3.7105 0.0002213 ***
fesisISL.2010 -0.892333 0.141910 -6.2880 5.298e-10 ***
fesisISL.2014 0.799434 0.157230 5.0845 4.599e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.688125 0.116690 5.8970 5.468e-09 ***
fesisLTU.2006 -0.596127 0.129509 -4.6030 4.846e-06 ***
fesisLUX.2016 -0.945077 0.184913 -5.1109 4.017e-07 ***
fesisLUX.2018 0.811281 0.243136 3.3367 0.0008870 ***
fesisLVA.2002 -1.075067 0.148903 -7.2199 1.216e-12 ***
fesisLVA.2014 -0.540622 0.134469 -4.0204 6.362e-05 ***
fesisMEX.2001 0.655884 0.154315 4.2503 2.388e-05 ***
fesisSVK.2008 -1.005021 0.189459 -5.3047 1.464e-07 ***
fesisSVK.2010 0.637948 0.190246 3.3533 0.0008363 ***
fesisSVN.2003 0.946297 0.262582 3.6038 0.0003331 ***
fesisSVN.2004 -0.999885 0.251595 -3.9742 7.703e-05 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.593932 0.124337 -4.7768 2.120e-06 ***
fesisTUR.2002 0.390496 0.145046 2.6922 0.0072469 **
fesisTUR.2014 0.467049 0.127787 3.6549 0.0002741 ***
fesisTWN.2001 1.061027 0.140903 7.5302 1.375e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.0967 1 0.1476
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 16.7978 1 4.158e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.23948
R-squared 0.98967
Log-lik.(n=936) 79.68561 top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:27:06 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.5773e-01 7.5058e-03 127.5985 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.0379e-13 7.4858e-14 1.3865 0.1661891
pop 2.9123e-07 1.0090e-07 2.8863 0.0040607 **
idAUT 6.3230e+00 1.0839e+01 0.5833 0.5599138
idBEL -5.5588e-02 1.0812e+01 -0.0051 0.9958998
idBRA -5.4236e+01 2.0220e+01 -2.6823 0.0075452 **
idCAN 3.5172e+00 1.0847e+01 0.3243 0.7458687
idCHE 3.9153e+00 1.0849e+01 0.3609 0.7183223
idCHN -3.1842e+02 1.2949e+02 -2.4591 0.0142555 *
idDEU 5.6683e+01 1.5553e+01 3.6446 0.0002949 ***
idDNK 1.5211e+01 1.0909e+01 1.3943 0.1638306
idESP -6.2110e+00 1.1004e+01 -0.5644 0.5726987
idFIN 1.4664e+00 1.0878e+01 0.1348 0.8928124
idFRA 1.0864e+01 1.1656e+01 0.9320 0.3517622
idGBR 4.1394e+00 1.1536e+01 0.3588 0.7198728
idIND -3.0116e+02 1.0488e+02 -2.8714 0.0042546 **
idISR 2.2236e+00 1.0852e+01 0.2049 0.8377225
idITA -7.5890e+00 1.1391e+01 -0.6662 0.5055542
idJPN 8.1307e+01 3.7908e+01 2.1448 0.0324317 *
idKOR -6.9319e+01 6.5116e+01 -1.0645 0.2875809
idNLD 3.2680e+00 1.0775e+01 0.3033 0.7617810
idNOR 1.9236e+00 1.0892e+01 0.1766 0.8598871
idRUS -4.5937e+01 1.6662e+01 -2.7569 0.0060409 **
idSGP 9.1873e-01 1.0887e+01 0.0844 0.9327820
idSWE 1.6508e+00 1.0833e+01 0.1524 0.8789379
idTWN 1.2305e+01 1.0804e+01 1.1390 0.2552487
idUSA 6.5477e+01 3.1114e+01 2.1044 0.0358270 *
time1996 -1.3527e+01 1.0706e+01 -1.2634 0.2070070
time1997 -9.4576e+00 1.0717e+01 -0.8825 0.3779241
time1998 -2.5774e+00 1.0738e+01 -0.2400 0.8103990
time1999 -3.7163e+00 1.0823e+01 -0.3434 0.7314532
time2000 8.8823e-01 1.0838e+01 0.0820 0.9347137
time2001 2.3839e+00 1.0756e+01 0.2216 0.8246934
time2002 -7.6516e+00 1.0776e+01 -0.7100 0.4780018
time2003 -1.6272e+01 1.0948e+01 -1.4863 0.1378131
time2004 1.1725e+01 1.0702e+01 1.0956 0.2737829
time2005 1.8108e+01 1.0710e+01 1.6908 0.0914763 .
time2006 4.5360e+00 1.0820e+01 0.4192 0.6752173
time2007 3.1482e+01 1.0844e+01 2.9032 0.0038514 **
time2008 2.0217e+01 1.0876e+01 1.8589 0.0636030 .
time2009 2.8695e+01 1.1130e+01 2.5782 0.0102067 *
time2010 2.5468e+01 1.1128e+01 2.2886 0.0225050 *
time2011 1.2046e+01 1.1108e+01 1.0845 0.2786647
time2012 -2.6521e+01 1.1161e+01 -2.3762 0.0178546 *
time2013 -2.6244e+01 1.1327e+01 -2.3170 0.0208933 *
time2014 -1.9562e+01 1.1134e+01 -1.7570 0.0795173 .
time2015 -1.2694e+01 1.1133e+01 -1.1402 0.2547276
time2016 -5.3616e+00 1.1163e+01 -0.4803 0.6312027
time2017 8.7854e+00 1.1113e+01 0.7906 0.4295664
time2018 2.7980e+00 1.1130e+01 0.2514 0.8016090
time2019 -2.6172e+01 1.1236e+01 -2.3293 0.0202302 *
iis165 4.3593e+02 3.9931e+01 10.9171 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 4.2271e+02 4.0505e+01 10.4359 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.2091e+02 4.1314e+01 10.1881 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 1.3312e+02 4.2329e+01 3.1449 0.0017568 **
iis186 -3.7721e+02 4.0831e+01 -9.2383 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis388 3.0624e+02 4.0274e+01 7.6037 1.366e-13 ***
iis389 2.6446e+02 3.9988e+01 6.6136 9.379e-11 ***
iis392 1.9670e+02 3.9919e+01 4.9274 1.124e-06 ***
iis398 5.0287e+02 4.3774e+01 11.4880 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 1.2086e+03 4.3022e+01 28.0923 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 3.8463e+02 4.2881e+01 8.9697 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -4.7052e+02 4.3236e+01 -10.8826 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -5.3515e+02 4.2810e+01 -12.5007 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis404 -2.9375e+02 4.2566e+01 -6.9012 1.515e-11 ***
iis408 -8.3656e+02 4.2589e+01 -19.6428 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 3.9628e+02 4.0737e+01 9.7276 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis423 3.3705e+02 4.1966e+01 8.0315 6.550e-15 ***
iis426 2.1934e+02 4.5683e+01 4.8014 2.066e-06 ***
iis429 4.2973e+02 4.4558e+01 9.6444 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis587 3.1359e+02 3.9401e+01 7.9589 1.107e-14 ***
iis588 4.0024e+02 3.9490e+01 10.1352 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis589 4.1751e+02 3.9856e+01 10.4755 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 3.2551e+02 4.0590e+01 8.0193 7.155e-15 ***
iis595 -4.2725e+02 4.2054e+01 -10.1595 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.0485e+02 2.1327e+01 9.6055 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.5430e+02 2.2350e+01 -11.3780 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2004 -6.9733e+01 2.6497e+01 -2.6318 0.0087482 **
fesisJPN.2009 7.4440e+01 2.7050e+01 2.7520 0.0061321 **
fesisKOR.2003 1.0707e+02 3.5646e+01 3.0036 0.0027969 **
fesisKOR.2014 -3.6854e+02 4.0072e+01 -9.1970 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.0559e+02 3.7075e+01 5.5452 4.689e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.4466e+02 2.1146e+01 -6.8409 2.232e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.8203 1 0.1773
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 33.5487 1 6.95e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 37.27557
R-squared 0.99835
Log-lik.(n=600) -2980.86604 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:27:05 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.8892e-01 1.7006e-02 52.2718 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 3.2958e-14 1.3795e-13 0.2389 0.8112641
pop 3.0177e-08 6.9198e-08 0.4361 0.6629530
idAUT 2.8106e+00 1.0071e+01 0.2791 0.7803119
idBEL -5.0831e+00 1.0076e+01 -0.5045 0.6141417
idBRA -1.3810e+01 1.5284e+01 -0.9035 0.3666889
idCAN 1.4053e+01 1.0250e+01 1.3711 0.1709489
idCHE 1.0762e+00 1.0077e+01 0.1068 0.9149928
idCHN -1.8177e+01 8.6516e+01 -0.2101 0.8336702
idDEU 1.0705e+02 1.6390e+01 6.5313 1.595e-10 ***
idDNK 1.7113e+01 1.0190e+01 1.6795 0.0936784 .
idESP 9.1894e-01 1.0176e+01 0.0903 0.9280847
idFIN -4.9854e+00 1.0108e+01 -0.4932 0.6220762
idFRA 3.9418e+01 1.1415e+01 3.4532 0.0006007 ***
idGBR 2.7079e+01 1.0938e+01 2.4757 0.0136251 *
idIND -3.6733e+01 7.6946e+01 -0.4774 0.6332900
idISR -2.2355e+00 1.0084e+01 -0.2217 0.8246456
idITA 5.3352e+00 1.0411e+01 0.5125 0.6085495
idJPN 1.9929e+02 6.3764e+01 3.1255 0.0018775 **
idKOR 1.8096e+02 1.6137e+02 1.1214 0.2626612
idNLD 3.7295e+00 1.0051e+01 0.3710 0.7107565
idNOR -5.0197e+00 1.0147e+01 -0.4947 0.6210368
idRUS -1.1026e+01 1.3512e+01 -0.8161 0.4148413
idSGP -6.6624e+00 1.0131e+01 -0.6576 0.5110767
idSWE -1.6067e+00 1.0090e+01 -0.1592 0.8735428
idTWN 2.1389e+01 1.0275e+01 2.0817 0.0378714 *
idUSA 1.9550e+02 2.7657e+01 7.0688 5.237e-12 ***
time1996 -1.1673e+01 1.0022e+01 -1.1647 0.2446852
time1997 -5.9865e+00 1.0022e+01 -0.5974 0.5505354
time1998 2.7782e+00 1.0024e+01 0.2771 0.7817806
time1999 1.2892e+00 1.0100e+01 0.1277 0.8984767
time2000 7.9588e+00 1.0106e+01 0.7875 0.4313548
time2001 9.3745e+00 1.0032e+01 0.9345 0.3505103
time2002 4.2426e+00 1.0051e+01 0.4221 0.6731227
time2003 -7.3039e+00 1.0152e+01 -0.7195 0.4721959
time2004 1.9444e+01 1.0032e+01 1.9381 0.0531727 .
time2005 2.8613e+01 1.0060e+01 2.8443 0.0046315 **
time2006 2.3039e+01 1.0232e+01 2.2517 0.0247727 *
time2007 3.2661e+01 1.0342e+01 3.1580 0.0016836 **
time2008 3.3121e+01 1.0177e+01 3.2545 0.0012123 **
time2009 4.1929e+01 1.0447e+01 4.0136 6.887e-05 ***
time2010 4.1661e+01 1.0506e+01 3.9654 8.387e-05 ***
time2011 2.9188e+01 1.0634e+01 2.7447 0.0062724 **
time2012 -1.7515e+01 1.0768e+01 -1.6266 0.1044545
time2013 -1.0821e+01 1.0726e+01 -1.0089 0.3135244
time2014 -6.5982e+00 1.0575e+01 -0.6239 0.5329633
time2015 9.9497e+00 1.0532e+01 0.9447 0.3452520
time2016 6.2850e+00 1.0440e+01 0.6020 0.5474271
time2017 2.0554e+01 1.0394e+01 1.9776 0.0485238 *
time2018 1.5678e+01 1.0404e+01 1.5070 0.1324320
time2019 -1.2971e+01 1.0479e+01 -1.2379 0.2163379
iis165 4.2909e+02 3.8341e+01 11.1915 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 4.5129e+02 4.0517e+01 11.1383 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.8232e+02 4.3883e+01 10.9910 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 2.2601e+02 4.8094e+01 4.6993 3.373e-06 ***
iis180 1.1933e+02 4.0941e+01 2.9146 0.0037200 **
iis186 -3.9725e+02 3.9920e+01 -9.9511 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis188 -2.5209e+02 3.8963e+01 -6.4699 2.325e-10 ***
iis388 2.4430e+02 4.2842e+01 5.7025 2.014e-08 ***
iis389 2.3018e+02 4.0314e+01 5.7098 1.935e-08 ***
iis392 1.9477e+02 3.8653e+01 5.0389 6.535e-07 ***
iis396 1.9342e+02 3.8613e+01 5.0092 7.572e-07 ***
iis398 4.0520e+02 4.5477e+01 8.9099 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 1.1545e+03 4.1512e+01 27.8104 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 4.2115e+02 4.1437e+01 10.1636 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -3.9525e+02 4.3649e+01 -9.0552 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -4.9818e+02 4.1056e+01 -12.1341 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis404 -2.9816e+02 3.9780e+01 -7.4951 2.999e-13 ***
iis408 -8.2909e+02 3.9767e+01 -20.8486 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis409 -1.5856e+02 7.1662e+01 -2.2127 0.0273682 *
iis410 -1.7337e+02 6.6567e+01 -2.6044 0.0094755 **
iis411 -1.9438e+02 7.1070e+01 -2.7350 0.0064581 **
iis412 -1.6621e+02 6.1657e+01 -2.6958 0.0072573 **
iis413 -1.7923e+02 5.4138e+01 -3.3106 0.0009978 ***
iis414 -1.4418e+02 5.0111e+01 -2.8771 0.0041836 **
iis415 -2.1448e+02 4.4559e+01 -4.8135 1.963e-06 ***
iis419 -1.5983e+02 3.9207e+01 -4.0766 5.309e-05 ***
iis422 2.6861e+02 5.0065e+01 5.3652 1.235e-07 ***
iis423 2.5211e+02 4.4962e+01 5.6072 3.392e-08 ***
iis426 1.9862e+02 4.4432e+01 4.4702 9.659e-06 ***
iis429 3.9893e+02 4.3234e+01 9.2274 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis587 1.7713e+02 4.9845e+01 3.5537 0.0004156 ***
iis588 3.0973e+02 4.6028e+01 6.7291 4.651e-11 ***
iis589 3.5058e+02 4.2378e+01 8.2727 1.177e-15 ***
iis590 2.9247e+02 4.0337e+01 7.2507 1.570e-12 ***
iis595 -3.7476e+02 4.0783e+01 -9.1892 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 1.3512e+02 1.8507e+01 7.3008 1.122e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.9714e+02 2.6259e+01 7.5074 2.757e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.3553e+02 2.3004e+01 -5.8916 6.999e-09 ***
fesisJPN.1999 8.9405e+01 3.3967e+01 2.6321 0.0087456 **
fesisJPN.2009 2.1560e+02 3.6112e+01 5.9703 4.472e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.5393e+02 5.3295e+01 2.8883 0.0040396 **
fesisKOR.2014 -3.7554e+02 4.0095e+01 -9.3663 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.2035e+02 4.0210e+01 5.4801 6.727e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2006 1.7660e+02 4.5950e+01 3.8433 0.0001369 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.9800e+02 2.7149e+01 -7.2931 1.182e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.3612 1 0.243329
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.0207 1 0.001548 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 34.7698
R-squared 0.9986
Log-lik.(n=600) -2932.6126 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:28:13 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.636232 0.024910 25.5415 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.762430 0.084396 9.0340 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.048106 0.266119 -3.9385 9.302e-05 ***
idAUT 0.195904 0.236754 0.8275 0.4083512
idBEL -0.498357 0.250474 -1.9897 0.0471455 *
idBRA 1.058534 0.555081 1.9070 0.0570651 .
idCAN 0.669440 0.131204 5.1023 4.692e-07 ***
idCHE -0.316161 0.255001 -1.2398 0.2155842
idCHN 2.476612 1.026591 2.4125 0.0161857 *
idDEU 1.904768 0.362058 5.2609 2.088e-07 ***
idDNK -1.727383 0.371643 -4.6480 4.241e-06 ***
idESP 1.078493 0.216157 4.9894 8.239e-07 ***
idFIN -0.173430 0.342615 -0.5062 0.6129324
idFRA 1.435668 0.296685 4.8390 1.716e-06 ***
idGBR 1.444132 0.292571 4.9360 1.071e-06 ***
idIND 1.376620 0.972640 1.4153 0.1575582
idISR -0.866030 0.278275 -3.1121 0.0019581 **
idITA 1.112735 0.273465 4.0690 5.444e-05 ***
idJPN -1.235605 0.507598 -2.4342 0.0152550 *
idKOR -3.320619 0.492158 -6.7471 3.984e-11 ***
idNLD 0.475386 0.095432 4.9814 8.571e-07 ***
idNOR -2.303228 0.429565 -5.3618 1.235e-07 ***
idRUS -0.901839 0.498676 -1.8085 0.0711035 .
idSGP -0.675070 0.416322 -1.6215 0.1055060
idSWE -1.019041 0.278536 -3.6586 0.0002791 ***
idTWN 0.818604 0.082912 9.8732 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 2.158710 0.664717 3.2476 0.0012381 **
time1996 -2.401691 4.133730 -0.5810 0.5614899
time1997 -2.451111 4.135741 -0.5927 0.5536591
time1998 -2.347439 4.136885 -0.5674 0.5706560
time1999 -2.255193 4.138382 -0.5449 0.5860214
time2000 -2.258907 4.140164 -0.5456 0.5855661
time2001 -2.219308 4.140840 -0.5360 0.5922151
time2002 -2.254488 4.142533 -0.5442 0.5865139
time2003 -2.192736 4.143455 -0.5292 0.5968863
time2004 -2.143159 4.145184 -0.5170 0.6053565
time2005 -2.076703 4.147272 -0.5007 0.6167635
time2006 -2.018724 4.149216 -0.4865 0.6267927
time2007 -1.902666 4.151926 -0.4583 0.6469538
time2008 -1.855776 4.153772 -0.4468 0.6552255
time2009 -1.822779 4.155064 -0.4387 0.6610670
time2010 -1.841407 4.155587 -0.4431 0.6578636
time2011 -1.850125 4.157268 -0.4450 0.6564780
time2012 -1.970290 4.159034 -0.4737 0.6358834
time2013 -2.083790 4.161045 -0.5008 0.6167314
time2014 -2.072210 4.163007 -0.4978 0.6188555
time2015 -2.119408 4.164977 -0.5089 0.6110604
time2016 -2.025424 4.167035 -0.4861 0.6271275
time2017 -1.983459 4.168720 -0.4758 0.6344170
time2018 -2.042743 4.170210 -0.4898 0.6244497
time2019 -2.191854 4.171666 -0.5254 0.5995161
iis50 0.886995 0.191038 4.6430 4.340e-06 ***
iis56 -0.612040 0.190237 -3.2173 0.0013738 **
iis73 -0.733782 0.192059 -3.8206 0.0001490 ***
iis94 -0.965798 0.203253 -4.7517 2.605e-06 ***
iis195 1.129026 0.198224 5.6957 2.044e-08 ***
iis223 -0.765278 0.190102 -4.0256 6.517e-05 ***
iis483 0.764872 0.195267 3.9171 0.0001014 ***
iis506 -1.158394 0.207854 -5.5731 3.998e-08 ***
iis515 -1.058932 0.200685 -5.2766 1.926e-07 ***
iis553 -0.918330 0.196135 -4.6821 3.616e-06 ***
iis556 -0.803460 0.191224 -4.2017 3.112e-05 ***
iis557 -0.741189 0.192446 -3.8514 0.0001319 ***
fesisBEL.1997 0.607294 0.190634 3.1856 0.0015298 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.298997 0.094958 3.1487 0.0017327 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.463684 0.083493 5.5536 4.444e-08 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.727865 0.169925 -4.2834 2.188e-05 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.563909 0.119736 4.7096 3.178e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.421045 0.088927 -4.7347 2.823e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -0.809319 0.161851 -5.0004 7.803e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.071970 0.151958 7.0544 5.477e-12 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.389012 0.101909 -3.8172 0.0001510 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.597890 0.141110 -4.2370 2.674e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.8282 1 0.09262 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 17.8007 1 2.453e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.18162
R-squared 0.98876
Log-lik.(n=600) 208.63173 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:28:09 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.633359 0.022676 27.9311 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.604574 0.086134 7.0190 7.350e-12 ***
lpop -1.125066 0.286065 -3.9329 9.583e-05 ***
idAUT -0.100008 0.243333 -0.4110 0.6812552
idBEL -0.314928 0.199172 -1.5812 0.1144707
idBRA 1.501689 0.588232 2.5529 0.0109806 *
idCAN 0.729195 0.134828 5.4083 9.893e-08 ***
idCHE -0.445876 0.277635 -1.6060 0.1089132
idCHN 3.285069 1.091027 3.0110 0.0027362 **
idDEU 2.114409 0.381776 5.5383 4.951e-08 ***
idDNK -1.734702 0.399491 -4.3423 1.709e-05 ***
idESP 0.881185 0.225409 3.9093 0.0001054 ***
idFIN -0.600038 0.355862 -1.6862 0.0923929 .
idFRA 1.573096 0.314014 5.0096 7.587e-07 ***
idGBR 1.551567 0.310304 5.0002 7.950e-07 ***
idIND 2.185000 1.022396 2.1371 0.0330735 *
idISR -1.633142 0.371785 -4.3927 1.369e-05 ***
idITA 1.211826 0.290954 4.1650 3.670e-05 ***
idJPN -0.165271 0.512161 -0.3227 0.7470632
idKOR -2.188347 0.493529 -4.4341 1.139e-05 ***
idNLD 0.322275 0.090318 3.5682 0.0003942 ***
idNOR -2.319882 0.460159 -5.0415 6.478e-07 ***
idRUS -0.289414 0.509648 -0.5679 0.5703785
idSGP -1.145973 0.435186 -2.6333 0.0087189 **
idSWE -0.974176 0.290549 -3.3529 0.0008606 ***
idTWN 0.750565 0.078261 9.5905 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 2.744874 0.701433 3.9132 0.0001037 ***
time1996 3.302996 4.285935 0.7707 0.4412744
time1997 3.270984 4.287089 0.7630 0.4458337
time1998 3.387480 4.288120 0.7900 0.4299221
time1999 3.471767 4.289693 0.8093 0.4187133
time2000 3.476901 4.291444 0.8102 0.4182159
time2001 3.512752 4.291993 0.8184 0.4134957
time2002 3.421026 4.293041 0.7969 0.4259022
time2003 3.540172 4.293742 0.8245 0.4100527
time2004 3.573256 4.295176 0.8319 0.4058511
time2005 3.648806 4.296983 0.8492 0.3962028
time2006 3.673378 4.298309 0.8546 0.3931780
time2007 3.815471 4.301162 0.8871 0.3754644
time2008 3.852013 4.302646 0.8953 0.3710775
time2009 3.912240 4.304318 0.9089 0.3638370
time2010 3.894794 4.304632 0.9048 0.3660134
time2011 3.891353 4.306336 0.9036 0.3666262
time2012 3.774275 4.308211 0.8761 0.3814168
time2013 3.682159 4.309944 0.8543 0.3933272
time2014 3.691070 4.312226 0.8560 0.3924345
time2015 3.611275 4.314061 0.8371 0.4029412
time2016 3.734756 4.316159 0.8653 0.3872928
time2017 3.769558 4.317644 0.8731 0.3830516
time2018 3.705600 4.319124 0.8580 0.3913318
time2019 3.624907 4.320660 0.8390 0.4018883
iis27 -0.524443 0.160244 -3.2728 0.0011389 **
iis49 -0.474768 0.181760 -2.6121 0.0092716 **
iis50 1.007119 0.182043 5.5323 5.114e-08 ***
iis56 -0.720985 0.161639 -4.4605 1.012e-05 ***
iis58 -0.566003 0.161327 -3.5084 0.0004916 ***
iis72 -0.634182 0.161181 -3.9346 9.518e-05 ***
iis73 -0.917359 0.192545 -4.7644 2.489e-06 ***
iis82 0.519657 0.162496 3.1980 0.0014720 **
iis83 0.513767 0.162552 3.1606 0.0016702 **
iis92 0.643901 0.162063 3.9731 8.141e-05 ***
iis94 -0.657708 0.162397 -4.0500 5.939e-05 ***
iis95 0.535322 0.162332 3.2977 0.0010445 **
iis145 -0.596500 0.168117 -3.5481 0.0004247 ***
iis147 -0.409195 0.165821 -2.4677 0.0139340 *
iis194 -0.480417 0.167868 -2.8619 0.0043888 **
iis195 1.041198 0.169040 6.1595 1.506e-09 ***
iis218 -0.361345 0.171813 -2.1031 0.0359552 *
iis223 -0.533500 0.171459 -3.1115 0.0019681 **
iis457 0.430095 0.161484 2.6634 0.0079863 **
iis474 -0.458964 0.159810 -2.8719 0.0042535 **
iis481 0.368186 0.168846 2.1806 0.0296805 *
iis483 0.822877 0.168394 4.8866 1.385e-06 ***
iis487 0.384521 0.167244 2.2992 0.0219086 *
iis490 0.418126 0.168784 2.4773 0.0135695 *
iis506 -1.158426 0.175506 -6.6005 1.051e-10 ***
iis510 -0.511159 0.222053 -2.3020 0.0217488 *
iis515 -0.963431 0.171646 -5.6129 3.308e-08 ***
iis517 0.357915 0.172200 2.0785 0.0381768 *
iis528 -0.451729 0.164726 -2.7423 0.0063206 **
iis553 -0.958510 0.166945 -5.7415 1.634e-08 ***
iis556 -0.836655 0.161318 -5.1864 3.125e-07 ***
iis557 -0.774997 0.162521 -4.7686 2.440e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2001 0.245710 0.098962 2.4829 0.0133613 *
fesisBRA.1999 -0.541231 0.143811 -3.7635 0.0001875 ***
fesisBRA.2002 0.401651 0.101293 3.9652 8.407e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.597467 0.167213 -3.5731 0.0003871 ***
fesisCHE.2004 0.490543 0.161912 3.0297 0.0025752 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.256648 0.095433 2.6893 0.0074004 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.411382 0.073424 5.6028 3.495e-08 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.276991 0.083599 3.3133 0.0009891 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.717927 0.143655 -4.9976 8.052e-07 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.688625 0.103662 6.6430 8.073e-11 ***
fesisISR.1997 0.576121 0.168543 3.4183 0.0006819 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.375676 0.167185 -2.2471 0.0250732 *
fesisISR.2006 0.792266 0.180692 4.3846 1.418e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.381719 0.104286 -3.6603 0.0002788 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.263223 0.085634 -3.0738 0.0022294 **
fesisSGP.2001 -0.505920 0.175537 -2.8821 0.0041206 **
fesisSGP.2003 0.791363 0.172152 4.5969 5.443e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.224373 0.095873 -2.3403 0.0196610 *
fesisSWE.1998 -0.563195 0.119622 -4.7081 3.245e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.274 1 0.0040216 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.435 1 0.0002469 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15287
R-squared 0.99248
Log-lik.(n=600) 326.54962 top_50
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:52:54 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.6011e-01 4.5440e-03 211.2900 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.1107e-17 1.7922e-15 0.0118 0.990605
pop 2.2389e-08 3.8273e-08 0.5850 0.558680
idAUS 6.3034e+00 6.6314e+00 0.9505 0.342055
idAUT 9.0007e+00 6.7056e+00 1.3423 0.179790
idBEL 3.3525e+00 6.6817e+00 0.5017 0.615957
idBGR 7.5737e-01 6.6981e+00 0.1131 0.909994
idBRA -2.0710e+00 8.7461e+00 -0.2368 0.812861
idCAN 1.2783e+01 6.6394e+00 1.9254 0.054446 .
idCHE 6.4251e+00 6.7137e+00 0.9570 0.338778
idCHL 7.0008e-01 6.6483e+00 0.1053 0.916155
idCHN -3.9496e+00 4.7984e+01 -0.0823 0.934416
idCZE 1.2408e+00 6.6796e+00 0.1858 0.852667
idDEU 7.7421e+01 8.8722e+00 8.7262 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.7085e+01 6.7640e+00 2.5259 0.011681 *
idESP 6.1392e+00 6.5950e+00 0.9309 0.352120
idFIN 3.3970e+00 6.7202e+00 0.5055 0.613320
idFRA 2.8043e+01 6.7880e+00 4.1313 3.886e-05 ***
idGBR 2.0939e+01 6.7187e+00 3.1166 0.001878 **
idGRC 8.2838e-01 6.6762e+00 0.1241 0.901276
idHKG 1.4840e+00 6.7034e+00 0.2214 0.824838
idHUN 9.9349e-01 6.6823e+00 0.1487 0.881839
idIND -1.8594e+01 4.4571e+01 -0.4172 0.676630
idIRL 2.2980e+00 6.7236e+00 0.3418 0.732585
idIRN -8.0885e-01 2.1442e+01 -0.0377 0.969915
idISR 4.7172e+00 6.7100e+00 0.7030 0.482199
idITA 8.6445e+00 6.6362e+00 1.3026 0.192985
idJPN 1.6440e+02 1.2976e+01 12.6693 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 2.9368e+01 1.0041e+01 2.9248 0.003518 **
idLUX 8.9785e-01 6.7538e+00 0.1329 0.894266
idMEX -1.1171e+00 7.0886e+00 -0.1576 0.874810
idMYS 6.4510e-01 6.6007e+00 0.0977 0.922163
idNLD 8.0983e+00 6.6634e+00 1.2153 0.224500
idNOR 4.0051e+00 6.7227e+00 0.5958 0.551459
idNZL 1.4021e+00 6.7239e+00 0.2085 0.834863
idPHL -1.2088e+00 6.8589e+00 -0.1762 0.860144
idPOL 1.3463e+00 6.5825e+00 0.2045 0.837975
idPRT 1.0767e+00 6.6795e+00 0.1612 0.871967
idROU 4.2755e-01 6.6226e+00 0.0646 0.948536
idRUS 6.6795e-01 7.6950e+00 0.0868 0.930845
idSAU 2.0479e+00 6.6008e+00 0.3103 0.756425
idSGP 2.7369e+00 6.7222e+00 0.4071 0.683985
idSVK 8.6318e-01 6.7143e+00 0.1286 0.897731
idSVN 9.2755e-01 6.7409e+00 0.1376 0.890582
idSWE 4.9491e+00 6.6978e+00 0.7389 0.460116
idTHA -5.8845e-01 6.6600e+00 -0.0884 0.929610
idTUR 9.5333e-01 6.6901e+00 0.1425 0.886713
idTWN 1.8649e+01 6.6830e+00 2.7905 0.005355 **
idUKR 6.6181e-01 6.5870e+00 0.1005 0.919989
idUSA 1.4089e+02 1.4026e+01 10.0451 < 2.2e-16 ***
idVNM -1.1039e+00 8.1709e+00 -0.1351 0.892559
idZAF 4.2724e-01 6.5947e+00 0.0648 0.948357
time1996 -8.1331e+00 5.7787e+00 -1.4074 0.159589
time1997 -5.7067e+00 5.7849e+00 -0.9865 0.324121
time1998 -2.1743e+00 5.7906e+00 -0.3755 0.707369
time1999 -2.1962e+00 5.8069e+00 -0.3782 0.705349
time2000 4.2723e-01 5.8121e+00 0.0735 0.941417
time2001 1.7263e+00 5.8006e+00 0.2976 0.766066
time2002 -3.6331e+00 5.8050e+00 -0.6259 0.531544
time2003 -6.9429e+00 5.8322e+00 -1.1904 0.234139
time2004 2.1878e+00 5.8340e+00 0.3750 0.707722
time2005 9.2383e+00 5.8259e+00 1.5857 0.113092
time2006 3.7766e+00 5.8480e+00 0.6458 0.518552
time2007 1.1759e+01 5.8927e+00 1.9955 0.046243 *
time2008 1.2270e+01 5.8739e+00 2.0889 0.036954 *
time2009 1.1004e+01 5.9100e+00 1.8619 0.062890 .
time2010 1.1439e+01 5.8921e+00 1.9414 0.052472 .
time2011 3.8597e+00 5.8943e+00 0.6548 0.512721
time2012 -1.3428e+01 5.9176e+00 -2.2692 0.023454 *
time2013 -1.4036e+01 5.9346e+00 -2.3651 0.018203 *
time2014 -1.2379e+01 5.9248e+00 -2.0894 0.036903 *
time2015 -2.8175e+00 5.9474e+00 -0.4737 0.635791
time2016 -6.0636e+00 5.9381e+00 -1.0211 0.307414
time2017 5.0722e+00 5.9476e+00 0.8528 0.393949
time2018 -1.9815e+00 5.9400e+00 -0.3336 0.738755
time2019 -9.8070e+00 5.9762e+00 -1.6410 0.101087
iis237 4.0046e+02 2.4533e+01 16.3234 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 3.9190e+02 2.4796e+01 15.8048 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 3.9238e+02 2.5211e+01 15.5635 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 8.4258e+01 2.5775e+01 3.2689 0.001113 **
iis276 1.3035e+02 2.6797e+01 4.8643 1.319e-06 ***
iis278 8.5410e+01 2.6619e+01 3.2086 0.001373 **
iis282 -4.8972e+02 2.5877e+01 -18.9245 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis284 -3.0263e+02 2.5769e+01 -11.7437 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis288 -2.3173e+02 2.5775e+01 -8.9906 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis604 3.0148e+02 2.4576e+01 12.2673 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis605 2.6210e+02 2.4442e+01 10.7232 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis608 1.8461e+02 2.4466e+01 7.5459 9.510e-14 ***
iis612 1.6466e+02 2.4730e+01 6.6581 4.404e-11 ***
iis614 5.1797e+02 2.6492e+01 19.5519 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 1.2206e+03 2.5986e+01 46.9707 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 3.8753e+02 2.5886e+01 14.9705 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis617 -4.8926e+02 2.6158e+01 -18.7040 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis618 -5.5086e+02 2.5879e+01 -21.2856 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis620 -3.0499e+02 2.5766e+01 -11.8371 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis624 -8.5298e+02 2.5769e+01 -33.1014 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis633 1.6466e+02 2.5277e+01 6.5142 1.118e-10 ***
iis638 3.6500e+02 2.8644e+01 12.7430 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis639 3.1025e+02 2.8328e+01 10.9522 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis642 1.7881e+02 2.8236e+01 6.3326 3.529e-10 ***
iis643 -2.4091e+02 2.6615e+01 -9.0517 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis644 -2.1859e+02 2.6614e+01 -8.2132 6.095e-16 ***
iis645 4.2327e+02 2.6652e+01 15.8813 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1139 3.1702e+02 2.3844e+01 13.2955 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1140 4.2246e+02 2.3905e+01 17.6730 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1141 4.2754e+02 2.4160e+01 17.6964 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1142 3.4479e+02 2.4598e+01 14.0173 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1147 -4.5585e+02 2.5990e+01 -17.5398 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1150 -1.0570e+02 2.5758e+01 -4.1036 4.374e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2008 9.9924e+01 1.1070e+01 9.0264 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.7323e+02 1.5721e+01 11.0192 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.2082e+02 2.6679e+01 -12.0253 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 1.9499e+02 2.5950e+01 7.5139 1.200e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.5213e+02 2.4914e+01 -6.1061 1.422e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2009 2.2462e+02 2.6376e+01 8.5159 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.0988e+02 1.3693e+01 8.0246 2.637e-15 ***
fesisKOR.2009 9.6729e+01 2.0417e+01 4.7376 2.450e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -1.6836e+02 2.1119e+01 -7.9719 3.949e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.1933e+02 1.3788e+01 -8.6548 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.38698 1 0.5339
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 58.54843 1 1.987e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 22.79995
R-squared 0.99884
Log-lik.(n=1200) -5395.33639 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:52:47 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2461e-01 8.4500e-03 109.4207 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.5315e-16 1.5576e-15 -0.2267 0.8206846
pop 2.4930e-08 3.3260e-08 0.7495 0.4536955
idAUS 8.8543e+00 5.7793e+00 1.5321 0.1258028
idAUT 1.1571e+01 5.8447e+00 1.9797 0.0479970 *
idBEL 4.8066e+00 5.8060e+00 0.8279 0.4079380
idBGR 8.5737e-01 5.8114e+00 0.1475 0.8827397
idBRA -1.9711e+00 7.5918e+00 -0.2596 0.7951935
idCAN 1.9131e+01 5.9140e+00 3.2349 0.0012543 **
idCHE 9.4181e+00 5.8609e+00 1.6069 0.1083646
idCHL 8.2976e-01 5.7681e+00 0.1439 0.8856438
idCHN -3.6134e+00 4.1678e+01 -0.0867 0.9309278
idCZE 1.5322e+00 5.7957e+00 0.2644 0.7915434
idDEU 9.9400e+01 9.0118e+00 11.0300 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 2.2779e+01 5.9938e+00 3.8005 0.0001526 ***
idESP 9.2525e+00 5.7587e+00 1.6067 0.1084162
idFIN 4.8674e+00 5.8399e+00 0.8335 0.4047609
idFRA 3.9477e+01 6.3566e+00 6.2104 7.559e-10 ***
idGBR 2.9754e+01 6.1132e+00 4.8672 1.302e-06 ***
idGRC 1.0767e+00 5.7927e+00 0.1859 0.8525761
idHKG 1.8248e+00 5.8166e+00 0.3137 0.7537962
idHUN 1.2284e+00 5.7979e+00 0.2119 0.8322490
idIND -1.9103e+01 3.8719e+01 -0.4934 0.6218463
idIRL 2.7416e+00 5.8345e+00 0.4699 0.6385227
idIRN 3.3499e+00 1.8630e+01 0.1798 0.8573285
idISR 6.9156e+00 5.8416e+00 1.1839 0.2367301
idITA 1.2742e+01 5.8200e+00 2.1893 0.0287938 *
idJPN 1.4530e+02 1.7151e+01 8.4715 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 3.4646e+01 8.7947e+00 3.9394 8.700e-05 ***
idLUX 1.0118e+00 5.8599e+00 0.1727 0.8629464
idMEX -1.1345e+00 6.1509e+00 -0.1844 0.8537036
idMYS 8.3617e-01 5.7267e+00 0.1460 0.8839394
idNLD 1.1593e+01 5.8294e+00 1.9887 0.0469939 *
idNOR 5.1980e+00 5.8390e+00 0.8902 0.3735461
idNZL 1.8436e+00 5.8348e+00 0.3160 0.7520916
idPHL -1.3386e+00 5.9514e+00 -0.2249 0.8220763
idPOL 1.7860e+00 5.7115e+00 0.3127 0.7545706
idPRT 1.3427e+00 5.7956e+00 0.2317 0.8168366
idROU 5.5846e-01 5.7457e+00 0.0972 0.9225887
idRUS 1.8442e+00 6.6805e+00 0.2761 0.7825608
idSAU 2.3916e+00 5.7272e+00 0.4176 0.6763351
idSGP 3.7011e+00 5.8365e+00 0.6341 0.5261367
idSVK 9.8203e-01 5.8255e+00 0.1686 0.8661641
idSVN 1.0296e+00 5.8487e+00 0.1760 0.8602944
idSWE 7.3938e+00 5.8353e+00 1.2671 0.2054052
idTHA -6.3127e-01 5.7782e+00 -0.1093 0.9130240
idTUR 1.2263e+00 5.8044e+00 0.2113 0.8327151
idTWN 2.5702e+01 5.9876e+00 4.2925 1.927e-05 ***
idUKR 9.1733e-01 5.7149e+00 0.1605 0.8725061
idUSA -5.3707e+00 2.2240e+01 -0.2415 0.8092197
idVNM -2.5521e-01 7.0911e+00 -0.0360 0.9712967
idZAF 8.3903e-01 5.7219e+00 0.1466 0.8834478
time1996 -5.5202e+00 5.0425e+00 -1.0947 0.2738767
time1997 -6.9386e+00 5.0376e+00 -1.3774 0.1686917
time1998 -5.3964e+00 5.0493e+00 -1.0687 0.2854239
time1999 -4.1968e+00 5.0512e+00 -0.8309 0.4062427
time2000 -1.3425e+00 5.0526e+00 -0.2657 0.7905177
time2001 8.6865e-01 5.0462e+00 0.1721 0.8633609
time2002 -4.0827e+00 5.0458e+00 -0.8091 0.4186198
time2003 -8.2557e+00 5.0651e+00 -1.6299 0.1034121
time2004 -2.8789e-01 5.0805e+00 -0.0567 0.9548231
time2005 6.5892e+00 5.0722e+00 1.2991 0.1941944
time2006 4.6487e+00 5.0783e+00 0.9154 0.3601895
time2007 1.1770e+01 5.1128e+00 2.3020 0.0215245 *
time2008 1.2823e+01 5.1079e+00 2.5105 0.0122025 *
time2009 1.1867e+01 5.1298e+00 2.3133 0.0208966 *
time2010 9.3713e+00 5.1406e+00 1.8230 0.0685820 .
time2011 6.5449e+00 5.1327e+00 1.2751 0.2025418
time2012 -1.0033e+01 5.1463e+00 -1.9496 0.0514881 .
time2013 -1.1056e+01 5.1564e+00 -2.1441 0.0322492 *
time2014 -8.3109e+00 5.1622e+00 -1.6100 0.1077027
time2015 -3.7579e+00 5.1746e+00 -0.7262 0.4678638
time2016 -5.5338e+00 5.1573e+00 -1.0730 0.2835113
time2017 3.0592e+00 5.1700e+00 0.5917 0.5541697
time2018 -1.2112e+00 5.1736e+00 -0.2341 0.8149402
time2019 -8.1555e+00 5.1995e+00 -1.5685 0.1170542
iis236 9.1586e+01 2.1499e+01 4.2601 2.224e-05 ***
iis237 4.2585e+02 2.1662e+01 19.6584 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 4.3683e+02 2.2690e+01 19.2521 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 4.5095e+02 2.4266e+01 18.5839 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 1.5749e+02 2.6201e+01 6.0111 2.527e-09 ***
iis276 3.1337e+02 2.0824e+01 15.0486 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis277 1.9105e+02 2.1290e+01 8.9734 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis278 2.8779e+02 2.1735e+01 13.2405 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis279 2.0249e+02 2.2536e+01 8.9851 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis280 2.3457e+02 2.3127e+01 10.1425 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis281 -9.7292e+01 2.3866e+01 -4.0766 4.909e-05 ***
iis282 -3.9753e+02 2.3248e+01 -17.0996 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis284 -2.2267e+02 2.1837e+01 -10.1971 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis288 -2.8815e+02 2.4535e+01 -11.7446 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis603 1.0950e+02 2.4489e+01 4.4715 8.597e-06 ***
iis604 3.0419e+02 2.4608e+01 12.3613 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis605 2.7942e+02 2.3625e+01 11.8269 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis608 2.1868e+02 2.3099e+01 9.4669 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis609 1.1673e+02 2.3099e+01 5.0533 5.106e-07 ***
iis610 1.4432e+02 2.3179e+01 6.2265 6.844e-10 ***
iis612 3.0895e+02 2.8337e+01 10.9029 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 5.1540e+02 3.0660e+01 16.8102 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 1.2442e+03 2.9000e+01 42.9030 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 4.5370e+02 2.8659e+01 15.8313 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis617 -4.0824e+02 2.9471e+01 -13.8522 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis618 -4.8621e+02 2.8616e+01 -16.9907 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis624 -7.7204e+02 2.8273e+01 -27.3068 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis633 1.5440e+02 2.2074e+01 6.9945 4.688e-12 ***
iis638 3.2652e+02 2.6233e+01 12.4468 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis639 2.9496e+02 2.4938e+01 11.8278 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis642 3.4012e+02 2.3120e+01 14.7114 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis643 -2.3821e+02 2.3123e+01 -10.3019 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis644 -2.2130e+02 2.3109e+01 -9.5764 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis645 4.1020e+02 2.3294e+01 17.6099 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1139 7.7608e+01 3.1882e+01 2.4342 0.0150881 *
iis1140 1.9828e+02 3.0456e+01 6.5105 1.150e-10 ***
iis1141 2.2063e+02 2.9160e+01 7.5662 8.270e-14 ***
iis1142 1.5489e+02 2.8447e+01 5.4449 6.432e-08 ***
iis1147 -4.4857e+02 2.3803e+01 -18.8450 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1150 -1.1880e+02 2.3083e+01 -5.1469 3.151e-07 ***
iis1152 -6.6415e+01 2.3180e+01 -2.8652 0.0042490 **
fesisCHN.2008 1.0766e+02 1.0643e+01 10.1157 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2017 1.3488e+02 1.6178e+01 8.3374 2.318e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 6.1667e+01 2.1233e+01 2.9043 0.0037566 **
fesisJPN.2007 -9.1087e+01 2.3723e+01 -3.8396 0.0001305 ***
fesisJPN.2009 2.2368e+02 3.0338e+01 7.3727 3.345e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2015 -2.5436e+02 2.8277e+01 -8.9955 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2016 3.6156e+02 2.4545e+01 14.7305 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -1.3929e+02 2.4568e+01 -5.6694 1.843e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.2913e+02 1.2505e+01 10.3260 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.4901e+02 2.1078e+01 7.0693 2.807e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2013 -1.5396e+02 1.8504e+01 -8.3205 2.649e-16 ***
fesisUSA.1997 1.9814e+02 2.1371e+01 9.2714 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 2.4249e+02 2.8966e+01 8.3714 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -2.3001e+02 2.3103e+01 -9.9555 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -7.4910e+01 1.7591e+01 -4.2585 2.240e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.0369 1 0.3086
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 67.4815 1 2.22e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 19.78042
R-squared 0.99914
Log-lik.(n=1200) -5218.35755 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:54:39 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.416097 0.023779 17.4983 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.656927 0.103110 6.3711 2.764e-10 ***
lpop 0.089231 0.212437 0.4200 0.6745437
idAUS 0.315878 0.375333 0.8416 0.4002005
idAUT 1.396931 0.460428 3.0340 0.0024707 **
idBEL 0.889325 0.423779 2.0986 0.0360855 *
idBGR 1.440739 0.499848 2.8824 0.0040247 **
idBRA -1.415822 0.458960 -3.0848 0.0020879 **
idCAN 0.690948 0.352869 1.9581 0.0504749 .
idCHE 1.094754 0.480484 2.2784 0.0228932 *
idCHL -4.323771 0.713032 -6.0639 1.829e-09 ***
idCHN -1.750170 0.785148 -2.2291 0.0260109 *
idCZE -1.511602 0.503965 -2.9994 0.0027665 **
idDEU 1.333376 0.379430 3.5142 0.0004593 ***
idDNK 0.300354 0.577145 0.5204 0.6028808
idESP 0.464337 0.334300 1.3890 0.1651219
idFIN 1.368145 0.523012 2.6159 0.0090225 **
idFRA 0.842411 0.356518 2.3629 0.0183083 *
idGBR 0.819771 0.351920 2.3294 0.0200186 *
idGRC 0.395024 0.417084 0.9471 0.3437932
idHKG -0.909613 0.532931 -1.7068 0.0881423 .
idHUN -3.060106 0.651021 -4.7005 2.928e-06 ***
idIND -2.833101 0.789129 -3.5902 0.0003452 ***
idIRL 1.026902 0.579328 1.7726 0.0765789 .
idIRN -7.112342 1.030521 -6.9017 8.707e-12 ***
idISR 0.561197 0.498247 1.1263 0.2602684
idITA 0.373576 0.347034 1.0765 0.2819504
idJPN -1.521327 0.703181 -2.1635 0.0307202 *
idKOR -2.740984 0.811580 -3.3773 0.0007578 ***
idLUX 1.780586 0.959089 1.8565 0.0636468 .
idMEX -2.657492 0.459785 -5.7799 9.755e-09 ***
idMYS -0.733255 0.339518 -2.1597 0.0310139 *
idNLD 1.053387 0.383478 2.7469 0.0061148 **
idNOR -0.406992 0.610198 -0.6670 0.5049242
idNZL 0.716507 0.554891 1.2913 0.1968881
idPHL -2.944857 0.434105 -6.7837 1.918e-11 ***
idPOL -0.731064 0.336719 -2.1711 0.0301360 *
idPRT 0.460111 0.422958 1.0878 0.2769055
idROU -0.196279 0.351079 -0.5591 0.5762261
idRUS -2.677275 0.562010 -4.7637 2.157e-06 ***
idSAU -1.666008 0.371469 -4.4849 8.067e-06 ***
idSGP 0.760728 0.541100 1.4059 0.1600417
idSVK 0.865889 0.521628 1.6600 0.0972077 .
idSVN 1.354570 0.679681 1.9929 0.0465162 *
idSWE -0.211724 0.517060 -0.4095 0.6822706
idTHA -2.570641 0.406998 -6.3161 3.901e-10 ***
idTUR -1.173313 0.362546 -3.2363 0.0012473 **
idTWN 0.212063 0.374542 0.5662 0.5713800
idUKR -1.193101 0.350130 -3.4076 0.0006793 ***
idUSA 0.426466 0.547183 0.7794 0.4359221
idVNM -6.349240 0.854771 -7.4280 2.222e-13 ***
idZAF -0.907466 0.373842 -2.4274 0.0153687 *
time1996 -18.255823 3.818450 -4.7810 1.984e-06 ***
time1997 -18.244343 3.821475 -4.7742 2.051e-06 ***
time1998 -18.071921 3.823408 -4.7267 2.581e-06 ***
time1999 -18.117424 3.824593 -4.7371 2.455e-06 ***
time2000 -17.991552 3.827179 -4.7010 2.921e-06 ***
time2001 -17.922821 3.827882 -4.6822 3.196e-06 ***
time2002 -17.997904 3.828684 -4.7008 2.923e-06 ***
time2003 -17.837925 3.830834 -4.6564 3.614e-06 ***
time2004 -17.914384 3.832241 -4.6746 3.313e-06 ***
time2005 -17.724655 3.834898 -4.6219 4.256e-06 ***
time2006 -17.567957 3.836280 -4.5794 5.200e-06 ***
time2007 -17.460823 3.838489 -4.5489 5.998e-06 ***
time2008 -17.490059 3.839206 -4.5556 5.812e-06 ***
time2009 -17.317413 3.838542 -4.5115 7.137e-06 ***
time2010 -17.338080 3.840165 -4.5149 7.023e-06 ***
time2011 -17.347833 3.841072 -4.5164 6.975e-06 ***
time2012 -17.461550 3.842473 -4.5444 6.126e-06 ***
time2013 -17.593768 3.844542 -4.5763 5.277e-06 ***
time2014 -17.584035 3.847793 -4.5699 5.437e-06 ***
time2015 -17.563463 3.850038 -4.5619 5.645e-06 ***
time2016 -17.655678 3.851785 -4.5838 5.095e-06 ***
time2017 -17.591076 3.854675 -4.5636 5.601e-06 ***
time2018 -17.691688 3.856623 -4.5874 5.010e-06 ***
time2019 -17.770946 3.857864 -4.6064 4.580e-06 ***
iis4 1.193831 0.329151 3.6270 0.0003000 ***
iis5 -0.890976 0.330113 -2.6990 0.0070624 **
iis20 -1.243897 0.328871 -3.7823 0.0001638 ***
iis415 -1.097052 0.328384 -3.3408 0.0008638 ***
iis448 -1.005995 0.327971 -3.0673 0.0022131 **
iis462 1.081437 0.329991 3.2772 0.0010817 **
iis465 0.915488 0.328690 2.7853 0.0054412 **
iis669 -0.928114 0.330196 -2.8108 0.0050305 **
iis677 -1.114290 0.328450 -3.3926 0.0007173 ***
iis702 -1.175879 0.328785 -3.5764 0.0003636 ***
iis802 1.118944 0.328599 3.4052 0.0006853 ***
iis816 -1.088042 0.330470 -3.2924 0.0010252 **
iis883 -1.462935 0.328495 -4.4534 9.321e-06 ***
iis938 -1.149360 0.329481 -3.4884 0.0005053 ***
iis993 -1.362933 0.328845 -4.1446 3.668e-05 ***
iis1000 -1.080264 0.328184 -3.2916 0.0010280 **
iis1063 0.962092 0.332459 2.8939 0.0038811 **
iis1176 -1.521333 0.341022 -4.4611 9.000e-06 ***
iis1198 -0.878932 0.332325 -2.6448 0.0082916 **
fesisARG.1997 -0.918784 0.329239 -2.7906 0.0053524 **
fesisBGR.1998 -0.838416 0.240089 -3.4921 0.0004984 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.486858 0.162025 3.0048 0.0027181 **
fesisCHN.2016 0.576866 0.191592 3.0109 0.0026648 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.530685 0.134477 3.9463 8.446e-05 ***
fesisIRL.2001 -1.449785 0.269438 -5.3808 9.077e-08 ***
fesisIRL.2003 1.206076 0.240632 5.0121 6.279e-07 ***
fesisIRN.2000 -0.809569 0.194559 -4.1611 3.417e-05 ***
fesisIRN.2009 0.512173 0.145305 3.5248 0.0004414 ***
fesisLUX.2001 -0.630919 0.165747 -3.8065 0.0001488 ***
fesisSAU.2011 1.007592 0.147202 6.8450 1.275e-11 ***
fesisTUR.2002 0.539024 0.154929 3.4792 0.0005229 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.977426 0.167444 5.8373 6.993e-09 ***
fesisVNM.2006 -0.810397 0.178423 -4.5420 6.194e-06 ***
fesisVNM.2011 0.896320 0.185091 4.8426 1.467e-06 ***
fesisZAF.2005 -0.502571 0.138251 -3.6352 0.0002907 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.221 1 0.0004724 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 48.724 1 2.947e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.31762
R-squared 0.97677
Log-lik.(n=1200) -270.95186 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:54:29 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.315881 0.023037 13.7120 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.970849 0.100602 9.6504 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.873394 0.236538 -3.6924 0.0002339 ***
idAUS 1.019737 0.275548 3.7008 0.0002264 ***
idAUT 1.679617 0.392578 4.2784 2.059e-05 ***
idBEL 1.302659 0.345455 3.7708 0.0001720 ***
idBGR 1.245021 0.388799 3.2022 0.0014058 **
idBRA 0.040964 0.459976 0.0891 0.9290542
idCAN 1.867677 0.232846 8.0211 2.853e-15 ***
idCHE 1.132591 0.426040 2.6584 0.0079734 **
idCHL -5.632550 0.683340 -8.2427 5.123e-16 ***
idCHN 2.159375 0.771455 2.7991 0.0052209 **
idCZE -1.981290 0.467710 -4.2362 2.479e-05 ***
idDEU 3.408060 0.273473 12.4622 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -0.930459 0.580707 -1.6023 0.1094012
idESP 1.554195 0.217615 7.1420 1.744e-12 ***
idFIN 1.308935 0.472478 2.7704 0.0057008 **
idFRA 2.648842 0.239122 11.0774 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 2.627691 0.233684 11.2446 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGRC 0.842677 0.333543 2.5264 0.0116724 *
idHKG -1.589191 0.509062 -3.1218 0.0018479 **
idHUN -4.259425 0.636556 -6.6914 3.635e-11 ***
idIND 0.471158 0.746654 0.6310 0.5281640
idIRL 0.468649 0.513647 0.9124 0.3617761
idIRN -8.549877 0.949569 -9.0040 < 2.2e-16 ***
idISR 0.360178 0.455084 0.7915 0.4288621
idITA 2.054324 0.225456 9.1119 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN -0.554840 0.599397 -0.9257 0.3548385
idKOR -3.515309 0.728064 -4.8283 1.587e-06 ***
idLUX -0.466630 0.982528 -0.4749 0.6349398
idMEX -1.880757 0.380078 -4.9483 8.747e-07 ***
idMYS 0.583101 0.354369 1.6455 0.1001813
idNLD 1.804732 0.285888 6.3127 4.079e-10 ***
idNOR -1.412986 0.604328 -2.3381 0.0195733 *
idNZL 0.348978 0.520294 0.6707 0.5025426
idPHL -1.576137 0.322571 -4.8862 1.193e-06 ***
idPOL 0.372587 0.210743 1.7680 0.0773641 .
idPRT 0.916705 0.339309 2.7017 0.0070130 **
idROU 0.828600 0.233664 3.5461 0.0004087 ***
idRUS -1.055391 0.458461 -2.3020 0.0215337 *
idSAU -1.255445 0.276568 -4.5394 6.312e-06 ***
idSGP 0.049765 0.534198 0.0932 0.9257966
idSVK 1.184021 0.453957 2.6082 0.0092340 **
idSVN 0.642768 0.648019 0.9919 0.3214821
idSWE -0.113442 0.486471 -0.2332 0.8156573
idTHA -1.562095 0.295974 -5.2778 1.596e-07 ***
idTUR 0.612755 0.252450 2.4272 0.0153861 *
idTWN 1.181208 0.269716 4.3795 1.312e-05 ***
idUKR -0.239939 0.256109 -0.9369 0.3490505
idUSA 3.267191 0.484072 6.7494 2.483e-11 ***
idVNM -7.049274 0.765451 -9.2093 < 2.2e-16 ***
idZAF 0.212082 0.253727 0.8359 0.4034257
time1996 -11.151527 3.733377 -2.9870 0.0028846 **
time1997 -11.179103 3.734335 -2.9936 0.0028233 **
time1998 -10.988095 3.735621 -2.9414 0.0033405 **
time1999 -10.962934 3.737552 -2.9332 0.0034298 **
time2000 -10.952768 3.740030 -2.9285 0.0034813 **
time2001 -10.825306 3.740920 -2.8938 0.0038874 **
time2002 -10.899106 3.740687 -2.9137 0.0036499 **
time2003 -10.785342 3.742418 -2.8819 0.0040353 **
time2004 -10.807343 3.744496 -2.8862 0.0039813 **
time2005 -10.645111 3.746421 -2.8414 0.0045807 **
time2006 -10.457094 3.747824 -2.7902 0.0053658 **
time2007 -10.332225 3.750072 -2.7552 0.0059696 **
time2008 -10.270056 3.751424 -2.7376 0.0062955 **
time2009 -10.088799 3.750830 -2.6898 0.0072669 **
time2010 -10.109773 3.752576 -2.6941 0.0071737 **
time2011 -10.092630 3.754081 -2.6884 0.0072953 **
time2012 -10.209939 3.755536 -2.7186 0.0066660 **
time2013 -10.327713 3.757186 -2.7488 0.0060869 **
time2014 -10.362762 3.759760 -2.7562 0.0059511 **
time2015 -10.377856 3.761781 -2.7588 0.0059056 **
time2016 -10.445117 3.763186 -2.7756 0.0056104 **
time2017 -10.391246 3.764846 -2.7601 0.0058821 **
time2018 -10.484139 3.766674 -2.7834 0.0054784 **
time2019 -10.592316 3.768363 -2.8109 0.0050353 **
iis1 1.207469 0.329170 3.6682 0.0002568 ***
iis4 0.810343 0.285588 2.8375 0.0046374 **
iis5 -1.006433 0.285838 -3.5210 0.0004489 ***
iis20 -1.115238 0.281542 -3.9612 7.975e-05 ***
iis98 1.027419 0.294453 3.4893 0.0005050 ***
iis111 -0.619763 0.277241 -2.2355 0.0256019 *
iis115 -0.706166 0.277420 -2.5455 0.0110587 *
iis197 0.700515 0.275148 2.5460 0.0110436 *
iis199 1.009049 0.275099 3.6679 0.0002571 ***
iis217 -0.610515 0.288038 -2.1196 0.0342829 *
iis247 -0.830792 0.274707 -3.0243 0.0025545 **
iis410 0.662673 0.276220 2.3991 0.0166144 *
iis415 -1.068942 0.275968 -3.8734 0.0001141 ***
iis416 0.705978 0.277457 2.5445 0.0110906 *
iis421 -0.717363 0.275647 -2.6025 0.0093895 **
iis448 -1.031448 0.274411 -3.7588 0.0001804 ***
iis460 -0.600190 0.276125 -2.1736 0.0299626 *
iis462 1.012634 0.277121 3.6541 0.0002712 ***
iis465 0.888499 0.275594 3.2239 0.0013044 **
iis468 0.697693 0.275045 2.5367 0.0113395 *
iis510 -0.896797 0.275352 -3.2569 0.0011633 **
iis511 -1.723999 0.275424 -6.2594 5.675e-10 ***
iis530 0.682037 0.310328 2.1978 0.0281873 *
iis651 0.682028 0.300378 2.2706 0.0233805 *
iis666 -0.880363 0.277403 -3.1736 0.0015506 **
iis669 -0.967636 0.278019 -3.4805 0.0005217 ***
iis670 -0.805231 0.278842 -2.8878 0.0039615 **
iis674 1.150861 0.310525 3.7062 0.0002217 ***
iis677 -0.626387 0.310242 -2.0190 0.0437448 *
iis700 -0.923773 0.277987 -3.3231 0.0009219 ***
iis701 0.548080 0.277941 1.9719 0.0488870 *
iis702 -1.210435 0.277331 -4.3646 1.403e-05 ***
iis791 -0.885514 0.274937 -3.2208 0.0013187 **
iis800 0.841106 0.278958 3.0152 0.0026317 **
iis801 -0.626951 0.278982 -2.2473 0.0248345 *
iis802 1.186147 0.278672 4.2564 2.268e-05 ***
iis816 -0.951822 0.279209 -3.4090 0.0006775 ***
iis883 -1.190031 0.294770 -4.0371 5.814e-05 ***
iis931 1.085597 0.294518 3.6860 0.0002398 ***
iis932 1.016201 0.296477 3.4276 0.0006332 ***
iis933 0.926484 0.297357 3.1157 0.0018860 **
iis934 1.154294 0.297701 3.8774 0.0001123 ***
iis935 0.968949 0.298577 3.2452 0.0012116 **
iis936 1.006614 0.298592 3.3712 0.0007764 ***
iis938 -0.971156 0.294474 -3.2979 0.0010075 **
iis942 -0.629352 0.295377 -2.1307 0.0333539 *
iis980 0.926379 0.283173 3.2714 0.0011058 **
iis985 0.864378 0.290437 2.9761 0.0029878 **
iis993 -1.155991 0.279146 -4.1412 3.740e-05 ***
iis1000 -1.000887 0.277948 -3.6010 0.0003322 ***
iis1037 0.680809 0.275241 2.4735 0.0135410 *
iis1045 -0.679273 0.275022 -2.4699 0.0136780 *
iis1060 -0.643093 0.294215 -2.1858 0.0290569 *
iis1063 0.997367 0.282438 3.5313 0.0004320 ***
iis1081 -0.719213 0.300855 -2.3906 0.0170026 *
iis1128 0.694419 0.278600 2.4925 0.0128408 *
iis1153 0.898611 0.285602 3.1464 0.0017008 **
iis1166 -0.683701 0.300305 -2.2767 0.0230110 *
iis1176 -1.481153 0.285499 -5.1880 2.563e-07 ***
iis1192 -0.574382 0.279428 -2.0556 0.0400782 *
iis1198 -0.960900 0.279672 -3.4358 0.0006145 ***
iis1200 -0.550081 0.279894 -1.9653 0.0496475 *
fesisARG.1999 0.630223 0.213614 2.9503 0.0032471 **
fesisARG.2009 -0.361322 0.128138 -2.8198 0.0048983 **
fesisBGR.2002 0.670326 0.294731 2.2744 0.0231506 *
fesisBGR.2003 -0.988159 0.280058 -3.5284 0.0004366 ***
fesisBRA.1997 0.637932 0.287490 2.2190 0.0267072 *
fesisBRA.2004 0.466862 0.123722 3.7735 0.0001702 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.356526 0.143947 2.4768 0.0134178 *
fesisCHN.2016 0.560233 0.162105 3.4560 0.0005708 ***
fesisDNK.1998 0.684072 0.210447 3.2506 0.0011893 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.485516 0.118963 4.0812 4.828e-05 ***
fesisESP.2004 0.645142 0.119548 5.3965 8.444e-08 ***
fesisIRN.2000 -0.641546 0.180923 -3.5460 0.0004089 ***
fesisIRN.2009 0.386106 0.131333 2.9399 0.0033570 **
fesisIRN.2017 0.706166 0.183018 3.8585 0.0001212 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.596516 0.121172 4.9229 9.936e-07 ***
fesisLUX.2001 -1.144112 0.300408 -3.8085 0.0001481 ***
fesisLUX.2002 0.793365 0.279199 2.8416 0.0045784 **
fesisMEX.2001 0.594372 0.169229 3.5122 0.0004638 ***
fesisMYS.1997 -1.244394 0.380114 -3.2737 0.0010969 **
fesisMYS.1998 0.826423 0.279458 2.9572 0.0031754 **
fesisPHL.2002 -0.281298 0.136355 -2.0630 0.0393655 *
fesisROU.2014 -0.472314 0.145421 -3.2479 0.0012004 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.598402 0.116617 -5.1313 3.441e-07 ***
fesisSAU.2009 0.650901 0.149161 4.3637 1.408e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.486522 0.144178 3.3745 0.0007674 ***
fesisSVK.2008 -1.075661 0.207373 -5.1871 2.575e-07 ***
fesisSVK.2010 0.687494 0.210166 3.2712 0.0011067 **
fesisSVN.2003 0.813696 0.290170 2.8042 0.0051395 **
fesisSVN.2004 -0.887168 0.278176 -3.1892 0.0014699 **
fesisSWE.2002 -0.618063 0.129060 -4.7890 1.924e-06 ***
fesisTUR.2002 0.394839 0.146742 2.6907 0.0072464 **
fesisTUR.2014 0.458782 0.138445 3.3138 0.0009526 ***
fesisTWN.2001 1.020513 0.153420 6.6517 4.709e-11 ***
fesisUKR.2000 0.796869 0.191023 4.1716 3.281e-05 ***
fesisUKR.2004 -0.780840 0.154923 -5.0402 5.498e-07 ***
fesisVNM.2005 0.752145 0.285755 2.6321 0.0086128 **
fesisVNM.2006 -1.372732 0.300153 -4.5734 5.385e-06 ***
fesisVNM.2011 0.779495 0.166617 4.6784 3.280e-06 ***
fesisZAF.2005 -0.437960 0.119775 -3.6565 0.0002687 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.32255 1 0.5701
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 31.70927 1 1.791e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.26560
R-squared 0.98474
Log-lik.(n=1200) -23.31103 SOLAR
oecd
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:27:51 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2833e-01 8.2533e-03 112.4798 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.9274e-14 1.3890e-14 1.3876 0.1656364
pop 2.7348e-07 6.8168e-08 4.0119 6.567e-05 ***
idAUT 2.1331e+00 3.8969e+00 0.5474 0.5842590
idBEL 6.8078e-01 3.8637e+00 0.1762 0.8601822
idCAN -3.6184e+00 3.8844e+00 -0.9315 0.3518485
idCHE 3.6287e+00 3.9113e+00 0.9278 0.3538066
idCHL -4.9661e+00 4.2637e+00 -1.1647 0.2444610
idCHN -3.3434e+02 8.7155e+01 -3.8362 0.0001344 ***
idCOL -2.1453e+01 9.2703e+00 -2.3142 0.0209028 *
idCRI 4.3802e-01 3.9842e+00 0.1099 0.9124852
idCZE -5.6455e-01 3.8712e+00 -0.1458 0.8840883
idDEU 8.0861e+00 6.3792e+00 1.2676 0.2053060
idDNK 1.2908e+00 3.9430e+00 0.3274 0.7434659
idESP -6.1539e+00 4.1056e+00 -1.4989 0.1342846
idEST 1.7731e+00 4.0252e+00 0.4405 0.6596912
idFIN 1.7695e+00 3.9458e+00 0.4485 0.6539422
idFRA -5.6668e+00 4.7419e+00 -1.1950 0.2324136
idGRC -5.3385e-01 3.8637e+00 -0.1382 0.8901368
idHUN -9.8778e-01 3.9044e+00 -0.2530 0.8003398
idIRL 1.3280e+00 3.9645e+00 0.3350 0.7377236
idISL 2.0006e+00 4.0496e+00 0.4940 0.6214230
idISR 4.1355e+00 3.9159e+00 1.0561 0.2912407
idITA -8.9268e+00 4.5577e+00 -1.9586 0.0504950 .
idJPN 3.3995e+00 1.0567e+01 0.3217 0.7477504
idKOR -1.8580e+01 1.4127e+01 -1.3153 0.1887841
idLTU 1.3162e+00 3.9863e+00 0.3302 0.7413386
idLUX 2.0468e+00 4.0444e+00 0.5061 0.6129264
idLVA 1.5252e+00 4.0075e+00 0.3806 0.7035986
idMEX -2.7757e+01 7.1196e+00 -3.8987 0.0001045 ***
idNLD 1.8502e+00 3.8130e+00 0.4852 0.6276319
idNOR 1.4759e+00 3.9561e+00 0.3731 0.7091833
idNZL 1.2355e+00 3.9655e+00 0.3116 0.7554571
idPOL -7.7016e+00 3.9928e+00 -1.9289 0.0540858 .
idPRT -4.0661e-01 3.8697e+00 -0.1051 0.9163416
idSVK 7.2786e-01 3.9447e+00 0.1845 0.8536519
idSVN 1.7801e+00 4.0106e+00 0.4438 0.6572715
idSWE 1.1235e+00 3.8833e+00 0.2893 0.7724176
idTUR -1.6841e+01 5.1534e+00 -3.2679 0.0011279 **
idTWN 6.7828e+00 3.8322e+00 1.7699 0.0771033 .
idUSA -3.8129e+01 1.8483e+01 -2.0630 0.0394260 *
time1996 -4.5020e+00 3.5881e+00 -1.2547 0.2099419
time1997 -4.7235e+00 3.5982e+00 -1.3127 0.1896375
time1998 -3.3208e+00 3.6110e+00 -0.9196 0.3580320
time1999 -2.1659e+00 3.6202e+00 -0.5983 0.5498229
time2000 -2.7749e+00 3.6278e+00 -0.7649 0.4445596
time2001 -4.1414e+00 3.6372e+00 -1.1386 0.2551894
time2002 -5.5237e+00 3.6463e+00 -1.5149 0.1301799
time2003 -1.9613e+00 3.6561e+00 -0.5365 0.5917892
time2004 -1.3988e+00 3.6646e+00 -0.3817 0.7027712
time2005 2.8826e+00 3.6736e+00 0.7847 0.4328589
time2006 1.9722e+00 3.6886e+00 0.5347 0.5930125
time2007 4.2409e+00 3.7236e+00 1.1389 0.2550691
time2008 5.5291e+00 3.7591e+00 1.4709 0.1417105
time2009 1.0134e+01 3.7690e+00 2.6888 0.0073150 **
time2010 2.2959e-01 3.7620e+00 0.0610 0.9513496
time2011 -1.1026e+00 3.7733e+00 -0.2922 0.7702021
time2012 -6.2169e+00 3.7900e+00 -1.6403 0.1013116
time2013 -8.3409e+00 3.7801e+00 -2.2065 0.0276187 *
time2014 -6.0328e+00 3.8034e+00 -1.5861 0.1130865
time2015 -5.8912e+00 3.7367e+00 -1.5766 0.1152752
time2016 -4.3174e+00 3.7616e+00 -1.1478 0.2513982
time2017 -4.4922e-01 3.7794e+00 -0.1189 0.9054132
time2018 -6.3888e+00 3.7767e+00 -1.6916 0.0910924 .
time2019 -6.4711e+00 3.7752e+00 -1.7141 0.0868818 .
iis165 6.1990e+01 1.8888e+01 3.2819 0.0010741 **
iis166 1.3519e+02 1.9013e+01 7.1104 2.497e-12 ***
iis167 6.3115e+01 1.9326e+01 3.2658 0.0011362 **
iis168 -3.2315e+02 1.9625e+01 -16.4662 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis252 8.2673e+01 1.6675e+01 4.9580 8.639e-07 ***
iis253 1.6339e+02 1.6515e+01 9.8934 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis254 9.2178e+01 1.6360e+01 5.6343 2.407e-08 ***
iis257 -1.2836e+02 1.4897e+01 -8.6161 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis258 -1.3444e+02 1.4562e+01 -9.2322 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis541 2.5316e+02 1.3863e+01 18.2608 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis542 4.2753e+02 1.4115e+01 30.2889 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 4.5277e+02 1.5145e+01 29.8953 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -1.9801e+02 1.5916e+01 -12.4414 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis547 -6.9617e+01 1.5024e+01 -4.6338 4.167e-06 ***
iis550 -1.1116e+02 1.4930e+01 -7.4450 2.429e-13 ***
iis551 -4.4606e+01 1.5054e+01 -2.9632 0.0031319 **
iis565 8.4064e+01 1.5551e+01 5.4056 8.448e-08 ***
iis566 7.6744e+01 1.5434e+01 4.9725 8.034e-07 ***
iis571 -1.0025e+02 1.5415e+01 -6.5033 1.356e-10 ***
iis573 1.7561e+02 1.8931e+01 9.2761 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis574 -2.0481e+02 1.8935e+01 -10.8165 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis576 -1.7853e+02 1.8883e+01 -9.4544 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis923 1.5765e+02 2.0461e+01 7.7048 3.737e-14 ***
iis924 8.9916e+01 1.9694e+01 4.5657 5.731e-06 ***
iis925 2.8798e+02 1.9349e+01 14.8839 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis926 1.1305e+02 1.8914e+01 5.9770 3.372e-09 ***
iis929 -9.7417e+01 1.6344e+01 -5.9605 3.715e-09 ***
iis931 -1.1403e+02 1.6420e+01 -6.9448 7.653e-12 ***
iis933 -1.6533e+02 1.6408e+01 -10.0767 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis934 -2.1792e+02 1.6348e+01 -13.3299 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis936 -1.9376e+02 1.6357e+01 -11.8451 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2015 8.7151e+01 1.4634e+01 5.9555 3.827e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2007 3.5770e+01 1.1297e+01 3.1664 0.0015997 **
fesisDEU.2012 -7.5536e+01 1.1406e+01 -6.6227 6.332e-11 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -6.5385e+01 8.4463e+00 -7.7412 2.863e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.1154e+02 1.1056e+01 10.0887 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.0790e+02 1.1333e+01 -9.5214 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 6.4633e+01 1.5737e+01 4.1070 4.405e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2006 9.1500e+01 1.6911e+01 5.4106 8.222e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.3957e+02 1.6379e+01 -8.5214 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 9.4166e+01 1.4023e+01 6.7153 3.479e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 7.1693 1 0.007416 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 42.5775 1 6.793e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 13.15929
R-squared 0.99588
Log-lik.(n=936) -3687.31809 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:30:33 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.9196e-01 7.5190e-03 118.6276 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.8277e-14 1.2937e-14 1.4128 0.1580892
pop 3.2125e-07 6.4865e-08 4.9526 8.880e-07 ***
idAUT 2.2114e+00 3.6127e+00 0.6121 0.5406266
idBEL 4.9593e-01 3.5801e+00 0.1385 0.8898620
idCAN -4.2028e+00 3.6040e+00 -1.1661 0.2438981
idCHE 4.3174e+00 3.6304e+00 1.1893 0.2346807
idCHL -5.8855e+00 3.9485e+00 -1.4906 0.1364557
idCHN -3.9334e+02 8.2874e+01 -4.7463 2.442e-06 ***
idCOL -2.3207e+01 8.6145e+00 -2.6939 0.0072049 **
idCRI -4.8954e-02 3.6893e+00 -0.0133 0.9894162
idCZE -1.2869e+00 3.5838e+00 -0.3591 0.7196311
idDEU 8.1286e+00 5.9228e+00 1.3724 0.1703056
idDNK 1.0292e+00 3.6532e+00 0.2817 0.7782338
idESP -7.2385e+00 3.8195e+00 -1.8952 0.0584212 .
idEST 1.4211e+00 3.7288e+00 0.3811 0.7032115
idFIN 1.4616e+00 3.6555e+00 0.3998 0.6893872
idFRA -5.8821e+00 4.4066e+00 -1.3348 0.1823041
idGRC -1.2075e+00 3.5773e+00 -0.3375 0.7357930
idHUN -1.6582e+00 3.6145e+00 -0.4588 0.6465182
idIRL 9.6844e-01 3.6724e+00 0.2637 0.7920711
idISL 1.6904e+00 3.7519e+00 0.4505 0.6524361
idISR 4.6714e+00 3.6338e+00 1.2855 0.1989613
idITA -1.0175e+01 4.2507e+00 -2.3937 0.0169034 *
idJPN 7.7780e+00 9.7382e+00 0.7987 0.4246883
idKOR -1.8993e+01 1.3140e+01 -1.4455 0.1487090
idLTU 8.7989e-01 3.6919e+00 0.2383 0.8116837
idLUX 1.7565e+00 3.7473e+00 0.4687 0.6393805
idLVA 1.1224e+00 3.7119e+00 0.3024 0.7624416
idMEX -3.3178e+01 6.7500e+00 -4.9152 1.070e-06 ***
idNLD 1.9670e+00 3.5339e+00 0.5566 0.5779593
idNOR 1.1655e+00 3.6650e+00 0.3180 0.7505475
idNZL 8.4218e-01 3.6731e+00 0.2293 0.8187028
idPOL -9.6559e+00 3.7175e+00 -2.5974 0.0095606 **
idPRT -1.0722e+00 3.5829e+00 -0.2992 0.7648282
idSVK 2.3543e-01 3.6529e+00 0.0645 0.9486275
idSVN 1.4158e+00 3.7151e+00 0.3811 0.7032343
idSWE 8.2264e-01 3.5975e+00 0.2287 0.8191837
idTUR -2.0393e+01 4.8538e+00 -4.2014 2.942e-05 ***
idTWN 4.2752e+00 3.5852e+00 1.1924 0.2334286
idUSA -5.6805e+01 1.7310e+01 -3.2817 0.0010750 **
time1996 -4.4447e+00 3.3305e+00 -1.3345 0.1823951
time1997 -4.6638e+00 3.3400e+00 -1.3963 0.1629898
time1998 -3.2634e+00 3.3521e+00 -0.9735 0.3305750
time1999 -2.0528e+00 3.3601e+00 -0.6109 0.5414186
time2000 -2.5611e+00 3.3662e+00 -0.7608 0.4469715
time2001 -3.8519e+00 3.3740e+00 -1.1416 0.2539382
time2002 -5.2079e+00 3.3823e+00 -1.5398 0.1239979
time2003 -1.6663e+00 3.3917e+00 -0.4913 0.6233433
time2004 -9.8809e-01 3.3983e+00 -0.2908 0.7713043
time2005 1.0159e+00 3.4128e+00 0.2977 0.7660297
time2006 2.3843e+00 3.4177e+00 0.6976 0.4856025
time2007 4.6294e+00 3.4543e+00 1.3402 0.1805565
time2008 6.0477e+00 3.4818e+00 1.7369 0.0827744 .
time2009 7.7192e+00 3.5058e+00 2.2019 0.0279497 *
time2010 1.9436e+00 3.4757e+00 0.5592 0.5761795
time2011 -3.4475e-01 3.4945e+00 -0.0987 0.9214348
time2012 -4.8109e+00 3.4993e+00 -1.3748 0.1695610
time2013 -6.9978e+00 3.5012e+00 -1.9987 0.0459694 *
time2014 -5.0517e+00 3.5172e+00 -1.4363 0.1512990
time2015 -5.6057e+00 3.4683e+00 -1.6163 0.1064188
time2016 -3.7763e+00 3.4841e+00 -1.0839 0.2787418
time2017 -1.2911e-02 3.5018e+00 -0.0037 0.9970591
time2018 -5.4451e+00 3.5050e+00 -1.5535 0.1206786
time2019 -6.4788e+00 3.5033e+00 -1.8493 0.0647669 .
iis164 8.9561e+01 1.3548e+01 6.6107 6.861e-11 ***
iis165 1.5481e+02 1.3714e+01 11.2881 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 2.3372e+02 1.3968e+01 16.7318 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 1.6928e+02 1.4357e+01 11.7911 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 -2.1118e+02 1.4720e+01 -14.3463 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis252 6.6639e+01 1.5465e+01 4.3091 1.837e-05 ***
iis253 1.5208e+02 1.5308e+01 9.9348 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis254 9.1305e+01 1.5167e+01 6.0199 2.623e-09 ***
iis257 -1.1177e+02 1.3797e+01 -8.1015 1.946e-15 ***
iis258 -1.2505e+02 1.3471e+01 -9.2829 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis541 2.0157e+02 1.9262e+01 10.4649 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis542 3.8878e+02 1.8517e+01 20.9960 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 4.2562e+02 1.7731e+01 24.0037 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -1.7377e+02 1.4727e+01 -11.7994 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis547 -6.1929e+01 1.3924e+01 -4.4477 9.865e-06 ***
iis550 -1.1354e+02 1.3834e+01 -8.2070 8.678e-16 ***
iis551 -5.4183e+01 1.3947e+01 -3.8849 0.0001106 ***
iis565 8.7152e+01 1.5183e+01 5.7401 1.328e-08 ***
iis566 9.0249e+01 1.5161e+01 5.9526 3.899e-09 ***
iis568 3.5583e+01 1.5390e+01 2.3120 0.0210209 *
iis571 -9.9276e+01 1.4286e+01 -6.9492 7.454e-12 ***
iis573 1.7372e+02 1.7546e+01 9.9009 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis574 -1.9832e+02 1.7547e+01 -11.3021 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis576 -1.7586e+02 1.7502e+01 -10.0485 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis902 1.1303e+02 1.2647e+01 8.9373 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis922 9.4000e+01 1.2936e+01 7.2664 8.553e-13 ***
iis923 2.6536e+02 1.2918e+01 20.5424 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis924 2.0737e+02 1.3075e+01 15.8594 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis925 4.1196e+02 1.3339e+01 30.8843 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis926 2.5342e+02 1.4248e+01 17.7868 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis927 1.4256e+02 1.4750e+01 9.6654 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis929 -9.7363e+01 1.4452e+01 -6.7370 3.030e-11 ***
iis931 -1.7572e+02 1.7844e+01 -9.8474 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis932 4.1806e+01 1.7608e+01 2.3743 0.0178114 *
iis933 -1.3786e+02 1.7651e+01 -7.8101 1.732e-14 ***
iis934 -1.9534e+02 1.7543e+01 -11.1351 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis936 -1.7588e+02 1.7492e+01 -10.0552 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 5.7522e+01 1.0470e+01 5.4942 5.229e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -9.1298e+01 1.0572e+01 -8.6357 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 5.8396e+01 1.5864e+01 3.6810 0.0002474 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.0335e+02 1.4806e+01 -6.9802 6.053e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.1528e+02 1.1059e+01 10.4235 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -8.7358e+01 1.1910e+01 -7.3349 5.303e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2016 6.2580e+01 1.4587e+01 4.2902 1.996e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2014 5.2721e+01 1.3140e+01 4.0121 6.565e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.4054 1 0.1209
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 18.3371 1 1.851e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 12.19473
R-squared 0.99648
Log-lik.(n=936) -3614.06618 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:35:03 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.362825 0.027424 13.2302 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.374949 0.163100 2.2989 0.0217556 *
lpop 0.570715 0.321570 1.7748 0.0762964 .
idAUT 0.745180 0.360516 2.0670 0.0390410 *
idBEL 0.390336 0.296745 1.3154 0.1887351
idCAN -0.374299 0.186889 -2.0028 0.0455208 *
idCHE 0.906693 0.345011 2.6280 0.0087450 **
idCHL -3.415286 0.766913 -4.4533 9.596e-06 ***
idCHN -3.889998 1.301581 -2.9887 0.0028834 **
idCOL -4.280479 0.946099 -4.5243 6.928e-06 ***
idCRI -1.900633 0.767766 -2.4755 0.0134993 *
idCZE -1.569161 0.335876 -4.6719 3.474e-06 ***
idDEU 0.231968 0.435686 0.5324 0.5945750
idDNK -1.058895 0.490417 -2.1592 0.0311187 *
idESP -0.478377 0.286185 -1.6716 0.0949816 .
idEST 1.616934 0.998014 1.6202 0.1055740
idFIN 0.488010 0.495085 0.9857 0.3245595
idFRA -0.360810 0.363639 -0.9922 0.3213760
idGRC -0.234094 0.369332 -0.6338 0.5263631
idHUN -2.192172 0.615539 -3.5614 0.0003896 ***
idIRL 0.312614 0.550721 0.5676 0.5704276
idISL 0.681201 1.390059 0.4901 0.6242248
idISR 0.563951 0.354515 1.5908 0.1120372
idITA -0.531222 0.343827 -1.5450 0.1227151
idJPN -1.451011 0.986499 -1.4709 0.1417002
idKOR -3.098194 1.050596 -2.9490 0.0032764 **
idLTU 0.537211 0.772688 0.6952 0.4870905
idLUX 1.499425 1.199831 1.2497 0.2117577
idLVA 1.210313 0.881285 1.3734 0.1700091
idMEX -3.497874 0.583081 -5.9989 2.947e-09 ***
idNLD 0.417193 0.185652 2.2472 0.0248870 *
idNOR -0.511510 0.526187 -0.9721 0.3312765
idNZL 0.028954 0.546015 0.0530 0.9577217
idPOL -1.624235 0.237424 -6.8411 1.512e-11 ***
idPRT -0.190053 0.384513 -0.4943 0.6212448
idSVK 0.275013 0.604214 0.4552 0.6491127
idSVN 0.855833 0.848946 1.0081 0.3136902
idSWE -0.495812 0.353053 -1.4044 0.1605823
idTUR -1.951027 0.433571 -4.4999 7.754e-06 ***
idTWN -0.144275 0.204982 -0.7038 0.4817243
idUSA -0.817461 0.846869 -0.9653 0.3346843
time1996 -18.390933 6.093130 -3.0183 0.0026185 **
time1997 -18.416153 6.098141 -3.0200 0.0026044 **
time1998 -18.407580 6.102480 -3.0164 0.0026348 **
time1999 -18.259736 6.106389 -2.9903 0.0028685 **
time2000 -18.344669 6.111418 -3.0017 0.0027640 **
time2001 -18.244951 6.115221 -2.9835 0.0029317 **
time2002 -18.338505 6.118754 -2.9971 0.0028057 **
time2003 -18.031968 6.123200 -2.9449 0.0033199 **
time2004 -18.233431 6.126427 -2.9762 0.0030020 **
time2005 -18.020648 6.130908 -2.9393 0.0033793 **
time2006 -17.785133 6.135517 -2.8987 0.0038443 **
time2007 -17.590346 6.140568 -2.8646 0.0042791 **
time2008 -17.456835 6.141410 -2.8425 0.0045847 **
time2009 -17.309051 6.138934 -2.8196 0.0049220 **
time2010 -17.378460 6.142055 -2.8294 0.0047741 **
time2011 -17.455480 6.145372 -2.8404 0.0046140 **
time2012 -17.451704 6.147616 -2.8388 0.0046377 **
time2013 -17.723474 6.150136 -2.8818 0.0040546 **
time2014 -17.622701 6.153999 -2.8636 0.0042924 **
time2015 -17.768733 6.157576 -2.8857 0.0040056 **
time2016 -17.747732 6.160688 -2.8808 0.0040674 **
time2017 -17.765652 6.164852 -2.8818 0.0040551 **
time2018 -17.815449 6.168146 -2.8883 0.0039726 **
time2019 -17.990573 6.172519 -2.9146 0.0036555 **
iis74 -1.520465 0.429555 -3.5396 0.0004227 ***
iis76 -1.451094 0.429746 -3.3766 0.0007674 ***
iis143 -1.235791 0.429977 -2.8741 0.0041540 **
iis236 -1.371478 0.429162 -3.1957 0.0014468 **
iis421 -1.907533 0.429599 -4.4403 1.018e-05 ***
iis428 -1.284485 0.430068 -2.9867 0.0029018 **
iis507 -1.786862 0.430326 -4.1523 3.626e-05 ***
iis603 1.953083 0.430458 4.5372 6.528e-06 ***
iis721 1.679288 0.429913 3.9061 0.0001013 ***
iis731 1.875257 0.430160 4.3594 1.465e-05 ***
iis780 -1.835408 0.429053 -4.2778 2.104e-05 ***
iis806 -1.522111 0.430167 -3.5384 0.0004246 ***
iis807 1.122982 0.432903 2.5941 0.0096494 **
iis816 -1.177225 0.431403 -2.7288 0.0064885 **
iis832 -1.483506 0.429405 -3.4548 0.0005782 ***
iis840 1.169401 0.430246 2.7180 0.0067031 **
iis889 -1.300094 0.449892 -2.8898 0.0039540 **
iis892 -1.466787 0.449165 -3.2656 0.0011365 **
fesisCHN.2004 1.016837 0.230515 4.4111 1.162e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.838162 0.243266 3.4454 0.0005983 ***
fesisCOL.2005 -0.752065 0.182615 -4.1183 4.193e-05 ***
fesisCRI.2008 -0.869560 0.180311 -4.8226 1.682e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2001 0.825877 0.213731 3.8641 0.0001201 ***
fesisEST.2005 -0.713984 0.186578 -3.8267 0.0001395 ***
fesisISL.2006 -0.924420 0.179506 -5.1498 3.249e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.992648 0.248654 3.9921 7.121e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2008 0.638125 0.229022 2.7863 0.0054511 **
fesisLVA.2003 -0.695909 0.208852 -3.3321 0.0008996 ***
fesisTWN.2005 0.929845 0.201166 4.6223 4.391e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 10.7762 1 0.001028 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.7584 1 0.003082 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41433
R-squared 0.95874
Log-lik.(n=936) -456.41981 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:37:42 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.35993 0.02503 14.3799 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.37097 0.15939 2.3275 0.0201906 *
lpop 0.92369 0.35197 2.6243 0.0088482 **
idAUT 1.11819 0.34468 3.2442 0.0012270 **
idBEL 0.62338 0.27621 2.2569 0.0242842 *
idCAN -0.53461 0.18343 -2.9146 0.0036617 **
idCHE 1.26160 0.34693 3.6364 0.0002942 ***
idCHL -3.33479 0.75840 -4.3971 1.246e-05 ***
idCHN -5.36078 1.36683 -3.9221 9.536e-05 ***
idCOL -4.51330 0.89215 -5.0589 5.237e-07 ***
idCRI -1.33048 0.82958 -1.6038 0.1091558
idCZE -1.36721 0.35691 -3.8307 0.0001378 ***
idDEU -0.23665 0.45608 -0.5189 0.6039853
idDNK -0.62877 0.51747 -1.2151 0.2246919
idESP -1.09376 0.32001 -3.4178 0.0006632 ***
idEST 2.52149 0.95725 2.6341 0.0085996 **
idFIN 1.06253 0.48224 2.2033 0.0278562 *
idFRA -0.74635 0.38370 -1.9452 0.0521080 .
idGRC -0.64101 0.34823 -1.8408 0.0660292 .
idHUN -1.97448 0.63789 -3.0953 0.0020346 **
idIRL 0.81777 0.54244 1.5076 0.1320582
idISL 2.17226 1.51780 1.4312 0.1527661
idISR 0.94040 0.36936 2.5460 0.0110824 *
idITA -0.88487 0.36484 -2.4253 0.0155152 *
idJPN -2.05153 0.91126 -2.2513 0.0246372 *
idKOR -3.39797 0.98668 -3.4439 0.0006034 ***
idLTU 1.25737 0.71605 1.7560 0.0794783 .
idLUX 3.16761 1.25110 2.5319 0.0115373 *
idLVA 1.90930 0.82792 2.3062 0.0213580 *
idMEX -4.02040 0.57238 -7.0240 4.625e-12 ***
idNLD 0.51760 0.16781 3.0845 0.0021092 **
idNOR 0.10472 0.57419 0.1824 0.8553315
idNZL 0.72857 0.55905 1.3032 0.1928747
idPOL -2.09244 0.25801 -8.1100 1.906e-15 ***
idPRT -0.23896 0.34583 -0.6910 0.4897803
idSVK 0.81810 0.57007 1.4351 0.1516522
idSVN 1.80652 0.81752 2.2098 0.0274049 *
idSWE -0.20426 0.37959 -0.5381 0.5906641
idTUR -2.43411 0.46981 -5.1811 2.797e-07 ***
idTWN -0.19560 0.18206 -1.0744 0.2829822
idUSA -1.68795 0.86706 -1.9468 0.0519146 .
time1996 -24.14345 5.90292 -4.0901 4.750e-05 ***
time1997 -24.25224 5.90722 -4.1055 4.450e-05 ***
time1998 -24.13310 5.91069 -4.0830 4.895e-05 ***
time1999 -24.09045 5.91444 -4.0732 5.101e-05 ***
time2000 -24.11384 5.91837 -4.0744 5.075e-05 ***
time2001 -24.08551 5.92199 -4.0671 5.232e-05 ***
time2002 -24.11066 5.92457 -4.0696 5.178e-05 ***
time2003 -23.89848 5.92909 -4.0307 6.094e-05 ***
time2004 -24.07568 5.93226 -4.0584 5.427e-05 ***
time2005 -23.87605 5.93719 -4.0214 6.334e-05 ***
time2006 -23.63865 5.94036 -3.9793 7.541e-05 ***
time2007 -23.48595 5.94327 -3.9517 8.449e-05 ***
time2008 -23.30260 5.94327 -3.9208 9.583e-05 ***
time2009 -23.08622 5.94362 -3.8842 0.0001112 ***
time2010 -23.18208 5.94537 -3.8992 0.0001046 ***
time2011 -23.30666 5.94897 -3.9178 9.704e-05 ***
time2012 -23.27684 5.95090 -3.9115 9.955e-05 ***
time2013 -23.59746 5.95319 -3.9638 8.038e-05 ***
time2014 -23.47083 5.95711 -3.9400 8.864e-05 ***
time2015 -23.64374 5.96094 -3.9664 7.952e-05 ***
time2016 -23.62948 5.96394 -3.9621 8.097e-05 ***
time2017 -23.67104 5.96680 -3.9671 7.930e-05 ***
time2018 -23.68759 5.96981 -3.9679 7.905e-05 ***
time2019 -23.80108 5.97365 -3.9843 7.387e-05 ***
iis27 -1.20517 0.36145 -3.3342 0.0008949 ***
iis74 -1.48320 0.36157 -4.1021 4.515e-05 ***
iis76 -1.42356 0.36151 -3.9378 8.942e-05 ***
iis138 0.91386 0.36289 2.5183 0.0119875 *
iis185 -0.75972 0.36740 -2.0678 0.0389809 *
iis217 1.03826 0.36227 2.8660 0.0042664 **
iis236 -1.28599 0.36142 -3.5581 0.0003956 ***
iis271 0.85222 0.36390 2.3419 0.0194327 *
iis276 0.86105 0.36352 2.3686 0.0180920 *
iis295 -0.88476 0.38150 -2.3192 0.0206387 *
iis333 1.39892 0.36554 3.8270 0.0001399 ***
iis338 -1.13346 0.36197 -3.1313 0.0018038 **
iis341 -1.23126 0.36118 -3.4090 0.0006847 ***
iis386 1.75467 0.38704 4.5335 6.691e-06 ***
iis390 1.51601 0.38688 3.9185 9.674e-05 ***
iis392 1.01932 0.36708 2.7768 0.0056179 **
iis407 0.82492 0.36900 2.2356 0.0256554 *
iis421 -1.84066 0.36158 -5.0906 4.456e-07 ***
iis428 -1.18149 0.36265 -3.2579 0.0011698 **
iis430 1.07545 0.36323 2.9607 0.0031600 **
iis444 1.08740 0.36090 3.0130 0.0026685 **
iis507 -1.89335 0.36233 -5.2254 2.220e-07 ***
iis603 1.53241 0.36902 4.1527 3.640e-05 ***
iis614 -0.97194 0.37019 -2.6255 0.0088181 **
iis671 -1.23422 0.36180 -3.4113 0.0006790 ***
iis673 -1.25513 0.36260 -3.4614 0.0005659 ***
iis674 0.92521 0.36358 2.5448 0.0111229 *
iis699 -1.06739 0.36202 -2.9484 0.0032874 **
iis703 -1.18207 0.36135 -3.2713 0.0011167 **
iis721 1.49335 0.37264 4.0075 6.713e-05 ***
iis731 1.75126 0.37371 4.6861 3.273e-06 ***
iis736 1.08232 0.36946 2.9294 0.0034928 **
iis739 1.21521 0.36905 3.2928 0.0010357 **
iis748 1.17706 0.36419 3.2320 0.0012800 **
iis762 1.41568 0.36489 3.8798 0.0001132 ***
iis780 -1.89489 0.36694 -5.1640 3.056e-07 ***
iis781 0.86674 0.36913 2.3481 0.0191143 *
iis806 -1.26423 0.38699 -3.2669 0.0011339 **
iis807 1.40431 0.38935 3.6068 0.0003293 ***
iis816 -1.11668 0.40800 -2.7370 0.0063388 **
iis832 -0.97946 0.38198 -2.5642 0.0105241 *
iis833 1.25305 0.38180 3.2820 0.0010758 **
iis840 1.62220 0.38162 4.2508 2.382e-05 ***
iis886 1.16701 0.36377 3.2081 0.0013897 **
iis889 -1.34929 0.37875 -3.5625 0.0003892 ***
iis892 -1.43910 0.37766 -3.8106 0.0001493 ***
iis913 -1.16811 0.36185 -3.2281 0.0012971 **
fesisCHL.2018 -0.88209 0.26302 -3.3537 0.0008350 ***
fesisCHN.2004 1.05276 0.20221 5.2062 2.455e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.85521 0.20966 4.0790 4.977e-05 ***
fesisCOL.2005 -0.73483 0.16136 -4.5540 6.085e-06 ***
fesisCOL.2018 0.91885 0.36813 2.4960 0.0127616 *
fesisCOL.2019 -1.40909 0.50029 -2.8165 0.0049746 **
fesisCRI.2008 -0.89886 0.15407 -5.8342 7.857e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2001 0.78984 0.18298 4.3166 1.784e-05 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.55297 0.16980 3.2567 0.0011749 **
fesisEST.2005 -0.74140 0.16420 -4.5154 7.275e-06 ***
fesisGRC.2003 0.63179 0.18656 3.3865 0.0007426 ***
fesisGRC.2019 -0.77121 0.36810 -2.0951 0.0364756 *
fesisISL.2006 -0.93244 0.15281 -6.1020 1.634e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.05973 0.20970 5.0534 5.385e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2008 0.61524 0.19377 3.1751 0.0015553 **
fesisLTU.2009 -1.09469 0.27453 -3.9875 7.292e-05 ***
fesisLTU.2011 1.13625 0.27996 4.0587 5.422e-05 ***
fesisLUX.2008 -0.61020 0.16175 -3.7726 0.0001735 ***
fesisLVA.2003 -0.58296 0.18737 -3.1113 0.0019293 **
fesisNZL.2007 -0.42132 0.16135 -2.6113 0.0091900 **
fesisPOL.2015 0.70440 0.18797 3.7475 0.0001915 ***
fesisPRT.2005 0.40464 0.15769 2.5660 0.0104683 *
fesisSVK.2008 -0.39254 0.19374 -2.0262 0.0430816 *
fesisSVK.2015 1.27778 0.38749 3.2976 0.0010185 **
fesisSVK.2016 -1.04858 0.40792 -2.5706 0.0103340 *
fesisSVN.2011 -0.63172 0.17325 -3.6464 0.0002833 ***
fesisTWN.2005 0.96916 0.17073 5.6765 1.925e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.6076 1 0.003348 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 22.6225 1 1.972e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.34818
R-squared 0.97242
Log-lik.(n=936) -271.11248 top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:25:11 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.3181e-01 9.8967e-03 94.1542 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 6.5514e-14 3.0331e-14 2.1600 0.0312339 *
pop 9.9437e-09 3.1133e-08 0.3194 0.7495609
idAUT -1.1926e+00 5.2322e+00 -0.2279 0.8197914
idBEL -1.9964e+00 5.2283e+00 -0.3819 0.7027263
idBRA -4.8645e+00 7.4172e+00 -0.6558 0.5122205
idCAN -4.9336e-01 5.2281e+00 -0.0944 0.9248550
idCHE 7.0530e-02 5.2320e+00 0.0135 0.9892496
idCHN 6.9162e-01 4.0059e+01 0.0173 0.9862320
idDEU 2.4898e+01 7.0427e+00 3.5353 0.0004439 ***
idDNK -2.8068e+00 5.2457e+00 -0.5351 0.5928417
idESP -1.1112e-01 5.2639e+00 -0.0211 0.9831665
idFIN -2.2936e+00 5.2458e+00 -0.4372 0.6621354
idFRA 5.3361e+00 5.4004e+00 0.9881 0.3235746
idGBR 9.6015e-01 5.3685e+00 0.1788 0.8581265
idIND -1.7881e+01 3.6374e+01 -0.4916 0.6232275
idISR 4.7484e-01 5.2332e+00 0.0907 0.9277373
idITA 8.3957e-01 5.3440e+00 0.1571 0.8752232
idJPN 3.9081e-01 1.6103e+01 0.0243 0.9806475
idKOR -5.4726e+01 2.9498e+01 -1.8552 0.0641350 .
idNLD 6.0830e-01 5.2173e+00 0.1166 0.9072287
idNOR -2.8385e+00 5.2499e+00 -0.5407 0.5889691
idRUS -8.7373e+00 6.5330e+00 -1.3374 0.1816758
idSGP -2.5636e+00 5.2469e+00 -0.4886 0.6253372
idSWE -2.0627e+00 5.2355e+00 -0.3940 0.6937524
idTWN 6.9912e+00 5.2521e+00 1.3311 0.1837366
idUSA 1.8293e+01 1.1163e+01 1.6387 0.1018762
time1996 -1.0128e+00 5.1442e+00 -0.1969 0.8440028
time1997 -1.1686e+00 5.1418e+00 -0.2273 0.8202991
time1998 1.3397e+00 5.1489e+00 0.2602 0.7948250
time1999 -5.3487e-01 5.1912e+00 -0.1030 0.9179758
time2000 2.5633e+00 5.1411e+00 0.4986 0.6182744
time2001 5.6830e-01 5.1427e+00 0.1105 0.9120501
time2002 -2.0091e+00 5.1442e+00 -0.3906 0.6962871
time2003 3.4115e+00 5.1472e+00 0.6628 0.5077638
time2004 2.3464e+00 5.1606e+00 0.4547 0.6495342
time2005 8.7363e+00 5.1659e+00 1.6911 0.0914123 .
time2006 8.1788e+00 5.2141e+00 1.5686 0.1173591
time2007 1.5650e+01 5.2304e+00 2.9922 0.0029023 **
time2008 2.1155e+01 5.3449e+00 3.9580 8.615e-05 ***
time2009 2.8099e+01 5.3283e+00 5.2735 1.971e-07 ***
time2010 5.5799e+00 5.3959e+00 1.0341 0.3015697
time2011 5.7544e+00 5.4166e+00 1.0624 0.2885627
time2012 -5.0457e+00 5.3972e+00 -0.9349 0.3502890
time2013 -5.3851e+00 5.3537e+00 -1.0059 0.3149505
time2014 -5.5773e+00 5.3561e+00 -1.0413 0.2982258
time2015 -5.2942e+00 5.3031e+00 -0.9983 0.3185956
time2016 -2.1277e-01 5.3185e+00 -0.0400 0.9681050
time2017 4.1767e+00 5.4456e+00 0.7670 0.4434344
time2018 6.1633e+00 5.3311e+00 1.1561 0.2481677
time2019 -7.8586e+00 5.3534e+00 -1.4680 0.1427168
iis166 9.5833e+01 2.1360e+01 4.4866 8.925e-06 ***
iis168 -3.5523e+02 2.1810e+01 -16.2872 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis181 1.1522e+02 2.0690e+01 5.5690 4.124e-08 ***
iis185 -1.2818e+02 2.0388e+01 -6.2870 6.890e-10 ***
iis186 -1.3530e+02 2.0060e+01 -6.7447 4.117e-11 ***
iis388 9.4140e+01 1.9285e+01 4.8815 1.405e-06 ***
iis397 2.4858e+02 1.9251e+01 12.9126 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 4.2103e+02 1.9429e+01 21.6700 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 4.5646e+02 2.0272e+01 22.5171 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -1.9884e+02 2.1638e+01 -9.1896 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis403 -6.8749e+01 2.0752e+01 -3.3129 0.0009880 ***
iis406 -1.1451e+02 2.0682e+01 -5.5366 4.912e-08 ***
iis407 -5.5451e+01 2.0774e+01 -2.6692 0.0078425 **
iis427 -1.1158e+02 2.0658e+01 -5.4014 1.010e-07 ***
iis429 2.2154e+02 2.0759e+01 10.6720 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis430 -1.6264e+02 2.1035e+01 -7.7318 5.576e-14 ***
iis432 -1.3407e+02 2.1630e+01 -6.1980 1.169e-09 ***
iis587 1.8490e+02 2.1417e+01 8.6333 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis588 1.1175e+02 2.1305e+01 5.2454 2.278e-07 ***
iis589 3.0571e+02 2.1433e+01 14.2636 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 1.2786e+02 2.2026e+01 5.8051 1.123e-08 ***
iis598 -9.2971e+01 2.1354e+01 -4.3537 1.614e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2015 1.4931e+02 1.2231e+01 12.2072 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 7.1575e+01 1.1500e+01 6.2237 1.005e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.1111e+02 1.2210e+01 -9.0999 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -5.8389e+01 1.1435e+01 -5.1061 4.631e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.1659e+02 1.6131e+01 7.2275 1.777e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.2968e+02 1.4922e+01 -8.6904 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2004 7.8351e+01 1.3246e+01 5.9150 6.041e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.6046e+02 1.5068e+01 -10.6491 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 1.6772e+02 2.0856e+01 8.0419 6.076e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -1.4324e+02 2.1345e+01 -6.7109 5.096e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.2643 1 0.1324
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 57.6311 1 3.164e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 18.06570
R-squared 0.99477
Log-lik.(n=600) -2546.27214 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:25:10 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2754e-01 1.5297e-02 60.6371 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.0363e-13 2.1269e-14 9.5741 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -2.8799e-08 2.7836e-08 -1.0346 0.3013542
idAUT -1.5954e+00 4.7622e+00 -0.3350 0.7377480
idBEL -2.3310e+00 4.7609e+00 -0.4896 0.6246138
idBRA 1.2862e+00 6.6950e+00 0.1921 0.8477244
idCAN -6.4885e-02 4.7547e+00 -0.0136 0.9891172
idCHE -3.2561e-01 4.7582e+00 -0.0684 0.9454693
idCHN 4.6084e+01 3.5960e+01 1.2815 0.2005964
idDEU 2.7370e+01 6.5144e+00 4.2014 3.135e-05 ***
idDNK -3.5945e+00 4.7844e+00 -0.7513 0.4528292
idESP 8.4481e-01 4.7859e+00 0.1765 0.8599540
idFIN -2.8593e+00 4.7851e+00 -0.5975 0.5504116
idFRA 7.1247e+00 4.9515e+00 1.4389 0.1507920
idGBR 2.5897e+00 4.8870e+00 0.5299 0.5964061
idIND 1.6993e+01 3.2753e+01 0.5188 0.6041077
idISR -4.0652e-03 4.7595e+00 -0.0009 0.9993188
idITA 2.3234e+00 4.8617e+00 0.4779 0.6329274
idJPN -6.3427e+01 1.1252e+01 -5.6367 2.883e-08 ***
idKOR -1.6765e+02 2.1875e+01 -7.6642 9.253e-14 ***
idNLD 5.2545e-01 4.7453e+00 0.1107 0.9118743
idNOR -3.7857e+00 4.7908e+00 -0.7902 0.4297866
idRUS -1.3528e+01 5.9679e+00 -2.2668 0.0238237 *
idSGP -3.1606e+00 4.7849e+00 -0.6605 0.5092140
idSWE -2.9265e+00 4.7723e+00 -0.6132 0.5399986
idTWN 7.4008e+00 4.8403e+00 1.5290 0.1268912
idUSA 2.6952e+01 1.0178e+01 2.6480 0.0083494 **
time1996 2.4937e-01 4.6744e+00 0.0533 0.9574763
time1997 -1.4194e-01 4.6737e+00 -0.0304 0.9757841
time1998 2.6744e+00 4.6788e+00 0.5716 0.5678406
time1999 2.0083e-01 4.7212e+00 0.0425 0.9660874
time2000 3.0050e+00 4.6776e+00 0.6424 0.5208959
time2001 7.9670e-01 4.6810e+00 0.1702 0.8649203
time2002 -2.5421e-01 4.7295e+00 -0.0537 0.9571557
time2003 3.0403e+00 4.6848e+00 0.6490 0.5166480
time2004 3.3092e+00 4.7294e+00 0.6997 0.4844287
time2005 9.0232e+00 4.7889e+00 1.8842 0.0601112 .
time2006 9.7048e+00 4.8032e+00 2.0205 0.0438592 *
time2007 1.6888e+01 4.8018e+00 3.5170 0.0004757 ***
time2008 1.9547e+01 4.9384e+00 3.9582 8.632e-05 ***
time2009 2.7801e+01 4.9368e+00 5.6314 2.967e-08 ***
time2010 7.4933e+00 5.0097e+00 1.4958 0.1353395
time2011 8.1881e+00 5.0485e+00 1.6219 0.1054517
time2012 -3.2283e+00 5.0554e+00 -0.6386 0.5233804
time2013 -3.7861e+00 5.0051e+00 -0.7565 0.4497280
time2014 -4.6456e+00 4.9326e+00 -0.9418 0.3467381
time2015 -2.9636e+00 4.9078e+00 -0.6038 0.5462180
time2016 7.9183e-01 4.8751e+00 0.1624 0.8710376
time2017 4.8278e+00 4.9770e+00 0.9700 0.3325044
time2018 2.3536e-01 4.9283e+00 0.0478 0.9619284
time2019 -4.5710e+00 4.9117e+00 -0.9306 0.3524890
iis164 1.0841e+02 1.7464e+01 6.2078 1.120e-09 ***
iis165 1.6983e+02 1.7803e+01 9.5395 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 2.4460e+02 1.8536e+01 13.1959 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 1.7236e+02 2.0061e+01 8.5918 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 -2.0848e+02 2.1331e+01 -9.7739 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis180 5.0656e+01 2.0162e+01 2.5125 0.0122993 *
iis181 1.3005e+02 1.9780e+01 6.5751 1.213e-10 ***
iis185 -1.2762e+02 1.9245e+01 -6.6311 8.571e-11 ***
iis186 -1.3536e+02 1.8450e+01 -7.3369 8.756e-13 ***
iis388 9.8200e+01 1.7554e+01 5.5942 3.634e-08 ***
iis397 2.4915e+02 1.7671e+01 14.0997 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 4.8823e+02 1.8852e+01 25.8979 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 5.2052e+02 1.9393e+01 26.8413 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 7.6996e+01 2.1711e+01 3.5465 0.0004267 ***
iis401 -1.9254e+02 2.1303e+01 -9.0382 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis403 -6.5219e+01 1.9064e+01 -3.4211 0.0006741 ***
iis406 -1.1492e+02 1.8829e+01 -6.1033 2.069e-09 ***
iis407 -5.0563e+01 1.9161e+01 -2.6389 0.0085739 **
iis415 -4.7569e+01 1.7586e+01 -2.7050 0.0070611 **
iis418 -4.9104e+01 1.7832e+01 -2.7538 0.0061036 **
iis419 -7.3024e+01 1.8074e+01 -4.0403 6.167e-05 ***
iis421 1.0134e+02 1.8541e+01 5.4658 7.246e-08 ***
iis422 8.8674e+01 1.8523e+01 4.7872 2.224e-06 ***
iis427 -1.0905e+02 1.8801e+01 -5.8003 1.167e-08 ***
iis429 2.1038e+02 1.8903e+01 11.1293 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis430 -1.7993e+02 1.8978e+01 -9.4808 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis432 -1.6718e+02 1.9267e+01 -8.6769 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis586 5.8534e+01 2.3734e+01 2.4662 0.0139859 *
iis587 3.4481e+02 2.1541e+01 16.0076 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis588 2.7318e+02 1.9668e+01 13.8900 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis589 4.7089e+02 1.8935e+01 24.8682 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 2.9349e+02 1.8442e+01 15.9138 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis591 1.9167e+02 1.8694e+01 10.2533 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis596 1.6899e+02 1.8864e+01 8.9582 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 -6.5846e+01 1.9184e+01 -3.4324 0.0006473 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.0426e+01 1.3512e+01 4.4720 9.574e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -9.8822e+01 1.3150e+01 -7.5148 2.606e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -6.2688e+01 1.2251e+01 -5.1170 4.416e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.2128e+02 1.5282e+01 -7.9358 1.356e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2004 3.6211e+01 1.7825e+01 2.0315 0.0427295 *
fesisUSA.2006 -1.1719e+02 2.2706e+01 -5.1609 3.537e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2018 1.3532e+02 2.0040e+01 6.7526 3.995e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2019 -1.7295e+02 2.3778e+01 -7.2733 1.343e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.9686 1 0.1606
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 55.1363 1 1.125e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 16.43088
R-squared 0.99576
Log-lik.(n=600) -2483.86075 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:30:43 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.378664 0.032417 11.6812 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.379616 0.139284 9.9051 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.845030 0.449291 -1.8808 0.0605493 .
idAUT 0.688552 0.374603 1.8381 0.0666124 .
idBEL 0.481014 0.285721 1.6835 0.0928692 .
idBRA -1.253656 0.964135 -1.3003 0.1940697
idCAN -0.208166 0.252128 -0.8256 0.4093831
idCHE 0.109689 0.413699 0.2651 0.7910038
idCHN -0.678782 1.721849 -0.3942 0.6935805
idDEU 1.187264 0.611512 1.9415 0.0527276 .
idDNK -3.359732 0.639292 -5.2554 2.149e-07 ***
idESP 0.760940 0.397625 1.9137 0.0561981 .
idFIN 0.322612 0.544336 0.5927 0.5536555
idFRA 0.576368 0.514015 1.1213 0.2626687
idGBR 0.628896 0.509540 1.2342 0.2176625
idIND -2.804796 1.657734 -1.6919 0.0912474 .
idISR -0.750840 0.456148 -1.6460 0.1003507
idITA 0.478792 0.485844 0.9855 0.3248376
idJPN -5.129969 0.836077 -6.1358 1.666e-09 ***
idKOR -8.635480 0.838331 -10.3008 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.369552 0.370995 -0.9961 0.3196535
idNOR -3.470487 0.720974 -4.8136 1.939e-06 ***
idRUS -4.384392 0.847967 -5.1705 3.321e-07 ***
idSGP -0.289581 0.601033 -0.4818 0.6301444
idSWE -2.357548 0.465013 -5.0699 5.521e-07 ***
idTWN 0.301616 0.199278 1.5135 0.1307414
idUSA 0.222153 1.107272 0.2006 0.8410643
time1996 -22.389928 6.660601 -3.3615 0.0008313 ***
time1997 -22.647013 6.662566 -3.3991 0.0007272 ***
time1998 -22.397482 6.665548 -3.3602 0.0008353 ***
time1999 -22.328509 6.668849 -3.3482 0.0008716 ***
time2000 -22.317862 6.670184 -3.3459 0.0008786 ***
time2001 -22.324437 6.674094 -3.3449 0.0008816 ***
time2002 -22.221597 6.676803 -3.3282 0.0009352 ***
time2003 -22.082015 6.679105 -3.3061 0.0010104 **
time2004 -22.131045 6.682048 -3.3120 0.0009898 ***
time2005 -21.974323 6.684394 -3.2874 0.0010786 **
time2006 -21.842561 6.687536 -3.2662 0.0011611 **
time2007 -21.592296 6.689217 -3.2279 0.0013245 **
time2008 -21.399771 6.690961 -3.1983 0.0014654 **
time2009 -21.230887 6.692368 -3.1724 0.0015999 **
time2010 -21.323270 6.693930 -3.1855 0.0015308 **
time2011 -21.418176 6.696948 -3.1982 0.0014660 **
time2012 -21.466869 6.700006 -3.2040 0.0014373 **
time2013 -21.732417 6.703155 -3.2421 0.0012615 **
time2014 -21.738374 6.707034 -3.2411 0.0012658 **
time2015 -21.840756 6.710201 -3.2549 0.0012073 **
time2016 -21.768239 6.713952 -3.2422 0.0012610 **
time2017 -21.865323 6.716224 -3.2556 0.0012043 **
time2018 -21.945525 6.718780 -3.2663 0.0011605 **
time2019 -22.089044 6.722275 -3.2859 0.0010840 **
iis50 1.130681 0.351977 3.2124 0.0013969 **
iis87 -1.121088 0.353345 -3.1728 0.0015979 **
iis98 -1.136936 0.352069 -3.2293 0.0013183 **
iis100 -1.301356 0.352017 -3.6969 0.0002412 ***
iis223 -1.437813 0.352687 -4.0767 5.272e-05 ***
iis237 -1.046934 0.351128 -2.9816 0.0029998 **
iis245 -1.086174 0.351351 -3.0914 0.0020974 **
iis363 -1.772360 0.351815 -5.0378 6.481e-07 ***
iis434 1.339932 0.354125 3.7838 0.0001722 ***
iis463 -1.218693 0.351145 -3.4706 0.0005618 ***
iis504 -0.954117 0.355288 -2.6855 0.0074709 **
iis515 -1.805629 0.352247 -5.1260 4.162e-07 ***
iis553 -1.158414 0.367984 -3.1480 0.0017370 **
iis556 -1.402827 0.367741 -3.8147 0.0001525 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.482768 0.150318 -3.2116 0.0014004 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.601304 0.164429 3.6569 0.0002809 ***
fesisDNK.2001 0.655361 0.175317 3.7382 0.0002057 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.933270 0.162681 5.7368 1.628e-08 ***
fesisNLD.1997 0.962657 0.352052 2.7344 0.0064594 **
fesisRUS.2004 -0.794880 0.167594 -4.7429 2.716e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.608833 0.174306 -3.4929 0.0005180 ***
fesisTWN.2005 0.691796 0.167540 4.1291 4.233e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.3593 1 0.1245
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 17.5985 1 2.728e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33614
R-squared 0.96594
Log-lik.(n=600) -160.72229 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:31:22 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.41450 0.03012 13.7615 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.17624 0.13752 8.5532 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.66703 0.48119 -1.3862 0.1663058
idAUT 1.27077 0.42749 2.9726 0.0030954 **
idBEL 0.45597 0.28946 1.5753 0.1158294
idBRA -1.23706 1.04469 -1.1841 0.2369187
idCAN -0.12532 0.26598 -0.4712 0.6377184
idCHE 0.20614 0.43398 0.4750 0.6349961
idCHN -0.78124 1.86519 -0.4188 0.6755068
idDEU 1.10884 0.65095 1.7034 0.0891135 .
idDNK -2.89893 0.66163 -4.3815 1.438e-05 ***
idESP 0.43427 0.42311 1.0264 0.3052212
idFIN 1.20043 0.62385 1.9242 0.0548964 .
idFRA 0.53137 0.54946 0.9671 0.3339754
idGBR 0.55945 0.54426 1.0279 0.3044860
idIND -2.63235 1.79079 -1.4699 0.1422114
idISR -1.10421 0.57954 -1.9053 0.0573133 .
idITA 0.43564 0.52022 0.8374 0.4027596
idJPN -4.25574 0.87032 -4.8899 1.364e-06 ***
idKOR -7.36654 0.82407 -8.9392 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.27189 0.32367 -0.8400 0.4012892
idNOR -2.55691 0.78525 -3.2562 0.0012062 **
idRUS -4.01661 0.90875 -4.4199 1.213e-05 ***
idSGP -0.07414 0.69304 -0.1070 0.9148496
idSWE -2.05968 0.47539 -4.3326 1.783e-05 ***
idTWN 0.29765 0.18814 1.5821 0.1142730
idUSA 0.24912 1.18867 0.2096 0.8340808
time1996 -20.00736 7.13020 -2.8060 0.0052124 **
time1997 -20.12559 7.13396 -2.8211 0.0049771 **
time1998 -19.83322 7.13437 -2.7800 0.0056424 **
time1999 -19.81805 7.13711 -2.7768 0.0056973 **
time2000 -19.80720 7.13813 -2.7748 0.0057304 **
time2001 -19.72949 7.14252 -2.7623 0.0059525 **
time2002 -19.82375 7.14411 -2.7748 0.0057305 **
time2003 -19.64351 7.14548 -2.7491 0.0061933 **
time2004 -19.61713 7.14741 -2.7447 0.0062763 **
time2005 -19.46572 7.14933 -2.7227 0.0067015 **
time2006 -19.38112 7.15036 -2.7105 0.0069498 **
time2007 -19.14975 7.15148 -2.6777 0.0076571 **
time2008 -18.93773 7.15339 -2.6474 0.0083689 **
time2009 -18.78858 7.15491 -2.6260 0.0089061 **
time2010 -18.88237 7.15611 -2.6386 0.0085847 **
time2011 -18.97426 7.15935 -2.6503 0.0082985 **
time2012 -19.02095 7.16262 -2.6556 0.0081708 **
time2013 -19.31628 7.16587 -2.6956 0.0072640 **
time2014 -19.27457 7.17012 -2.6882 0.0074249 **
time2015 -19.39147 7.17418 -2.7030 0.0071075 **
time2016 -19.30700 7.17830 -2.6896 0.0073931 **
time2017 -19.40508 7.18051 -2.7025 0.0071177 **
time2018 -19.48090 7.18317 -2.7120 0.0069187 **
time2019 -19.66151 7.18768 -2.7354 0.0064519 **
iis8 0.71170 0.31166 2.2836 0.0228163 *
iis27 -1.06441 0.30293 -3.5138 0.0004821 ***
iis50 1.10436 0.30164 3.6612 0.0002779 ***
iis82 -0.72073 0.30309 -2.3779 0.0177864 *
iis87 -1.14400 0.30246 -3.7823 0.0001743 ***
iis98 -1.20478 0.30336 -3.9715 8.196e-05 ***
iis99 0.67905 0.30341 2.2380 0.0256593 *
iis100 -1.35669 0.30197 -4.4928 8.748e-06 ***
iis106 -0.90922 0.30131 -3.0175 0.0026789 **
iis199 0.98159 0.30497 3.2186 0.0013719 **
iis201 -0.93064 0.30363 -3.0650 0.0022947 **
iis202 0.79490 0.30568 2.6004 0.0095870 **
iis204 0.85722 0.30367 2.8229 0.0049495 **
iis210 0.83211 0.30527 2.7258 0.0066402 **
iis237 -1.17617 0.30226 -3.8913 0.0001133 ***
iis242 -0.70268 0.30564 -2.2991 0.0219143 *
iis245 -1.07605 0.30147 -3.5694 0.0003925 ***
iis264 0.94024 0.30107 3.1230 0.0018944 **
iis319 0.93661 0.30260 3.0952 0.0020776 **
iis363 -1.82933 0.30172 -6.0630 2.643e-09 ***
iis434 1.34187 0.30342 4.4225 1.199e-05 ***
iis463 -1.15164 0.30200 -3.8134 0.0001542 ***
iis481 0.83807 0.33000 2.5396 0.0114013 *
iis487 1.47235 0.30803 4.7799 2.312e-06 ***
iis488 1.16133 0.30730 3.7791 0.0001765 ***
iis491 0.77507 0.30368 2.5522 0.0110007 *
iis504 -0.84206 0.30441 -2.7662 0.0058820 **
iis515 -1.77589 0.31087 -5.7126 1.916e-08 ***
iis529 0.71151 0.33139 2.1470 0.0322731 *
iis553 -1.01269 0.31578 -3.2069 0.0014278 **
iis556 -1.42415 0.31429 -4.5313 7.346e-06 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.36062 0.13781 -2.6167 0.0091482 **
fesisAUT.1998 -0.61119 0.22084 -2.7676 0.0058565 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.56093 0.14235 3.9404 9.296e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.47999 0.18172 2.6413 0.0085175 **
fesisDNK.2001 0.51544 0.15665 3.2904 0.0010712 **
fesisESP.2001 -0.84963 0.24721 -3.4369 0.0006377 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.20434 0.22283 5.4047 1.008e-07 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -0.92295 0.30443 -3.0317 0.0025583 **
fesisISR.1998 0.61452 0.23160 2.6534 0.0082233 **
fesisKOR.2003 0.63050 0.18595 3.3907 0.0007526 ***
fesisKOR.2007 0.41691 0.17278 2.4130 0.0161810 *
fesisNLD.1997 0.84409 0.30239 2.7914 0.0054496 **
fesisNOR.1998 -1.35268 0.36050 -3.7522 0.0001959 ***
fesisNOR.1999 1.01173 0.30343 3.3343 0.0009190 ***
fesisRUS.2001 -0.60693 0.18480 -3.2843 0.0010944 **
fesisSGP.2001 -0.78836 0.24746 -3.1858 0.0015339 **
fesisSGP.2003 1.13449 0.26867 4.2226 2.872e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.50548 0.20155 -2.5079 0.0124615 *
fesisSWE.2001 -0.42590 0.16451 -2.5889 0.0099113 **
fesisTWN.2005 0.67073 0.14519 4.6198 4.898e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.33894 1 0.5604
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.46044 1 0.4974
SE of regression 0.28700
R-squared 0.97653
Log-lik.(n=600) -51.40885 top_50
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:29:50 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.8148e-01 1.0437e-02 84.4602 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.5894e-16 8.7780e-16 -0.1811 0.8563526
pop 7.7789e-09 1.8716e-08 0.4156 0.6777652
idAUS 5.5321e+00 3.2666e+00 1.6935 0.0906462 .
idAUT 3.4814e+00 3.2877e+00 1.0589 0.2898800
idBEL 2.4820e+00 3.2768e+00 0.7575 0.4489431
idBGR 3.2044e-01 3.2812e+00 0.0977 0.9222221
idBRA -5.5147e-01 4.2824e+00 -0.1288 0.8975609
idCAN 5.0561e+00 3.2485e+00 1.5564 0.1199049
idCHE 5.5641e+00 3.3065e+00 1.6828 0.0927127 .
idCHL 2.7123e-01 3.2569e+00 0.0833 0.9336452
idCHN 1.2628e+00 2.3521e+01 0.0537 0.9571925
idCZE 4.9316e-01 3.2721e+00 0.1507 0.8802271
idDEU 3.3937e+01 4.3511e+00 7.7996 1.460e-14 ***
idDNK 1.3060e+00 3.2904e+00 0.3969 0.6915029
idESP 5.4469e+00 3.2466e+00 1.6777 0.0936875 .
idFIN 1.6327e+00 3.2906e+00 0.4962 0.6198643
idFRA 1.3505e+01 3.3697e+00 4.0078 6.550e-05 ***
idGBR 7.6057e+00 3.2986e+00 2.3058 0.0213127 *
idGRC 6.8193e-01 3.2708e+00 0.2085 0.8348857
idHKG 7.5805e-01 3.2840e+00 0.2308 0.8174871
idHUN 5.1196e-01 3.2735e+00 0.1564 0.8757512
idIND -5.6266e+00 2.1800e+01 -0.2581 0.7963811
idIRL 7.9424e-01 3.2937e+00 0.2411 0.8094920
idIRN 1.6725e+00 1.0503e+01 0.1592 0.8735081
idISR 5.7522e+00 3.3021e+00 1.7420 0.0817970 .
idITA 7.2008e+00 3.2827e+00 2.1936 0.0284800 *
idJPN 4.5086e+01 5.5672e+00 8.0986 1.495e-15 ***
idKOR 1.2470e+01 4.2063e+00 2.9646 0.0030972 **
idLUX 3.5277e-01 3.3084e+00 0.1066 0.9151035
idMEX -3.1572e-01 3.4719e+00 -0.0909 0.9275605
idMYS 4.6139e-01 3.2336e+00 0.1427 0.8865664
idNLD 5.9104e+00 3.2744e+00 1.8050 0.0713474 .
idNOR 1.2165e+00 3.2923e+00 0.3695 0.7118351
idNZL 6.4217e-01 3.2937e+00 0.1950 0.8454526
idPHL -3.5299e-01 3.3596e+00 -0.1051 0.9163416
idPOL 8.1969e-01 3.2249e+00 0.2542 0.7994080
idPRT 6.5486e-01 3.2723e+00 0.2001 0.8414223
idROU 3.1437e-01 3.2443e+00 0.0969 0.9228248
idRUS 8.1263e-02 3.7699e+00 0.0216 0.9828063
idSAU 1.0980e+00 3.2339e+00 0.3395 0.7342840
idSGP 1.4352e+00 3.2932e+00 0.4358 0.6630745
idSVK 3.7708e-01 3.2892e+00 0.1146 0.9087504
idSVN 4.9063e-01 3.3021e+00 0.1486 0.8819131
idSWE 2.3683e+00 3.2786e+00 0.7224 0.4702355
idTHA -8.6807e-02 3.2626e+00 -0.0266 0.9787781
idTUR 5.1137e-01 3.2774e+00 0.1560 0.8760409
idTWN 1.5635e+01 3.4035e+00 4.5937 4.868e-06 ***
idUKR 1.3415e-01 3.2270e+00 0.0416 0.9668470
idUSA 3.1906e+01 6.4536e+00 4.9439 8.876e-07 ***
idVNM 5.3458e-02 4.0030e+00 0.0134 0.9893475
idZAF 3.1528e-01 3.2308e+00 0.0976 0.9222793
time1996 -3.5074e+00 2.8289e+00 -1.2398 0.2153077
time1997 -3.5883e+00 2.8321e+00 -1.2670 0.2054171
time1998 -2.3820e+00 2.8354e+00 -0.8401 0.4010432
time1999 -2.9521e+00 2.8448e+00 -1.0377 0.2996332
time2000 -1.3154e+00 2.8394e+00 -0.4633 0.6432549
time2001 -2.0205e+00 2.8418e+00 -0.7110 0.4772486
time2002 -3.1841e+00 2.8445e+00 -1.1194 0.2632270
time2003 -1.6343e-01 2.8479e+00 -0.0574 0.9542477
time2004 7.3386e-01 2.8503e+00 0.2575 0.7968686
time2005 2.5372e+00 2.8607e+00 0.8869 0.3753217
time2006 3.5669e+00 2.8632e+00 1.2458 0.2131226
time2007 4.3438e+00 2.8909e+00 1.5026 0.1332366
time2008 7.4415e+00 2.8981e+00 2.5677 0.0103722 *
time2009 1.0088e+01 2.8963e+00 3.4831 0.0005156 ***
time2010 2.8465e+00 2.8981e+00 0.9822 0.3262220
time2011 1.6249e+00 2.9047e+00 0.5594 0.5760092
time2012 -2.2419e+00 2.9090e+00 -0.7707 0.4410702
time2013 -5.6049e+00 2.9056e+00 -1.9290 0.0539912 .
time2014 -3.6275e+00 2.9057e+00 -1.2484 0.2121525
time2015 -1.5167e+00 2.8992e+00 -0.5232 0.6009774
time2016 -3.7261e-01 2.9232e+00 -0.1275 0.8985977
time2017 6.7170e-01 2.9271e+00 0.2295 0.8185393
time2018 -2.5583e+00 2.9247e+00 -0.8747 0.3819080
time2019 -4.5992e+00 2.9274e+00 -1.5711 0.1164528
iis236 8.5617e+01 1.2203e+01 7.0158 4.036e-12 ***
iis237 1.5524e+02 1.2297e+01 12.6236 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 2.4133e+02 1.2625e+01 19.1160 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 1.7929e+02 1.3464e+01 13.3156 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 -1.9705e+02 1.4172e+01 -13.9041 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis276 6.3900e+01 1.4548e+01 4.3923 1.232e-05 ***
iis277 1.4902e+02 1.4204e+01 10.4909 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis278 8.9352e+01 1.3874e+01 6.4401 1.796e-10 ***
iis281 -1.1522e+02 1.3283e+01 -8.6744 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis282 -1.2934e+02 1.2653e+01 -10.2225 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis285 -4.6205e+01 1.2373e+01 -3.7343 0.0001981 ***
iis604 9.3940e+01 1.1862e+01 7.9196 5.904e-15 ***
iis612 7.0328e+01 1.1886e+01 5.9166 4.411e-09 ***
iis613 1.9063e+02 1.9697e+01 9.6784 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 3.7917e+02 1.8195e+01 20.8398 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 4.2239e+02 1.6553e+01 25.5172 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis617 -1.5494e+02 1.4027e+01 -11.0456 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis622 -1.0039e+02 1.2418e+01 -8.0847 1.665e-15 ***
iis623 -4.5157e+01 1.2721e+01 -3.5499 0.0004020 ***
iis637 8.4023e+01 1.3898e+01 6.0457 2.048e-09 ***
iis638 8.8577e+01 1.3846e+01 6.3972 2.355e-10 ***
iis640 4.0016e+01 1.4247e+01 2.8087 0.0050641 **
iis643 -9.7059e+01 1.3036e+01 -7.4457 1.971e-13 ***
iis645 1.7052e+02 1.5982e+01 10.6698 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis646 -1.9539e+02 1.6054e+01 -12.1712 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis648 -1.7357e+02 1.5974e+01 -10.8658 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1139 1.0851e+02 1.8977e+01 5.7183 1.393e-08 ***
iis1140 5.5725e+01 1.7583e+01 3.1693 0.0015713 **
iis1141 2.6150e+02 1.6899e+01 15.4737 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1142 1.0673e+02 1.6054e+01 6.6481 4.708e-11 ***
iis1144 -7.0134e+01 1.4311e+01 -4.9006 1.102e-06 ***
iis1145 -1.4964e+02 1.3813e+01 -10.8333 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1147 -1.7537e+02 1.3182e+01 -13.3039 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1149 -1.3951e+02 1.3051e+01 -10.6895 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1150 -1.9504e+02 1.3061e+01 -14.9332 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1152 -1.7719e+02 1.3205e+01 -13.4181 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2009 4.1827e+01 6.0361e+00 6.9294 7.260e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.3483e+01 1.0683e+01 5.9425 3.786e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -8.8888e+01 1.0497e+01 -8.4682 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 8.5354e+01 1.7752e+01 4.8083 1.739e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.2330e+02 1.4326e+01 -8.6069 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.2765e+02 9.2788e+00 13.7573 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -8.1517e+01 1.0901e+01 -7.4780 1.561e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2016 6.6344e+01 1.3042e+01 5.0868 4.293e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2005 9.9064e+01 1.1948e+01 8.2909 3.319e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2006 6.5238e+01 1.9585e+01 3.3310 0.0008946 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -9.1383e+01 1.4122e+01 -6.4708 1.477e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.479 1 0.0004116 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 66.088 1 4.441e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 11.16959
R-squared 0.99623
Log-lik.(n=1200) -4537.06057 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:30:39 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.4714e-01 7.5004e-03 112.9459 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -2.5103e-16 7.4191e-16 -0.3384 0.7351555
pop 1.1870e-08 1.5812e-08 0.7507 0.4529816
idAUS 6.8356e+00 2.7548e+00 2.4814 0.0132417 *
idAUT 4.3254e+00 2.7759e+00 1.5582 0.1194792
idBEL 3.1767e+00 2.7675e+00 1.1479 0.2512786
idBGR 4.7294e-01 2.7727e+00 0.1706 0.8645961
idBRA -1.1086e+00 3.6186e+00 -0.3064 0.7593846
idCAN 6.2953e+00 2.7400e+00 2.2975 0.0217807 *
idCHE 6.9588e+00 2.7877e+00 2.4962 0.0127029 *
idCHL 3.9909e-01 2.7521e+00 0.1450 0.8847285
idCHN -2.8962e+00 1.9876e+01 -0.1457 0.8841777
idCZE 6.6258e-01 2.7649e+00 0.2396 0.8106586
idDEU 3.7600e+01 3.6403e+00 10.3288 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.7118e+00 2.7800e+00 0.6158 0.5381768
idESP 6.6636e+00 2.7386e+00 2.4332 0.0151280 *
idFIN 1.9886e+00 2.7803e+00 0.7153 0.4746105
idFRA 1.6348e+01 2.8217e+00 5.7938 9.050e-09 ***
idGBR 9.4341e+00 2.7765e+00 3.3978 0.0007044 ***
idGRC 9.2106e-01 2.7638e+00 0.3333 0.7390036
idHKG 1.0145e+00 2.7749e+00 0.3656 0.7147383
idHUN 6.9275e-01 2.7661e+00 0.2504 0.8022952
idIND -9.6396e+00 1.8421e+01 -0.5233 0.6008775
idIRL 1.0599e+00 2.7831e+00 0.3808 0.7034015
idIRN 2.5965e+00 8.8777e+00 0.2925 0.7699848
idISR 6.9863e+00 2.7854e+00 2.5082 0.0122830 *
idITA 8.8550e+00 2.7651e+00 3.2024 0.0014031 **
idJPN 2.7891e+01 6.0153e+00 4.6367 3.979e-06 ***
idKOR 1.3455e+01 3.5513e+00 3.7887 0.0001599 ***
idLUX 5.2768e-01 2.7957e+00 0.1887 0.8503264
idMEX -5.5115e-01 2.9339e+00 -0.1879 0.8510242
idMYS 5.7668e-01 2.7325e+00 0.2110 0.8328927
idNLD 7.1235e+00 2.7621e+00 2.5790 0.0100413 *
idNOR 1.5469e+00 2.7818e+00 0.5561 0.5782637
idNZL 8.7392e-01 2.7831e+00 0.3140 0.7535775
idPHL -5.4749e-01 2.8390e+00 -0.1928 0.8471164
idPOL 9.6814e-01 2.7251e+00 0.3553 0.7224567
idPRT 8.8104e-01 2.7651e+00 0.3186 0.7500702
idROU 4.3461e-01 2.7416e+00 0.1585 0.8740724
idRUS -1.1598e-01 3.1860e+00 -0.0364 0.9709674
idSAU 1.2951e+00 2.7327e+00 0.4739 0.6356451
idSGP 1.8391e+00 2.7824e+00 0.6610 0.5087708
idSVK 5.6210e-01 2.7794e+00 0.2022 0.8397692
idSVN 6.5840e-01 2.7904e+00 0.2360 0.8135135
idSWE 2.8922e+00 2.7697e+00 1.0442 0.2966134
idTHA -1.6858e-01 2.7570e+00 -0.0611 0.9512542
idTUR 5.1735e-01 2.7696e+00 0.1868 0.8518567
idTWN 5.9786e+00 3.4611e+00 1.7274 0.0843925 .
idUKR 1.3628e-01 2.7269e+00 0.0500 0.9601515
idUSA 3.4730e+01 5.4406e+00 6.3836 2.577e-10 ***
idVNM 1.0343e-01 3.3834e+00 0.0306 0.9756179
idZAF 3.7485e-01 2.7301e+00 0.1373 0.8908193
time1996 -3.4262e+00 2.3910e+00 -1.4330 0.1521631
time1997 -3.4887e+00 2.3937e+00 -1.4574 0.1452900
time1998 -2.9739e+00 2.3994e+00 -1.2394 0.2154529
time1999 -3.2764e+00 2.4021e+00 -1.3640 0.1728602
time2000 -2.2726e+00 2.4048e+00 -0.9450 0.3448608
time2001 -1.6892e+00 2.4024e+00 -0.7031 0.4821212
time2002 -2.8122e+00 2.4047e+00 -1.1694 0.2424920
time2003 -6.3755e-01 2.4124e+00 -0.2643 0.7916134
time2004 1.2843e-01 2.4150e+00 0.0532 0.9575983
time2005 1.5134e+00 2.4243e+00 0.6243 0.5325860
time2006 4.2517e+00 2.4204e+00 1.7566 0.0792738 .
time2007 3.5405e+00 2.4479e+00 1.4464 0.1483710
time2008 6.5258e+00 2.4510e+00 2.6625 0.0078735 **
time2009 7.7529e+00 2.4559e+00 3.1569 0.0016394 **
time2010 2.4377e+00 2.4550e+00 0.9930 0.3209561
time2011 6.8971e-01 2.4565e+00 0.2808 0.7789391
time2012 -1.2579e+00 2.4574e+00 -0.5119 0.6088407
time2013 -3.4091e+00 2.4522e+00 -1.3902 0.1647546
time2014 -2.6549e+00 2.4566e+00 -1.0807 0.2800649
time2015 -1.6433e+00 2.4560e+00 -0.6691 0.5035849
time2016 -1.5005e+00 2.4787e+00 -0.6054 0.5450696
time2017 9.9572e-01 2.4749e+00 0.4023 0.6875198
time2018 -2.3480e+00 2.4736e+00 -0.9492 0.3427197
time2019 -3.6667e+00 2.4763e+00 -1.4807 0.1389797
iis236 8.6333e+01 1.0313e+01 8.3717 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis237 1.6059e+02 1.0373e+01 15.4811 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 2.5087e+02 1.0577e+01 23.7181 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 1.9690e+02 1.1085e+01 17.7627 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 -1.7538e+02 1.1526e+01 -15.2152 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis276 6.3901e+01 1.3898e+01 4.5980 4.776e-06 ***
iis277 1.5371e+02 1.3700e+01 11.2203 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis278 1.0254e+02 1.3522e+01 7.5834 7.307e-14 ***
iis280 3.1521e+01 1.3492e+01 2.3363 0.0196614 *
iis281 -9.9138e+01 1.1029e+01 -8.9891 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis282 -1.2131e+02 1.0636e+01 -11.4054 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis285 -4.3446e+01 1.0457e+01 -4.1545 3.520e-05 ***
iis603 3.5237e+01 1.0527e+01 3.3474 0.0008441 ***
iis604 1.1847e+02 1.0462e+01 11.3236 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis605 6.0789e+01 1.0281e+01 5.9129 4.522e-09 ***
iis608 4.2105e+01 1.0328e+01 4.0766 4.909e-05 ***
iis609 5.3650e+01 1.0295e+01 5.2110 2.254e-07 ***
iis610 7.5724e+01 1.0254e+01 7.3847 3.074e-13 ***
iis612 1.0169e+02 1.0211e+01 9.9588 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis613 3.0997e+02 1.0156e+01 30.5199 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 5.0930e+02 1.0188e+01 49.9882 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 5.6542e+02 1.1005e+01 51.3785 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 1.5787e+02 1.2540e+01 12.5893 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis617 -1.2422e+02 1.2302e+01 -10.0977 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis622 -5.8255e+01 1.1821e+01 -4.9280 9.627e-07 ***
iis636 4.8292e+01 1.1862e+01 4.0710 5.027e-05 ***
iis637 1.5067e+02 1.1575e+01 13.0173 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis638 1.6372e+02 1.1205e+01 14.6107 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis639 9.3871e+01 1.1039e+01 8.5033 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis640 1.2315e+02 1.1016e+01 11.1790 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis643 -9.6147e+01 1.1014e+01 -8.7294 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis645 1.6978e+02 1.3502e+01 12.5741 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis646 -1.8982e+02 1.3550e+01 -14.0088 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis648 -1.7270e+02 1.3495e+01 -12.7972 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1094 7.0689e+01 1.0670e+01 6.6253 5.488e-11 ***
iis1138 -1.0294e+02 1.5793e+01 -6.5181 1.096e-10 ***
iis1139 7.2831e+01 1.5384e+01 4.7341 2.496e-06 ***
iis1140 3.0824e+01 1.4525e+01 2.1221 0.0340606 *
iis1141 2.4311e+02 1.4080e+01 17.2669 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1142 1.0258e+02 1.3552e+01 7.5690 8.115e-14 ***
iis1145 -9.6218e+01 1.1686e+01 -8.2335 5.274e-16 ***
iis1147 -2.0813e+02 1.3556e+01 -15.3534 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1149 -1.2441e+02 1.3690e+01 -9.0877 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1150 -1.8603e+02 1.3556e+01 -13.7231 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1152 -1.7352e+02 1.3493e+01 -12.8597 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2009 4.8772e+01 5.0302e+00 9.6958 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.9802e+01 1.0941e+01 6.3801 2.634e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -8.9958e+01 1.0981e+01 -8.1925 7.271e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2016 7.6698e+01 1.0241e+01 7.4896 1.446e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2017 -1.1358e+02 1.1841e+01 -9.5923 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2007 6.8367e+01 7.9203e+00 8.6318 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 6.4993e+01 1.1022e+01 5.8967 4.973e-09 ***
fesisTWN.2007 5.5049e+01 5.6687e+00 9.7111 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisTWN.2012 -5.8985e+01 5.8453e+00 -10.0910 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2005 2.0677e+02 1.3509e+01 15.3053 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.4908e+02 1.1722e+01 -12.7177 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2014 7.7470e+01 1.2059e+01 6.4243 1.993e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -5.0719e+01 1.3622e+01 -3.7234 0.0002069 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.38932 1 0.5327
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 38.48708 1 5.512e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 9.43875
R-squared 0.99734
Log-lik.(n=1200) -4329.51398 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:37:33 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.370937 0.024400 15.2025 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.507920 0.132126 3.8442 0.0001279 ***
lpop 0.760651 0.289772 2.6250 0.0087856 **
idAUS 1.958833 0.295235 6.6348 5.097e-11 ***
idAUT 3.093485 0.459942 6.7258 2.807e-11 ***
idBEL 2.669570 0.394222 6.7717 2.072e-11 ***
idBGR 2.402970 0.477453 5.0329 5.644e-07 ***
idBRA -1.712472 0.443934 -3.8575 0.0001212 ***
idCAN 1.483263 0.220267 6.7339 2.661e-11 ***
idCHE 3.183470 0.505083 6.3029 4.228e-10 ***
idCHL -2.033015 0.851456 -2.3877 0.0171233 *
idCHN -3.059876 0.963861 -3.1746 0.0015423 **
idCZE 0.422004 0.550674 0.7663 0.4436388
idDEU 1.835711 0.277216 6.6220 5.543e-11 ***
idDNK 1.113122 0.686506 1.6214 0.1052129
idESP 1.397127 0.154268 9.0565 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 2.991813 0.568285 5.2646 1.690e-07 ***
idFRA 1.343979 0.219819 6.1140 1.349e-09 ***
idGBR 1.296691 0.205753 6.3022 4.246e-10 ***
idGRC 2.140249 0.377169 5.6745 1.780e-08 ***
idHKG 1.224633 0.603440 2.0294 0.0426572 *
idHUN -0.469772 0.776255 -0.6052 0.5451869
idIND -3.651845 0.959133 -3.8074 0.0001482 ***
idIRL 2.868023 0.624843 4.5900 4.945e-06 ***
idIRN -5.410734 1.256296 -4.3069 1.804e-05 ***
idISR 2.796896 0.541489 5.1652 2.852e-07 ***
idITA 1.220081 0.197401 6.1807 8.987e-10 ***
idJPN -0.631575 0.835589 -0.7558 0.4499057
idKOR -2.179090 0.986616 -2.2087 0.0274054 *
idLUX 4.984341 1.221393 4.0809 4.813e-05 ***
idMEX -2.131175 0.436469 -4.8828 1.202e-06 ***
idMYS 0.440711 0.188809 2.3342 0.0197670 *
idNLD 2.538942 0.304028 8.3510 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNOR 1.660882 0.728435 2.2801 0.0227952 *
idNZL 2.570715 0.629621 4.0830 4.770e-05 ***
idPHL -1.618105 0.378398 -4.2762 2.067e-05 ***
idPOL 0.249971 0.174651 1.4313 0.1526397
idPRT 2.202679 0.389370 5.6570 1.965e-08 ***
idROU 1.022098 0.218339 4.6812 3.208e-06 ***
idRUS -2.455513 0.612074 -4.0118 6.435e-05 ***
idSAU -0.083202 0.285485 -0.2914 0.7707690
idSGP 2.941282 0.610375 4.8188 1.647e-06 ***
idSVK 2.939272 0.564308 5.2086 2.272e-07 ***
idSVN 3.780989 0.817628 4.6243 4.206e-06 ***
idSWE 1.510572 0.573640 2.6333 0.0085748 **
idTHA -1.207269 0.341556 -3.5346 0.0004254 ***
idTUR -0.156445 0.200647 -0.7797 0.4357358
idTWN 1.868129 0.271299 6.8859 9.661e-12 ***
idUKR -0.592969 0.214580 -2.7634 0.0058163 **
idUSA 0.304068 0.597878 0.5086 0.6111494
idVNM -4.282403 1.016847 -4.2115 2.746e-05 ***
idZAF -0.372390 0.260411 -1.4300 0.1530003
time1996 -27.235949 5.008908 -5.4375 6.661e-08 ***
time1997 -27.284279 5.011709 -5.4441 6.424e-08 ***
time1998 -27.272446 5.014056 -5.4392 6.599e-08 ***
time1999 -27.114613 5.017216 -5.4043 7.981e-08 ***
time2000 -27.193959 5.020373 -5.4167 7.460e-08 ***
time2001 -27.160790 5.023080 -5.4072 7.856e-08 ***
time2002 -27.172116 5.025457 -5.4069 7.870e-08 ***
time2003 -26.949948 5.028415 -5.3595 1.017e-07 ***
time2004 -27.126165 5.030162 -5.3927 8.500e-08 ***
time2005 -26.974957 5.034204 -5.3583 1.024e-07 ***
time2006 -26.695114 5.037897 -5.2989 1.408e-07 ***
time2007 -26.554326 5.039303 -5.2694 1.647e-07 ***
time2008 -26.397577 5.041176 -5.2364 1.962e-07 ***
time2009 -26.204036 5.040012 -5.1992 2.387e-07 ***
time2010 -26.263195 5.041585 -5.2093 2.263e-07 ***
time2011 -26.413215 5.044042 -5.2365 1.961e-07 ***
time2012 -26.388773 5.046405 -5.2292 2.038e-07 ***
time2013 -26.688415 5.048712 -5.2862 1.507e-07 ***
time2014 -26.579518 5.052333 -5.2608 1.724e-07 ***
time2015 -26.624575 5.055721 -5.2662 1.676e-07 ***
time2016 -26.713289 5.057837 -5.2816 1.544e-07 ***
time2017 -26.684079 5.061058 -5.2724 1.621e-07 ***
time2018 -26.885091 5.063722 -5.3094 1.332e-07 ***
time2019 -26.992210 5.066917 -5.3271 1.211e-07 ***
iis15 -1.441602 0.449760 -3.2053 0.0013883 **
iis146 -1.504031 0.450173 -3.3410 0.0008629 ***
iis148 -1.465872 0.450392 -3.2547 0.0011700 **
iis260 -1.468283 0.449791 -3.2644 0.0011310 **
iis469 -1.907393 0.450285 -4.2360 2.467e-05 ***
iis476 -1.370728 0.450632 -3.0418 0.0024077 **
iis579 -1.815014 0.450785 -4.0263 6.055e-05 ***
iis651 1.657484 0.458225 3.6172 0.0003114 ***
iis769 1.684031 0.450355 3.7393 0.0001941 ***
iis779 1.878510 0.450588 4.1690 3.301e-05 ***
iis852 -1.803144 0.449761 -4.0091 6.508e-05 ***
iis927 -1.239884 0.458792 -2.7025 0.0069885 **
iis947 -1.793859 0.450617 -3.9809 7.318e-05 ***
iis974 -1.557000 0.449812 -3.4614 0.0005580 ***
iis1000 -1.466763 0.450117 -3.2586 0.0011540 **
iis1008 1.218976 0.450650 2.7049 0.0069380 **
iis1049 -1.256502 0.459652 -2.7336 0.0063657 **
iis1081 -1.291377 0.471315 -2.7399 0.0062448 **
iis1084 -1.486392 0.470749 -3.1575 0.0016347 **
fesisCHN.2004 1.159250 0.222064 5.2203 2.136e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2001 0.856086 0.223500 3.8304 0.0001352 ***
fesisKOR.2003 1.410651 0.205832 6.8534 1.201e-11 ***
fesisLUX.2009 -0.675637 0.190590 -3.5450 0.0004092 ***
fesisPHL.2007 -0.756347 0.187273 -4.0387 5.749e-05 ***
fesisSAU.2011 0.804446 0.202330 3.9759 7.471e-05 ***
fesisTHA.2008 -0.513773 0.185348 -2.7719 0.0056669 **
fesisTWN.2005 0.928517 0.208387 4.4557 9.219e-06 ***
fesisVNM.2004 -0.819445 0.199435 -4.1088 4.273e-05 ***
fesisZAF.2016 -0.840557 0.242549 -3.4655 0.0005497 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.9345 1 0.008455 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 24.6476 1 6.883e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.43564
R-squared 0.94682
Log-lik.(n=1200) -653.08957 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:37:20 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.379235 0.022609 16.7738 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.607966 0.127288 4.7763 2.042e-06 ***
lpop 0.299851 0.279954 1.0711 0.2843858
idAUS 1.347961 0.286274 4.7086 2.832e-06 ***
idAUT 2.259978 0.435624 5.1879 2.558e-07 ***
idBEL 1.889559 0.373194 5.0632 4.877e-07 ***
idBGR 1.769553 0.434844 4.0694 5.072e-05 ***
idBRA -1.497222 0.422999 -3.5395 0.0004186 ***
idCAN 1.065471 0.213078 5.0004 6.716e-07 ***
idCHE 2.198381 0.483466 4.5471 6.080e-06 ***
idCHL -3.159319 0.828987 -3.8111 0.0001465 ***
idCHN -2.023201 0.908365 -2.2273 0.0261414 *
idCZE 0.425630 0.642840 0.6621 0.5080481
idDEU 1.768815 0.261064 6.7754 2.077e-11 ***
idDNK -0.143152 0.662896 -0.2159 0.8290696
idESP 0.805229 0.199486 4.0365 5.824e-05 ***
idFIN 2.056697 0.537925 3.8234 0.0001395 ***
idFRA 0.628541 0.260777 2.4103 0.0161143 *
idGBR 1.161380 0.195628 5.9367 3.964e-09 ***
idGRC 0.807051 0.373555 2.1605 0.0309658 *
idHKG 0.084031 0.586786 0.1432 0.8861554
idHUN -1.664036 0.760736 -2.1874 0.0289360 *
idIND -2.785917 0.897479 -3.1042 0.0019600 **
idIRL 1.700066 0.591799 2.8727 0.0041527 **
idIRN -6.437920 1.204231 -5.3461 1.105e-07 ***
idISR 1.743887 0.521915 3.3413 0.0008636 ***
idITA 1.066967 0.188154 5.6707 1.844e-08 ***
idJPN -1.025096 0.791991 -1.2943 0.1958403
idKOR -3.067418 0.948505 -3.2339 0.0012595 **
idLUX 3.012509 1.157103 2.6035 0.0093598 **
idMEX -2.150765 0.410093 -5.2446 1.899e-07 ***
idMYS 0.018074 0.182671 0.0989 0.9212034
idNLD 2.884651 0.463677 6.2213 7.146e-10 ***
idNOR 0.366027 0.708936 0.5163 0.6057517
idNZL 1.679192 0.617145 2.7209 0.0066194 **
idPHL -1.741734 0.356419 -4.8868 1.187e-06 ***
idPOL -0.107998 0.171369 -0.6302 0.5286967
idPRT 1.446249 0.364629 3.9664 7.800e-05 ***
idROU 0.632503 0.204542 3.0923 0.0020393 **
idRUS -2.551947 0.574739 -4.4402 9.952e-06 ***
idSAU -0.458708 0.292193 -1.5699 0.1167490
idSGP 1.814473 0.580436 3.1261 0.0018210 **
idSVK 2.166131 0.522715 4.1440 3.691e-05 ***
idSVN 2.678542 0.763210 3.5096 0.0004681 ***
idSWE 0.439855 0.560426 0.7849 0.4327163
idTHA -1.620398 0.321231 -5.0443 5.371e-07 ***
idTUR -0.156390 0.195426 -0.8003 0.4237485
idTWN 1.363200 0.253823 5.3707 9.683e-08 ***
idUKR -0.816062 0.207244 -3.9377 8.777e-05 ***
idUSA 0.706949 0.559924 1.2626 0.2070241
idVNM -4.956273 0.968573 -5.1171 3.696e-07 ***
idZAF -0.699669 0.250239 -2.7960 0.0052695 **
time1996 -21.630207 4.642928 -4.6587 3.595e-06 ***
time1997 -21.765013 4.645856 -4.6848 3.175e-06 ***
time1998 -21.674293 4.648216 -4.6629 3.524e-06 ***
time1999 -21.562034 4.650955 -4.6360 4.004e-06 ***
time2000 -21.599083 4.653899 -4.6411 3.910e-06 ***
time2001 -21.636685 4.656797 -4.6463 3.815e-06 ***
time2002 -21.594339 4.658835 -4.6351 4.022e-06 ***
time2003 -21.439943 4.661579 -4.5993 4.763e-06 ***
time2004 -21.595561 4.663706 -4.6306 4.110e-06 ***
time2005 -21.411016 4.667101 -4.5876 5.031e-06 ***
time2006 -21.157637 4.668799 -4.5317 6.532e-06 ***
time2007 -21.004468 4.670760 -4.4970 7.669e-06 ***
time2008 -20.842127 4.672284 -4.4608 9.057e-06 ***
time2009 -20.603684 4.672663 -4.4094 1.145e-05 ***
time2010 -20.757278 4.673879 -4.4411 9.910e-06 ***
time2011 -20.864834 4.675736 -4.4624 8.993e-06 ***
time2012 -20.842362 4.678147 -4.4553 9.290e-06 ***
time2013 -21.144217 4.680741 -4.5173 6.984e-06 ***
time2014 -21.039964 4.683939 -4.4919 7.851e-06 ***
time2015 -21.148821 4.687219 -4.5120 7.156e-06 ***
time2016 -21.171546 4.689324 -4.5148 7.063e-06 ***
time2017 -21.099362 4.691826 -4.4970 7.668e-06 ***
time2018 -21.302044 4.693798 -4.5383 6.334e-06 ***
time2019 -21.404799 4.697736 -4.5564 5.823e-06 ***
iis15 -1.093285 0.397518 -2.7503 0.0060582 **
iis51 -1.167208 0.385019 -3.0316 0.0024934 **
iis118 -0.870840 0.435042 -2.0017 0.0455732 *
iis135 -0.937611 0.387474 -2.4198 0.0157003 *
iis146 -1.480254 0.385380 -3.8410 0.0001300 ***
iis148 -1.479835 0.385335 -3.8404 0.0001303 ***
iis208 -1.252168 0.388342 -3.2244 0.0013018 **
iis260 -1.357601 0.385324 -3.5233 0.0004449 ***
iis319 -0.921746 0.406719 -2.2663 0.0236388 *
iis338 -1.103448 0.385606 -2.8616 0.0043000 **
iis341 -1.254882 0.385073 -3.2588 0.0011552 **
iis410 1.795596 0.412675 4.3511 1.488e-05 ***
iis414 1.572052 0.412517 3.8109 0.0001466 ***
iis416 0.948252 0.394079 2.4062 0.0162917 *
iis431 1.749379 0.462118 3.7856 0.0001622 ***
iis466 -1.009610 0.385453 -2.6193 0.0089403 **
iis469 -1.970692 0.385567 -5.1112 3.811e-07 ***
iis476 -1.367125 0.386181 -3.5401 0.0004177 ***
iis516 1.068341 0.384721 2.7769 0.0055866 **
iis579 -1.857288 0.385819 -4.8139 1.700e-06 ***
iis651 1.584450 0.393244 4.0292 6.006e-05 ***
iis662 -1.054432 0.394258 -2.6745 0.0076026 **
iis695 -1.125088 0.385471 -2.9187 0.0035905 **
iis721 -2.207351 0.532732 -4.1435 3.700e-05 ***
iis751 -1.190386 0.384823 -3.0933 0.0020322 **
iis769 1.366434 0.399545 3.4200 0.0006507 ***
iis779 2.292922 0.413136 5.5500 3.627e-08 ***
iis785 -0.910110 0.402901 -2.2589 0.0240973 *
iis790 -1.105049 0.402632 -2.7446 0.0061639 **
iis814 -0.784676 0.391408 -2.0047 0.0452496 *
iis820 1.011308 0.385542 2.6231 0.0088419 **
iis852 -1.757855 0.385136 -4.5642 5.613e-06 ***
iis853 1.059517 0.386708 2.7398 0.0062526 **
iis883 -1.168499 0.385693 -3.0296 0.0025094 **
iis895 0.980934 0.385754 2.5429 0.0111382 *
iis912 -0.970105 0.386072 -2.5128 0.0121302 *
iis947 -1.806491 0.385439 -4.6868 3.144e-06 ***
iis975 1.335877 0.404398 3.3034 0.0009880 ***
iis980 1.100474 0.402983 2.7308 0.0064250 **
iis984 -1.007023 0.402742 -2.5004 0.0125583 *
iis1000 -1.668171 0.388121 -4.2981 1.885e-05 ***
iis1008 1.677424 0.406778 4.1237 4.027e-05 ***
iis1043 1.171543 0.385888 3.0360 0.0024576 **
iis1046 -1.250927 0.385832 -3.2422 0.0012242 **
iis1049 -1.579318 0.385850 -4.0931 4.588e-05 ***
iis1055 -1.154841 0.386331 -2.9892 0.0028626 **
iis1081 -1.330557 0.403437 -3.2981 0.0010067 **
iis1084 -1.492845 0.402613 -3.7079 0.0002201 ***
iis1116 -1.120312 0.385780 -2.9040 0.0037623 **
iis1129 -1.172342 0.385373 -3.0421 0.0024085 **
iis1166 -0.950494 0.389833 -2.4382 0.0149274 *
iis1175 -0.881864 0.391187 -2.2543 0.0243837 *
iis1178 0.889381 0.386698 2.2999 0.0216500 *
iis1197 -0.884220 0.436186 -2.0272 0.0429012 *
fesisARG.2010 -0.515763 0.163371 -3.1570 0.0016401 **
fesisBGR.2013 -0.828504 0.284265 -2.9145 0.0036387 **
fesisBGR.2015 1.751553 0.462086 3.7905 0.0001590 ***
fesisBGR.2016 -1.293626 0.435339 -2.9715 0.0030316 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.648892 0.180134 3.6023 0.0003304 ***
fesisCHL.2013 0.465211 0.194281 2.3945 0.0168186 *
fesisCHL.2018 -1.270231 0.315564 -4.0253 6.105e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2004 0.768453 0.213544 3.5986 0.0003351 ***
fesisCHN.2010 0.468297 0.207986 2.2516 0.0245579 *
fesisCZE.1997 -1.068419 0.385710 -2.7700 0.0057058 **
fesisDNK.2001 0.871219 0.191874 4.5406 6.268e-06 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.562873 0.180619 3.1164 0.0018814 **
fesisFRA.2001 0.727977 0.192362 3.7844 0.0001629 ***
fesisGRC.2003 0.730510 0.204047 3.5801 0.0003594 ***
fesisGRC.2015 -0.919965 0.395187 -2.3279 0.0201079 *
fesisGRC.2016 1.365829 0.533372 2.5607 0.0105856 *
fesisGRC.2017 -1.359424 0.461678 -2.9445 0.0033067 **
fesisIRN.2014 0.904725 0.281899 3.2094 0.0013710 **
fesisIRN.2016 -1.479744 0.462402 -3.2001 0.0014154 **
fesisIRN.2017 1.097807 0.435166 2.5227 0.0117935 *
fesisKOR.2003 1.379845 0.177856 7.7582 2.055e-14 ***
fesisLUX.2008 -0.519302 0.167789 -3.0950 0.0020212 **
fesisNLD.1998 -0.977954 0.387125 -2.5262 0.0116785 *
fesisNZL.2005 -0.644640 0.215193 -2.9956 0.0028039 **
fesisNZL.2011 0.626376 0.221636 2.8261 0.0048017 **
fesisPHL.2006 -0.632366 0.164367 -3.8473 0.0001267 ***
fesisSAU.2006 -0.756785 0.213333 -3.5474 0.0004064 ***
fesisSAU.2011 1.484818 0.215419 6.8927 9.496e-12 ***
fesisSVK.2008 -1.283300 0.288812 -4.4434 9.808e-06 ***
fesisSVK.2010 0.934870 0.302211 3.0934 0.0020316 **
fesisSVN.2013 -0.692919 0.182062 -3.8060 0.0001495 ***
fesisTWN.2005 0.895514 0.179421 4.9911 7.038e-07 ***
fesisVNM.2004 -0.716961 0.175132 -4.0938 4.573e-05 ***
fesisZAF.2016 -0.562379 0.236411 -2.3788 0.0175486 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.4893 1 0.01085 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 20.9543 1 4.704e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.37245
R-squared 0.96322
Log-lik.(n=1200) -435.54377 WIND
oecd
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:40:25 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.3857e-01 1.1549e-02 72.6109 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.9664e-15 2.7815e-15 0.7070 0.4797812
pop 1.5627e-07 1.9647e-08 7.9538 5.876e-15 ***
idAUT 2.2684e+00 1.4688e+00 1.5444 0.1228675
idBEL 1.4764e+00 1.4611e+00 1.0105 0.3125391
idCAN -5.8294e-01 1.4633e+00 -0.3984 0.6904583
idCHE 1.9538e+00 1.4702e+00 1.3289 0.1842305
idCHL -7.4447e-01 1.4995e+00 -0.4965 0.6196934
idCHN -1.9221e+02 2.5431e+01 -7.5580 1.078e-13 ***
idCOL -5.8350e+00 2.2815e+00 -2.5576 0.0107154 *
idCRI 1.3258e+00 1.4824e+00 0.8944 0.3713751
idCZE 4.9973e-01 1.4608e+00 0.3421 0.7323603
idDEU 6.1716e+00 2.2491e+00 2.7441 0.0061987 **
idDNK 6.1182e+00 1.9276e+00 3.1740 0.0015589 **
idESP 1.5328e+00 1.7095e+00 0.8967 0.3701630
idEST 1.8764e+00 1.4944e+00 1.2556 0.2096230
idFIN 1.8618e+00 1.4785e+00 1.2593 0.2082837
idFRA -4.2167e+00 1.6531e+00 -2.5507 0.0109278 *
idGRC 6.4769e-01 1.4594e+00 0.4438 0.6573020
idHUN 6.2317e-01 1.4645e+00 0.4255 0.6705613
idIRL 1.6545e+00 1.4818e+00 1.1165 0.2645243
idISL 2.0787e+00 1.4997e+00 1.3861 0.1660864
idISR 1.7254e+00 1.4714e+00 1.1727 0.2412661
idITA -4.2913e+00 1.6112e+00 -2.6634 0.0078839 **
idJPN -5.3108e+00 2.8375e+00 -1.8716 0.0616109 .
idKOR -3.2760e+00 3.8478e+00 -0.8514 0.3947939
idLTU 1.6207e+00 1.4859e+00 1.0907 0.2757181
idLUX 2.0920e+00 1.4988e+00 1.3957 0.1631656
idLVA 1.7703e+00 1.4906e+00 1.1876 0.2353109
idMEX -1.4815e+01 2.2650e+00 -6.5409 1.065e-10 ***
idNLD 3.1315e+00 1.4572e+00 2.1490 0.0319179 *
idNOR 3.2944e+00 1.4831e+00 2.2212 0.0266026 *
idNZL 1.7960e+00 1.4819e+00 1.2120 0.2258639
idPOL -3.2591e+00 1.4877e+00 -2.1907 0.0287502 *
idPRT 7.2364e-01 1.4607e+00 0.4954 0.6204423
idSVK 1.3393e+00 1.4768e+00 0.9069 0.3647316
idSVN 1.7831e+00 1.4912e+00 1.1957 0.2321532
idSWE 1.9134e+00 1.4669e+00 1.3044 0.1924579
idTUR -8.5434e+00 1.7594e+00 -4.8560 1.430e-06 ***
idTWN 4.8617e-01 1.4468e+00 0.3360 0.7369310
idUSA -3.4713e+01 5.4992e+00 -6.3123 4.461e-10 ***
time1996 -3.1140e+00 1.3351e+00 -2.3324 0.0199177 *
time1997 -3.5851e+00 1.3372e+00 -2.6811 0.0074833 **
time1998 -2.8284e+00 1.3400e+00 -2.1107 0.0350962 *
time1999 -1.9581e+00 1.3416e+00 -1.4595 0.1448003
time2000 -2.6452e+00 1.3422e+00 -1.9708 0.0490751 *
time2001 -1.3199e+00 1.3439e+00 -0.9822 0.3262977
time2002 -2.7788e+00 1.3445e+00 -2.0668 0.0390594 *
time2003 -2.0019e+00 1.3465e+00 -1.4868 0.1374583
time2004 -3.2237e+00 1.3482e+00 -2.3912 0.0170163 *
time2005 -2.4015e+00 1.3501e+00 -1.7787 0.0756472 .
time2006 -1.1165e+00 1.3620e+00 -0.8197 0.4126102
time2007 -5.0626e-01 1.3657e+00 -0.3707 0.7109561
time2008 5.5608e-01 1.3706e+00 0.4057 0.6850511
time2009 1.1063e+00 1.3686e+00 0.8083 0.4191364
time2010 -1.1546e+00 1.3806e+00 -0.8363 0.4032380
time2011 -9.3820e-01 1.3771e+00 -0.6813 0.4958834
time2012 -3.8583e+00 1.3807e+00 -2.7944 0.0053181 **
time2013 -3.7918e+00 1.3811e+00 -2.7454 0.0061732 **
time2014 -2.6170e+00 1.3745e+00 -1.9040 0.0572565 .
time2015 -3.2398e+00 1.3739e+00 -2.3581 0.0185976 *
time2016 -1.8989e+00 1.3894e+00 -1.3667 0.1720823
time2017 -7.7461e-01 1.3852e+00 -0.5592 0.5761782
time2018 -3.3373e+00 1.3981e+00 -2.3869 0.0172123 *
time2019 -2.1869e+00 1.3979e+00 -1.5645 0.1180880
iis253 2.9697e+01 5.6891e+00 5.2200 2.261e-07 ***
iis255 9.3531e+01 5.6960e+00 16.4204 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis258 -8.1133e+01 5.7201e+00 -14.1839 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis261 5.9891e+01 5.7165e+00 10.4770 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis263 4.4415e+01 5.6811e+00 7.8181 1.616e-14 ***
iis264 -4.2965e+01 5.6860e+00 -7.5564 1.091e-13 ***
iis276 3.0678e+01 5.9944e+00 5.1178 3.840e-07 ***
iis277 4.9029e+01 5.8863e+00 8.3293 3.320e-16 ***
iis279 5.8406e+01 5.8929e+00 9.9112 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis281 -5.3410e+01 6.0002e+00 -8.9013 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis282 -4.9657e+01 5.8824e+00 -8.4417 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis285 4.7434e+01 5.8658e+00 8.0866 2.155e-15 ***
iis287 4.6307e+01 5.8791e+00 7.8765 1.047e-14 ***
iis288 -3.5593e+01 5.9315e+00 -6.0008 2.926e-09 ***
iis304 3.9953e+01 5.4343e+00 7.3521 4.661e-13 ***
iis305 4.4239e+01 5.4342e+00 8.1407 1.426e-15 ***
iis543 6.4929e+01 5.2230e+00 12.4312 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis551 -2.6136e+01 5.8657e+00 -4.4558 9.500e-06 ***
iis566 4.1113e+01 5.1903e+00 7.9210 7.516e-15 ***
iis924 1.1355e+02 6.2850e+00 18.0669 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis925 8.2675e+01 6.2384e+00 13.2525 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis926 1.3844e+02 6.3093e+00 21.9420 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis927 5.5093e+01 6.6203e+00 8.3218 3.521e-16 ***
iis928 -3.1922e+01 6.6031e+00 -4.8344 1.590e-06 ***
iis929 -2.1312e+01 6.3595e+00 -3.3512 0.0008407 ***
iis930 6.2524e+01 6.2559e+00 9.9943 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis931 -4.9526e+01 6.3125e+00 -7.8457 1.317e-14 ***
iis934 9.2302e+01 6.2267e+00 14.8235 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.6668e+01 3.3421e+00 10.9714 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.8521e+01 3.6483e+00 -7.8178 1.619e-14 ***
fesisDNK.2006 4.1529e+01 3.7916e+00 10.9528 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -1.7757e+01 4.1490e+00 -4.2797 2.088e-05 ***
fesisESP.2011 -8.7548e+00 2.3638e+00 -3.7037 0.0002265 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -1.1527e+01 3.1982e+00 -3.6041 0.0003318 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.1274e+01 3.4804e+00 6.1126 1.504e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2007 -2.0924e+01 4.8036e+00 -4.3560 1.489e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -2.6811e+01 5.0802e+00 -5.2776 1.670e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.3254 1 0.2496
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 121.7849 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 5.01036
R-squared 0.99135
Log-lik.(n=936) -2785.49732 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:47:42 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.9193e-01 1.3251e-02 59.7656 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.7449e-16 2.6287e-15 0.0664 0.9470914
pop 1.8731e-07 1.8134e-08 10.3296 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 2.6650e+00 1.3049e+00 2.0423 0.0414351 *
idBEL 1.7808e+00 1.2974e+00 1.3726 0.1702482
idCAN -5.7114e-01 1.2985e+00 -0.4398 0.6601660
idCHE 2.3115e+00 1.3058e+00 1.7702 0.0770568 .
idCHL -6.4346e-01 1.3378e+00 -0.4810 0.6306615
idCHN -2.3087e+02 2.3406e+01 -9.8639 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCOL -5.7172e+00 2.1226e+00 -2.6935 0.0072134 **
idCRI 1.5902e+00 1.3157e+00 1.2086 0.2271578
idCZE 5.6148e-01 1.2962e+00 0.4332 0.6650020
idDEU 1.2859e+01 2.2017e+00 5.8406 7.483e-09 ***
idDNK 6.9379e+00 1.7175e+00 4.0396 5.854e-05 ***
idESP 1.3765e+00 1.5169e+00 0.9074 0.3644659
idEST 2.1991e+00 1.3269e+00 1.6573 0.0978442 .
idFIN 2.2327e+00 1.3132e+00 1.7002 0.0894736 .
idFRA -4.9548e+00 1.4709e+00 -3.3685 0.0007908 ***
idGRC 7.3832e-01 1.2950e+00 0.5701 0.5687614
idHUN 7.7951e-01 1.2998e+00 0.5997 0.5488523
idIRL 1.9793e+00 1.3158e+00 1.5042 0.1329044
idISL 2.4377e+00 1.3317e+00 1.8305 0.0675344 .
idISR 2.0787e+00 1.3068e+00 1.5907 0.1120586
idITA -5.1074e+00 1.4351e+00 -3.5588 0.0003939 ***
idJPN -1.2813e+01 3.0356e+00 -4.2208 2.705e-05 ***
idKOR -1.6671e+00 3.5350e+00 -0.4716 0.6373495
idLTU 1.8957e+00 1.3191e+00 1.4371 0.1510776
idLUX 2.4590e+00 1.3311e+00 1.8473 0.0650565 .
idLVA 2.0739e+00 1.3234e+00 1.5671 0.1174684
idMEX -1.7774e+01 2.0686e+00 -8.5922 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 3.7683e+00 1.2978e+00 2.9035 0.0037884 **
idNOR 3.8473e+00 1.3190e+00 2.9168 0.0036321 **
idNZL 2.1008e+00 1.3157e+00 1.5967 0.1107121
idPOL -3.9675e+00 1.3253e+00 -2.9937 0.0028382 **
idPRT 8.1705e-01 1.2962e+00 0.6303 0.5286411
idSVK 1.5520e+00 1.3108e+00 1.1840 0.2367523
idSVN 2.0884e+00 1.3240e+00 1.5773 0.1150991
idSWE 2.3798e+00 1.3038e+00 1.8253 0.0683183 .
idTUR -1.0300e+01 1.5871e+00 -6.4898 1.483e-10 ***
idTWN 5.6224e-01 1.2839e+00 0.4379 0.6615588
idUSA -4.2205e+01 5.0335e+00 -8.3849 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -3.7121e+00 1.1871e+00 -3.1270 0.0018282 **
time1997 -3.4817e+00 1.1925e+00 -2.9196 0.0036001 **
time1998 -3.4398e+00 1.1916e+00 -2.8867 0.0039948 **
time1999 -2.5439e+00 1.1928e+00 -2.1327 0.0332432 *
time2000 -3.1643e+00 1.1928e+00 -2.6529 0.0081343 **
time2001 -1.8151e+00 1.1941e+00 -1.5200 0.1288862
time2002 -3.1885e+00 1.1941e+00 -2.6701 0.0077311 **
time2003 -3.2742e+00 1.2015e+00 -2.7251 0.0065647 **
time2004 -2.7727e+00 1.2078e+00 -2.2956 0.0219489 *
time2005 -1.7759e+00 1.2093e+00 -1.4686 0.1423348
time2006 -1.5216e+00 1.2135e+00 -1.2540 0.2102092
time2007 -1.0698e+00 1.2148e+00 -0.8807 0.3787421
time2008 3.7587e-02 1.2183e+00 0.0309 0.9753948
time2009 7.3845e-01 1.2197e+00 0.6054 0.5450581
time2010 -1.1335e+00 1.2251e+00 -0.9252 0.3551445
time2011 -1.3890e+00 1.2273e+00 -1.1317 0.2580924
time2012 -3.8873e+00 1.2257e+00 -3.1714 0.0015731 **
time2013 -4.0073e+00 1.2261e+00 -3.2683 0.0011268 **
time2014 -3.0605e+00 1.2202e+00 -2.5082 0.0123258 *
time2015 -3.7247e+00 1.2200e+00 -3.0530 0.0023388 **
time2016 -2.2064e+00 1.2344e+00 -1.7875 0.0742314 .
time2017 -1.0711e+00 1.2291e+00 -0.8715 0.3837485
time2018 -3.3548e+00 1.2457e+00 -2.6930 0.0072255 **
time2019 -3.4067e+00 1.2493e+00 -2.7269 0.0065300 **
iis242 -2.7131e+01 4.8351e+00 -5.6113 2.744e-08 ***
iis249 -1.4291e+01 4.8621e+00 -2.9394 0.0033808 **
iis250 -2.0825e+01 4.8458e+00 -4.2976 1.932e-05 ***
iis253 3.3032e+01 5.2101e+00 6.3399 3.783e-10 ***
iis255 8.0872e+01 6.5441e+00 12.3579 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis258 -7.8318e+01 5.1018e+00 -15.3510 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis261 5.7021e+01 5.0951e+00 11.1914 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis263 4.3536e+01 5.0421e+00 8.6345 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis264 -4.1223e+01 5.0505e+00 -8.1622 1.227e-15 ***
iis276 4.2263e+01 5.1440e+00 8.2159 8.124e-16 ***
iis277 6.3770e+01 5.0419e+00 12.6482 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis278 2.1669e+01 5.1026e+00 4.2466 2.418e-05 ***
iis279 7.7111e+01 5.1446e+00 14.9887 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis280 2.6237e+01 5.3988e+00 4.8599 1.406e-06 ***
iis281 -4.9024e+01 5.4034e+00 -9.0726 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis282 -4.8579e+01 5.1400e+00 -9.4513 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis285 4.5857e+01 5.0484e+00 9.0835 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis287 4.6661e+01 5.1290e+00 9.0975 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis288 -3.2207e+01 5.2537e+00 -6.1303 1.359e-09 ***
iis304 3.9815e+01 4.8225e+00 8.2561 5.957e-16 ***
iis305 4.5085e+01 4.8247e+00 9.3446 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis536 5.2330e+01 5.5268e+00 9.4684 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 5.7375e+01 4.7539e+00 12.0690 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis551 -2.6527e+01 5.2066e+00 -5.0948 4.330e-07 ***
iis566 4.2740e+01 4.6139e+00 9.2633 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis924 1.1030e+02 5.6105e+00 19.6594 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis925 8.4409e+01 5.5433e+00 15.2274 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis926 1.4286e+02 5.6508e+00 25.2818 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis927 6.4146e+01 6.0991e+00 10.5172 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis928 -2.2167e+01 6.1234e+00 -3.6200 0.0003126 ***
iis929 -1.5830e+01 5.7272e+00 -2.7639 0.0058382 **
iis930 6.5331e+01 5.5736e+00 11.7217 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis931 -4.4977e+01 5.6570e+00 -7.9506 6.104e-15 ***
iis934 8.2790e+01 6.3740e+00 12.9888 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis935 -1.6134e+01 6.4227e+00 -2.5120 0.0121967 *
fesisDEU.2006 3.2063e+01 3.3161e+00 9.6688 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.8765e+01 5.8021e+00 3.2341 0.0012688 **
fesisDEU.2012 -4.0117e+01 5.1858e+00 -7.7359 2.998e-14 ***
fesisDNK.2006 3.2413e+01 3.1463e+00 10.3022 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2011 -6.8779e+00 2.1203e+00 -3.2439 0.0012265 **
fesisJPN.2003 -1.8493e+01 3.6832e+00 -5.0209 6.304e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2006 3.4944e+01 3.5398e+00 9.8718 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -1.7927e+01 3.0084e+00 -5.9591 3.756e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2019 2.1675e+01 4.8808e+00 4.4409 1.018e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.2405e+01 3.1145e+00 7.1940 1.415e-12 ***
fesisUSA.2007 -1.5439e+01 4.3461e+00 -3.5524 0.0004034 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -1.8483e+01 5.5331e+00 -3.3405 0.0008738 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.31544 1 0.5744
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 58.78216 1 1.765e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 4.44585
R-squared 0.99327
Log-lik.(n=936) -2668.61149 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:55:08 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.442874 0.026899 16.4642 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp -0.416717 0.151903 -2.7433 0.0062104 **
lpop 0.411323 0.290722 1.4148 0.1574840
idAUT -0.172307 0.346227 -0.4977 0.6188442
idBEL -0.273850 0.287318 -0.9531 0.3407966
idCAN 0.261148 0.175856 1.4850 0.1379120
idCHE -0.019324 0.325498 -0.0594 0.9526726
idCHL 1.102424 0.703007 1.5682 0.1172167
idCHN -1.049386 1.197733 -0.8761 0.3811993
idCOL 1.339405 0.892375 1.5009 0.1337409
idCRI 0.801999 0.684838 1.1711 0.2418952
idCZE -0.148345 0.301611 -0.4918 0.6229570
idDEU 1.458992 0.409063 3.5667 0.0003817 ***
idDNK 1.501535 0.437111 3.4351 0.0006209 ***
idESP 0.330602 0.260956 1.2669 0.2055422
idEST -1.674400 0.952727 -1.7575 0.0791953 .
idFIN -0.573892 0.472042 -1.2158 0.2244118
idFRA 0.314347 0.336426 0.9344 0.3503781
idGRC -1.153813 0.358074 -3.2223 0.0013201 **
idHUN 0.953433 0.557116 1.7114 0.0873766 .
idIRL -0.816853 0.524353 -1.5578 0.1196456
idISL 0.948451 1.244726 0.7620 0.4462858
idISR 0.135055 0.330305 0.4089 0.6827312
idITA 0.051406 0.315825 0.1628 0.8707402
idJPN 1.692736 1.004817 1.6846 0.0924285 .
idKOR 2.258280 0.995073 2.2695 0.0234898 *
idLTU -1.743804 0.742065 -2.3499 0.0190043 *
idLUX -0.727696 1.123970 -0.6474 0.5175256
idLVA -1.758327 0.847073 -2.0758 0.0382152 *
idMEX -0.431665 0.539939 -0.7995 0.4242409
idNLD 0.284792 0.181586 1.5684 0.1171702
idNOR 0.974912 0.477579 2.0414 0.0415228 *
idNZL -0.594034 0.521492 -1.1391 0.2549799
idPOL -0.943027 0.241023 -3.9126 9.859e-05 ***
idPRT -1.169061 0.371969 -3.1429 0.0017308 **
idSVK -1.568739 0.581266 -2.6988 0.0070963 **
idSVN -1.513725 0.810262 -1.8682 0.0620787 .
idSWE 0.865106 0.323329 2.6756 0.0076023 **
idTUR -1.051411 0.388080 -2.7093 0.0068788 **
idTWN -0.841284 0.203749 -4.1290 4.002e-05 ***
idUSA 0.736917 0.798316 0.9231 0.3562227
time1996 5.214713 5.764989 0.9045 0.3659605
time1997 5.172757 5.770490 0.8964 0.3702843
time1998 5.262686 5.774492 0.9114 0.3623597
time1999 5.542185 5.779123 0.9590 0.3378306
time2000 5.414308 5.785587 0.9358 0.3496278
time2001 5.640193 5.788935 0.9743 0.3301816
time2002 5.443154 5.792914 0.9396 0.3476777
time2003 5.478867 5.796708 0.9452 0.3448410
time2004 5.472720 5.799214 0.9437 0.3455907
time2005 5.636276 5.804252 0.9711 0.3317943
time2006 5.797995 5.810539 0.9978 0.3186400
time2007 5.995269 5.816473 1.0307 0.3029558
time2008 6.087321 5.819591 1.0460 0.2958558
time2009 6.115324 5.817925 1.0511 0.2935029
time2010 6.085413 5.821706 1.0453 0.2961824
time2011 6.040993 5.825007 1.0371 0.2999936
time2012 5.990460 5.827002 1.0281 0.3042176
time2013 5.868523 5.829670 1.0067 0.3143820
time2014 5.957545 5.832219 1.0215 0.3073133
time2015 5.777376 5.835200 0.9901 0.3224113
time2016 5.925041 5.839105 1.0147 0.3105290
time2017 5.947204 5.843360 1.0178 0.3090759
time2018 5.873380 5.846659 1.0046 0.3153893
time2019 5.789010 5.849721 0.9896 0.3226404
iis7 1.387714 0.434422 3.1944 0.0014528 **
iis31 -1.789469 0.433518 -4.1278 4.023e-05 ***
iis59 -1.687360 0.432697 -3.8996 0.0001039 ***
iis345 1.364421 0.433479 3.1476 0.0017035 **
iis363 -1.460351 0.433235 -3.3708 0.0007832 ***
iis426 -1.197034 0.433141 -2.7636 0.0058400 **
iis452 1.450287 0.433995 3.3417 0.0008689 ***
iis488 -1.408880 0.433441 -3.2505 0.0011975 **
iis508 -1.715077 0.433692 -3.9546 8.304e-05 ***
iis740 -1.304087 0.434113 -3.0040 0.0027424 **
iis743 -1.487673 0.434862 -3.4210 0.0006536 ***
iis744 1.253774 0.435576 2.8784 0.0040968 **
iis758 -1.911235 0.444692 -4.2979 1.924e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2004 2.009062 0.235280 8.5390 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.956903 0.182083 5.2553 1.869e-07 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.367876 0.267138 5.1205 3.770e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2002 1.163142 0.208202 5.5866 3.116e-08 ***
fesisPOL.2009 0.708107 0.183800 3.8526 0.0001257 ***
fesisTWN.2003 0.955028 0.194556 4.9088 1.099e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2003 0.955500 0.197504 4.8379 1.558e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 9.7019 1 0.001841 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.9380 1 0.002793 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41809
R-squared 0.93360
Log-lik.(n=936) -469.36929 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 20:19:58 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.415721 0.025414 16.3580 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp -0.310344 0.146680 -2.1158 0.0346656 *
lpop 0.346197 0.274148 1.2628 0.2070183
idAUT -0.019590 0.332583 -0.0589 0.9530435
idBEL -0.286046 0.275994 -1.0364 0.3003148
idCAN -0.671701 0.294838 -2.2782 0.0229733 *
idCHE 0.014347 0.399210 0.0359 0.9713402
idCHL 0.565098 0.673909 0.8385 0.4019748
idCHN -0.729351 1.144391 -0.6373 0.5240912
idCOL 0.703689 0.865277 0.8133 0.4163111
idCRI 0.590819 0.650235 0.9086 0.3638184
idCZE -0.380703 0.280439 -1.3575 0.1749910
idDEU 1.557274 0.384777 4.0472 5.678e-05 ***
idDNK 0.654215 0.469846 1.3924 0.1641810
idESP -0.128943 0.259354 -0.4972 0.6192040
idEST -1.426417 0.921281 -1.5483 0.1219400
idFIN -0.462840 0.453549 -1.0205 0.3078019
idFRA 0.375427 0.315141 1.1913 0.2338847
idGRC -1.068840 0.346630 -3.0835 0.0021148 **
idHUN 0.531431 0.526497 1.0094 0.3130965
idIRL -0.737456 0.505766 -1.4581 0.1451997
idISL 0.595968 1.171096 0.5089 0.6109616
idISR 0.185347 0.326193 0.5682 0.5700475
idITA 0.161258 0.295402 0.5459 0.5852889
idJPN 1.126520 0.973343 1.1574 0.2474601
idKOR 1.768519 0.965675 1.8314 0.0674094 .
idLTU -1.457777 0.719354 -2.0265 0.0430386 *
idLUX -0.642066 1.076213 -0.5966 0.5509423
idLVA -1.539604 0.821377 -1.8744 0.0612313 .
idMEX -0.607145 0.519530 -1.1686 0.2428901
idNLD 0.377033 0.169313 2.2268 0.0262312 *
idNOR 0.807719 0.446828 1.8077 0.0710270 .
idNZL -0.515119 0.504934 -1.0202 0.3079508
idPOL -0.922437 0.262607 -3.5126 0.0004682 ***
idPRT -1.023734 0.358926 -2.8522 0.0044517 **
idSVK -1.292392 0.564450 -2.2896 0.0222971 *
idSVN -1.310614 0.781395 -1.6773 0.0938734 .
idSWE 0.766617 0.302076 2.5378 0.0113400 *
idTUR -0.920521 0.363496 -2.5324 0.0115154 *
idTWN -0.831271 0.182627 -4.5517 6.133e-06 ***
idUSA 0.820119 0.763750 1.0738 0.2832285
time1996 3.455809 5.586856 0.6186 0.5363792
time1997 3.433841 5.592410 0.6140 0.5393752
time1998 3.454144 5.595562 0.6173 0.5372094
time1999 3.693859 5.600761 0.6595 0.5097436
time2000 3.562179 5.607028 0.6353 0.5254075
time2001 3.765657 5.609811 0.6713 0.5022438
time2002 3.638676 5.614185 0.6481 0.5170891
time2003 3.617724 5.617757 0.6440 0.5197700
time2004 3.642494 5.620734 0.6480 0.5171382
time2005 3.784052 5.625814 0.6726 0.5013782
time2006 3.921950 5.630771 0.6965 0.4863018
time2007 4.129708 5.637110 0.7326 0.4640178
time2008 4.246327 5.639494 0.7530 0.4516906
time2009 4.291708 5.637892 0.7612 0.4467431
time2010 4.262171 5.641578 0.7555 0.4501723
time2011 4.239689 5.645141 0.7510 0.4528499
time2012 4.164628 5.646785 0.7375 0.4610178
time2013 4.069753 5.649389 0.7204 0.4714931
time2014 4.114132 5.650781 0.7281 0.4667838
time2015 3.883807 5.653226 0.6870 0.4922741
time2016 4.070472 5.656836 0.7196 0.4719984
time2017 4.118181 5.660118 0.7276 0.4670811
time2018 4.004331 5.664851 0.7069 0.4798479
time2019 4.008895 5.667881 0.7073 0.4795825
iis7 1.332222 0.381952 3.4879 0.0005129 ***
iis27 -1.233599 0.381420 -3.2342 0.0012690 **
iis31 -1.849241 0.381477 -4.8476 1.497e-06 ***
iis53 1.157223 0.382160 3.0281 0.0025387 **
iis59 -1.542337 0.382175 -4.0357 5.958e-05 ***
iis60 1.050490 0.384176 2.7344 0.0063855 **
iis71 1.143946 0.382209 2.9930 0.0028462 **
iis72 -0.912051 0.383230 -2.3799 0.0175468 *
iis146 -0.884703 0.408426 -2.1661 0.0305914 *
iis149 -0.917108 0.407826 -2.2488 0.0247940 *
iis151 -1.115026 0.408646 -2.7286 0.0064979 **
iis219 0.940035 0.381152 2.4663 0.0138570 *
iis345 1.325422 0.380914 3.4796 0.0005289 ***
iis363 -1.484803 0.381169 -3.8954 0.0001061 ***
iis395 1.359314 0.381435 3.5637 0.0003870 ***
iis426 -1.976545 0.456454 -4.3302 1.676e-05 ***
iis445 1.249170 0.381220 3.2768 0.0010945 **
iis452 1.486745 0.382699 3.8849 0.0001107 ***
iis454 -1.053842 0.383007 -2.7515 0.0060644 **
iis488 -1.436261 0.383850 -3.7417 0.0001956 ***
iis491 0.895362 0.384178 2.3306 0.0200186 *
iis508 -1.772967 0.381572 -4.6465 3.937e-06 ***
iis510 -1.100025 0.381679 -2.8821 0.0040549 **
iis554 -1.048116 0.407877 -2.5697 0.0103562 *
iis592 -0.889762 0.380851 -2.3362 0.0197206 *
iis630 1.072845 0.382485 2.8049 0.0051528 **
iis729 -0.776755 0.384023 -2.0227 0.0434331 *
iis738 -1.925757 0.416734 -4.6211 4.438e-06 ***
iis740 -1.981602 0.417838 -4.7425 2.492e-06 ***
iis743 -2.190509 0.418533 -5.2338 2.116e-07 ***
iis758 -1.912490 0.390735 -4.8946 1.188e-06 ***
iis805 -0.856565 0.380763 -2.2496 0.0247411 *
iis811 -0.794434 0.381013 -2.0851 0.0373755 *
iis864 -1.052834 0.380597 -2.7663 0.0057989 **
iis875 -0.966661 0.380602 -2.5398 0.0112761 *
iis913 -1.077904 0.402349 -2.6790 0.0075329 **
fesisCAN.1998 1.047592 0.276752 3.7853 0.0001648 ***
fesisCHE.1998 -1.038225 0.456584 -2.2739 0.0232322 *
fesisCHE.1999 1.078425 0.381985 2.8232 0.0048707 **
fesisCHN.2004 1.433746 0.234969 6.1019 1.621e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.661502 0.216109 3.0610 0.0022789 **
fesisCRI.2006 -0.402703 0.160243 -2.5131 0.0121605 *
fesisDNK.1998 0.936946 0.295485 3.1709 0.0015768 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.841878 0.170106 4.9491 9.064e-07 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.820106 0.171436 4.7838 2.043e-06 ***
fesisHUN.2013 0.784009 0.279630 2.8037 0.0051717 **
fesisHUN.2016 -1.081893 0.323026 -3.3492 0.0008476 ***
fesisISR.2014 -0.458981 0.185209 -2.4782 0.0134073 *
fesisJPN.1999 1.497127 0.235980 6.3443 3.707e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2002 1.025185 0.196957 5.2051 2.457e-07 ***
fesisNZL.2013 0.743762 0.211680 3.5136 0.0004665 ***
fesisPOL.2001 1.095452 0.408068 2.6845 0.0074121 **
fesisPOL.2002 -1.244889 0.398273 -3.1257 0.0018367 **
fesisPOL.2009 0.849226 0.187732 4.5236 6.985e-06 ***
fesisSVN.2015 1.058876 0.382692 2.7669 0.0057875 **
fesisSVN.2016 -1.351014 0.416515 -3.2436 0.0012284 **
fesisTWN.2003 1.017321 0.171794 5.9217 4.698e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2003 0.882198 0.183353 4.8115 1.786e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.3621 1 0.003831 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.3562 1 0.124789
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.36721
R-squared 0.95106
Log-lik.(n=936) -328.90955 top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:36:09 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.2251e-01 1.8448e-02 44.5841 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 4.0970e-15 4.8825e-15 0.8391 0.4017944
pop 3.2816e-08 1.3073e-08 2.5102 0.0123687 *
idAUT 6.6082e-01 2.3213e+00 0.2847 0.7760010
idBEL 1.6117e-01 2.3191e+00 0.0695 0.9446202
idBRA -6.5129e+00 3.2106e+00 -2.0286 0.0430123 *
idCAN 1.0155e+00 2.3240e+00 0.4370 0.6623028
idCHE 2.4839e-01 2.3218e+00 0.1070 0.9148436
idCHN -3.1448e+01 1.7071e+01 -1.8422 0.0660106 .
idDEU 1.5893e+01 3.3502e+00 4.7439 2.713e-06 ***
idDNK 8.4348e+00 2.9717e+00 2.8383 0.0047124 **
idESP 4.1764e+00 2.6946e+00 1.5499 0.1217769
idFIN -1.5816e-01 2.3245e+00 -0.0680 0.9457789
idFRA 1.2287e+00 2.3857e+00 0.5150 0.6067619
idGBR 6.6380e+00 2.4467e+00 2.7131 0.0068873 **
idIND -3.7107e+01 1.5474e+01 -2.3980 0.0168383 *
idISR -3.4910e-02 2.3222e+00 -0.0150 0.9880117
idITA 4.2822e-01 2.3665e+00 0.1810 0.8564770
idJPN 7.7242e+00 3.7503e+00 2.0596 0.0399312 *
idKOR -5.0360e-01 6.6281e+00 -0.0760 0.9394643
idNLD 2.6947e+00 2.3245e+00 1.1593 0.2468829
idNOR 1.2616e+00 2.3253e+00 0.5426 0.5876654
idRUS -4.6086e+00 2.8399e+00 -1.6228 0.1052367
idSGP 6.4202e-01 2.3256e+00 0.2761 0.7826108
idSWE 4.5373e-01 2.3209e+00 0.1955 0.8450820
idTWN 7.1667e-01 2.3156e+00 0.3095 0.7570682
idUSA -1.1868e+00 4.8239e+00 -0.2460 0.8057582
time1996 -2.4656e+00 2.2871e+00 -1.0781 0.2814995
time1997 -3.1883e+00 2.2863e+00 -1.3945 0.1637555
time1998 -1.9888e+00 2.2878e+00 -0.8693 0.3850826
time1999 -6.0851e-01 2.2864e+00 -0.2661 0.7902379
time2000 -1.2903e+00 2.2842e+00 -0.5649 0.5724017
time2001 5.0870e-01 2.2839e+00 0.2227 0.8238311
time2002 -1.0437e+00 2.2831e+00 -0.4571 0.6477613
time2003 -8.3199e-02 2.2840e+00 -0.0364 0.9709559
time2004 -1.5463e+00 2.2896e+00 -0.6754 0.4997420
time2005 -6.2646e-01 2.2908e+00 -0.2735 0.7846012
time2006 3.9723e+00 2.2971e+00 1.7292 0.0843630 .
time2007 3.4646e+00 2.3362e+00 1.4830 0.1386823
time2008 8.0237e+00 2.3465e+00 3.4195 0.0006767 ***
time2009 1.0314e+01 2.3324e+00 4.4222 1.191e-05 ***
time2010 3.2565e+00 2.4208e+00 1.3452 0.1791332
time2011 5.0091e+00 2.4072e+00 2.0809 0.0379360 *
time2012 -4.1809e+00 2.4107e+00 -1.7343 0.0834570 .
time2013 -4.4581e+00 2.3839e+00 -1.8701 0.0620383 .
time2014 -3.7418e-01 2.3510e+00 -0.1592 0.8736068
time2015 -6.0410e-01 2.3389e+00 -0.2583 0.7962879
time2016 8.7473e-01 2.3851e+00 0.3667 0.7139610
time2017 4.6601e+00 2.3633e+00 1.9719 0.0491496 *
time2018 -2.7232e+00 2.3968e+00 -1.1362 0.2564066
time2019 1.1705e+00 2.3933e+00 0.4891 0.6250036
iis181 3.3154e+01 9.0268e+00 3.6728 0.0002648 ***
iis183 1.0114e+02 8.9866e+00 11.2546 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -7.7885e+01 9.5901e+00 -8.1213 3.382e-15 ***
iis189 5.7938e+01 9.4729e+00 6.1162 1.887e-09 ***
iis191 4.5482e+01 9.4732e+00 4.8011 2.067e-06 ***
iis192 -4.4129e+01 9.5280e+00 -4.6315 4.596e-06 ***
iis204 4.7308e+01 9.1802e+00 5.1532 3.645e-07 ***
iis205 6.3269e+01 8.9411e+00 7.0762 4.827e-12 ***
iis207 7.7260e+01 8.8628e+00 8.7173 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis209 -4.6406e+01 8.9557e+00 -5.1817 3.153e-07 ***
iis213 4.9210e+01 8.8796e+00 5.5419 4.765e-08 ***
iis215 5.1016e+01 8.8566e+00 5.7603 1.440e-08 ***
iis399 6.3747e+01 8.4210e+00 7.5700 1.717e-13 ***
iis588 4.2815e+01 1.0576e+01 4.0483 5.946e-05 ***
iis590 6.5921e+01 1.0043e+01 6.5636 1.275e-10 ***
iis594 6.6143e+01 1.0075e+01 6.5649 1.265e-10 ***
iis595 -4.7984e+01 1.0169e+01 -4.7186 3.057e-06 ***
iis598 8.8138e+01 1.0046e+01 8.7736 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.8716e+01 5.2238e+00 5.4971 6.062e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.7982e+01 5.9891e+00 -3.0025 0.0028071 **
fesisDNK.2007 2.0277e+01 5.2709e+00 3.8470 0.0001345 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -3.2995e+01 8.9119e+00 -3.7023 0.0002365 ***
fesisESP.2011 3.4786e+01 6.1843e+00 5.6249 3.037e-08 ***
fesisESP.2013 -4.1826e+01 6.5792e+00 -6.3573 4.502e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -1.7948e+01 4.5788e+00 -3.9197 0.0001005 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.2393e+01 5.6067e+00 3.9940 7.436e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2007 4.9943e+01 8.4543e+00 5.9074 6.292e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -9.0798e+01 8.2255e+00 -11.0387 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 2.5274e+01 8.5865e+00 2.9434 0.0033912 **
fesisUSA.2017 -2.5321e+01 8.1983e+00 -3.0886 0.0021190 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.6564 1 0.4178
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 31.8100 1 1.7e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.01947
R-squared 0.98500
Log-lik.(n=600) -2059.98632 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:36:06 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.5375e-01 1.6552e-02 45.5378 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 6.9545e-15 4.2550e-15 1.6344 0.1027828
pop 2.3369e-08 1.1678e-08 2.0011 0.0459052 *
idAUT 5.3282e-01 2.0215e+00 0.2636 0.7922070
idBEL 3.0306e-02 2.0195e+00 0.0150 0.9880328
idBRA -5.2266e+00 2.8285e+00 -1.8478 0.0652031 .
idCAN 1.6883e+00 2.0243e+00 0.8340 0.4046789
idCHE 2.7166e-02 2.0220e+00 0.0134 0.9892858
idCHN -2.1355e+01 1.5129e+01 -1.4116 0.1586794
idDEU 2.0257e+01 2.9340e+00 6.9041 1.502e-11 ***
idDNK 6.2938e+00 2.6721e+00 2.3553 0.0188822 *
idESP 5.2500e+00 2.3471e+00 2.2368 0.0257297 *
idFIN -4.8974e-01 2.0246e+00 -0.2419 0.8089573
idFRA 2.4843e+00 2.0825e+00 1.1929 0.2334475
idGBR 7.8512e+00 2.1594e+00 3.6359 0.0003051 ***
idIND -2.5918e+01 1.3817e+01 -1.8758 0.0612459 .
idISR -2.8621e-01 2.0224e+00 -0.1415 0.8875166
idITA 1.2828e+00 2.0639e+00 0.6215 0.5345215
idJPN 4.2332e+00 3.4547e+00 1.2253 0.2210141
idKOR -2.2347e+00 5.7728e+00 -0.3871 0.6988403
idNLD 3.3673e+00 2.0243e+00 1.6634 0.0968397 .
idNOR 1.1561e+00 2.0251e+00 0.5709 0.5683378
idRUS -3.7737e+00 2.4923e+00 -1.5142 0.1305971
idSGP 5.8848e-01 2.0254e+00 0.2906 0.7715105
idSWE 4.6500e-01 2.0210e+00 0.2301 0.8181215
idTWN 9.1554e-01 2.0163e+00 0.4541 0.6499676
idUSA 2.1220e+00 4.2640e+00 0.4976 0.6189447
time1996 -2.3710e+00 1.9909e+00 -1.1909 0.2342412
time1997 -3.0313e+00 1.9904e+00 -1.5230 0.1283815
time1998 -1.8135e+00 1.9917e+00 -0.9105 0.3629769
time1999 -3.4529e-01 1.9907e+00 -0.1734 0.8623701
time2000 -8.5562e-01 1.9893e+00 -0.4301 0.6672961
time2001 1.0473e+00 1.9894e+00 0.5264 0.5988164
time2002 -2.9413e-01 1.9895e+00 -0.1478 0.8825262
time2003 -5.9552e-01 2.0096e+00 -0.2963 0.7670942
time2004 -7.4105e-01 1.9955e+00 -0.3714 0.7105198
time2005 2.5137e-01 1.9969e+00 0.1259 0.8998756
time2006 2.8169e+00 2.0131e+00 1.3993 0.1623430
time2007 4.2184e+00 2.0365e+00 2.0714 0.0388194 *
time2008 9.1287e+00 2.0468e+00 4.4600 1.008e-05 ***
time2009 1.1802e+01 2.0537e+00 5.7470 1.562e-08 ***
time2010 5.6317e+00 2.1169e+00 2.6604 0.0080502 **
time2011 4.2543e+00 2.1305e+00 1.9969 0.0463636 *
time2012 -2.4998e+00 2.1091e+00 -1.1853 0.2364589
time2013 -9.5863e-01 2.0993e+00 -0.4566 0.6481238
time2014 6.1153e-01 2.0588e+00 0.2970 0.7665634
time2015 5.2906e-01 2.0399e+00 0.2594 0.7954651
time2016 1.0010e+00 2.0710e+00 0.4834 0.6290484
time2017 4.6037e+00 2.0650e+00 2.2293 0.0262249 *
time2018 -1.6543e+00 2.1047e+00 -0.7860 0.4322314
time2019 7.4325e-01 2.0863e+00 0.3563 0.7217977
iis181 2.8204e+01 7.8655e+00 3.5858 0.0003683 ***
iis183 9.9781e+01 7.8254e+00 12.7509 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -7.4116e+01 8.3669e+00 -8.8582 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis189 5.6656e+01 8.2481e+00 6.8690 1.882e-11 ***
iis191 4.6651e+01 8.2566e+00 5.6501 2.664e-08 ***
iis192 -3.9362e+01 8.3017e+00 -4.7414 2.755e-06 ***
iis204 3.0527e+01 8.7737e+00 3.4794 0.0005455 ***
iis205 5.0858e+01 8.7425e+00 5.8174 1.054e-08 ***
iis207 4.7111e+01 1.0156e+01 4.6387 4.458e-06 ***
iis209 -7.0865e+01 1.0083e+01 -7.0278 6.728e-12 ***
iis210 -4.4597e+01 8.2645e+00 -5.3962 1.043e-07 ***
iis213 4.7453e+01 8.2418e+00 5.7576 1.472e-08 ***
iis215 7.9816e+01 1.0123e+01 7.8848 1.913e-14 ***
iis304 3.8274e+01 7.3077e+00 5.2375 2.381e-07 ***
iis392 3.3414e+01 7.3990e+00 4.5160 7.830e-06 ***
iis399 5.2167e+01 7.8687e+00 6.6297 8.555e-11 ***
iis407 -2.3785e+01 8.2456e+00 -2.8846 0.0040838 **
iis588 3.0292e+01 9.2398e+00 3.2785 0.0011146 **
iis590 6.4572e+01 8.7503e+00 7.3794 6.467e-13 ***
iis594 7.4432e+01 7.9904e+00 9.3152 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis595 -3.4823e+01 7.9807e+00 -4.3634 1.550e-05 ***
iis598 8.6729e+01 8.7515e+00 9.9102 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 2.6297e+01 4.1384e+00 6.3543 4.633e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.9936e+01 4.5949e+00 8.6913 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.8927e+01 5.2178e+00 -3.6275 0.0003149 ***
fesisDNK.2006 4.2754e+01 5.7387e+00 7.4501 3.994e-13 ***
fesisDNK.2010 2.3110e+01 9.1064e+00 2.5378 0.0114512 *
fesisDNK.2013 -3.0341e+01 8.3879e+00 -3.6173 0.0003272 ***
fesisDNK.2018 -2.8223e+01 8.3468e+00 -3.3813 0.0007766 ***
fesisESP.2011 3.8530e+01 5.3932e+00 7.1441 3.132e-12 ***
fesisESP.2013 -4.3070e+01 5.7322e+00 -7.5137 2.582e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.9047e+01 4.0219e+00 4.7358 2.829e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.0821e+01 5.2281e+00 -3.9825 7.808e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.6095e+01 4.8899e+00 5.3364 1.427e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.4330e+01 7.4058e+00 8.6865 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.8826e+01 6.2108e+00 -12.6919 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -1.7577e+01 6.2794e+00 -2.7991 0.0053175 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.368 1 0.2422
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 23.394 1 1.32e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 6.98270
R-squared 0.98878
Log-lik.(n=600) -1973.42483 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:48:04 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.43814 0.03436 12.7514 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.09074 0.15805 6.9014 1.464e-11 ***
lpop -2.79688 0.60574 -4.6173 4.876e-06 ***
idAUT -0.83775 0.52891 -1.5839 0.1138028
idBEL -0.42772 0.39696 -1.0775 0.2817432
idBRA 4.69330 1.27347 3.6854 0.0002516 ***
idCAN 1.47218 0.29146 5.0511 6.039e-07 ***
idCHE -1.86730 0.58330 -3.2013 0.0014495 **
idCHN 8.82913 2.33808 3.7762 0.0001771 ***
idDEU 4.86754 0.82011 5.9352 5.284e-09 ***
idDNK -3.03565 0.82871 -3.6631 0.0002740 ***
idESP 3.27505 0.50174 6.5274 1.558e-10 ***
idFIN -1.97760 0.77245 -2.5602 0.0107359 *
idFRA 3.31861 0.66509 4.9897 8.193e-07 ***
idGBR 3.73809 0.66305 5.6377 2.795e-08 ***
idIND 7.15323 2.24496 3.1864 0.0015250 **
idISR -2.56859 0.63694 -4.0327 6.317e-05 ***
idITA 3.11236 0.62077 5.0137 7.277e-07 ***
idJPN -1.06834 1.15147 -0.9278 0.3539269
idKOR -4.33127 0.96006 -4.5114 7.923e-06 ***
idNLD 0.74523 0.19948 3.7359 0.0002072 ***
idNOR -4.74527 0.95743 -4.9563 9.665e-07 ***
idRUS 1.73331 1.10868 1.5634 0.1185506
idSGP -3.00094 0.90934 -3.3001 0.0010310 **
idSWE -2.45989 0.58573 -4.1997 3.131e-05 ***
idTWN 0.82545 0.15905 5.1899 2.995e-07 ***
idUSA 6.36725 1.50873 4.2203 2.867e-05 ***
time1996 16.96773 9.18281 1.8478 0.0651884 .
time1997 16.81614 9.18807 1.8302 0.0677750 .
time1998 16.87668 9.19187 1.8360 0.0669068 .
time1999 17.27189 9.19641 1.8781 0.0609104 .
time2000 17.04261 9.20302 1.8519 0.0645991 .
time2001 17.22422 9.20797 1.8706 0.0619505 .
time2002 17.33954 9.21420 1.8818 0.0604029 .
time2003 17.32335 9.22076 1.8787 0.0608253 .
time2004 17.45316 9.22360 1.8922 0.0590012 .
time2005 17.58550 9.22891 1.9055 0.0572546 .
time2006 17.81377 9.23525 1.9289 0.0542742 .
time2007 17.90190 9.23816 1.9378 0.0531719 .
time2008 18.10723 9.24538 1.9585 0.0506896 .
time2009 18.26807 9.25192 1.9745 0.0488378 *
time2010 18.15409 9.25732 1.9611 0.0503922 .
time2011 18.16340 9.26117 1.9612 0.0503700 .
time2012 18.02991 9.26416 1.9462 0.0521548 .
time2013 17.82961 9.26728 1.9239 0.0548944 .
time2014 17.87331 9.26984 1.9281 0.0543706 .
time2015 17.66758 9.27300 1.9053 0.0572817 .
time2016 17.86693 9.27640 1.9261 0.0546271 .
time2017 17.95444 9.28022 1.9347 0.0535548 .
time2018 17.72550 9.28418 1.9092 0.0567701 .
time2019 17.69091 9.28644 1.9050 0.0573136 .
iis7 1.33841 0.43122 3.1038 0.0020119 **
iis31 -1.76300 0.43150 -4.0858 5.067e-05 ***
iis53 1.38287 0.42907 3.2229 0.0013462 **
iis59 -1.82408 0.42894 -4.2525 2.496e-05 ***
iis92 1.31058 0.42895 3.0553 0.0023606 **
iis151 -1.42548 0.43459 -3.2801 0.0011056 **
iis249 1.22385 0.42975 2.8478 0.0045717 **
iis344 -1.29648 0.43015 -3.0140 0.0027005 **
iis364 -1.57223 0.42959 -3.6599 0.0002774 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.68326 0.17917 3.8135 0.0001530 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.03461 0.26501 3.9040 0.0001067 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.90048 0.21148 -4.2581 2.437e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.22964 0.24275 5.0654 5.622e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.21294 0.24525 -4.9457 1.018e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.87955 0.20289 -4.3352 1.741e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.9355 1 0.047278 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.5327 1 0.002018 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41092
R-squared 0.93032
Log-lik.(n=600) -284.74341 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:49:55 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.370886 0.032838 11.2945 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.661756 0.200980 3.2926 0.0010615 **
lpop -2.868005 0.611867 -4.6873 3.559e-06 ***
idAUT -1.677827 0.524878 -3.1966 0.0014770 **
idBEL -1.083330 0.397410 -2.7260 0.0066322 **
idBRA 5.188888 1.308219 3.9664 8.344e-05 ***
idCAN 1.654339 0.338200 4.8916 1.344e-06 ***
idCHE -2.218840 0.563541 -3.9373 9.387e-05 ***
idCHN 10.095856 2.386539 4.2303 2.768e-05 ***
idDEU 5.473250 0.854958 6.4018 3.492e-10 ***
idDNK -3.528649 0.851274 -4.1451 3.978e-05 ***
idESP 2.660721 0.569918 4.6686 3.884e-06 ***
idFIN -2.781788 0.745418 -3.7319 0.0002115 ***
idFRA 3.681914 0.703723 5.2321 2.454e-07 ***
idGBR 3.281561 0.721983 4.5452 6.864e-06 ***
idIND 8.718280 2.248575 3.8772 0.0001195 ***
idISR -2.795717 0.621269 -4.5000 8.428e-06 ***
idITA 3.311883 0.662159 5.0016 7.838e-07 ***
idJPN 1.642930 1.306125 1.2579 0.2090169
idKOR -2.064616 1.229800 -1.6788 0.0938002 .
idNLD 0.462147 0.223684 2.0661 0.0393274 *
idNOR -4.579633 0.964247 -4.7494 2.656e-06 ***
idRUS 3.418061 1.165273 2.9333 0.0035053 **
idSGP -3.965742 0.886767 -4.4721 9.558e-06 ***
idSWE -2.157545 0.596317 -3.6181 0.0003264 ***
idTWN 0.658839 0.216024 3.0498 0.0024089 **
idUSA 7.852755 1.540743 5.0967 4.880e-07 ***
time1996 30.229406 9.289457 3.2542 0.0012129 **
time1997 30.043691 9.294934 3.2323 0.0013077 **
time1998 30.054168 9.298580 3.2321 0.0013083 **
time1999 30.412174 9.305169 3.2683 0.0011550 **
time2000 30.204170 9.314288 3.2428 0.0012613 **
time2001 30.404856 9.319531 3.2625 0.0011785 **
time2002 30.544934 9.324195 3.2759 0.0011251 **
time2003 30.502116 9.332486 3.2684 0.0011547 **
time2004 30.627056 9.335805 3.2806 0.0011069 **
time2005 30.822947 9.340053 3.3001 0.0010343 **
time2006 31.130395 9.347951 3.3302 0.0009309 ***
time2007 31.208477 9.352533 3.3369 0.0009091 ***
time2008 31.448687 9.357791 3.3607 0.0008359 ***
time2009 31.585919 9.363957 3.3731 0.0007998 ***
time2010 31.508824 9.370643 3.3625 0.0008305 ***
time2011 31.532839 9.375018 3.3635 0.0008276 ***
time2012 31.407805 9.378126 3.3490 0.0008710 ***
time2013 31.203759 9.381117 3.3262 0.0009439 ***
time2014 31.239136 9.383491 3.3292 0.0009342 ***
time2015 31.074579 9.384578 3.3112 0.0009948 ***
time2016 31.234052 9.390124 3.3263 0.0009438 ***
time2017 31.373617 9.393589 3.3399 0.0008996 ***
time2018 31.084122 9.399553 3.3070 0.0010097 **
time2019 31.122878 9.400322 3.3108 0.0009962 ***
iis22 -0.865739 0.379299 -2.2825 0.0228732 *
iis31 -1.606532 0.380438 -4.2228 2.858e-05 ***
iis53 1.448910 0.375395 3.8597 0.0001281 ***
iis59 -1.812362 0.375422 -4.8275 1.831e-06 ***
iis60 0.836489 0.380577 2.1980 0.0284021 *
iis71 1.138681 0.375257 3.0344 0.0025333 **
iis72 -0.914621 0.377085 -2.4255 0.0156338 *
iis92 1.303021 0.374323 3.4810 0.0005425 ***
iis131 -1.198434 0.374325 -3.2016 0.0014522 **
iis133 -0.952452 0.373842 -2.5477 0.0111352 *
iis151 -1.185341 0.392353 -3.0211 0.0026452 **
iis249 1.107884 0.386457 2.8668 0.0043186 **
iis267 -1.104303 0.375844 -2.9382 0.0034510 **
iis344 -1.304739 0.375742 -3.4724 0.0005597 ***
iis356 -0.924472 0.377816 -2.4469 0.0147470 *
iis364 -1.513200 0.375270 -4.0323 6.370e-05 ***
iis552 -0.851209 0.377729 -2.2535 0.0246529 *
iis577 -1.657960 0.377234 -4.3950 1.349e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2002 0.901011 0.259384 3.4737 0.0005572 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.857233 0.237176 -3.6143 0.0003311 ***
fesisAUT.2000 0.981341 0.317517 3.0907 0.0021064 **
fesisAUT.2002 -0.903707 0.274806 -3.2885 0.0010768 **
fesisCHN.2004 0.716281 0.241642 2.9642 0.0031767 **
fesisDNK.1998 1.720065 0.448012 3.8393 0.0001389 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -1.021433 0.392801 -2.6004 0.0095827 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.715876 0.172631 4.1469 3.949e-05 ***
fesisESP.1999 1.208207 0.423206 2.8549 0.0044809 **
fesisESP.2000 -1.144045 0.423398 -2.7021 0.0071212 **
fesisESP.2003 0.741592 0.231991 3.1966 0.0014768 **
fesisFIN.2007 -1.058966 0.384801 -2.7520 0.0061349 **
fesisFIN.2008 0.873166 0.381552 2.2885 0.0225196 *
fesisGBR.2000 0.880233 0.203947 4.3160 1.910e-05 ***
fesisIND.2008 0.838407 0.180332 4.6492 4.251e-06 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.152070 0.233667 4.9304 1.112e-06 ***
fesisKOR.1998 0.863332 0.276160 3.1262 0.0018720 **
fesisNOR.2019 1.017257 0.375232 2.7110 0.0069345 **
fesisRUS.2003 -0.736823 0.196662 -3.7466 0.0001997 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.500201 0.218963 6.8514 2.119e-11 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.194735 0.215179 -5.5523 4.546e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -0.757414 0.173776 -4.3586 1.585e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.5491 1 0.03294 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 4.0607 1 0.04389 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.35794
R-squared 0.94960
Log-lik.(n=600) -189.43330 top_50
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:46:23 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.5111e-01 1.0611e-02 70.7853 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.8894e-16 3.7016e-16 -0.5104 0.6098542
pop 3.0867e-08 7.7484e-09 3.9837 7.238e-05 ***
idAUS 2.2157e+00 1.3766e+00 1.6095 0.1077895
idAUT 2.8373e+00 1.3913e+00 2.0393 0.0416667 *
idBEL 2.3161e+00 1.3878e+00 1.6689 0.0954274 .
idBGR 8.9775e-01 1.3896e+00 0.6460 0.5183927
idBRA -4.2788e+00 1.7962e+00 -2.3821 0.0173867 *
idCAN 3.8378e+00 1.3764e+00 2.7884 0.0053898 **
idCHE 2.3349e+00 1.3914e+00 1.6781 0.0936163 .
idCHL 6.3301e-01 1.3798e+00 0.4588 0.6464870
idCHN -2.8442e+01 9.8733e+00 -2.8807 0.0040462 **
idCZE 8.1484e-01 1.3859e+00 0.5880 0.5566841
idDEU 2.0964e+01 1.9252e+00 10.8894 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 7.4573e+00 1.8180e+00 4.1019 4.404e-05 ***
idESP 5.9486e+00 1.4359e+00 4.1427 3.699e-05 ***
idFIN 1.8297e+00 1.3942e+00 1.3124 0.1896669
idFRA 4.4178e+00 1.3891e+00 3.1804 0.0015126 **
idGBR 5.5857e+00 1.6566e+00 3.3717 0.0007735 ***
idGRC 1.1134e+00 1.3855e+00 0.8036 0.4217943
idHKG 1.0139e+00 1.3906e+00 0.7291 0.4660894
idHUN 1.0176e+00 1.3866e+00 0.7339 0.4631778
idIND -3.1932e+01 9.0200e+00 -3.5402 0.0004168 ***
idIRL 1.3506e+00 1.3950e+00 0.9682 0.3331663
idIRN 1.0905e+00 4.4329e+00 0.2460 0.8057267
idISR 2.0259e+00 1.3917e+00 1.4557 0.1457696
idITA 3.2394e+00 1.3793e+00 2.3486 0.0190234 *
idJPN 9.3611e+00 1.8097e+00 5.1727 2.748e-07 ***
idKOR 7.2761e+00 1.4963e+00 4.8626 1.330e-06 ***
idLUX 1.1679e+00 1.4006e+00 0.8338 0.4045565
idMEX -2.0858e+00 1.4671e+00 -1.4217 0.1553949
idMYS 3.3671e-01 1.3704e+00 0.2457 0.8059603
idNLD 5.6410e+00 1.3924e+00 4.0511 5.461e-05 ***
idNOR 3.5070e+00 1.3973e+00 2.5099 0.0122200 *
idNZL 1.4454e+00 1.3949e+00 1.0362 0.3003442
idPHL -1.5446e+00 1.4216e+00 -1.0865 0.2774870
idPOL 7.1907e-01 1.3670e+00 0.5260 0.5989777
idPRT 1.1023e+00 1.3861e+00 0.7953 0.4266246
idROU 5.2783e-01 1.3748e+00 0.3839 0.7011019
idRUS -1.9991e+00 1.5864e+00 -1.2601 0.2078992
idSAU 3.7061e-01 1.3704e+00 0.2704 0.7868727
idSGP 2.9240e+00 1.3979e+00 2.0917 0.0367015 *
idSVK 1.0254e+00 1.3928e+00 0.7362 0.4617527
idSVN 1.0239e+00 1.3980e+00 0.7324 0.4641003
idSWE 2.7912e+00 1.3915e+00 2.0058 0.0451223 *
idTHA -8.9795e-01 1.3823e+00 -0.6496 0.5160819
idTUR -4.1713e-01 1.3880e+00 -0.3005 0.7638316
idTWN 3.1225e+00 1.3772e+00 2.2673 0.0235684 *
idUKR 2.2006e-01 1.3678e+00 0.1609 0.8722147
idUSA 1.2379e+00 2.7139e+00 0.4561 0.6483775
idVNM -8.8866e-01 1.6941e+00 -0.5246 0.5999842
idZAF -9.0892e-02 1.3693e+00 -0.0664 0.9470880
time1996 -2.8578e+00 1.1977e+00 -2.3861 0.0172000 *
time1997 -3.1649e+00 1.1989e+00 -2.6399 0.0084134 **
time1998 -2.5178e+00 1.2004e+00 -2.0974 0.0361900 *
time1999 -1.6892e+00 1.2013e+00 -1.4061 0.1599849
time2000 -2.0858e+00 1.2016e+00 -1.7358 0.0828823 .
time2001 -9.5252e-01 1.2026e+00 -0.7920 0.4285121
time2002 -1.8208e+00 1.2030e+00 -1.5136 0.1304287
time2003 -1.8649e+00 1.2078e+00 -1.5441 0.1228624
time2004 -1.9870e+00 1.2060e+00 -1.6477 0.0997076 .
time2005 -1.3514e+00 1.2072e+00 -1.1194 0.2632100
time2006 2.1856e-01 1.2139e+00 0.1800 0.8571476
time2007 7.6092e-01 1.2153e+00 0.6261 0.5313820
time2008 2.0675e+00 1.2230e+00 1.6905 0.0912237 .
time2009 3.0193e+00 1.2215e+00 2.4717 0.0136004 *
time2010 4.0408e-01 1.2296e+00 0.3286 0.7425011
time2011 3.8194e-01 1.2306e+00 0.3104 0.7563295
time2012 -2.5139e+00 1.2295e+00 -2.0446 0.0411327 *
time2013 -2.1221e+00 1.2310e+00 -1.7238 0.0850296 .
time2014 -1.2414e+00 1.2268e+00 -1.0119 0.3118302
time2015 -1.2909e+00 1.2258e+00 -1.0531 0.2925407
time2016 -6.8304e-01 1.2347e+00 -0.5532 0.5802362
time2017 3.6519e-01 1.2301e+00 0.2969 0.7666221
time2018 -2.2368e+00 1.2403e+00 -1.8035 0.0715924 .
time2019 -1.7086e+00 1.2371e+00 -1.3811 0.1675264
iis277 3.3760e+01 5.5299e+00 6.1049 1.431e-09 ***
iis279 7.6818e+01 6.8614e+00 11.1956 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis282 -7.6034e+01 5.3867e+00 -14.1151 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis285 5.4924e+01 5.3838e+00 10.2017 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis288 -8.4064e+01 6.7768e+00 -12.4047 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis301 3.1274e+01 5.5528e+00 5.6321 2.267e-08 ***
iis303 4.9057e+01 5.5385e+00 8.8575 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis305 -4.2832e+01 5.6444e+00 -7.5883 6.966e-14 ***
iis306 -4.5953e+01 5.5408e+00 -8.2936 3.231e-16 ***
iis309 4.6462e+01 5.5269e+00 8.4065 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis311 4.9627e+01 5.5372e+00 8.9625 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis312 -2.8216e+01 5.5831e+00 -5.0538 5.081e-07 ***
iis328 3.6165e+01 4.8937e+00 7.3902 2.924e-13 ***
iis329 4.3068e+01 4.9121e+00 8.7677 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis397 4.0745e+01 4.9725e+00 8.1941 7.066e-16 ***
iis405 -2.4006e+01 5.1161e+00 -4.6923 3.047e-06 ***
iis608 3.2230e+01 4.9651e+00 6.4913 1.293e-10 ***
iis615 5.5429e+01 5.2648e+00 10.5282 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis623 -2.5939e+01 5.5260e+00 -4.6940 3.022e-06 ***
iis638 4.1470e+01 4.8876e+00 8.4847 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1140 2.7130e+01 6.1903e+00 4.3828 1.286e-05 ***
iis1142 6.7146e+01 5.8671e+00 11.4446 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1146 7.5993e+01 5.2417e+00 14.4979 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1147 -3.2497e+01 5.2546e+00 -6.1845 8.817e-10 ***
iis1150 7.3517e+01 5.3049e+00 13.8584 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1151 -2.2594e+01 5.2489e+00 -4.3046 1.824e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2016 2.5963e+01 2.7663e+00 9.3853 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 4.0560e+01 3.2544e+00 12.4630 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 2.6874e+01 5.8791e+00 4.5712 5.409e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -4.3824e+01 5.4275e+00 -8.0744 1.794e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2018 4.3943e+01 5.3517e+00 8.2112 6.183e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2006 3.4502e+01 5.0183e+00 6.8753 1.043e-11 ***
fesisDNK.2007 3.4051e+01 5.7597e+00 5.9119 4.529e-09 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -3.1109e+01 3.9074e+00 -7.9615 4.268e-15 ***
fesisGBR.2010 3.9714e+01 3.6721e+00 10.8150 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisGBR.2012 -3.4136e+01 3.8373e+00 -8.8959 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.8825e+01 2.7259e+00 6.9059 8.485e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -1.9691e+01 3.5065e+00 -5.6155 2.490e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.6860e+01 3.2773e+00 8.1957 6.978e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.9189e+01 4.9668e+00 13.9301 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -8.5560e+01 4.0409e+00 -21.1732 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 7.8101 1 0.005196 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 83.5762 1 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 4.73460
R-squared 0.99039
Log-lik.(n=1200) -3510.10225 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:47:45 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.5497e-01 1.1631e-02 64.9088 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.7699e-16 3.1801e-16 -0.5565 0.5779564
pop 1.8131e-08 6.8490e-09 2.6473 0.0082344 **
idAUS 1.9555e+00 1.1824e+00 1.6539 0.0984482 .
idAUT 2.4116e+00 1.1957e+00 2.0169 0.0439535 *
idBEL 1.9227e+00 1.1924e+00 1.6124 0.1071705
idBGR 4.8577e-01 1.1937e+00 0.4070 0.6841175
idBRA -2.3649e+00 1.5611e+00 -1.5149 0.1301031
idCAN 3.6976e+00 1.1853e+00 3.1195 0.0018605 **
idCHE 1.9062e+00 1.1955e+00 1.5944 0.1111415
idCHL 3.3474e-01 1.1847e+00 0.2826 0.7775639
idCHN -1.8912e+01 8.5857e+00 -2.2028 0.0278246 *
idCZE 4.3836e-01 1.1903e+00 0.3683 0.7127295
idDEU 6.3982e+00 3.0405e+00 2.1043 0.0355846 *
idDNK 6.7697e+00 1.5656e+00 4.3242 1.675e-05 ***
idESP 7.5283e+00 1.3590e+00 5.5397 3.815e-08 ***
idFIN 1.3756e+00 1.1979e+00 1.1483 0.2510936
idFRA 4.6509e+00 1.1998e+00 3.8763 0.0001126 ***
idGBR 5.7423e+00 1.4280e+00 4.0212 6.198e-05 ***
idGRC 7.3913e-01 1.1899e+00 0.6212 0.5346201
idHKG 5.9224e-01 1.1946e+00 0.4958 0.6201485
idHUN 6.3338e-01 1.1909e+00 0.5319 0.5949399
idIND -1.7294e+01 7.9690e+00 -2.1702 0.0302109 *
idIRL 8.9004e-01 1.1985e+00 0.7426 0.4578896
idIRN 1.3795e+00 3.8075e+00 0.3623 0.7172021
idISR 1.5937e+00 1.1958e+00 1.3327 0.1829120
idITA 3.4258e+00 1.1877e+00 2.8844 0.0040008 **
idJPN 7.6802e+00 1.8778e+00 4.0900 4.639e-05 ***
idKOR 6.2483e+00 1.3146e+00 4.7530 2.279e-06 ***
idLUX 6.6506e-01 1.2037e+00 0.5525 0.5807033
idMEX -1.2093e+00 1.2640e+00 -0.9567 0.3389450
idMYS 1.7277e-01 1.1762e+00 0.1469 0.8832469
idNLD 5.2781e+00 1.2011e+00 4.3943 1.222e-05 ***
idNOR 3.0330e+00 1.2013e+00 2.5248 0.0117199 *
idNZL 9.8595e-01 1.1984e+00 0.8227 0.4108709
idPHL -9.0176e-01 1.2227e+00 -0.7375 0.4609646
idPOL 6.8860e-01 1.1731e+00 0.5870 0.5573266
idPRT 7.2269e-01 1.1904e+00 0.6071 0.5439207
idROU 2.8425e-01 1.1801e+00 0.2409 0.8097070
idRUS -6.8282e-01 1.3724e+00 -0.4975 0.6189109
idSAU 2.0755e-01 1.1761e+00 0.1765 0.8599588
idSGP 2.4465e+00 1.2020e+00 2.0352 0.0420729 *
idSVK 5.8517e-01 1.1966e+00 0.4890 0.6249112
idSVN 5.4166e-01 1.2013e+00 0.4509 0.6521551
idSWE 2.3703e+00 1.1964e+00 1.9812 0.0478212 *
idTHA -5.5787e-01 1.1870e+00 -0.4700 0.6384511
idTUR -2.2437e-02 1.1922e+00 -0.0188 0.9849888
idTWN 2.8713e+00 1.1837e+00 2.4258 0.0154385 *
idUKR 3.0385e-01 1.1738e+00 0.2589 0.7957936
idUSA 4.1243e+00 2.3650e+00 1.7439 0.0814644 .
idVNM -3.4212e-01 1.4554e+00 -0.2351 0.8141993
idZAF 4.3623e-02 1.1751e+00 0.0371 0.9703954
time1996 -1.9640e+00 1.0307e+00 -1.9056 0.0569699 .
time1997 -2.2600e+00 1.0317e+00 -2.1905 0.0287035 *
time1998 -1.9071e+00 1.0331e+00 -1.8460 0.0651658 .
time1999 -1.0693e+00 1.0338e+00 -1.0343 0.3012119
time2000 -1.4599e+00 1.0340e+00 -1.4119 0.1582660
time2001 -8.0459e-01 1.0377e+00 -0.7754 0.4382810
time2002 -1.1818e+00 1.0352e+00 -1.1416 0.2538739
time2003 -1.2675e+00 1.0394e+00 -1.2195 0.2229230
time2004 -1.0020e+00 1.0397e+00 -0.9637 0.3353951
time2005 -3.5771e-01 1.0409e+00 -0.3437 0.7311726
time2006 6.8438e-01 1.0458e+00 0.6544 0.5129731
time2007 1.0696e+00 1.0482e+00 1.0204 0.3077608
time2008 2.2636e+00 1.0514e+00 2.1529 0.0315484 *
time2009 2.2209e+00 1.0578e+00 2.0997 0.0359933 *
time2010 8.4376e-01 1.0601e+00 0.7959 0.4262594
time2011 1.1140e+00 1.0621e+00 1.0489 0.2944556
time2012 -1.4199e+00 1.0637e+00 -1.3348 0.1822277
time2013 -1.8562e+00 1.0595e+00 -1.7520 0.0800594 .
time2014 -9.4471e-01 1.0553e+00 -0.8952 0.3708685
time2015 -1.1598e+00 1.0552e+00 -1.0991 0.2719639
time2016 2.1456e-02 1.0666e+00 0.0201 0.9839536
time2017 9.3487e-01 1.0601e+00 0.8819 0.3780243
time2018 -1.5619e+00 1.0684e+00 -1.4619 0.1440694
time2019 -1.6336e+00 1.0739e+00 -1.5212 0.1285138
iis230 2.5157e+01 4.4024e+00 5.7142 1.429e-08 ***
iis240 1.1844e+01 4.7552e+00 2.4908 0.0128960 *
iis270 2.4333e+01 4.3875e+00 5.5460 3.685e-08 ***
iis277 3.3477e+01 4.7490e+00 7.0493 3.226e-12 ***
iis279 1.2079e+02 4.5986e+00 26.2664 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis280 4.3232e+01 4.7102e+00 9.1784 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis282 -7.6026e+01 4.6432e+00 -16.3736 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis285 5.4988e+01 4.6402e+00 11.8505 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis287 4.3854e+01 4.5931e+00 9.5479 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis288 -3.9725e+01 4.6004e+00 -8.6351 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis300 1.1127e+01 5.4565e+00 2.0393 0.0416686 *
iis301 3.5091e+01 5.1963e+00 6.7531 2.374e-11 ***
iis303 5.2259e+01 5.0400e+00 10.3687 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis305 -4.4055e+01 4.9150e+00 -8.9634 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis306 -4.6059e+01 4.7642e+00 -9.6678 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis309 4.6145e+01 4.7446e+00 9.7258 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis311 4.9157e+01 4.7578e+00 10.3319 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis312 -2.8237e+01 4.8213e+00 -5.8567 6.283e-09 ***
iis328 3.9291e+01 4.3932e+00 8.9437 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis329 4.5717e+01 4.3962e+00 10.3991 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis397 4.1011e+01 4.2724e+00 9.5989 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 2.6389e+01 4.4369e+00 5.9476 3.685e-09 ***
iis400 3.4966e+01 4.4449e+00 7.8664 8.912e-15 ***
iis401 -2.2789e+01 4.4759e+00 -5.0916 4.196e-07 ***
iis405 -2.7530e+01 4.4392e+00 -6.2017 7.978e-10 ***
iis608 5.1073e+01 5.0338e+00 10.1460 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 2.3959e+01 4.5095e+00 5.3130 1.313e-07 ***
iis615 6.6295e+01 4.4991e+00 14.7352 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis621 -1.2263e+01 5.0682e+00 -2.4197 0.0157008 *
iis623 -3.0269e+01 5.0356e+00 -6.0110 2.529e-09 ***
iis638 4.3742e+01 4.2005e+00 10.4136 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1140 2.7825e+01 5.4990e+00 5.0599 4.937e-07 ***
iis1142 6.8353e+01 5.0395e+00 13.5635 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1144 -1.6586e+01 5.5101e+00 -3.0101 0.0026733 **
iis1145 -1.2820e+01 5.1938e+00 -2.4684 0.0137288 *
iis1146 6.6812e+01 5.0701e+00 13.1778 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1147 -4.1810e+01 5.1428e+00 -8.1298 1.185e-15 ***
iis1150 6.4461e+01 5.0346e+00 12.8036 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1151 -3.1944e+01 5.0435e+00 -6.3337 3.522e-10 ***
iis1152 -1.7670e+01 5.0386e+00 -3.5070 0.0004721 ***
fesisCHN.2008 1.2999e+01 2.1138e+00 6.1496 1.096e-09 ***
fesisCHN.2016 1.7419e+01 2.8531e+00 6.1051 1.437e-09 ***
fesisDEU.1998 1.5321e+01 3.3523e+00 4.5701 5.443e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2006 4.0321e+01 2.9383e+00 13.7226 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 -1.7900e+01 3.3596e+00 -5.3278 1.212e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2006 3.4692e+01 4.3075e+00 8.0539 2.132e-15 ***
fesisDNK.2007 3.0101e+01 5.6179e+00 5.3581 1.030e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -2.7618e+01 3.8270e+00 -7.2165 1.011e-12 ***
fesisESP.2011 -5.0559e+00 1.9316e+00 -2.6175 0.0089824 **
fesisGBR.2010 8.7874e+00 2.0859e+00 4.2127 2.736e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2003 -1.6310e+01 3.3492e+00 -4.8698 1.286e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2006 2.6765e+01 3.4405e+00 7.7794 1.714e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2013 1.8216e+01 3.0322e+00 6.0076 2.580e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.3013e+01 3.7736e+00 -6.0985 1.496e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2019 2.1950e+01 4.2076e+00 5.2168 2.186e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.6674e+01 2.8373e+00 9.4011 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.8939e+01 4.5636e+00 15.1063 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.6020e+01 4.2908e+00 -17.7170 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.31662 1 0.5736
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 135.68648 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 4.06280
R-squared 0.99304
Log-lik.(n=1200) -3317.97335 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 20:19:23 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.371503 0.025008 14.8556 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp -0.416005 0.148951 -2.7929 0.0053146 **
lpop 0.197539 0.271238 0.7283 0.4665936
idAUS 1.336063 0.290959 4.5919 4.899e-06 ***
idAUT 0.949594 0.419125 2.2657 0.0236667 *
idBEL 0.902058 0.359584 2.5086 0.0122640 *
idBGR -0.677525 0.458088 -1.4790 0.1394201
idBRA 0.695807 0.425313 1.6360 0.1021293
idCAN 1.730739 0.233615 7.4085 2.543e-13 ***
idCHE 1.080846 0.464274 2.3280 0.0200914 *
idCHL 2.267039 0.930006 2.4377 0.0149406 *
idCHN 1.127288 0.918226 1.2277 0.2198302
idCZE 0.921286 0.553325 1.6650 0.0961984 .
idDEU 3.286149 0.304239 10.8012 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.914339 0.708048 2.7037 0.0069636 **
idESP 1.908478 0.163314 11.6860 < 2.2e-16 ***
idFIN 0.434667 0.523683 0.8300 0.4067084
idFRA 1.942755 0.233470 8.3212 2.561e-16 ***
idGBR 1.156209 0.294702 3.9233 9.277e-05 ***
idGRC -0.041362 0.350808 -0.1179 0.9061652
idHKG 0.840918 0.585657 1.4359 0.1513290
idHUN 1.987090 0.818977 2.4263 0.0154137 *
idIND 1.552951 0.921483 1.6853 0.0922201 .
idIRL 0.169757 0.577338 0.2940 0.7687881
idIRN 3.847487 1.419431 2.7106 0.0068213 **
idISR 1.211063 0.507337 2.3871 0.0171507 *
idITA 1.629195 0.207157 7.8646 8.820e-15 ***
idJPN 3.444892 1.015640 3.3918 0.0007190 ***
idKOR 3.775893 1.120775 3.3690 0.0007806 ***
idLUX -0.303672 1.113749 -0.2727 0.7851681
idMEX 1.152104 0.470453 2.4489 0.0144840 *
idMYS 0.099110 0.183471 0.5402 0.5891744
idNLD 1.617300 0.280271 5.7705 1.028e-08 ***
idNOR 1.984911 0.709413 2.7980 0.0052326 **
idNZL 0.328784 0.585333 0.5617 0.5744318
idPHL 1.015091 0.418388 2.4262 0.0154184 *
idPOL 0.452818 0.189770 2.3861 0.0171949 *
idPRT -0.069345 0.362566 -0.1913 0.8483561
idROU -0.166012 0.206938 -0.8022 0.4225948
idRUS 2.419781 0.678155 3.5682 0.0003750 ***
idSAU 0.450885 0.268391 1.6800 0.0932506 .
idSGP 0.081914 0.592191 0.1383 0.8900100
idSVK -0.634153 0.535953 -1.1832 0.2369759
idSVN -0.799463 0.769943 -1.0383 0.2993403
idSWE 2.041229 0.574799 3.5512 0.0003997 ***
idTHA 0.827296 0.370217 2.2346 0.0256429 *
idTUR 0.477188 0.193750 2.4629 0.0139345 *
idTWN 0.454001 0.260737 1.7412 0.0819246 .
idUKR 0.848333 0.233640 3.6309 0.0002954 ***
idUSA 2.729844 0.624880 4.3686 1.369e-05 ***
idVNM 2.995102 1.164259 2.5725 0.0102261 *
idZAF 0.955628 0.283989 3.3650 0.0007919 ***
time1996 7.549275 4.908786 1.5379 0.1243588
time1997 7.502022 4.912928 1.5270 0.1270502
time1998 7.585629 4.915527 1.5432 0.1230713
time1999 7.829335 4.919515 1.5915 0.1117886
time2000 7.717312 4.925571 1.5668 0.1174533
time2001 7.852624 4.928438 1.5933 0.1113744
time2002 7.803789 4.931752 1.5824 0.1138565
time2003 7.806160 4.935624 1.5816 0.1140302
time2004 7.851689 4.939451 1.5896 0.1122160
time2005 8.040629 4.944124 1.6263 0.1041731
time2006 8.222637 4.949897 1.6612 0.0969644 .
time2007 8.331776 4.954597 1.6816 0.0929261 .
time2008 8.419025 4.957387 1.6983 0.0897388 .
time2009 8.567981 4.957735 1.7282 0.0842330 .
time2010 8.485073 4.961794 1.7101 0.0875336 .
time2011 8.551135 4.965184 1.7222 0.0853117 .
time2012 8.427501 4.967283 1.6966 0.0900556 .
time2013 8.296854 4.969259 1.6696 0.0952767 .
time2014 8.358620 4.970780 1.6816 0.0929406 .
time2015 8.309947 4.973831 1.6707 0.0950596 .
time2016 8.337202 4.976745 1.6752 0.0941738 .
time2017 8.347827 4.980130 1.6762 0.0939787 .
time2018 8.273891 4.983009 1.6604 0.0971156 .
time2019 8.238072 4.985079 1.6525 0.0987094 .
iis31 1.288624 0.443337 2.9066 0.0037267 **
iis55 -1.733709 0.443118 -3.9125 9.695e-05 ***
iis83 -1.750743 0.442200 -3.9592 8.006e-05 ***
iis345 1.265529 0.442868 2.8576 0.0043496 **
iis363 -1.449495 0.442760 -3.2738 0.0010944 **
iis560 -1.356915 0.442639 -3.0655 0.0022261 **
iis580 -1.704054 0.443236 -3.8446 0.0001277 ***
iis788 -1.376290 0.443366 -3.1042 0.0019569 **
iis791 -1.397583 0.444056 -3.1473 0.0016922 **
iis792 1.159815 0.444412 2.6098 0.0091836 **
iis830 -1.957826 0.454447 -4.3082 1.794e-05 ***
iis1176 -1.818477 0.475707 -3.8227 0.0001394 ***
iis1198 -1.307387 0.442584 -2.9540 0.0032039 **
fesisCHN.2004 1.694087 0.247490 6.8451 1.269e-11 ***
fesisCHN.2010 0.731859 0.242802 3.0142 0.0026356 **
fesisDNK.1998 0.916255 0.342991 2.6714 0.0076662 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.872179 0.196348 4.4420 9.814e-06 ***
fesisGBR.2000 1.219862 0.240745 5.0670 4.739e-07 ***
fesisIND.2008 1.385068 0.195316 7.0914 2.374e-12 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.481928 0.272021 5.4478 6.292e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2002 1.239606 0.211425 5.8631 6.006e-09 ***
fesisPOL.2009 0.704201 0.187881 3.7481 0.0001874 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.732225 0.242643 7.1390 1.708e-12 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.305134 0.249369 -5.2337 1.989e-07 ***
fesisTWN.2003 1.022797 0.197990 5.1659 2.841e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2003 1.069591 0.200555 5.3332 1.172e-07 ***
fesisVNM.2014 1.165300 0.228980 5.0891 4.231e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 15.101 1 0.0001019 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.370 1 0.0012811 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.42849
R-squared 0.92290
Log-lik.(n=1200) -634.23909 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:58:17 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.382691 0.023494 16.2889 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp -0.238454 0.136882 -1.7420 0.0817926 .
lpop -0.039668 0.251438 -0.1578 0.8746726
idAUS 1.053435 0.265591 3.9664 7.791e-05 ***
idAUT 0.777192 0.389419 1.9958 0.0462160 *
idBEL 0.592465 0.334773 1.7698 0.0770581 .
idBGR -0.699977 0.430694 -1.6252 0.1044131
idBRA 0.741718 0.397580 1.8656 0.0623782 .
idCAN 0.526323 0.336931 1.5621 0.1185633
idCHE 0.724907 0.429089 1.6894 0.0914371 .
idCHL 1.146464 0.852502 1.3448 0.1789723
idCHN 1.731675 0.865318 2.0012 0.0456274 *
idCZE 0.798300 0.538821 1.4816 0.1387547
idDEU 3.179853 0.283467 11.2177 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.197054 0.646392 1.8519 0.0643200 .
idESP 0.953253 0.252520 3.7750 0.0001690 ***
idFIN 0.185032 0.487372 0.3797 0.7042799
idFRA 1.857308 0.215888 8.6031 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 1.076158 0.268394 4.0096 6.511e-05 ***
idGRC -0.163971 0.327512 -0.5007 0.6167181
idHKG 0.248238 0.539081 0.4605 0.6452647
idHUN 1.050723 0.747722 1.4052 0.1602473
idIND 1.582947 0.863575 1.8330 0.0670824 .
idIRL -0.185960 0.539729 -0.3445 0.7305071
idIRN 2.328540 1.307663 1.7807 0.0752520 .
idISR 0.768636 0.469342 1.6377 0.1017856
idITA 1.204514 0.257342 4.6806 3.234e-06 ***
idJPN 2.476239 0.938444 2.6387 0.0084463 **
idKOR 2.705386 1.033228 2.6184 0.0089617 **
idLUX -0.839722 1.039780 -0.8076 0.4195055
idMEX 0.863823 0.437290 1.9754 0.0484839 *
idMYS 0.113158 0.170841 0.6624 0.5078866
idNLD 1.414860 0.257169 5.5017 4.724e-08 ***
idNOR 1.237293 0.652072 1.8975 0.0580384 .
idNZL -0.155504 0.548274 -0.2836 0.7767545
idPHL 0.745789 0.388297 1.9207 0.0550437 .
idPOL 0.380496 0.217802 1.7470 0.0809329 .
idPRT -0.134846 0.337924 -0.3990 0.6899423
idROU -0.123371 0.191168 -0.6454 0.5188408
idRUS 1.916285 0.629869 3.0424 0.0024056 **
idSAU 0.195675 0.245481 0.7971 0.4255659
idSGP -0.241161 0.550385 -0.4382 0.6613540
idSVK -0.659361 0.501478 -1.3148 0.1888519
idSVN -0.956736 0.720686 -1.3275 0.1846200
idSWE 1.400744 0.526578 2.6601 0.0079308 **
idTHA 0.632280 0.342698 1.8450 0.0653179 .
idTUR 0.552699 0.178625 3.0942 0.0020256 **
idTWN 0.280677 0.236783 1.1854 0.2361361
idUKR 0.687400 0.217592 3.1591 0.0016276 **
idUSA 2.782994 0.588475 4.7292 2.561e-06 ***
idVNM 1.767285 1.073717 1.6460 0.1000726
idZAF 0.782224 0.261532 2.9909 0.0028460 **
time1996 6.915146 4.601174 1.5029 0.1331627
time1997 6.900358 4.606025 1.4981 0.1344032
time1998 6.946438 4.607958 1.5075 0.1319860
time1999 7.089957 4.612969 1.5370 0.1246034
time2000 7.038693 4.618043 1.5242 0.1277662
time2001 7.127954 4.621086 1.5425 0.1232566
time2002 7.147850 4.624512 1.5456 0.1224913
time2003 7.104151 4.628316 1.5349 0.1251011
time2004 7.151169 4.631902 1.5439 0.1229145
time2005 7.333239 4.636290 1.5817 0.1140177
time2006 7.458365 4.641662 1.6068 0.1083916
time2007 7.586223 4.646391 1.6327 0.1028286
time2008 7.686052 4.648637 1.6534 0.0985480 .
time2009 7.842432 4.649165 1.6868 0.0919292 .
time2010 7.777958 4.652733 1.6717 0.0948815 .
time2011 7.836793 4.655977 1.6832 0.0926392 .
time2012 7.711583 4.658062 1.6555 0.0981144 .
time2013 7.629623 4.660274 1.6372 0.1018957
time2014 7.627458 4.661422 1.6363 0.1020771
time2015 7.521013 4.663866 1.6126 0.1071284
time2016 7.618835 4.666202 1.6328 0.1028166
time2017 7.613032 4.669988 1.6302 0.1033578
time2018 7.528749 4.674308 1.6107 0.1075525
time2019 7.480719 4.676144 1.5998 0.1099516
iis4 1.115142 0.393589 2.8333 0.0046956 **
iis31 1.256737 0.394227 3.1878 0.0014756 **
iis51 -1.244302 0.394031 -3.1579 0.0016345 **
iis55 -1.842465 0.394400 -4.6716 3.376e-06 ***
iis77 1.147474 0.395094 2.9043 0.0037577 **
iis83 -1.586812 0.394880 -4.0185 6.275e-05 ***
iis84 1.040363 0.396797 2.6219 0.0088703 **
iis95 1.155791 0.395181 2.9247 0.0035217 **
iis96 -0.816741 0.396108 -2.0619 0.0394609 *
iis97 1.038829 0.396599 2.6193 0.0089367 **
iis140 1.304533 0.393337 3.3166 0.0009424 ***
iis218 -0.884941 0.422109 -2.0965 0.0362784 *
iis221 -0.936503 0.421628 -2.2212 0.0265524 *
iis223 -1.160340 0.422429 -2.7468 0.0061202 **
iis345 1.268933 0.393620 3.2238 0.0013041 **
iis363 -1.501483 0.393735 -3.8134 0.0001450 ***
iis419 1.316431 0.393812 3.3428 0.0008586 ***
iis474 -1.920347 0.471838 -4.0699 5.055e-05 ***
iis517 1.344247 0.394099 3.4109 0.0006720 ***
iis524 1.358804 0.394892 3.4410 0.0006024 ***
iis526 -1.018475 0.395010 -2.5784 0.0100622 *
iis544 -0.982829 0.393992 -2.4945 0.0127646 *
iis549 -0.831245 0.394850 -2.1052 0.0355090 *
iis560 -1.352132 0.394185 -3.4302 0.0006266 ***
iis563 0.922898 0.394144 2.3415 0.0193910 *
iis572 -1.021760 0.394670 -2.5889 0.0097613 **
iis580 -1.305772 0.421871 -3.0952 0.0020188 **
iis626 -1.078805 0.421575 -2.5590 0.0106368 *
iis711 -1.141264 0.394218 -2.8950 0.0038699 **
iis715 -0.920544 0.395326 -2.3286 0.0200705 *
iis717 -0.829531 0.395731 -2.0962 0.0363032 *
iis772 1.079858 0.397755 2.7149 0.0067384 **
iis774 1.212966 0.397520 3.0513 0.0023354 **
iis786 -1.041819 0.397697 -2.6196 0.0089292 **
iis788 -2.069308 0.431662 -4.7938 1.872e-06 ***
iis791 -2.141487 0.432350 -4.9531 8.503e-07 ***
iis830 -1.922799 0.403896 -4.7606 2.200e-06 ***
iis883 -0.863212 0.394082 -2.1904 0.0287116 *
iis1045 -1.058037 0.394062 -2.6850 0.0073680 **
iis1049 -0.978403 0.393540 -2.4862 0.0130673 *
iis1127 -1.128097 0.395444 -2.8527 0.0044194 **
iis1128 0.957099 0.396861 2.4117 0.0160500 *
iis1129 -1.118984 0.415987 -2.6900 0.0072594 **
iis1176 -1.846603 0.422996 -4.3655 1.393e-05 ***
iis1194 -1.133951 0.393703 -2.8802 0.0040546 **
iis1198 -1.355526 0.393865 -3.4416 0.0006010 ***
fesisCAN.1998 1.084020 0.285710 3.7941 0.0001566 ***
fesisCHN.2004 1.245743 0.245771 5.0687 4.729e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2010 0.595837 0.216886 2.7472 0.0061125 **
fesisCZE.1999 -0.554756 0.239209 -2.3191 0.0205791 *
fesisDNK.1998 0.963659 0.305231 3.1571 0.0016385 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.873092 0.175253 4.9819 7.356e-07 ***
fesisESP.1999 1.401945 0.444791 3.1519 0.0016679 **
fesisESP.2000 -1.164174 0.445198 -2.6150 0.0090514 **
fesisESP.2003 0.909522 0.243015 3.7427 0.0001919 ***
fesisGBR.2000 1.231272 0.214836 5.7312 1.301e-08 ***
fesisHUN.2013 0.680756 0.289194 2.3540 0.0187569 *
fesisHUN.2016 -1.011341 0.333748 -3.0303 0.0025032 **
fesisIND.2008 1.298093 0.174969 7.4190 2.427e-13 ***
fesisIRN.2019 0.881054 0.395086 2.2300 0.0259558 *
fesisITA.2002 0.450638 0.199817 2.2553 0.0243223 *
fesisJPN.1999 1.539408 0.242860 6.3387 3.432e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2002 1.005202 0.201325 4.9929 6.957e-07 ***
fesisNZL.2014 0.923268 0.218747 4.2207 2.646e-05 ***
fesisPOL.2001 1.175856 0.421745 2.7881 0.0053978 **
fesisPOL.2002 -1.380840 0.411504 -3.3556 0.0008202 ***
fesisPOL.2009 0.821804 0.193324 4.2509 2.318e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.703234 0.216765 7.8575 9.640e-15 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.313426 0.221965 -5.9173 4.424e-09 ***
fesisTWN.2003 1.018144 0.176718 5.7614 1.095e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2003 0.916061 0.188459 4.8608 1.347e-06 ***
fesisVNM.2014 1.099981 0.204228 5.3860 8.884e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.4457 1 0.000419 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.1343 1 0.144040
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.38077
R-squared 0.94161
Log-lik.(n=1200) -470.05758 BATTERIES
oecd
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:16:47 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4660e-01 8.1563e-03 116.0583 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -2.4813e-14 1.0572e-14 -2.3470 0.0191578 *
pop 5.1140e-07 5.7925e-08 8.8287 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 8.6835e+00 3.3240e+00 2.6124 0.0091526 **
idBEL 4.8182e+00 3.2848e+00 1.4668 0.1427959
idCAN -3.4969e+00 3.2855e+00 -1.0643 0.2874833
idCHE 7.0029e+00 3.3272e+00 2.1048 0.0356106 *
idCHL 4.3849e+00 3.5359e+00 1.2401 0.2152877
idCHN -6.3008e+02 7.3971e+01 -8.5180 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCOL 2.4728e+00 7.3661e+00 0.3357 0.7371790
idCRI 7.8454e+00 3.3711e+00 2.3273 0.0201892 *
idCZE 4.5253e+00 3.2852e+00 1.3775 0.1687344
idDEU -1.6041e+01 5.1161e+00 -3.1354 0.0017761 **
idDNK 7.1505e+00 3.3508e+00 2.1340 0.0331370 *
idESP -1.2438e+01 3.4948e+00 -3.5588 0.0003935 ***
idEST 8.8284e+00 3.4192e+00 2.5820 0.0099919 **
idFIN 7.2491e+00 3.3548e+00 2.1608 0.0309944 *
idFRA -1.2403e+01 3.9269e+00 -3.1583 0.0016438 **
idGRC 4.0220e+00 3.2796e+00 1.2264 0.2203995
idHUN 5.2995e+00 3.3022e+00 1.6048 0.1089095
idIRL 7.6106e+00 3.3681e+00 2.2596 0.0241035 *
idISL 9.4050e+00 3.4392e+00 2.7347 0.0063760 **
idISR 6.4257e+00 3.3341e+00 1.9273 0.0542837 .
idITA -1.8597e+01 3.8709e+00 -4.8042 1.841e-06 ***
idJPN 1.5100e+02 1.0109e+01 14.9373 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 3.2048e+01 1.1214e+01 2.8578 0.0043713 **
idLTU 7.8778e+00 3.3854e+00 2.3270 0.0202045 *
idLUX 9.3308e+00 3.4369e+00 2.7149 0.0067655 **
idLVA 8.4073e+00 3.4038e+00 2.4700 0.0137118 *
idMEX -4.5699e+01 6.0475e+00 -7.5567 1.086e-13 ***
idNLD 1.9895e+00 3.2416e+00 0.6137 0.5395621
idNOR 7.5366e+00 3.3611e+00 2.2423 0.0252032 *
idNZL 7.3398e+00 3.3697e+00 2.1782 0.0296699 *
idPOL -9.7929e+00 3.3814e+00 -2.8961 0.0038772 **
idPRT 4.2366e+00 3.2849e+00 1.2897 0.1974985
idSVK 6.8199e+00 3.3498e+00 2.0359 0.0420770 *
idSVN 8.5265e+00 3.4073e+00 2.5024 0.0125244 *
idSWE 6.0592e+00 3.3031e+00 1.8344 0.0669468 .
idTUR -2.6538e+01 4.3602e+00 -6.0865 1.757e-09 ***
idTWN 5.3194e+00 3.2493e+00 1.6371 0.1019826
idUSA -8.8866e+01 1.4958e+01 -5.9410 4.155e-09 ***
time1996 -9.4276e+00 3.0666e+00 -3.0743 0.0021788 **
time1997 -7.9895e+00 3.0744e+00 -2.5987 0.0095226 **
time1998 -1.1172e+01 3.0801e+00 -3.6270 0.0003041 ***
time1999 -9.0386e+00 3.0871e+00 -2.9279 0.0035055 **
time2000 -1.1387e+01 3.0860e+00 -3.6899 0.0002388 ***
time2001 -1.0163e+01 3.1052e+00 -3.2728 0.0011085 **
time2002 -1.2397e+01 3.1122e+00 -3.9834 7.386e-05 ***
time2003 -1.1608e+01 3.1225e+00 -3.7176 0.0002146 ***
time2004 -9.4022e+00 3.1440e+00 -2.9905 0.0028671 **
time2005 -1.0337e+01 3.1169e+00 -3.3165 0.0009507 ***
time2006 -1.1612e+01 3.1371e+00 -3.7014 0.0002285 ***
time2007 -6.3473e+00 3.1470e+00 -2.0170 0.0440180 *
time2008 -9.0882e+00 3.1483e+00 -2.8867 0.0039936 **
time2009 -4.9469e+00 3.1874e+00 -1.5520 0.1210337
time2010 -5.2505e+00 3.1807e+00 -1.6508 0.0991642 .
time2011 -9.1123e+00 3.1716e+00 -2.8730 0.0041684 **
time2012 -1.0878e+01 3.1712e+00 -3.4303 0.0006325 ***
time2013 -1.0768e+01 3.2220e+00 -3.3421 0.0008685 ***
time2014 -1.2019e+01 3.1916e+00 -3.7660 0.0001775 ***
time2015 -1.0937e+01 3.2109e+00 -3.4063 0.0006899 ***
time2016 -9.1416e+00 3.1755e+00 -2.8788 0.0040936 **
time2017 -4.3527e+00 3.1831e+00 -1.3675 0.1718507
time2018 -8.1370e+00 3.1636e+00 -2.5721 0.0102808 *
time2019 -1.2761e+01 3.1740e+00 -4.0205 6.332e-05 ***
iis165 1.0466e+02 1.3536e+01 7.7319 3.043e-14 ***
iis258 -1.6806e+02 1.3136e+01 -12.7941 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis260 -1.8161e+02 1.3093e+01 -13.8711 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis262 8.8604e+01 1.3095e+01 6.7665 2.481e-11 ***
iis529 -1.3478e+02 1.3218e+01 -10.1969 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis530 -1.3787e+02 1.3185e+01 -10.4567 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis531 -1.4771e+02 1.3159e+01 -11.2254 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis534 -2.0976e+02 1.3164e+01 -15.9346 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis535 -2.2906e+02 1.3116e+01 -17.4646 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis536 -1.1774e+02 1.3086e+01 -8.9971 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis537 -1.0175e+02 1.3097e+01 -7.7689 2.318e-14 ***
iis539 -9.6746e+01 1.3216e+01 -7.3206 5.803e-13 ***
iis541 -1.7729e+02 1.5373e+01 -11.5323 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis542 2.0583e+02 1.5713e+01 13.0991 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 6.3920e+02 1.4549e+01 43.9340 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 4.2672e+02 1.3098e+01 32.5784 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -9.9329e+01 1.3472e+01 -7.3729 4.019e-13 ***
iis546 -3.4932e+02 1.3334e+01 -26.1969 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis550 2.8276e+02 1.6345e+01 17.2996 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis552 -5.8895e+02 1.6047e+01 -36.7015 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis561 1.5207e+02 1.1852e+01 12.8307 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis566 1.5603e+02 1.4209e+01 10.9813 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis567 1.8675e+02 1.3137e+01 14.2159 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis570 1.8836e+02 1.2324e+01 15.2847 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis571 -2.7038e+02 1.2529e+01 -21.5805 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis572 -2.7764e+02 1.2285e+01 -22.6002 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis930 1.7951e+02 1.1691e+01 15.3538 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 1.5134e+02 9.0684e+00 16.6888 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2009 1.0605e+02 6.9544e+00 15.2497 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -3.8917e+01 8.7002e+00 -4.4731 8.773e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2019 -1.7550e+02 1.3158e+01 -13.3379 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2007 3.7559e+01 1.3269e+01 2.8306 0.0047569 **
fesisJPN.2008 -8.2971e+01 1.6180e+01 -5.1281 3.639e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2017 9.2861e+01 1.3575e+01 6.8407 1.523e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.5919e+02 1.1271e+01 14.1235 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.6888 1 0.1938
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 108.3823 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 11.18461
R-squared 0.99891
Log-lik.(n=936) -3538.13452 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:16:41 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.5416e-01 7.3072e-03 130.5789 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -2.1609e-14 9.3493e-15 -2.3113 0.0210591 *
pop 4.7427e-07 5.0904e-08 9.3169 < 2.2e-16 ***
idAUT 8.1435e+00 2.9009e+00 2.8073 0.0051138 **
idBEL 4.4485e+00 2.8658e+00 1.5523 0.1209788
idCAN -3.2601e+00 2.8660e+00 -1.1375 0.2556608
idCHE 6.4770e+00 2.9035e+00 2.2307 0.0259675 *
idCHL 3.8442e+00 3.0913e+00 1.2435 0.2140178
idCHN -5.8334e+02 6.4989e+01 -8.9760 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCOL 1.4101e+00 6.4926e+00 0.2172 0.8281129
idCRI 7.2106e+00 2.9422e+00 2.4507 0.0144618 *
idCZE 4.1670e+00 2.8661e+00 1.4539 0.1463576
idDEU -2.3413e+01 4.7570e+00 -4.9217 1.035e-06 ***
idDNK 6.6020e+00 2.9242e+00 2.2577 0.0242217 *
idESP -1.1561e+01 3.0520e+00 -3.7881 0.0001628 ***
idEST 8.1559e+00 2.9845e+00 2.7328 0.0064144 **
idFIN 6.6927e+00 2.9277e+00 2.2860 0.0225071 *
idFRA -1.1336e+01 3.4291e+00 -3.3059 0.0009876 ***
idGRC 3.7009e+00 2.8611e+00 1.2935 0.1961904
idHUN 4.8447e+00 2.8814e+00 1.6813 0.0930738 .
idIRL 7.0377e+00 2.9394e+00 2.3943 0.0168752 *
idISL 8.6882e+00 3.0021e+00 2.8940 0.0039032 **
idISR 5.8744e+00 2.9097e+00 2.0189 0.0438175 *
idITA -1.7258e+01 3.3837e+00 -5.1005 4.203e-07 ***
idJPN 1.5940e+02 9.6663e+00 16.4907 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 3.0671e+01 9.9206e+00 3.0917 0.0020569 **
idLTU 7.2745e+00 2.9546e+00 2.4621 0.0140153 *
idLUX 8.6202e+00 3.0001e+00 2.8733 0.0041661 **
idLVA 7.7654e+00 2.9709e+00 2.6138 0.0091162 **
idMEX -4.2429e+01 5.3040e+00 -7.9994 4.205e-15 ***
idNLD 1.8031e+00 2.8277e+00 0.6376 0.5238801
idNOR 6.9642e+00 2.9332e+00 2.3742 0.0178124 *
idNZL 6.7600e+00 2.9408e+00 2.2987 0.0217689 *
idPOL -9.1150e+00 2.9517e+00 -3.0880 0.0020823 **
idPRT 3.8955e+00 2.8658e+00 1.3593 0.1744205
idSVK 6.2949e+00 2.9232e+00 2.1534 0.0315730 *
idSVN 7.8743e+00 2.9740e+00 2.6478 0.0082569 **
idSWE 5.6049e+00 2.8821e+00 1.9447 0.0521455 .
idTUR -2.4627e+01 3.8167e+00 -6.4523 1.873e-10 ***
idTWN 5.0069e+00 2.8352e+00 1.7660 0.0777608 .
idUSA -8.7291e+01 1.3071e+01 -6.6781 4.436e-11 ***
time1996 -8.3545e+00 2.6780e+00 -3.1197 0.0018731 **
time1997 -6.9142e+00 2.6848e+00 -2.5753 0.0101872 *
time1998 -1.0099e+01 2.6897e+00 -3.7546 0.0001857 ***
time1999 -8.2285e+00 2.6959e+00 -3.0522 0.0023443 **
time2000 -1.0619e+01 2.6947e+00 -3.9407 8.810e-05 ***
time2001 -9.0734e+00 2.7117e+00 -3.3460 0.0008567 ***
time2002 -1.0603e+01 2.7279e+00 -3.8868 0.0001097 ***
time2003 -1.0507e+01 2.7268e+00 -3.8534 0.0001255 ***
time2004 -8.2233e+00 2.7455e+00 -2.9952 0.0028244 **
time2005 -8.6861e+00 2.7334e+00 -3.1777 0.0015395 **
time2006 -1.1577e+01 2.7456e+00 -4.2165 2.755e-05 ***
time2007 -6.3109e+00 2.7544e+00 -2.2912 0.0222002 *
time2008 -9.0862e+00 2.7552e+00 -3.2979 0.0010158 **
time2009 -7.1746e+00 2.7886e+00 -2.5729 0.0102588 *
time2010 -4.3861e+00 2.7773e+00 -1.5792 0.1146630
time2011 -7.5864e+00 2.7713e+00 -2.7375 0.0063234 **
time2012 -1.0987e+01 2.7756e+00 -3.9585 8.191e-05 ***
time2013 -1.0043e+01 2.8129e+00 -3.5704 0.0003770 ***
time2014 -1.1189e+01 2.7863e+00 -4.0156 6.467e-05 ***
time2015 -1.0118e+01 2.8032e+00 -3.6094 0.0003253 ***
time2016 -7.6332e+00 2.7742e+00 -2.7515 0.0060626 **
time2017 -5.2800e+00 2.7964e+00 -1.8881 0.0593568 .
time2018 -6.3399e+00 2.7709e+00 -2.2881 0.0223845 *
time2019 -1.1936e+01 2.7813e+00 -4.2913 1.986e-05 ***
iis165 2.5594e+02 1.0731e+01 23.8516 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 1.4771e+02 1.1010e+01 13.4161 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 1.3240e+02 1.1339e+01 11.6765 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 1.6716e+02 1.1735e+01 14.2446 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis258 -1.6828e+02 1.1460e+01 -14.6843 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis260 -1.8133e+02 1.1421e+01 -15.8769 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis262 9.1294e+01 1.1430e+01 7.9875 4.600e-15 ***
iis264 -1.7629e+02 1.1487e+01 -15.3473 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis529 -1.4493e+02 1.2175e+01 -11.9042 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis530 -1.4826e+02 1.2153e+01 -12.2001 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis531 -1.5829e+02 1.2136e+01 -13.0430 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis534 -1.8722e+02 1.3989e+01 -13.3831 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis535 -2.0672e+02 1.3981e+01 -14.7852 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis536 -9.4083e+01 1.3989e+01 -6.7256 3.258e-11 ***
iis537 -7.8465e+01 1.3984e+01 -5.6112 2.740e-08 ***
iis539 -7.3686e+01 1.4008e+01 -5.2602 1.833e-07 ***
iis541 -1.6861e+02 1.3507e+01 -12.4827 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis542 2.1753e+02 1.3843e+01 15.7145 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis543 6.4547e+02 1.2759e+01 50.5909 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis544 4.2690e+02 1.1426e+01 37.3633 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis545 -1.0104e+02 1.1767e+01 -8.5864 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis546 -3.5122e+02 1.1642e+01 -30.1692 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis550 2.8859e+02 1.4287e+01 20.1993 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis552 -5.8873e+02 1.4005e+01 -42.0384 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis559 -2.6911e+01 1.0332e+01 -2.6046 0.0093628 **
iis561 1.4926e+02 1.0378e+01 14.3822 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis566 1.9193e+02 1.2959e+01 14.8100 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis567 2.1687e+02 1.1950e+01 18.1481 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis569 6.0143e+01 1.1231e+01 5.3549 1.110e-07 ***
iis570 2.1389e+02 1.1145e+01 19.1909 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis571 -2.4731e+02 1.1289e+01 -21.9063 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis572 -2.5328e+02 1.1087e+01 -22.8445 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis574 9.0406e+01 1.1071e+01 8.1663 1.182e-15 ***
iis926 1.1687e+02 1.0167e+01 11.4950 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis930 1.8342e+02 1.0207e+01 17.9710 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.8589e+01 6.5282e+00 5.9111 4.965e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2009 7.4900e+01 7.7818e+00 9.6251 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -4.1134e+01 7.5931e+00 -5.4172 7.940e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2001 -3.5817e+01 1.2160e+01 -2.9454 0.0033156 **
fesisJPN.2007 6.0274e+01 1.4032e+01 4.2956 1.949e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -9.2952e+01 1.4242e+01 -6.5265 1.172e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2017 8.8575e+01 1.1867e+01 7.4638 2.129e-13 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.2197e+02 1.0701e+01 11.3978 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.762 1 0.0003537 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 64.986 1 7.772e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 9.75590
R-squared 0.99918
Log-lik.(n=936) -3406.21454 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:26:45 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.353809 0.028810 12.2807 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp -0.070285 0.138562 -0.5072 0.6121136
lpop 0.916237 0.264485 3.4642 0.0005584 ***
idAUT 0.440395 0.328286 1.3415 0.1801178
idBEL 0.289922 0.266499 1.0879 0.2769524
idCAN 0.493493 0.158728 3.1090 0.0019396 **
idCHE 1.132620 0.301756 3.7534 0.0001863 ***
idCHL -0.733105 0.640300 -1.1449 0.2525567
idCHN -3.019309 1.115670 -2.7063 0.0069410 **
idCOL -1.600245 0.831104 -1.9254 0.0545079 .
idCRI 0.499867 0.610970 0.8182 0.4134996
idCZE -0.210556 0.266228 -0.7909 0.4292305
idDEU 0.328890 0.391697 0.8397 0.4013400
idDNK 1.304750 0.412535 3.1628 0.0016184 **
idESP -1.041786 0.235503 -4.4237 1.097e-05 ***
idEST 0.840183 0.892613 0.9413 0.3468385
idFIN 0.671950 0.440243 1.5263 0.1273045
idFRA 0.352671 0.305448 1.1546 0.2485774
idGRC -0.756805 0.332218 -2.2780 0.0229724 *
idHUN -0.238382 0.497800 -0.4789 0.6321538
idIRL 0.540244 0.490082 1.1024 0.2706197
idISL 2.488341 1.124677 2.2125 0.0271983 *
idISR 1.158055 0.305631 3.7891 0.0001619 ***
idITA -0.617976 0.285148 -2.1672 0.0304965 *
idJPN 1.996195 0.894468 2.2317 0.0258946 *
idKOR 1.541128 0.926203 1.6639 0.0964977 .
idLTU 0.054398 0.694409 0.0783 0.9375778
idLUX 2.494115 1.066449 2.3387 0.0195819 *
idLVA 0.412088 0.793610 0.5193 0.6037161
idMEX -2.439892 0.514553 -4.7418 2.484e-06 ***
idNLD 0.249062 0.165217 1.5075 0.1320578
idNOR 0.764695 0.424809 1.8001 0.0722015 .
idNZL 0.696587 0.486475 1.4319 0.1525392
idPOL -1.389687 0.195858 -7.0954 2.724e-12 ***
idPRT -0.688696 0.344850 -1.9971 0.0461349 *
idSVK -0.185865 0.542028 -0.3429 0.7317534
idSVN 0.770596 0.757847 1.0168 0.3095273
idSWE 0.827067 0.285022 2.9018 0.0038068 **
idTUR -1.942647 0.352791 -5.5065 4.853e-08 ***
idTWN -0.019643 0.193859 -0.1013 0.9193146
idUSA 0.299426 0.736352 0.4066 0.6843795
time1996 -12.363147 5.447495 -2.2695 0.0234877 *
time1997 -12.261602 5.452063 -2.2490 0.0247695 *
time1998 -12.353578 5.456130 -2.2642 0.0238158 *
time1999 -12.266727 5.459877 -2.2467 0.0249155 *
time2000 -12.092847 5.464592 -2.2129 0.0271670 *
time2001 -12.283816 5.466989 -2.2469 0.0249025 *
time2002 -12.369441 5.471248 -2.2608 0.0240239 *
time2003 -12.208744 5.475186 -2.2298 0.0260197 *
time2004 -12.289172 5.479306 -2.2428 0.0251651 *
time2005 -12.217028 5.483751 -2.2279 0.0261515 *
time2006 -12.252427 5.489973 -2.2318 0.0258899 *
time2007 -12.160045 5.494954 -2.2129 0.0271669 *
time2008 -12.014593 5.494829 -2.1865 0.0290497 *
time2009 -11.981945 5.491248 -2.1820 0.0293828 *
time2010 -11.808534 5.494659 -2.1491 0.0319094 *
time2011 -11.887849 5.497330 -2.1625 0.0308604 *
time2012 -11.953214 5.499277 -2.1736 0.0300114 *
time2013 -11.888085 5.501681 -2.1608 0.0309894 *
time2014 -11.901207 5.504845 -2.1620 0.0309010 *
time2015 -11.856979 5.508524 -2.1525 0.0316412 *
time2016 -11.832972 5.510353 -2.1474 0.0320437 *
time2017 -11.635626 5.514998 -2.1098 0.0351667 *
time2018 -11.692051 5.518312 -2.1188 0.0343998 *
time2019 -11.767201 5.520185 -2.1317 0.0333211 *
iis53 -1.447947 0.376604 -3.8447 0.0001297 ***
iis98 -2.004481 0.377073 -5.3159 1.358e-07 ***
iis104 -1.286001 0.376839 -3.4126 0.0006739 ***
iis145 -1.306299 0.411995 -3.1707 0.0015755 **
iis266 -1.986594 0.413180 -4.8081 1.803e-06 ***
iis270 -1.216616 0.379571 -3.2052 0.0014000 **
iis414 1.113758 0.376782 2.9560 0.0032032 **
iis443 1.091366 0.377728 2.8893 0.0039595 **
iis444 -1.109432 0.378808 -2.9287 0.0034945 **
iis446 -1.220608 0.377903 -3.2300 0.0012858 **
iis453 -1.387878 0.378551 -3.6663 0.0002614 ***
iis504 -1.316132 0.379329 -3.4696 0.0005474 ***
iis707 -1.025876 0.376797 -2.7226 0.0066096 **
fesisAUT.2006 0.888342 0.156467 5.6775 1.877e-08 ***
fesisCHN.2001 0.787192 0.237935 3.3084 0.0009777 ***
fesisCHN.2008 1.024407 0.206473 4.9615 8.455e-07 ***
fesisCRI.2008 -0.563464 0.157136 -3.5858 0.0003552 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.818744 0.158317 5.1716 2.898e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.587431 0.205426 -2.8596 0.0043462 **
fesisKOR.2004 0.996868 0.170082 5.8611 6.579e-09 ***
fesisLUX.2009 -0.676144 0.157732 -4.2867 2.022e-05 ***
fesisNZL.2016 -1.037533 0.206273 -5.0299 5.991e-07 ***
fesisTWN.2001 1.186147 0.192761 6.1535 1.168e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.1862 1 0.1393
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.4126 1 0.1204
SE of regression 0.36351
R-squared 0.97011
Log-lik.(n=936) -336.92990 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
oecd (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:26:21 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 936
Sample: 1 to 936
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.3147634 0.0260583 12.0792 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp -0.1793345 0.1323630 -1.3549 0.1758438
lpop 1.3104354 0.2572599 5.0938 4.385e-07 ***
idAUT 0.5985293 0.3260515 1.8357 0.0667765 .
idBEL -0.0272619 0.2914341 -0.0935 0.9254950
idCAN 0.3168313 0.1424824 2.2237 0.0264518 *
idCHE 1.3322266 0.3003718 4.4353 1.049e-05 ***
idCHL -0.0938506 0.5980766 -0.1569 0.8753471
idCHN -4.3486149 1.1035210 -3.9407 8.839e-05 ***
idCOL -1.3448117 0.8079343 -1.6645 0.0964048 .
idCRI 1.2467637 0.5632837 2.2134 0.0271540 *
idCZE 0.0490431 0.2418952 0.2027 0.8393860
idDEU 0.0061094 0.3724426 0.0164 0.9869166
idDNK 1.8411539 0.3866815 4.7614 2.284e-06 ***
idESP -1.4360083 0.2187495 -6.5646 9.402e-11 ***
idEST 1.3185751 0.9013861 1.4628 0.1439084
idFIN 0.0189083 0.5284118 0.0358 0.9714642
idFRA -0.0410840 0.2896467 -0.1418 0.8872409
idGRC -0.7343840 0.3132703 -2.3442 0.0193104 *
idHUN 0.1807991 0.4576810 0.3950 0.6929243
idIRL 0.7229052 0.5151952 1.4032 0.1609568
idISL 4.4000650 1.1041862 3.9849 7.371e-05 ***
idISR 1.8389125 0.3519022 5.2256 2.219e-07 ***
idITA -1.0246948 0.2713782 -3.7759 0.0001713 ***
idJPN 2.0504544 0.8862698 2.3136 0.0209448 *
idKOR 2.0131886 0.8989052 2.2396 0.0253922 *
idLTU 0.2201536 0.6988021 0.3150 0.7528106
idLUX 3.4827186 1.0695686 3.2562 0.0011770 **
idLVA 0.6202117 0.8018268 0.7735 0.4394571
idMEX -2.6362518 0.5114829 -5.1541 3.217e-07 ***
idNLD 0.2322134 0.1568332 1.4806 0.1390985
idNOR 1.3061394 0.4019908 3.2492 0.0012060 **
idNZL 1.3178733 0.5058951 2.6050 0.0093580 **
idPOL -1.7951753 0.1831521 -9.8016 < 2.2e-16 ***
idPRT -0.7213550 0.3385321 -2.1308 0.0334089 *
idSVK -0.1051880 0.5436305 -0.1935 0.8466233
idSVN 1.2345377 0.7652119 1.6133 0.1070697
idSWE 0.9395397 0.3095888 3.0348 0.0024853 **
idTUR -2.6248517 0.3342648 -7.8526 1.317e-14 ***
idTWN 0.0742413 0.1762108 0.4213 0.6736344
idUSA -0.4056231 0.7287480 -0.5566 0.5779553
time1996 -15.8766311 5.5266385 -2.8727 0.0041774 **
time1997 -15.7781412 5.5310962 -2.8526 0.0044484 **
time1998 -15.8793746 5.5345236 -2.8691 0.0042247 **
time1999 -15.8049977 5.5388073 -2.8535 0.0044362 **
time2000 -15.6379855 5.5437412 -2.8208 0.0049091 **
time2001 -15.7902034 5.5460995 -2.8471 0.0045258 **
time2002 -15.8821220 5.5489966 -2.8622 0.0043180 **
time2003 -15.6761466 5.5532326 -2.8229 0.0048781 **
time2004 -15.7314044 5.5573431 -2.8307 0.0047611 **
time2005 -15.6519591 5.5603108 -2.8149 0.0049991 **
time2006 -15.6130948 5.5642499 -2.8060 0.0051391 **
time2007 -15.6153236 5.5689781 -2.8040 0.0051704 **
time2008 -15.4946284 5.5702367 -2.7817 0.0055357 **
time2009 -15.4085943 5.5668222 -2.7679 0.0057723 **
time2010 -15.2207753 5.5705638 -2.7324 0.0064276 **
time2011 -15.2452116 5.5719171 -2.7361 0.0063561 **
time2012 -15.2973998 5.5735434 -2.7446 0.0061941 **
time2013 -15.2547496 5.5761721 -2.7357 0.0063633 **
time2014 -15.2351129 5.5785465 -2.7310 0.0064536 **
time2015 -15.2482679 5.5830608 -2.7312 0.0064507 **
time2016 -15.1986904 5.5855320 -2.7211 0.0066489 **
time2017 -15.0744719 5.5894295 -2.6970 0.0071455 **
time2018 -15.0565712 5.5923294 -2.6924 0.0072439 **
time2019 -15.2292420 5.5946308 -2.7221 0.0066283 **
iis3 -0.8488901 0.3104191 -2.7347 0.0063833 **
iis9 -0.9112933 0.3098721 -2.9409 0.0033678 **
iis53 -1.4896326 0.3112656 -4.7857 2.031e-06 ***
iis56 -1.1035826 0.3106077 -3.5530 0.0004033 ***
iis98 -1.9124045 0.3098114 -6.1728 1.068e-09 ***
iis99 0.6427906 0.3138265 2.0482 0.0408645 *
iis104 -1.2187883 0.3095504 -3.9373 8.963e-05 ***
iis123 0.7784055 0.3233900 2.4070 0.0163101 *
iis125 0.7377060 0.3232850 2.2819 0.0227580 *
iis145 -1.3396983 0.3384053 -3.9589 8.205e-05 ***
iis190 -0.8246008 0.3095365 -2.6640 0.0078783 **
iis199 0.8440194 0.3154120 2.6759 0.0076055 **
iis245 -0.6258458 0.3171211 -1.9735 0.0487815 *
iis266 -1.9618370 0.3390456 -5.7864 1.034e-08 ***
iis270 -1.2341659 0.3175269 -3.8868 0.0001100 ***
iis299 -0.7546790 0.3091587 -2.4411 0.0148606 *
iis335 -0.7389941 0.3098542 -2.3850 0.0173135 *
iis398 1.3573928 0.3208262 4.2309 2.598e-05 ***
iis414 1.2109133 0.3105676 3.8990 0.0001047 ***
iis420 0.9870410 0.3104419 3.1795 0.0015325 **
iis429 -1.3100979 0.3492714 -3.7509 0.0001889 ***
iis433 0.8137545 0.3203843 2.5399 0.0112764 *
iis444 -1.8169071 0.3723695 -4.8793 1.286e-06 ***
iis446 -1.2064512 0.3192435 -3.7791 0.0001692 ***
iis453 -1.4143851 0.3189635 -4.4343 1.053e-05 ***
iis493 1.2900741 0.3116645 4.1393 3.855e-05 ***
iis504 -1.1038740 0.3136850 -3.5191 0.0004577 ***
iis507 -0.7981917 0.3104284 -2.5713 0.0103135 *
iis621 -0.8132296 0.3211371 -2.5323 0.0115214 *
iis625 0.8202412 0.3153334 2.6012 0.0094627 **
iis627 0.8746062 0.3131488 2.7929 0.0053485 **
iis667 -1.1391234 0.3234764 -3.5215 0.0004535 ***
iis686 -0.9663986 0.3086779 -3.1308 0.0018072 **
iis701 1.0064718 0.3097749 3.2490 0.0012065 **
iis707 -1.0829482 0.3096093 -3.4978 0.0004951 ***
iis715 -0.9768200 0.3096686 -3.1544 0.0016687 **
iis741 -1.5432344 0.3135055 -4.9225 1.039e-06 ***
iis743 -1.1956489 0.3141742 -3.8057 0.0001523 ***
iis757 1.0729349 0.3087686 3.4749 0.0005387 ***
iis809 -0.7717160 0.3090791 -2.4968 0.0127322 *
iis832 -0.9540178 0.3087788 -3.0896 0.0020736 **
iis835 -1.0290801 0.3092721 -3.3274 0.0009168 ***
iis883 0.8571141 0.3117563 2.7493 0.0061075 **
iis888 1.7025782 0.4281592 3.9765 7.630e-05 ***
iis889 -0.9303478 0.3382522 -2.7505 0.0060863 **
fesisAUT.2006 0.7176561 0.1380495 5.1985 2.555e-07 ***
fesisAUT.2016 0.4686673 0.1793819 2.6127 0.0091530 **
fesisBEL.2000 0.4683882 0.1693803 2.7653 0.0058186 **
fesisCHL.2005 -0.4184232 0.1434527 -2.9168 0.0036358 **
fesisCHN.2001 0.7262364 0.2010872 3.6115 0.0003235 ***
fesisCHN.2007 0.9112002 0.1815733 5.0184 6.432e-07 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.7937164 0.1892521 4.1940 3.049e-05 ***
fesisCRI.2008 -0.5957936 0.1355111 -4.3966 1.249e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.7540967 0.1333105 5.6567 2.152e-08 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.5686278 0.1801359 -3.1567 0.0016560 **
fesisDNK.2012 -1.1137297 0.2345967 -4.7474 2.443e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.1025714 0.2466913 4.4694 8.980e-06 ***
fesisFIN.1997 0.9186589 0.3091888 2.9712 0.0030558 **
fesisGRC.2009 -0.3978155 0.1369948 -2.9039 0.0037878 **
fesisHUN.2016 0.4815815 0.1902672 2.5311 0.0115627 *
fesisIRL.2006 0.8516592 0.2389876 3.5636 0.0003876 ***
fesisIRL.2009 -0.7842434 0.2368782 -3.3107 0.0009724 ***
fesisISL.2006 -0.6276827 0.1299255 -4.8311 1.629e-06 ***
fesisISR.2002 -0.5765265 0.1535700 -3.7542 0.0001866 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.6960743 0.1762672 3.9490 8.544e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2009 0.4479136 0.1651686 2.7119 0.0068351 **
fesisLUX.2011 -0.7877565 0.1429477 -5.5108 4.826e-08 ***
fesisMEX.2005 -0.6733744 0.1552026 -4.3387 1.618e-05 ***
fesisMEX.2012 0.4010869 0.1625025 2.4682 0.0137890 *
fesisNZL.2004 -0.5591025 0.1386539 -4.0324 6.053e-05 ***
fesisPRT.2018 -0.6747069 0.2252518 -2.9953 0.0028264 **
fesisSWE.1999 1.2344607 0.3487419 3.5398 0.0004237 ***
fesisSWE.2000 -1.0127836 0.3099104 -3.2680 0.0011296 **
fesisTUR.2018 -0.7366071 0.3137239 -2.3479 0.0191211 *
fesisTWN.2001 0.9919298 0.1726328 5.7459 1.302e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.7172 1 0.19005
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 6.0489 1 0.01391 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29797
R-squared 0.98115
Log-lik.(n=936) -124.85976 top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:10:21 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.6087e-01 1.2790e-02 75.1283 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.5854e-14 3.1075e-14 -0.5102 0.6101269
pop 4.4566e-08 3.8923e-08 1.1450 0.2527330
idAUT 2.4996e+00 6.6947e+00 0.3734 0.7090273
idBEL -8.5570e-02 6.6873e+00 -0.0128 0.9897955
idBRA -8.6319e+00 9.3754e+00 -0.9207 0.3576288
idCAN 1.6671e+00 6.6993e+00 0.2489 0.8035716
idCHE 5.9707e-01 6.6958e+00 0.0892 0.9289800
idCHN -3.2565e+01 5.0332e+01 -0.6470 0.5179085
idDEU 2.7644e+01 7.7939e+00 3.5469 0.0004246 ***
idDNK -1.7438e-01 6.7038e+00 -0.0260 0.9792574
idESP -1.7189e+00 6.7343e+00 -0.2552 0.7986325
idFIN -1.6012e-01 6.7035e+00 -0.0239 0.9809530
idFRA 6.4706e+00 6.9271e+00 0.9341 0.3506820
idGBR 3.0332e+00 6.8684e+00 0.4416 0.6589443
idIND -5.0688e+01 4.5743e+01 -1.1081 0.2683264
idISR -1.8410e-01 6.6972e+00 -0.0275 0.9780807
idITA -1.2798e+00 6.8308e+00 -0.1874 0.8514508
idJPN 5.5553e+01 1.8007e+01 3.0850 0.0021423 **
idKOR 4.6643e+01 3.1610e+01 1.4755 0.1406634
idNLD -3.0731e-01 6.6775e+00 -0.0460 0.9633107
idNOR -1.1246e-01 6.7071e+00 -0.0168 0.9866284
idRUS -5.1516e+00 8.2849e+00 -0.6218 0.5343381
idSGP 1.4691e-01 6.7056e+00 0.0219 0.9825294
idSWE 4.2076e-01 6.6923e+00 0.0629 0.9498928
idTWN 5.3310e+00 6.7049e+00 0.7951 0.4269187
idUSA 3.4254e+01 1.4087e+01 2.4315 0.0153676 *
time1996 -3.7431e+00 6.5849e+00 -0.5684 0.5699851
time1997 -5.5353e-01 6.5817e+00 -0.0841 0.9330080
time1998 -6.0254e+00 6.5826e+00 -0.9154 0.3604187
time1999 -3.8021e+00 6.6351e+00 -0.5730 0.5668726
time2000 -1.1583e-01 6.5736e+00 -0.0176 0.9859483
time2001 -6.0133e+00 6.5731e+00 -0.9148 0.3606990
time2002 -1.0101e+01 6.5760e+00 -1.5361 0.1251173
time2003 -4.5324e+00 6.5826e+00 -0.6885 0.4914112
time2004 6.0162e+00 6.5872e+00 0.9133 0.3614872
time2005 2.9836e+00 6.5878e+00 0.4529 0.6508070
time2006 -2.8640e+00 6.5931e+00 -0.4344 0.6641790
time2007 4.1768e+00 6.6659e+00 0.6266 0.5311980
time2008 -4.3484e+00 6.6105e+00 -0.6578 0.5109458
time2009 1.2523e+01 6.7413e+00 1.8577 0.0637736 .
time2010 1.1329e+01 6.7516e+00 1.6779 0.0939524 .
time2011 7.1052e+00 6.7135e+00 1.0583 0.2903849
time2012 3.9573e+00 6.7305e+00 0.5880 0.5568055
time2013 -7.0121e+00 6.8626e+00 -1.0218 0.3073537
time2014 -1.0926e+00 6.7628e+00 -0.1616 0.8717117
time2015 -5.0295e+00 6.7739e+00 -0.7425 0.4581286
time2016 2.6830e+00 6.7551e+00 0.3972 0.6913975
time2017 1.5514e+01 6.8153e+00 2.2763 0.0232281 *
time2018 6.3072e+00 6.8467e+00 0.9212 0.3573680
time2019 -9.7064e+00 6.8698e+00 -1.4129 0.1582722
iis165 2.8801e+02 2.4528e+01 11.7423 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 1.7086e+02 2.5297e+01 6.7545 3.801e-11 ***
iis167 1.6522e+02 2.5952e+01 6.3665 4.212e-10 ***
iis168 2.1141e+02 2.6688e+01 7.9215 1.402e-14 ***
iis388 1.8243e+02 2.4785e+01 7.3607 7.076e-13 ***
iis396 1.6294e+02 2.4784e+01 6.5743 1.178e-10 ***
iis398 2.1428e+02 3.0233e+01 7.0877 4.399e-12 ***
iis399 6.4409e+02 2.8895e+01 22.2904 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 4.2163e+02 2.7266e+01 15.4635 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -1.0979e+02 2.7752e+01 -3.9562 8.656e-05 ***
iis402 -3.4759e+02 2.7586e+01 -12.6005 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis408 -5.7904e+02 3.3424e+01 -17.3243 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 1.6701e+02 2.8654e+01 5.8286 9.747e-09 ***
iis423 1.9340e+02 2.7083e+01 7.1410 3.092e-12 ***
iis426 1.9885e+02 2.5832e+01 7.6975 6.893e-14 ***
iis427 -2.7152e+02 2.5959e+01 -10.4595 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -2.7138e+02 2.5561e+01 -10.6169 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 1.8971e+02 2.4280e+01 7.8138 3.029e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2009 6.3661e+01 2.2751e+01 2.7981 0.0053282 **
fesisJPN.2017 3.6436e+02 2.7283e+01 13.3546 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -2.8327e+02 3.3766e+01 -8.3892 4.514e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.2251e+02 2.4285e+01 5.0445 6.266e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.7841 1 0.1817
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 23.5835 1 1.196e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 23.12223
R-squared 0.99692
Log-lik.(n=600) -2699.33970 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:10:18 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4508e-01 1.2118e-02 77.9889 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -8.5536e-14 4.8028e-14 -1.7810 0.0755195 .
pop 2.9709e-07 6.0267e-08 4.9295 1.119e-06 ***
idAUT 5.8310e+00 4.9523e+00 1.1774 0.2395786
idBEL 2.4709e+00 4.9246e+00 0.5017 0.6160624
idBRA -5.1381e+01 1.1328e+01 -4.5357 7.177e-06 ***
idCAN -8.9409e-01 4.9337e+00 -0.1812 0.8562676
idCHE 4.0254e+00 4.9548e+00 0.8124 0.4169328
idCHN -3.5279e+02 7.6932e+01 -4.5857 5.709e-06 ***
idDEU -1.5017e+00 6.9215e+00 -0.2170 0.8283271
idDNK 3.7689e+00 4.9748e+00 0.7576 0.4490370
idESP -7.5782e+00 5.0797e+00 -1.4919 0.1363613
idFIN 3.7250e+00 4.9752e+00 0.7487 0.4543767
idFRA -3.1601e+00 5.4621e+00 -0.5786 0.5631457
idGBR -6.7190e+00 5.4257e+00 -1.2384 0.2161516
idIND -3.0009e+02 6.2366e+01 -4.8118 1.977e-06 ***
idISR 3.3871e+00 4.9599e+00 0.6829 0.4949896
idITA -1.0587e+01 5.3679e+00 -1.9723 0.0491171 *
idJPN 6.3804e+01 2.4080e+01 2.6496 0.0083103 **
idKOR 2.5610e+02 5.5329e+01 4.6286 4.684e-06 ***
idNLD 8.8560e-01 4.8939e+00 0.1810 0.8564723
idNOR 4.0587e+00 4.9842e+00 0.8143 0.4158514
idRUS -3.1510e+01 9.1021e+00 -3.4618 0.0005820 ***
idSGP 4.2099e+00 4.9830e+00 0.8449 0.3985913
idSWE 3.6094e+00 4.9417e+00 0.7304 0.4654830
idTWN 5.6810e+00 4.9195e+00 1.1548 0.2487200
idUSA -2.7395e+01 1.6732e+01 -1.6373 0.1021956
time1996 -6.3427e+00 4.9230e+00 -1.2884 0.1982069
time1997 -3.0755e+00 4.9357e+00 -0.6231 0.5334919
time1998 -8.1282e+00 4.9462e+00 -1.6433 0.1009368
time1999 -7.6021e+00 5.0003e+00 -1.5203 0.1290543
time2000 -8.2580e+00 5.0184e+00 -1.6455 0.1004777
time2001 -7.9821e+00 5.0110e+00 -1.5929 0.1118030
time2002 -1.0268e+01 5.0344e+00 -2.0395 0.0419171 *
time2003 -1.0249e+01 5.0523e+00 -2.0285 0.0430339 *
time2004 -3.5761e+00 5.0018e+00 -0.7150 0.4749621
time2005 -7.4413e+00 5.0468e+00 -1.4744 0.1409831
time2006 -5.4429e+00 5.0025e+00 -1.0880 0.2770994
time2007 -8.7195e-01 5.0825e+00 -0.1716 0.8638524
time2008 -6.9020e+00 5.0216e+00 -1.3745 0.1699064
time2009 4.2914e+00 5.0430e+00 0.8509 0.3951997
time2010 3.0767e+00 5.0493e+00 0.6093 0.5425757
time2011 -1.9091e+00 5.0533e+00 -0.3778 0.7057437
time2012 -5.0351e+00 5.0645e+00 -0.9942 0.3206030
time2013 -6.6113e+00 5.1988e+00 -1.2717 0.2040656
time2014 -7.6552e+00 5.0919e+00 -1.5034 0.1333583
time2015 -4.9464e+00 5.1555e+00 -0.9595 0.3377900
time2016 -3.9189e+00 5.0881e+00 -0.7702 0.4415390
time2017 8.8828e+00 5.1352e+00 1.7298 0.0842812 .
time2018 -2.0824e-02 5.1523e+00 -0.0040 0.9967768
time2019 -1.5916e+01 5.1728e+00 -3.0769 0.0022050 **
iis165 2.7600e+02 1.8305e+01 15.0783 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 1.6189e+02 1.8993e+01 8.5238 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 1.5762e+02 1.9636e+01 8.0269 7.037e-15 ***
iis168 2.0538e+02 2.0365e+01 10.0849 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -1.4955e+02 1.9010e+01 -7.8666 2.222e-14 ***
iis188 -1.6482e+02 1.8943e+01 -8.7008 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis388 2.6424e+02 2.1478e+01 12.3024 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis389 1.9487e+02 2.1202e+01 9.1910 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis394 1.1337e+02 1.9357e+01 5.8568 8.501e-09 ***
iis396 1.7196e+02 1.9360e+01 8.8823 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 1.9752e+02 2.3582e+01 8.3759 5.427e-16 ***
iis399 6.3348e+02 2.1986e+01 28.8128 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 4.2318e+02 1.9979e+01 21.1816 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -1.0043e+02 2.0539e+01 -4.8897 1.359e-06 ***
iis402 -3.4828e+02 2.0359e+01 -17.1069 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis406 3.6850e+02 1.9977e+01 18.4463 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis407 9.1660e+01 2.0638e+01 4.4414 1.098e-05 ***
iis408 -4.8604e+02 2.0947e+01 -23.2029 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis409 -1.7079e+02 2.9997e+01 -5.6934 2.113e-08 ***
iis410 -1.7756e+02 2.8815e+01 -6.1621 1.466e-09 ***
iis411 -1.9831e+02 2.9881e+01 -6.6365 8.282e-11 ***
iis412 -1.6402e+02 2.7742e+01 -5.9123 6.211e-09 ***
iis413 -1.6691e+02 2.6252e+01 -6.3579 4.574e-10 ***
iis414 -1.2933e+02 2.5563e+01 -5.0595 5.890e-07 ***
iis415 -1.7766e+02 2.4777e+01 -7.1705 2.666e-12 ***
iis416 -1.3022e+02 2.4558e+01 -5.3025 1.710e-07 ***
iis418 -9.1265e+01 2.4575e+01 -3.7138 0.0002269 ***
iis420 5.2211e+01 2.1187e+01 2.4643 0.0140592 *
iis422 1.2977e+02 2.5629e+01 5.0636 5.773e-07 ***
iis423 1.6746e+02 2.2579e+01 7.4164 5.108e-13 ***
iis426 1.8256e+02 1.9654e+01 9.2890 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis427 -2.7284e+02 1.9481e+01 -14.0056 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -2.7919e+02 1.8798e+01 -14.8522 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 1.8377e+02 1.7857e+01 10.2910 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2009 1.0200e+02 1.0461e+01 9.7501 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -5.3682e+01 1.1716e+01 -4.5821 5.804e-06 ***
fesisIND.2004 -3.5725e+01 1.2105e+01 -2.9513 0.0033117 **
fesisIND.2009 -3.7628e+01 1.2236e+01 -3.0751 0.0022177 **
fesisJPN.1999 -7.6312e+01 1.6326e+01 -4.6743 3.788e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2003 8.4606e+01 1.5016e+01 5.6345 2.918e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2009 9.1494e+01 1.9671e+01 4.6512 4.218e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -1.7302e+02 2.2464e+01 -7.7021 7.103e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.1736e+02 2.4564e+01 8.8487 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.017737 1 0.894049
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.293489 1 0.003979 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 16.92184
R-squared 0.99842
Log-lik.(n=600) -2501.52628 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:18:47 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.246771 0.035776 6.8976 1.517e-11 ***
lgdp 1.524934 0.140902 10.8227 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.921803 0.448591 -6.5133 1.715e-10 ***
idAUT -0.433131 0.367607 -1.1782 0.2392294
idBEL -0.180026 0.279094 -0.6450 0.5191843
idBRA 4.262242 0.919723 4.6343 4.518e-06 ***
idCAN 2.126291 0.230344 9.2310 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -1.261275 0.412062 -3.0609 0.0023191 **
idCHN 9.154788 1.680717 5.4470 7.867e-08 ***
idDEU 5.328728 0.609653 8.7406 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -4.060320 0.646981 -6.2758 7.258e-10 ***
idESP 2.335836 0.366067 6.3809 3.854e-10 ***
idFIN -1.499006 0.539989 -2.7760 0.0056987 **
idFRA 4.299226 0.506224 8.4927 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 3.998604 0.496779 8.0491 5.555e-15 ***
idIND 5.892144 1.588410 3.7095 0.0002297 ***
idISR -2.183888 0.458376 -4.7644 2.451e-06 ***
idITA 3.131585 0.461836 6.7807 3.211e-11 ***
idJPN 0.089857 0.771651 0.1164 0.9073415
idKOR -4.925875 0.764412 -6.4440 2.625e-10 ***
idNLD 0.988722 0.164286 6.0183 3.299e-09 ***
idNOR -6.103362 0.738629 -8.2631 1.152e-15 ***
idRUS 0.144306 0.765375 0.1885 0.8505232
idSGP -2.352583 0.600377 -3.9185 0.0001008 ***
idSWE -3.806505 0.459157 -8.2902 9.423e-16 ***
idTWN 1.450542 0.196472 7.3829 6.066e-13 ***
idUSA 7.132236 1.091614 6.5337 1.513e-10 ***
time1996 7.621103 6.390605 1.1925 0.2335821
time1997 7.905832 6.393493 1.2365 0.2168064
time1998 7.682641 6.396800 1.2010 0.2302846
time1999 7.782462 6.398869 1.2162 0.2244428
time2000 7.867763 6.401947 1.2290 0.2196327
time2001 7.885478 6.405991 1.2310 0.2188883
time2002 7.721645 6.409280 1.2048 0.2288356
time2003 7.822894 6.411406 1.2202 0.2229517
time2004 7.827165 6.413949 1.2203 0.2228828
time2005 7.976289 6.416845 1.2430 0.2144108
time2006 8.025372 6.420299 1.2500 0.2118534
time2007 8.126669 6.425901 1.2647 0.2065462
time2008 8.142272 6.429816 1.2663 0.2059531
time2009 8.382291 6.433992 1.3028 0.1932064
time2010 8.525861 6.436804 1.3245 0.1858938
time2011 8.611992 6.439718 1.3373 0.1816926
time2012 8.553862 6.442892 1.3276 0.1848697
time2013 8.635493 6.445970 1.3397 0.1809280
time2014 8.528237 6.448482 1.3225 0.1865681
time2015 8.550074 6.451635 1.3253 0.1856591
time2016 8.693603 6.454456 1.3469 0.1785855
time2017 8.777364 6.457099 1.3593 0.1746206
time2018 8.861575 6.459577 1.3719 0.1706925
time2019 8.672866 6.459892 1.3426 0.1799877
iis53 -1.190491 0.342138 -3.4796 0.0005437 ***
iis94 -1.392602 0.375532 -3.7083 0.0002307 ***
iis122 -1.931587 0.342572 -5.6385 2.798e-08 ***
iis128 -1.029156 0.342624 -3.0037 0.0027932 **
iis145 -1.060056 0.353366 -2.9999 0.0028283 **
iis194 -1.999478 0.376969 -5.3041 1.668e-07 ***
iis198 -1.073290 0.346056 -3.1015 0.0020284 **
iis210 -1.353669 0.345505 -3.9179 0.0001010 ***
iis349 1.205247 0.341895 3.5252 0.0004600 ***
iis360 -1.211967 0.346907 -3.4936 0.0005165 ***
iis461 1.149831 0.342457 3.3576 0.0008429 ***
iis467 -1.089619 0.342330 -3.1829 0.0015437 **
iis532 1.253746 0.341736 3.6688 0.0002685 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.664445 0.141181 4.7063 3.226e-06 ***
fesisBRA.2010 -0.926534 0.177867 -5.2091 2.724e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.909633 0.225222 4.0388 6.169e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.895692 0.188866 -4.7425 2.720e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.638959 0.141474 -4.5164 7.764e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.565524 0.166860 -3.3892 0.0007533 ***
fesisRUS.2015 -0.722330 0.193241 -3.7380 0.0002058 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.899113 0.174595 5.1497 3.689e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.37830 1 0.5385
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.98856 1 0.3201
SE of regression 0.32751
R-squared 0.97308
Log-lik.(n=600) -145.61293 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:18:46 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.217060 0.033255 6.5272 1.626e-10 ***
lgdp 1.471397 0.128246 11.4732 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.404654 0.453296 -5.3048 1.687e-07 ***
idAUT -0.071937 0.381449 -0.1886 0.8504910
idBEL 0.118483 0.288253 0.4110 0.6812186
idBRA 3.434148 0.943319 3.6405 0.0003000 ***
idCAN 1.912122 0.224336 8.5235 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -0.814969 0.426596 -1.9104 0.0566442 .
idCHN 7.225439 1.728431 4.1803 3.428e-05 ***
idDEU 4.466606 0.630165 7.0880 4.575e-12 ***
idDNK -3.683054 0.644472 -5.7148 1.873e-08 ***
idESP 1.886125 0.363451 5.1895 3.054e-07 ***
idFIN -0.696831 0.559270 -1.2460 0.2133513
idFRA 3.772906 0.504600 7.4770 3.358e-13 ***
idGBR 3.462092 0.495358 6.9891 8.735e-12 ***
idIND 4.013521 1.652206 2.4292 0.0154784 *
idISR -1.268750 0.521748 -2.4317 0.0153716 *
idITA 2.593900 0.464057 5.5896 3.719e-08 ***
idJPN -0.408358 0.776975 -0.5256 0.5994137
idKOR -4.920756 0.711429 -6.9167 1.395e-11 ***
idNLD 0.989840 0.160603 6.1633 1.453e-09 ***
idNOR -5.327133 0.731341 -7.2841 1.243e-12 ***
idRUS -0.784223 0.803218 -0.9764 0.3293549
idSGP -1.676345 0.620250 -2.7027 0.0071083 **
idSWE -3.365730 0.447900 -7.5145 2.597e-13 ***
idTWN 1.522214 0.190486 7.9912 9.041e-15 ***
idUSA 5.971773 1.113935 5.3610 1.258e-07 ***
time1996 0.454989 6.711250 0.0678 0.9459756
time1997 0.765371 6.717116 0.1139 0.9093277
time1998 0.494340 6.717216 0.0736 0.9413632
time1999 0.671126 6.719857 0.0999 0.9204852
time2000 0.704421 6.721363 0.1048 0.9165732
time2001 0.742334 6.725276 0.1104 0.9121518
time2002 0.588826 6.726379 0.0875 0.9302769
time2003 0.721597 6.728821 0.1072 0.9146411
time2004 0.748190 6.732799 0.1111 0.9115602
time2005 0.860526 6.736705 0.1277 0.8984077
time2006 0.920436 6.737932 0.1366 0.8913970
time2007 0.992220 6.745332 0.1471 0.8831136
time2008 1.003973 6.749613 0.1487 0.8818137
time2009 1.277431 6.752896 0.1892 0.8500367
time2010 1.389912 6.755497 0.2057 0.8370723
time2011 1.479893 6.757937 0.2190 0.8267490
time2012 1.460775 6.760890 0.2161 0.8290258
time2013 1.501795 6.763873 0.2220 0.8243783
time2014 1.428886 6.766385 0.2112 0.8328361
time2015 1.396493 6.770077 0.2063 0.8366593
time2016 1.574094 6.773279 0.2324 0.8163228
time2017 1.635346 6.775602 0.2414 0.8093750
time2018 1.736205 6.777717 0.2562 0.7979281
time2019 1.549970 6.778114 0.2287 0.8192153
iis9 -0.828839 0.307578 -2.6947 0.0072780 **
iis53 -1.226885 0.308621 -3.9754 8.046e-05 ***
iis56 -0.899153 0.308039 -2.9190 0.0036678 **
iis94 -1.000809 0.369474 -2.7087 0.0069819 **
iis122 -1.908505 0.307573 -6.2051 1.136e-09 ***
iis128 -1.037235 0.307268 -3.3757 0.0007927 ***
iis145 -1.106686 0.317444 -3.4862 0.0005323 ***
iis193 0.902430 0.330813 2.7279 0.0065943 **
iis194 -1.675070 0.334136 -5.0131 7.409e-07 ***
iis198 -1.657889 0.329114 -5.0374 6.568e-07 ***
iis209 -0.935290 0.310041 -3.0167 0.0026838 **
iis210 -1.360222 0.311444 -4.3675 1.524e-05 ***
iis243 0.777314 0.328233 2.3682 0.0182493 *
iis316 -0.727896 0.308234 -2.3615 0.0185772 *
iis346 -0.688425 0.310448 -2.2175 0.0270292 *
iis349 1.315510 0.309662 4.2482 2.564e-05 ***
iis360 -1.185633 0.312482 -3.7942 0.0001659 ***
iis437 0.692918 0.314810 2.2011 0.0281801 *
iis446 -0.823439 0.311926 -2.6399 0.0085493 **
iis461 1.158041 0.307499 3.7660 0.0001853 ***
iis467 -1.128416 0.306972 -3.6760 0.0002622 ***
iis475 -0.909306 0.306804 -2.9638 0.0031812 **
iis490 0.809941 0.316282 2.5608 0.0107303 *
iis506 -0.870961 0.312267 -2.7892 0.0054829 **
iis532 1.225724 0.306541 3.9986 7.319e-05 ***
iis553 -0.735390 0.335585 -2.1914 0.0288786 *
fesisAUT.2009 0.693553 0.127573 5.4365 8.452e-08 ***
fesisBEL.2016 -0.895130 0.308138 -2.9050 0.0038330 **
fesisBEL.2017 0.954425 0.346042 2.7581 0.0060231 **
fesisBRA.1999 -0.414610 0.197085 -2.1037 0.0358950 *
fesisBRA.2010 -0.874191 0.164699 -5.3078 1.661e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.261740 0.251786 5.0112 7.482e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -0.705723 0.300501 -2.3485 0.0192322 *
fesisDEU.2007 0.468318 0.132046 3.5466 0.0004263 ***
fesisDNK.2004 -0.629291 0.158169 -3.9786 7.941e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2002 -0.373449 0.154428 -2.4183 0.0159448 *
fesisISR.2002 -0.514473 0.159242 -3.2308 0.0013146 **
fesisNLD.2007 -0.522963 0.133170 -3.9270 9.788e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.434117 0.155367 -2.7941 0.0054006 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.719071 0.173383 -4.1473 3.943e-05 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.777933 0.170876 4.5526 6.639e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.0072035 1 0.932362
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 7.0140103 1 0.008087 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29335
R-squared 0.97922
Log-lik.(n=600) -69.53206 top_50
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:20:55 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.8290e-01 4.6694e-03 210.4984 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -5.0843e-16 8.0691e-16 -0.6301 0.5287651
pop 1.4622e-08 1.7175e-08 0.8514 0.3947487
idAUS 1.3088e+00 2.9869e+00 0.4382 0.6613514
idAUT 3.2616e+00 3.0204e+00 1.0798 0.2804545
idBEL 9.8322e-01 3.0118e+00 0.3265 0.7441428
idBGR 5.4888e-01 3.0209e+00 0.1817 0.8558588
idBRA -2.1148e+00 3.9378e+00 -0.5371 0.5913392
idCAN 2.7340e+00 2.9763e+00 0.9186 0.3585067
idCHE 1.4472e+00 3.0216e+00 0.4790 0.6320696
idCHL 3.9904e-01 2.9986e+00 0.1331 0.8941578
idCHN -9.8963e+00 2.1545e+01 -0.4593 0.6460930
idCZE 5.9958e-01 3.0125e+00 0.1990 0.8422772
idDEU 1.2946e+01 3.6607e+00 3.5363 0.0004228 ***
idDNK 7.7426e-01 3.0280e+00 0.2557 0.7982297
idESP 3.5931e-01 2.9699e+00 0.1210 0.9037273
idFIN 7.9053e-01 3.0287e+00 0.2610 0.7941300
idFRA 7.5576e+00 3.0148e+00 2.5068 0.0123283 *
idGBR 4.8907e+00 2.9966e+00 1.6321 0.1029521
idGRC 4.6796e-01 3.0110e+00 0.1554 0.8765217
idHKG 8.8110e-01 3.0233e+00 0.2914 0.7707698
idHUN 5.5511e-01 3.0137e+00 0.1842 0.8538974
idIND -1.5526e+01 2.0012e+01 -0.7758 0.4380268
idIRL 7.5098e-01 3.0319e+00 0.2477 0.8044201
idIRN 5.3574e+00 9.6581e+00 0.5547 0.5792108
idISR 6.2086e-01 3.0231e+00 0.2054 0.8373195
idITA 1.0099e+00 2.9864e+00 0.3382 0.7353087
idJPN 3.4189e+01 7.0224e+00 4.8686 1.290e-06 ***
idKOR 1.6193e+01 3.8506e+00 4.2053 2.823e-05 ***
idLUX 5.9787e-01 3.0458e+00 0.1963 0.8444177
idMEX -9.2196e-01 3.1956e+00 -0.2885 0.7730117
idMYS 2.7926e-01 2.9774e+00 0.0938 0.9252903
idNLD 8.4779e-01 2.9973e+00 0.2829 0.7773440
idNOR 8.1569e-01 3.0303e+00 0.2692 0.7878448
idNZL 4.3100e-01 3.0321e+00 0.1421 0.8869939
idPHL -7.4428e-01 3.0928e+00 -0.2407 0.8098705
idPOL 1.3210e-01 2.9692e+00 0.0445 0.9645228
idPRT 4.2644e-01 3.0125e+00 0.1416 0.8874554
idROU 3.2268e-01 2.9872e+00 0.1080 0.9139995
idRUS -1.2050e+00 3.4681e+00 -0.3475 0.7283184
idSAU 2.8166e-01 2.9773e+00 0.0946 0.9246483
idSGP 1.0463e+00 3.0308e+00 0.3452 0.7299928
idSVK 5.3852e-01 3.0281e+00 0.1778 0.8588813
idSVN 5.6119e-01 3.0401e+00 0.1846 0.8535788
idSWE 1.3349e+00 3.0163e+00 0.4426 0.6581697
idTHA -3.3341e-01 3.0040e+00 -0.1110 0.9116458
idTUR -8.3176e-02 3.0175e+00 -0.0276 0.9780147
idTWN 5.6147e+00 2.9973e+00 1.8733 0.0613009 .
idUKR 1.3012e-01 2.9714e+00 0.0438 0.9650785
idUSA 3.3267e+01 5.7561e+00 5.7795 9.779e-09 ***
idVNM 6.5840e-01 3.6850e+00 0.1787 0.8582275
idZAF -1.5867e-01 2.9748e+00 -0.0533 0.9574707
time1996 -1.2707e+00 2.5993e+00 -0.4889 0.6250429
time1997 1.2748e-01 2.6022e+00 0.0490 0.9609358
time1998 -2.5595e+00 2.6050e+00 -0.9825 0.3260630
time1999 -1.5303e+00 2.6140e+00 -0.5854 0.5583895
time2000 -1.7213e+00 2.6169e+00 -0.6577 0.5108389
time2001 -1.1618e+00 2.6202e+00 -0.4434 0.6575709
time2002 -2.6702e+00 2.6230e+00 -1.0180 0.3089106
time2003 -2.5026e+00 2.6228e+00 -0.9542 0.3402079
time2004 -3.4098e-01 2.6337e+00 -0.1295 0.8970128
time2005 -5.8036e-01 2.6324e+00 -0.2205 0.8255490
time2006 -1.8814e+00 2.6306e+00 -0.7152 0.4746526
time2007 2.2020e+00 2.6393e+00 0.8343 0.4043040
time2008 -7.6992e-01 2.6368e+00 -0.2920 0.7703547
time2009 2.2793e+00 2.6576e+00 0.8576 0.3912810
time2010 3.0177e+00 2.6555e+00 1.1364 0.2560398
time2011 5.0871e-01 2.6547e+00 0.1916 0.8480699
time2012 -1.4259e+00 2.6588e+00 -0.5363 0.5918507
time2013 -1.8614e+00 2.6810e+00 -0.6943 0.4876395
time2014 -2.2603e+00 2.6715e+00 -0.8461 0.3976846
time2015 -7.1294e-01 2.6758e+00 -0.2664 0.7899482
time2016 -1.0791e+00 2.6715e+00 -0.4039 0.6863356
time2017 5.3995e+00 2.6821e+00 2.0132 0.0443438 *
time2018 1.0711e-01 2.6860e+00 0.0399 0.9681993
time2019 -2.9344e+00 2.6950e+00 -1.0888 0.2764678
iis237 2.6620e+02 1.1057e+01 24.0756 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 1.4891e+02 1.1247e+01 13.2393 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 1.3535e+02 1.1436e+01 11.8356 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 1.6500e+02 1.1660e+01 14.1506 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis278 5.9593e+01 1.2054e+01 4.9437 8.873e-07 ***
iis282 -1.6302e+02 1.4714e+01 -11.0792 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis284 -2.1774e+02 1.2002e+01 -18.1427 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis288 -2.1592e+02 1.2034e+01 -17.9425 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis604 1.5791e+02 1.2032e+01 13.1242 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis605 7.9105e+01 1.1716e+01 6.7519 2.371e-11 ***
iis606 -1.1129e+02 1.1560e+01 -9.6265 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis607 -1.2881e+02 1.1639e+01 -11.0677 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis610 7.7298e+01 1.1644e+01 6.6385 4.994e-11 ***
iis612 1.3213e+02 1.1462e+01 11.5278 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis613 -1.3424e+02 1.1321e+01 -11.8573 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 2.5403e+02 1.1388e+01 22.3070 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 6.7497e+02 1.1237e+01 60.0662 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 4.3500e+02 1.1568e+01 37.6050 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis617 -1.0794e+02 1.2257e+01 -8.8062 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis618 -3.5444e+02 1.2110e+01 -29.2691 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis622 2.9623e+02 1.4812e+01 19.9985 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis624 -5.9417e+02 1.4705e+01 -40.4060 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis633 1.4982e+02 1.0814e+01 13.8544 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis638 1.7956e+02 1.3124e+01 13.6816 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis639 1.9565e+02 1.2843e+01 15.2333 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis642 2.0065e+02 1.1631e+01 17.2509 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis643 -2.7056e+02 1.1651e+01 -23.2214 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis644 -2.7250e+02 1.1620e+01 -23.4518 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1146 1.7883e+02 1.0671e+01 16.7584 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 3.4300e+01 4.9706e+00 6.9006 8.782e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2009 7.9710e+01 6.8588e+00 11.6216 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -3.7732e+01 1.2001e+01 -3.1442 0.0017105 **
fesisDEU.2015 4.3046e+01 1.2000e+01 3.5870 0.0003494 ***
fesisJPN.1999 2.7366e+01 8.6364e+00 3.1687 0.0015737 **
fesisJPN.2017 8.1658e+01 1.2372e+01 6.6002 6.405e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.2439e+02 8.8507e+00 14.0540 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2013 -2.7709e+01 9.1005e+00 -3.0447 0.0023848 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.3005 1 0.01207 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 125.2210 1 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 10.28491
R-squared 0.99882
Log-lik.(n=1200) -4443.03953 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:20:51 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.7379e-01 6.3745e-03 137.0761 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -5.3385e-16 6.4184e-16 -0.8317 0.4057364
pop 1.3936e-08 1.3694e-08 1.0177 0.3090632
idAUS 2.2079e+00 2.3744e+00 0.9299 0.3526532
idAUT 5.0187e+00 2.4024e+00 2.0890 0.0369401 *
idBEL 1.5767e+00 2.3942e+00 0.6586 0.5103076
idBGR 5.3528e-01 2.4013e+00 0.2229 0.8236466
idBRA -1.9260e+00 3.1340e+00 -0.6145 0.5389864
idCAN 6.5859e+00 2.3727e+00 2.7757 0.0056025 **
idCHE 2.6544e+00 2.4026e+00 1.1048 0.2694883
idCHL 3.7479e-01 2.3834e+00 0.1572 0.8750796
idCHN -6.0025e+00 1.7176e+01 -0.3495 0.7268016
idCZE 6.7191e-01 2.3946e+00 0.2806 0.7790713
idDEU 2.1880e+01 2.9414e+00 7.4385 2.070e-13 ***
idDNK 1.0658e+00 2.4070e+00 0.4428 0.6580136
idESP 8.8944e-01 2.3606e+00 0.3768 0.7064075
idFIN 1.1737e+00 2.4076e+00 0.4875 0.6259992
idFRA 1.5848e+01 2.4282e+00 6.5267 1.032e-10 ***
idGBR 9.0995e+00 2.3900e+00 3.8072 0.0001484 ***
idGRC 4.4669e-01 2.3933e+00 0.1866 0.8519783
idHKG 1.2806e+00 2.4032e+00 0.5329 0.5942382
idHUN 5.7769e-01 2.3955e+00 0.2411 0.8094849
idIND -1.3518e+01 1.5955e+01 -0.8473 0.3970330
idIRL 8.3136e-01 2.4101e+00 0.3449 0.7301991
idIRN 5.6683e+00 7.6810e+00 0.7380 0.4606964
idISR 1.9676e+00 2.4039e+00 0.8185 0.4132623
idITA 2.5926e+00 2.3748e+00 1.0917 0.2752025
idJPN 9.3578e+01 6.2507e+00 14.9708 < 2.2e-16 ***
idKOR 3.0572e+01 3.4632e+00 8.8275 < 2.2e-16 ***
idLUX 6.2865e-01 2.4212e+00 0.2596 0.7951877
idMEX -8.4540e-01 2.5410e+00 -0.3327 0.7394195
idMYS 3.7546e-01 2.3665e+00 0.1587 0.8739665
idNLD 1.8432e+00 2.3829e+00 0.7735 0.4393850
idNOR 1.0373e+00 2.4088e+00 0.4306 0.6668173
idNZL 5.8271e-01 2.4103e+00 0.2418 0.8090118
idPHL -7.1876e-01 2.4587e+00 -0.2923 0.7700899
idPOL 2.8562e-01 2.3599e+00 0.1210 0.9036911
idPRT 4.2537e-01 2.3945e+00 0.1776 0.8590375
idROU 3.8309e-01 2.3743e+00 0.1613 0.8718487
idRUS -2.0015e-01 2.7590e+00 -0.0725 0.9421819
idSAU 3.2675e-01 2.3664e+00 0.1381 0.8902034
idSGP 1.5883e+00 2.4093e+00 0.6592 0.5098790
idSVK 5.1811e-01 2.4070e+00 0.2152 0.8296165
idSVN 5.6801e-01 2.4166e+00 0.2350 0.8142172
idSWE 2.2334e+00 2.3980e+00 0.9313 0.3518867
idTHA -3.1420e-01 2.3877e+00 -0.1316 0.8953334
idTUR 1.4313e-01 2.3986e+00 0.0597 0.9524258
idTWN 1.1862e+01 2.4009e+00 4.9406 9.020e-07 ***
idUKR 3.4062e-01 2.3617e+00 0.1442 0.8853451
idUSA 4.7359e+01 4.7459e+00 9.9791 < 2.2e-16 ***
idVNM 7.5305e-01 2.9292e+00 0.2571 0.7971645
idZAF 3.4237e-02 2.3644e+00 0.0145 0.9884495
time1996 -2.1414e+00 2.0671e+00 -1.0360 0.3004548
time1997 -5.4153e-01 2.0693e+00 -0.2617 0.7936059
time1998 -2.8764e+00 2.0714e+00 -1.3886 0.1652291
time1999 -1.8856e+00 2.0786e+00 -0.9072 0.3645263
time2000 -1.9604e+00 2.0809e+00 -0.9421 0.3463546
time2001 -1.3069e+00 2.0835e+00 -0.6273 0.5306048
time2002 -2.6607e+00 2.0857e+00 -1.2756 0.2023545
time2003 -2.4072e+00 2.0850e+00 -1.1545 0.2485403
time2004 -2.0808e-01 2.0939e+00 -0.0994 0.9208597
time2005 -5.5012e-01 2.0956e+00 -0.2625 0.7929717
time2006 -3.8533e-01 2.1028e+00 -0.1832 0.8546419
time2007 2.4910e+00 2.1004e+00 1.1860 0.2358990
time2008 -4.5289e-01 2.0990e+00 -0.2158 0.8292137
time2009 -3.7424e-01 2.1192e+00 -0.1766 0.8598559
time2010 2.3743e+00 2.1107e+00 1.1249 0.2608928
time2011 1.3168e-01 2.1137e+00 0.0623 0.9503370
time2012 -1.1601e+00 2.1158e+00 -0.5483 0.5835774
time2013 -1.1532e+00 2.1316e+00 -0.5410 0.5886001
time2014 -2.0214e+00 2.1186e+00 -0.9541 0.3402277
time2015 -9.3896e-02 2.1276e+00 -0.0441 0.9648067
time2016 -8.0915e-02 2.1230e+00 -0.0381 0.9696037
time2017 3.3258e+00 2.1420e+00 1.5526 0.1208017
time2018 2.8002e+00 2.1353e+00 1.3114 0.1900025
time2019 -6.5016e-01 2.1438e+00 -0.3033 0.7617355
iis237 2.8284e+02 8.8264e+00 32.0453 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis238 2.0166e+02 9.2541e+00 21.7917 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis239 2.0374e+02 9.6696e+00 21.0697 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis240 2.5180e+02 1.0154e+01 24.7976 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis278 5.3400e+01 9.2201e+00 5.7917 9.129e-09 ***
iis280 4.1765e+01 9.0496e+00 4.6151 4.399e-06 ***
iis282 -1.6526e+02 9.0894e+00 -18.1815 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis284 -1.8490e+02 9.0531e+00 -20.4241 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis286 8.2965e+01 9.0530e+00 9.1644 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis288 -1.6857e+02 9.1316e+00 -18.4603 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis604 1.4257e+02 1.0196e+01 13.9829 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis605 8.6519e+01 1.0114e+01 8.5546 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis606 -9.0108e+01 1.0148e+01 -8.8790 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis607 -1.1488e+02 1.0122e+01 -11.3492 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis610 6.6784e+01 1.1706e+01 5.7050 1.501e-08 ***
iis613 -2.4748e+02 1.0251e+01 -24.1423 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis614 1.3368e+02 1.0519e+01 12.7084 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis615 5.8540e+02 9.7319e+00 60.1531 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis616 4.2340e+02 9.3528e+00 45.2696 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis617 -6.9741e+01 1.0214e+01 -6.8278 1.436e-11 ***
iis618 -3.2656e+02 9.9808e+00 -32.7190 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis622 2.5649e+02 1.1955e+01 21.4535 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis624 -5.8292e+02 1.1698e+01 -49.8286 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis633 1.2507e+02 9.6023e+00 13.0251 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis635 -5.9979e+01 9.5401e+00 -6.2870 4.687e-10 ***
iis638 1.2711e+02 1.0912e+01 11.6480 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis639 1.7576e+02 9.9645e+00 17.6384 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis641 4.8943e+01 9.2981e+00 5.2638 1.701e-07 ***
iis642 2.1426e+02 9.2400e+00 23.1882 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis643 -2.2475e+02 9.3763e+00 -23.9704 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis644 -2.4735e+02 9.2455e+00 -26.7538 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis646 8.9469e+01 9.2378e+00 9.6850 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis1142 6.0429e+01 9.1473e+00 6.6062 6.176e-11 ***
iis1146 1.5704e+02 8.7328e+00 17.9829 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 5.8465e+01 4.1087e+00 14.2297 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2009 1.0141e+02 5.0089e+00 20.2467 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.1999 4.7335e+01 7.6996e+00 6.1477 1.104e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2005 2.4470e+01 1.0187e+01 2.4020 0.0164732 *
fesisJPN.2007 1.4042e+02 1.0938e+01 12.8378 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2017 1.2495e+02 1.0371e+01 12.0473 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2004 2.8380e+01 5.8311e+00 4.8669 1.302e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.7269e+02 8.5119e+00 20.2882 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2009 8.6064e+01 4.9462e+00 17.4000 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.6605 1 0.1029
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 38.4056 1 5.747e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.17442
R-squared 0.99926
Log-lik.(n=1200) -4164.43849 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:30:22 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.293843 0.026199 11.2157 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.274921 0.119065 2.3090 0.0211297 *
lpop -0.634785 0.267333 -2.3745 0.0177442 *
idAUS 0.682110 0.259008 2.6335 0.0085691 **
idAUT 0.203406 0.419167 0.4853 0.6275867
idBEL -0.016142 0.371092 -0.0435 0.9653118
idBGR -0.424531 0.432540 -0.9815 0.3265711
idBRA 0.823407 0.404798 2.0341 0.0421809 *
idCAN 1.903053 0.199988 9.5158 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE 0.575171 0.453612 1.2680 0.2050751
idCHL -1.755790 0.772197 -2.2738 0.0231738 *
idCHN 3.635946 0.888859 4.0906 4.619e-05 ***
idCZE -1.055638 0.503830 -2.0952 0.0363803 *
idDEU 3.132382 0.284110 11.0252 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -0.188662 0.632106 -0.2985 0.7654048
idESP 0.877836 0.127403 6.8902 9.389e-12 ***
idFIN -0.137840 0.516145 -0.2671 0.7894756
idFRA 2.756140 0.209596 13.1498 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 2.340571 0.191760 12.2057 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGRC -0.515054 0.339904 -1.5153 0.1299865
idHKG -0.600817 0.552168 -1.0881 0.2767890
idHUN -1.864768 0.709475 -2.6284 0.0086996 **
idIND 1.397986 0.863934 1.6182 0.1059160
idIRL -0.584489 0.572010 -1.0218 0.3070939
idIRN -2.311744 1.128057 -2.0493 0.0406696 *
idISR 0.260954 0.490167 0.5324 0.5945721
idITA 1.625519 0.177098 9.1786 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN 3.740789 0.759249 4.9270 9.642e-07 ***
idKOR 1.433282 0.886663 1.6165 0.1062770
idLUX -1.615927 1.114813 -1.4495 0.1474833
idMEX -0.117447 0.390595 -0.3007 0.7637107
idMYS 0.009884 0.167785 0.0589 0.9530355
idNLD 0.839064 0.266853 3.1443 0.0017098 **
idNOR -1.136564 0.667527 -1.7026 0.0889181 .
idNZL -0.518727 0.579178 -0.8956 0.3706491
idPHL -0.310665 0.345301 -0.8997 0.3684830
idPOL 0.152982 0.153162 0.9988 0.3181020
idPRT -0.488959 0.350956 -1.3932 0.1638372
idROU 0.286653 0.192341 1.4903 0.1364255
idRUS 0.708980 0.549398 1.2905 0.1971618
idSAU -0.637540 0.243901 -2.6139 0.0090739 **
idSGP -0.809748 0.589003 -1.3748 0.1694824
idSVK -0.633763 0.511723 -1.2385 0.2158008
idSVN -0.994510 0.746636 -1.3320 0.1831416
idSWE -0.076520 0.521638 -0.1467 0.8834029
idTHA -0.320946 0.300582 -1.0677 0.2858699
idTUR 0.662219 0.180913 3.6604 0.0002638 ***
idTWN 1.120161 0.246981 4.5354 6.384e-06 ***
idUKR 0.716480 0.208952 3.4289 0.0006286 ***
idUSA 4.516615 0.563562 8.0144 2.824e-15 ***
idVNM -1.806379 0.936703 -1.9284 0.0540589 .
idZAF 0.866540 0.288096 3.0078 0.0026915 **
time1996 3.503202 4.539583 0.7717 0.4404582
time1997 3.580071 4.542248 0.7882 0.4307672
time1998 3.507457 4.544715 0.7718 0.4404198
time1999 3.576860 4.547363 0.7866 0.4316989
time2000 3.761371 4.550524 0.8266 0.4086557
time2001 3.634259 4.551766 0.7984 0.4247955
time2002 3.599001 4.554992 0.7901 0.4296277
time2003 3.695269 4.557710 0.8108 0.4176725
time2004 3.637277 4.560383 0.7976 0.4252867
time2005 3.658310 4.563174 0.8017 0.4228990
time2006 3.737212 4.567076 0.8183 0.4133675
time2007 3.769309 4.570511 0.8247 0.4097207
time2008 3.820726 4.574023 0.8353 0.4037259
time2009 3.946468 4.574428 0.8627 0.3884787
time2010 4.110254 4.577569 0.8979 0.3694303
time2011 4.159064 4.580191 0.9081 0.3640495
time2012 4.057307 4.582190 0.8855 0.3761079
time2013 4.075262 4.584290 0.8890 0.3742189
time2014 4.090760 4.586706 0.8919 0.3726572
time2015 4.165681 4.588243 0.9079 0.3641295
time2016 4.138908 4.590061 0.9017 0.3674092
time2017 4.394767 4.592997 0.9568 0.3388592
time2018 4.297914 4.595449 0.9353 0.3498637
time2019 4.224535 4.597421 0.9189 0.3583546
iis77 -1.058431 0.409723 -2.5833 0.0099154 **
iis142 -1.207868 0.392562 -3.0769 0.0021438 **
iis170 -2.002810 0.392215 -5.1064 3.871e-07 ***
iis176 -1.285760 0.391972 -3.2802 0.0010700 **
iis217 -1.666363 0.403510 -4.1297 3.910e-05 ***
iis290 -1.904761 0.429507 -4.4348 1.015e-05 ***
iis294 -1.180668 0.394715 -2.9912 0.0028412 **
iis462 1.179155 0.392019 3.0079 0.0026908 **
iis516 -1.090697 0.393439 -2.7722 0.0056623 **
iis518 -1.136921 0.392831 -2.8942 0.0038771 **
iis525 -1.397458 0.392703 -3.5586 0.0003889 ***
iis565 1.256731 0.391494 3.2101 0.0013656 **
iis755 -1.115810 0.391703 -2.8486 0.0044733 **
iis898 1.225342 0.391516 3.1297 0.0017960 **
iis1200 -1.227588 0.394023 -3.1155 0.0018840 **
fesisAUT.2006 0.920101 0.162208 5.6723 1.802e-08 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.544533 0.176176 3.0909 0.0020463 **
fesisCHL.2005 -0.536153 0.163675 -3.2757 0.0010870 **
fesisCHN.2007 1.159449 0.190579 6.0838 1.621e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.777531 0.162188 4.7940 1.861e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.657756 0.213395 -3.0823 0.0021052 **
fesisIND.2001 1.003877 0.199669 5.0277 5.797e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2004 0.972804 0.172719 5.6323 2.261e-08 ***
fesisLUX.2011 -0.602744 0.166628 -3.6173 0.0003113 ***
fesisNZL.2016 -0.997816 0.212847 -4.6880 3.108e-06 ***
fesisROU.2011 -0.735329 0.170883 -4.3031 1.835e-05 ***
fesisSAU.2015 0.769176 0.201931 3.8091 0.0001472 ***
fesisSGP.2004 0.835586 0.173511 4.8158 1.673e-06 ***
fesisTWN.2002 1.144198 0.187226 6.1113 1.373e-09 ***
fesisUKR.2008 -0.837990 0.163881 -5.1134 3.734e-07 ***
fesisZAF.2000 -0.799336 0.211876 -3.7727 0.0001702 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.86297 1 0.3529
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.20744 1 0.1373
SE of regression 0.37932
R-squared 0.96090
Log-lik.(n=1200) -485.98579 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_50 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:29:30 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 1200
Sample: 1 to 1200
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.312490 0.023635 13.2213 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.175655 0.114478 1.5344 0.1252357
lpop -0.643384 0.248055 -2.5937 0.0096289 **
idAUS 0.820867 0.237525 3.4559 0.0005707 ***
idAUT 0.103045 0.389971 0.2642 0.7916494
idBEL -0.104289 0.357688 -0.2916 0.7706777
idBGR -0.642982 0.414913 -1.5497 0.1215254
idBRA 0.933021 0.385471 2.4205 0.0156722 *
idCAN 1.946347 0.184276 10.5621 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE 0.522149 0.420063 1.2430 0.2141409
idCHL -1.419237 0.726409 -1.9538 0.0509978 .
idCHN 4.132898 0.847766 4.8750 1.259e-06 ***
idCZE -0.887667 0.464100 -1.9127 0.0560674 .
idDEU 3.219984 0.267210 12.0504 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -0.115853 0.579304 -0.2000 0.8415306
idESP 0.906976 0.115414 7.8584 9.727e-15 ***
idFIN -0.285638 0.483992 -0.5902 0.5552045
idFRA 2.810312 0.197301 14.2438 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 2.388301 0.179743 13.2873 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGRC -0.685622 0.320713 -2.1378 0.0327667 *
idHKG -0.863874 0.524242 -1.6479 0.0996865 .
idHUN -1.445196 0.659119 -2.1926 0.0285574 *
idIND 2.400993 0.846163 2.8375 0.0046357 **
idIRL -0.172309 0.639020 -0.2696 0.7874869
idIRN -1.329750 1.092700 -1.2169 0.2239051
idISR 0.292339 0.454178 0.6437 0.5199357
idITA 1.725919 0.166270 10.3802 < 2.2e-16 ***
idJPN 4.294080 0.742795 5.7810 9.830e-09 ***
idKOR 2.093837 0.852335 2.4566 0.0141899 *
idLUX -1.963590 1.043047 -1.8826 0.0600419 .
idMEX 0.283336 0.383036 0.7397 0.4596427
idMYS 0.016585 0.177479 0.0934 0.9255663
idNLD 0.800749 0.245587 3.2606 0.0011483 **
idNOR -1.101765 0.615334 -1.7905 0.0736637 .
idNZL -0.652797 0.542189 -1.2040 0.2288643
idPHL 0.016603 0.335811 0.0494 0.9605768
idPOL 0.177550 0.141327 1.2563 0.2092877
idPRT -0.551199 0.330063 -1.6700 0.0952255 .
idROU 0.150075 0.179778 0.8348 0.4040350
idRUS 1.202773 0.540547 2.2251 0.0262896 *
idSAU -0.526770 0.223609 -2.3558 0.0186707 *
idSGP -0.938757 0.549761 -1.7076 0.0880161 .
idSVK -0.877123 0.488419 -1.7958 0.0728119 .
idSVN -1.265604 0.709539 -1.7837 0.0747662 .
idSWE 0.014737 0.480780 0.0307 0.9755521
idTHA -0.067702 0.291857 -0.2320 0.8166074
idTUR 0.406360 0.172476 2.3560 0.0186573 *
idTWN 1.290124 0.230131 5.6060 2.656e-08 ***
idUKR 0.395008 0.233105 1.6946 0.0904620 .
idUSA 4.751521 0.542310 8.7616 < 2.2e-16 ***
idVNM -0.925796 0.893287 -1.0364 0.3002614
idZAF 0.993514 0.264218 3.7602 0.0001793 ***
time1996 6.360991 4.402132 1.4450 0.1487669
time1997 6.389702 4.403833 1.4509 0.1470999
time1998 6.375562 4.407114 1.4467 0.1482977
time1999 6.419646 4.409543 1.4559 0.1457371
time2000 6.532469 4.413101 1.4802 0.1391129
time2001 6.440144 4.414592 1.4588 0.1449156
time2002 6.394321 4.417691 1.4474 0.1480785
time2003 6.554156 4.420571 1.4826 0.1384726
time2004 6.489280 4.423237 1.4671 0.1426564
time2005 6.472145 4.426009 1.4623 0.1439636
time2006 6.548987 4.429523 1.4785 0.1395826
time2007 6.586538 4.432604 1.4859 0.1376029
time2008 6.610290 4.435067 1.4905 0.1364086
time2009 6.763665 4.434865 1.5251 0.1275373
time2010 6.973790 4.437950 1.5714 0.1163963
time2011 6.967776 4.440516 1.5691 0.1169223
time2012 6.912758 4.442574 1.5560 0.1200083
time2013 6.957381 4.444595 1.5654 0.1178053
time2014 6.938346 4.447023 1.5602 0.1190136
time2015 6.960778 4.448618 1.5647 0.1179582
time2016 6.999051 4.449660 1.5729 0.1160387
time2017 7.227112 4.452424 1.6232 0.1048548
time2018 7.220085 4.455030 1.6207 0.1053960
time2019 7.112489 4.455529 1.5963 0.1107213
iis1 1.026852 0.338628 3.0324 0.0024868 **
iis23 -1.073730 0.338543 -3.1716 0.0015606 **
iis27 -1.056417 0.338640 -3.1196 0.0018613 **
iis33 -1.025429 0.338407 -3.0302 0.0025050 **
iis77 -1.510855 0.340262 -4.4403 9.951e-06 ***
iis80 -1.174199 0.339856 -3.4550 0.0005727 ***
iis98 0.857107 0.341102 2.5128 0.0121305 *
iis114 -0.932243 0.338785 -2.7517 0.0060321 **
iis142 -1.187119 0.406199 -2.9225 0.0035479 **
iis170 -1.986284 0.338302 -5.8713 5.821e-09 ***
iis176 -1.321216 0.338158 -3.9071 9.949e-05 ***
iis195 0.721141 0.353543 2.0398 0.0416290 *
iis197 0.794391 0.353544 2.2469 0.0248548 *
iis217 -1.886353 0.353248 -5.3400 1.143e-07 ***
iis219 -0.788406 0.351686 -2.2418 0.0251868 *
iis220 -0.757394 0.351375 -2.1555 0.0313521 *
iis290 -1.902136 0.370562 -5.1331 3.404e-07 ***
iis294 -1.289213 0.347062 -3.7147 0.0002144 ***
iis422 1.152037 0.338038 3.4080 0.0006796 ***
iis437 0.738904 0.358880 2.0589 0.0397526 *
iis439 0.785319 0.357049 2.1995 0.0280652 *
iis462 1.161029 0.338277 3.4322 0.0006225 ***
iis477 -1.020814 0.338688 -3.0140 0.0026410 **
iis481 -1.105443 0.405085 -2.7289 0.0064622 **
iis516 -1.890767 0.406536 -4.6509 3.733e-06 ***
iis518 -1.128576 0.349006 -3.2337 0.0012607 **
iis525 -1.396210 0.348716 -4.0039 6.677e-05 ***
iis565 1.261364 0.338056 3.7312 0.0002009 ***
iis576 -1.097367 0.340422 -3.2236 0.0013058 **
iis579 -0.879092 0.338704 -2.5955 0.0095803 **
iis666 -1.046976 0.339819 -3.0810 0.0021178 **
iis688 -0.865918 0.338100 -2.5611 0.0105744 *
iis691 -0.984219 0.338344 -2.9089 0.0037044 **
iis749 1.045003 0.338685 3.0855 0.0020864 **
iis755 -1.009249 0.338461 -2.9819 0.0029321 **
iis766 0.919962 0.338695 2.7162 0.0067138 **
iis789 -1.114544 0.407277 -2.7366 0.0063147 **
iis791 -0.797157 0.404990 -1.9683 0.0492961 *
iis816 -0.894759 0.341122 -2.6230 0.0088447 **
iis829 1.160491 0.337831 3.4351 0.0006158 ***
iis874 0.863207 0.342163 2.5228 0.0117919 *
iis889 -1.073048 0.340346 -3.1528 0.0016636 **
iis898 1.208030 0.337961 3.5745 0.0003672 ***
iis932 0.984622 0.371616 2.6496 0.0081826 **
iis952 0.902206 0.342685 2.6328 0.0085959 **
iis957 0.759341 0.343120 2.2130 0.0271124 *
iis1003 -0.940944 0.337879 -2.7849 0.0054531 **
iis1012 1.001167 0.337922 2.9627 0.0031192 **
iis1069 0.803831 0.351865 2.2845 0.0225450 *
iis1075 0.719764 0.351230 2.0493 0.0406884 *
iis1080 1.648113 0.468238 3.5198 0.0004507 ***
iis1081 -1.037224 0.362482 -2.8614 0.0043022 **
iis1184 -0.981574 0.342397 -2.8668 0.0042310 **
iis1191 -1.043765 0.341995 -3.0520 0.0023314 **
iis1200 -0.938971 0.382325 -2.4559 0.0142151 *
fesisAUT.2006 0.894501 0.140154 6.3823 2.630e-10 ***
fesisBEL.2000 0.523846 0.184574 2.8381 0.0046265 **
fesisBRA.2015 0.761282 0.246097 3.0934 0.0020318 **
fesisBRA.2017 -0.714614 0.331112 -2.1582 0.0311404 *
fesisCHL.2005 -0.329489 0.153852 -2.1416 0.0324597 *
fesisCHN.2007 1.039010 0.175570 5.9179 4.431e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.741277 0.140338 5.2821 1.557e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.524431 0.196384 -2.6704 0.0076944 **
fesisDNK.2012 -1.094695 0.256453 -4.2686 2.148e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2014 1.080762 0.269938 4.0037 6.681e-05 ***
fesisHKG.2000 0.443913 0.214515 2.0694 0.0387583 *
fesisHKG.2008 -0.635627 0.201923 -3.1479 0.0016918 **
fesisHKG.2013 0.807540 0.194370 4.1547 3.527e-05 ***
fesisIND.1999 -0.849772 0.330708 -2.5696 0.0103224 *
fesisIND.2001 1.327322 0.250490 5.2989 1.424e-07 ***
fesisIRL.1997 -0.801388 0.349835 -2.2908 0.0221781 *
fesisIRL.2006 1.061364 0.259678 4.0872 4.704e-05 ***
fesisIRL.2009 -0.812501 0.258714 -3.1405 0.0017343 **
fesisKOR.2004 0.968028 0.150068 6.4506 1.709e-10 ***
fesisLUX.2016 -0.817502 0.187426 -4.3617 1.420e-05 ***
fesisMYS.2007 0.969388 0.346168 2.8003 0.0052001 **
fesisMYS.2008 -1.023230 0.344769 -2.9679 0.0030678 **
fesisNZL.2016 -0.525627 0.249578 -2.1061 0.0354395 *
fesisPRT.2018 -0.838381 0.245686 -3.4124 0.0006689 ***
fesisROU.2011 -0.673264 0.150389 -4.4768 8.419e-06 ***
fesisSAU.2015 0.565430 0.192664 2.9348 0.0034115 **
fesisSGP.2004 0.754892 0.154823 4.8758 1.254e-06 ***
fesisTUR.2008 0.502776 0.154970 3.2444 0.0012149 **
fesisTUR.2018 -0.928901 0.351082 -2.6458 0.0082730 **
fesisTWN.2002 0.941705 0.172685 5.4533 6.186e-08 ***
fesisUKR.2000 0.666277 0.205967 3.2349 0.0012556 **
fesisUKR.2008 -1.055975 0.156734 -6.7374 2.674e-11 ***
fesisVNM.2011 0.941273 0.343656 2.7390 0.0062687 **
fesisVNM.2012 -1.214970 0.351318 -3.4583 0.0005657 ***
fesisZAF.2000 -0.562991 0.188506 -2.9866 0.0028877 **
fesisZAF.2016 -0.509291 0.211049 -2.4131 0.0159889 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.4155 1 0.2341
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.5031 1 0.1136
SE of regression 0.32702
R-squared 0.97254
Log-lik.(n=1200) -277.95362